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#81
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
Robatoy wrote:
Now, after we all moved to Texas...go to Google Earth and centre Texas in the middle of the globe....now zoom back. Rotate the Earth...keep an eye on texas.. we all live there now.... Trust me on this ... it looks that way already!! -- www.e-woodshop.net Last update: 10/22/08 KarlC@ (the obvious) |
#82
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
Leon wrote:
"jo4hn" wrote in message m... Take a look at climate.nasa.gov. Study it at some length with as little prejudice as possible. Report back in a week. Do not cite wingnut blogs as rebuttal - only refereed scientific papers. TIA, Nope! I want to see it not be told what I am seeing. Well, if it gets really hot next year, don't come to me. To all readers: look at that website anyway. Lots of information that is quite understandable without a lot of science background. |
#83
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
On Mon, 07 Dec 2009 13:12:00 -0600, Swingman wrote:
Robatoy wrote: Now, after we all moved to Texas...go to Google Earth and centre Texas in the middle of the globe....now zoom back. Rotate the Earth...keep an eye on texas.. we all live there now.... Trust me on this ... it looks that way already!! Hee! I knew that dog wouldn't hunt. Regards, Tom Watson http://home.comcast.net/~tjwatson1/ |
#84
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
jo4hn wrote:
To all readers: look at that website anyway. Lots of information that is quite understandable without a lot of science background. Agreed ... damned trouble is it seems everyone has an agenda of some sort, making any data, and any modeling using same, subject to suspicion. All temperature data is massaged, supposedly to reduce error inherent in historical readings, but I'm personally, and simply, at the point of not trusting those doing the "massaging", and there is ample evidence to back up that skepticism. What should have been an age of enlightenment has demonstrably turned into and age of skepticism and suspicion. IOW, I've been right all along ... g -- www.e-woodshop.net Last update: 10/22/08 KarlC@ (the obvious) |
#85
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
jo4hn wrote:
J. Clarke wrote: jo4hn wrote: Mark & Juanita wrote: Swingman wrote: Larry Jaques wrote: I've been on the environmental bandwagon for nearly 40 years, but I no longer call myself an environmentalist because of what the movement hath wrought. I think ecoterrorists may outnumber the greenies now. sigh As a home builder with a recent, alternative construction, "green" project under my belt, I can guarantee you that more waste hit the land fills due to its "green" nature then in any two of my usual traditional construction projects. .... still marveling at the sheer, unconscious ignorance of many of the misguided folks who have embraced this "movement" ... all warm, fuzzy, self congratulatory, and without a clue! Read something today that makes a lot of sense regarding this. There are two camps of people, materialists -- those people who say that there is a material universe which behaves in a consistent way, and if you study it you can learn the way it works, and teleologists -- those who say that the universe is an ideal place. From what I read: "More or less, it exists so that we humans can live in it. And human thought is a fundamental force in the universe. Teleology says that if a mental model is esthetically pleasing then it must be true. Teleology implies that if you truly believe in something, itll happen." http://hotair.com/archives/2009/12/06/government-by-wishful-thinking/ The people you describe above Swingman are of the latter persuasion. They don't care if what they want to try hasn't worked before -- it just wasn't done correctly, they are going to do it correctly. If the idea of a "green" economy feels good, by golly, it will be good. Ignore those niggling little details like more waste or less available resourced -- by golly it FEELS good! So the doomsayers on the right believe that doing nothing besides reciting mantras such as "there ain't no such thing as global warming", that the problem will go away. And further that there never was a problem and that scientists lie for any reason. Wow. Thank you for clearing that up. The "global warming" "scientists" are engaging in political activity and using models that have not been validated to support their politicking. There is a tendency toward "scientism" in our society--trusting anyone who claims to be a "scientist" without question. Most sciences are in their infancy--the only ones with any real maturity are physics and chemistry, with biology getting there. Climatology is very immature and basing social policy on its models is about as wise as basing social policy on the ravings of alchemists or astrologers. Is that "scientism" or the opposite? It is scientism. Google that word. I am getting a lot of the latter from the right wingers. What, distrust of climatologists? Skepticism is a necessary part of the scientific process--anyone who is calling the climatologists liars is behaving more like a proper scientist than all the folks who are saying "we should trust them because they are scientists". Oh and your last sentence is just plain ignorant meanness and bespeaks much of you. Oh, now _there_ is a compelling rebuttal if ever I saw one. |
#86
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
jo4hn wrote:
Leon wrote: "jo4hn" wrote in message m... Take a look at climate.nasa.gov. Study it at some length with as little prejudice as possible. Report back in a week. Do not cite wingnut blogs as rebuttal - only refereed scientific papers. TIA, Nope! I want to see it not be told what I am seeing. Well, if it gets really hot next year, don't come to me. I won't, I'll be too busy riding my motorcycle. To all readers: look at that website anyway. Lots of information that is quite understandable without a lot of science background. In other words lots of propaganda. |
#87
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
"Chris Friesen" wrote in message el... snip But every one was burning then not so now, actually few by contrast. Before we were burning trees, now we burn oil, coal, and gas. With less polution. I have no polution control device on my fireplace and I doubt way back when there were any such devices either. Ther is all kind of polution control devices on oil, coal, gas, and gasoline burning machines. From 1850 to 2000, the total energy consumption of the USA increased by a factor of 50. Of course a large amount of that is due to population increase, but the per-capita energy consumption has increased roughly 4x over that period. So.. much cleaner energy consumption compared to way back when. Cleaner in what sense? As the US switched from agrarian to modern it uses 4x as much energy per person. How is that cleaner overall? what,,,,, 4 times more people using cleaner burning fuels than wood..... |
#88
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
jo4hn wrote:
Swingman wrote: Here is the GISS ranking I was looking for which does not involve a right or left wing blog: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/gr...10.warmest.doc vielen Dank. Bitte schön ... -- www.e-woodshop.net Last update: 10/22/08 KarlC@ (the obvious) |
#89
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
Leon wrote:
"Chris Friesen" wrote in message el... snip But every one was burning then not so now, actually few by contrast. Before we were burning trees, now we burn oil, coal, and gas. With less polution. I have no polution control device on my fireplace and I doubt way back when there were any such devices either. Ther is all kind of polution control devices on oil, coal, gas, and gasoline burning machines. None of which affect CO2 emissions in the slightest. From 1850 to 2000, the total energy consumption of the USA increased by a factor of 50. Of course a large amount of that is due to population increase, but the per-capita energy consumption has increased roughly 4x over that period. So.. much cleaner energy consumption compared to way back when. Cleaner in what sense? As the US switched from agrarian to modern it uses 4x as much energy per person. How is that cleaner overall? what,,,,, 4 times more people using cleaner burning fuels than wood..... Cleaner in what sense? |
#90
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
J. Clarke wrote:
jo4hn wrote: J. Clarke wrote: jo4hn wrote: Mark & Juanita wrote: Swingman wrote: Larry Jaques wrote: I've been on the environmental bandwagon for nearly 40 years, but I no longer call myself an environmentalist because of what the movement hath wrought. I think ecoterrorists may outnumber the greenies now. sigh As a home builder with a recent, alternative construction, "green" project under my belt, I can guarantee you that more waste hit the land fills due to its "green" nature then in any two of my usual traditional construction projects. .... still marveling at the sheer, unconscious ignorance of many of the misguided folks who have embraced this "movement" ... all warm, fuzzy, self congratulatory, and without a clue! Read something today that makes a lot of sense regarding this. There are two camps of people, materialists -- those people who say that there is a material universe which behaves in a consistent way, and if you study it you can learn the way it works, and teleologists -- those who say that the universe is an ideal place. From what I read: "More or less, it exists so that we humans can live in it. And human thought is a fundamental force in the universe. Teleology says that if a mental model is esthetically pleasing then it must be true. Teleology implies that if you truly believe in something, itll happen." http://hotair.com/archives/2009/12/06/government-by-wishful-thinking/ The people you describe above Swingman are of the latter persuasion. They don't care if what they want to try hasn't worked before -- it just wasn't done correctly, they are going to do it correctly. If the idea of a "green" economy feels good, by golly, it will be good. Ignore those niggling little details like more waste or less available resourced -- by golly it FEELS good! So the doomsayers on the right believe that doing nothing besides reciting mantras such as "there ain't no such thing as global warming", that the problem will go away. And further that there never was a problem and that scientists lie for any reason. Wow. Thank you for clearing that up. The "global warming" "scientists" are engaging in political activity and using models that have not been validated to support their politicking. There is a tendency toward "scientism" in our society--trusting anyone who claims to be a "scientist" without question. Most sciences are in their infancy--the only ones with any real maturity are physics and chemistry, with biology getting there. Climatology is very immature and basing social policy on its models is about as wise as basing social policy on the ravings of alchemists or astrologers. Is that "scientism" or the opposite? It is scientism. Google that word. I am getting a lot of the latter from the right wingers. What, distrust of climatologists? Skepticism is a necessary part of the scientific process--anyone who is calling the climatologists liars is behaving more like a proper scientist than all the folks who are saying "we should trust them because they are scientists". Oh and your last sentence is just plain ignorant meanness and bespeaks much of you. Oh, now _there_ is a compelling rebuttal if ever I saw one. The opposite of scientism or anti-scientism if you want. It's the idea that if one spouts anything long enough and loudly enough, it will be believed. It will still not be true however. A good example is calling climatologists liars without any *scientific* proof. |
#91
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
Swingman wrote:
jo4hn wrote: To all readers: look at that website anyway. Lots of information that is quite understandable without a lot of science background. Agreed ... damned trouble is it seems everyone has an agenda of some sort, making any data, and any modeling using same, subject to suspicion. All temperature data is massaged, supposedly to reduce error inherent in historical readings, but I'm personally, and simply, at the point of not trusting those doing the "massaging", and there is ample evidence to back up that skepticism. What should have been an age of enlightenment has demonstrably turned into and age of skepticism and suspicion. IOW, I've been right all along ... g Massaging in science is removing wild points (or spikes), conversion from data numbers to engineering/science values, applying instrument calibration values, and the like. Fraud is very rare (Fox rants notwithstanding), since it will be found out by ones peers. |
#92
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
"Leon" wrote: Being able to look at the world through my own eyes and interpret what I am seeing rather than being told what I am seeing. I do not dispute that some places are getting warmer, at least for this period of time but there are other places that are getting colder. Take the South Pole for instance, its ice has been growing for years. I totally believe that those that believe in global warming "trend", don't have enough data to make a proper assessment. Would you mind sharing your vetted source you used to reach your observations? Lew |
#93
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
"Lew Hodgett" wrote in message ... "Leon" wrote: Being able to look at the world through my own eyes and interpret what I am seeing rather than being told what I am seeing. I do not dispute that some places are getting warmer, at least for this period of time but there are other places that are getting colder. Take the South Pole for instance, its ice has been growing for years. I totally believe that those that believe in global warming "trend", don't have enough data to make a proper assessment. Would you mind sharing your vetted source you used to reach your observations? How about you show me scientific data from 800 years ago, and all years since. Then let's see what the computer spits out. "Normal" weather patterns run longer than what we have data for. Global warming, climate changes, what ever todays click is was not a such a concern before money was involved, or before scientists had to come up with derived answers to justify the billions in research. |
#94
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
jo4hn wrote:
J. Clarke wrote: jo4hn wrote: J. Clarke wrote: jo4hn wrote: Mark & Juanita wrote: Swingman wrote: Larry Jaques wrote: I've been on the environmental bandwagon for nearly 40 years, but I no longer call myself an environmentalist because of what the movement hath wrought. I think ecoterrorists may outnumber the greenies now. sigh As a home builder with a recent, alternative construction, "green" project under my belt, I can guarantee you that more waste hit the land fills due to its "green" nature then in any two of my usual traditional construction projects. .... still marveling at the sheer, unconscious ignorance of many of the misguided folks who have embraced this "movement" ... all warm, fuzzy, self congratulatory, and without a clue! Read something today that makes a lot of sense regarding this. There are two camps of people, materialists -- those people who say that there is a material universe which behaves in a consistent way, and if you study it you can learn the way it works, and teleologists -- those who say that the universe is an ideal place. From what I read: "More or less, it exists so that we humans can live in it. And human thought is a fundamental force in the universe. Teleology says that if a mental model is esthetically pleasing then it must be true. Teleology implies that if you truly believe in something, itll happen." http://hotair.com/archives/2009/12/06/government-by-wishful-thinking/ The people you describe above Swingman are of the latter persuasion. They don't care if what they want to try hasn't worked before -- it just wasn't done correctly, they are going to do it correctly. If the idea of a "green" economy feels good, by golly, it will be good. Ignore those niggling little details like more waste or less available resourced -- by golly it FEELS good! So the doomsayers on the right believe that doing nothing besides reciting mantras such as "there ain't no such thing as global warming", that the problem will go away. And further that there never was a problem and that scientists lie for any reason. Wow. Thank you for clearing that up. The "global warming" "scientists" are engaging in political activity and using models that have not been validated to support their politicking. There is a tendency toward "scientism" in our society--trusting anyone who claims to be a "scientist" without question. Most sciences are in their infancy--the only ones with any real maturity are physics and chemistry, with biology getting there. Climatology is very immature and basing social policy on its models is about as wise as basing social policy on the ravings of alchemists or astrologers. Is that "scientism" or the opposite? It is scientism. Google that word. I am getting a lot of the latter from the right wingers. What, distrust of climatologists? Skepticism is a necessary part of the scientific process--anyone who is calling the climatologists liars is behaving more like a proper scientist than all the folks who are saying "we should trust them because they are scientists". Oh and your last sentence is just plain ignorant meanness and bespeaks much of you. Oh, now _there_ is a compelling rebuttal if ever I saw one. The opposite of scientism or anti-scientism if you want. It's the idea that if one spouts anything long enough and loudly enough, it will be believed. It will still not be true however. A good example is calling climatologists liars without any *scientific* proof. Well, that is exactly what the global warming people are doing, spouting something loud and long and hoping to be believed. And launching personal attacks at anyone who questions them. |
#95
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
"Robatoy" wrote in message ... If we take the earth's population at 7 billion, and moved them all toTexas, Wouldn't that put the planet out of balance and throw it out of it's solar orbit? I mean, I can see it wobbling like the washing machine when the big blanket bunches up on one side of the tub and then hurtling out into deep space. Dave in Houston |
#96
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
jo4hn wrote:
Swingman wrote: jo4hn wrote: To all readers: look at that website anyway. Lots of information that is quite understandable without a lot of science background. Agreed ... damned trouble is it seems everyone has an agenda of some sort, making any data, and any modeling using same, subject to suspicion. All temperature data is massaged, supposedly to reduce error inherent in historical readings, but I'm personally, and simply, at the point of not trusting those doing the "massaging", and there is ample evidence to back up that skepticism. What should have been an age of enlightenment has demonstrably turned into and age of skepticism and suspicion. IOW, I've been right all along ... g Massaging in science is removing wild points (or spikes), conversion from data numbers to engineering/science values, applying instrument calibration values, and the like. Fraud is very rare (Fox rants notwithstanding), since it will be found out by ones peers. Massaging data is not the issue. Taking a short term item of noise in a long term cycle and claiming that your model projects the long term trend is the problem. The climate cycle is at least 120,000 years, the models that purport to project that cycle are working on 40 years of data. See the problem? |
#97
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
Lew Hodgett wrote:
"Leon" wrote: Being able to look at the world through my own eyes and interpret what I am seeing rather than being told what I am seeing. I do not dispute that some places are getting warmer, at least for this period of time but there are other places that are getting colder. Take the South Pole for instance, its ice has been growing for years. I totally believe that those that believe in global warming "trend", don't have enough data to make a proper assessment. Would you mind sharing your vetted source you used to reach your observations? One doesn't need a "vetted source" to see that the glaciation cycle runs on a timeframe approximately 30,000 times longer than that on which the "global warming" models are based. The ice core data is well known. |
#98
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
"J. Clarke" wrote in message ... : Leon wrote: : "Chris Friesen" wrote in message : el... : On 12/07/2009 11:15 AM, Leon wrote: : : Really and truly none of the global warming/climate change malarkey : came about until we started trying to clean up the environment and : stop air pollution. For hundreds of years a lot of wood was : always being burned for : cooking and heating, no global warming problem then. : : As long as the rate of burning doesn't exceed the rate of growth, : burning wood for energy is carbon neutral. : : That sounds lile a fuzzy feels good formula. : : Not really. If there is a problem it is the result of suddenly releasing a : lot of carbon that was sequestered over millions of years. Trees are short : term--burn them and plant new ones where the old ones were and the new ones : store the same amount of carbon as the old ones released while being burned. : : 200 years ago the population of the planet was under a billion : people. Now it's 6x that. : : But every one was burning then not so now, actually few by contrast. : : : : From 1850 to 2000, the total energy consumption of the USA increased : by a factor of 50. Of course a large amount of that is due to : population increase, but the per-capita energy consumption has : increased roughly 4x over that period. : : So.. much cleaner energy consumption compared to way back when. : : How do you figure? Do you really want him to answer that? Dave in Houston : |
#99
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
"jo4hn" wrote in message m... : Mark & Juanita wrote: : Swingman wrote: : : Larry Jaques wrote: : : I've been on the environmental bandwagon for nearly 40 years, but I no : longer call myself an environmentalist because of what the movement : hath wrought. I think ecoterrorists may outnumber the greenies now. : sigh : As a home builder with a recent, alternative construction, "green" : project under my belt, I can guarantee you that more waste hit the land : fills due to its "green" nature then in any two of my usual traditional : construction projects. : : .... still marveling at the sheer, unconscious ignorance of many of the : misguided folks who have embraced this "movement" ... all warm, fuzzy, : self congratulatory, and without a clue! : : : Read something today that makes a lot of sense regarding this. There are : two camps of people, materialists -- those people who say that there is a : material universe which behaves in a consistent way, and if you study it you : can learn the way it works, and teleologists -- those who say that the : universe is an ideal place. From what I read: : "More or less, it exists so that we humans can live in it. And human : thought is a fundamental force in the universe. Teleology says that if a : mental model is esthetically pleasing then it must be true. Teleology : implies that if you truly believe in something, itll happen." : : http://hotair.com/archives/2009/12/06/government-by-wishful-thinking/ : : The people you describe above Swingman are of the latter persuasion. They : don't care if what they want to try hasn't worked before -- it just wasn't : done correctly, they are going to do it correctly. If the idea of a "green" : economy feels good, by golly, it will be good. Ignore those niggling little : details like more waste or less available resourced -- by golly it FEELS : good! : : So the doomsayers on the right believe that doing nothing besides : reciting mantras such as "there ain't no such thing as global warming", : that the problem will go away. And further that there never was a : problem and that scientists lie for any reason. Wow. Thank you for : clearing that up. I thought these scientists (and Big Al, of course) stand to make brazillions and brazillions of dollars. Why else would you want to dream up and perpetuate such a huge hoax? Dave in Houston |
#100
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
jo4hn wrote:
.... ... A good example is calling climatologists liars without any *scientific* proof. Well, we've just learned of a significant amount of proof in falsification and misrepresentation of data and in scheming to prevent dissenting scientific opinion and research from being accepted... -- |
#101
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
Bob Martin wrote:
What parts are getting warmer? The average temperature has been steadily declining since 1996. And even if it IS getting warmer, it's no where near what it was during the Medieval Warm Period (a time of great prosperity). Might I suggest you get your facts from NASA rather than from Fox News or your childrens' comics? The 10 warmest years on record have all occurred in the last 12 years. http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/2008/ You really should keep up. First, NASA recognized the mistake and corrected their findings. Second, I'd be skeptical of taking my news from a player in the Climategate fraud. Here's one opinion piece in the Denver Post. http://neighbors.denverpost.com/blog...gate-cover-up/ Here's one basic flaw: http://www.dailytech.com/Researcher+...ticle10973.htm Another is the use of ZERO in an Excel spreadsheet to represent the absence of a reading but nevertheless used to compute an average. I don't take my news from Fox or children's books. Neither do I take if from acolytes of a new religion. |
#102
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
J. Clarke wrote:
jo4hn wrote: Swingman wrote: jo4hn wrote: To all readers: look at that website anyway. Lots of information that is quite understandable without a lot of science background. Agreed ... damned trouble is it seems everyone has an agenda of some sort, making any data, and any modeling using same, subject to suspicion. All temperature data is massaged, supposedly to reduce error inherent in historical readings, but I'm personally, and simply, at the point of not trusting those doing the "massaging", and there is ample evidence to back up that skepticism. What should have been an age of enlightenment has demonstrably turned into and age of skepticism and suspicion. IOW, I've been right all along ... g Massaging in science is removing wild points (or spikes), conversion from data numbers to engineering/science values, applying instrument calibration values, and the like. Fraud is very rare (Fox rants notwithstanding), since it will be found out by ones peers. Massaging data is not the issue. Taking a short term item of noise in a long term cycle and claiming that your model projects the long term trend is the problem. The climate cycle is at least 120,000 years, the models that purport to project that cycle are working on 40 years of data. See the problem? Indeed. There are no long term (paleo)climatological models that operate on 40 years worth of data. Tree rings, earth cores, sea cores, and even the written descriptions of various weather phenomena go back hundreds, if not thousands of years. New Vostok data have extended the historical record of temperature variations and atmospheric concentrations of CO2, methane and other greenhouse trace gases (GTG) back to 420,000 years before present. This is all science that won't go away just because you will it so. Perhaps nothing will come of it or even the massive amounts of fresh water that are entering the oceans will alter the thermohaline circulation patterns resulting in colder temperatures. Research in these areas should not be curtailed despite the anti-science popularity in certain political arenas. |
#103
Posted to rec.woodworking
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
jo4hn wrote:
.... hundreds, if not thousands of years. New Vostok data have extended the historical record of temperature variations and atmospheric concentrations of CO2, methane and other greenhouse trace gases (GTG) back to 420,000 years before present. .... Which all indicates that the previous temperature rises (greater by far than the recent) all _precede_ the CO2 levels thereby negating the cause of higher temperatures being CO2 but rather that it appears that the rising temperatures resulted in higher CO2 levels (probably by stimulating additional plant growth???) IOW, it refutes the hypothesis currently being posited as the causative factor. -- |
#104
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
On Mon, 07 Dec 2009 12:53:33 -0500, Tom Watson
wrote: Beware the Yahoos, Googlectuals, WikiPaederasts and Bloglodytes. The following is by Joe *******i, senior meteorologist for Accu-Weather. It is presented for your edification. MONDAY 6:30 AM.. A DELIGHTFUL DAY IN NYC AND COPENHAGEN SATURDAY... IF YOU ARE A POLAR BEAR The upcoming climate conference in Copenhagen will be attended by many who for some reason, seem to believe they can control the planet's temperature. Actually, this isn't about control of the planet's temperature, but control of the planet's people, since that is much easier to do if you can hoodwink them into believing they are being controlled for a good reason. Folks, it's the only logical conclusion. Why? Because while I will acknowledge I am not 100% sure we humans have nothing to do with it, there is no way any man alive can be 100% positive we are. And to force feed ideas down another man's throat is simply trying to enslave them to your ideas. It's that simple, given the evidence, which can certainly fight any warming argument to a draw. In any case, another example of a power greater than Al Gore is showing up, and whether you believe it's simply nature, or whoever created nature, it should not be lost on people that maybe someone is trying to give this now immensely rich carbon crusader a hint, that he should cash in his chips and leave the climate casino happy that he made this much. Saturday will be cold day across the United States after a brutal winter storm that will lead to a blizzard on the Plains into the Great Lakes, an interior Northeast snow and ice storm, a lake-effect outbreak that may be one of the nastiest in years, and a pattern that is threatening to wreck many a holiday travel plan in the longer term. And that is in the States. Meanwhile, back at the climate debacle ranch where I was expecting that at least the attendees would get there by horse and buggy, or fly coach (see headline below) northeast winds and a big Scandinavian high should at least keep Copenhagen chilly, if not snowy. By the way, the "trick" in the Climategate scandal that is being referred to is not getting rid of something minor like the last 10 years of cooling. IT WAS TO GET RID OF 350 YEARS OF WARMING FROM 1000-1350. I have already told you that this is simply because it got so warm... the real cooling is getting ready to start, probably after this El Nino, but more so in the middle of the next decade. Perish the thought, but by 2015, the Earth's temps may be "normal" whatever that mythical value is, and the melting icecaps, will be looked at as Peggy Lee "is that all there is" meltdown. If this is all we can get, http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosph...area.withtrend. jpg it won't take much to have us well above normal in 10-15 years. But on they go, these new Gods of our ages, with the wisdom of their models which have plainly been busting and a generation of people who believe they are "liberal" (what a joke... since when does a liberal-minded person simply follow along like a sheep... another case of a misnomer to describe a group... look at one of the definitions: Liberalism is a broad class of political philosophies that considers individual liberty and equality to be the most important political goals...) If there was truly liberal thought here, people would be looking at all the facts, not simply following along. I still think that this whole Climategate fiasco will lead to an open debate where men and women of good will can see this is not an open-and-shut case, and they are being lead like sheep to the slaughter. Problem is some of wolves don't want any part of it. If these people meeting in Copenhagen really want to show us their virtue, do not use any power at all while at the conference. That's right... no heat, no electricity, none of the fruits of true progressive and enlightened thinking. Let's see you put your money where your mouth is. Fat chance with the arrogance of imagined authority you display. I want you to think about this. James Hansen may be arguably America's greatest astronomer, but he is no expert on climate or weather. Sorry, the facts are there. I don't think he understands what the weather was like in this country in the 1930s-50s, nor does he understand that the Earth's climate is constantly changing; there is no perfect climate. That being said, I can't see how people will not question him on the climate issue, where he came aboard as a concerned observer, with best of intentions.. when he and his agency is missing what may be the greatest astronomical event of our lifetimes, the falling asleep of the Sun. It is now two years behind NASA's idea that this sunspot cycle would come alive in 2007 and right in line with what Soviet scientists back in the early 1990s were saying, the same people who opined we could return to a little ice age around 2030. How is it that the people who are actually right are shouted down, while people who are not are allowed to jam their ideas down everyone's throat? That is what this Climategate is about... the FREEDOM to debate and the scary thought that yet another utopian idea-based movement is out to take over the world. It's not done with guns, but with a more subtle approach. SORRY, BUT THAT CONCLUSION IS JUST VALID AS "THE SCIENCE IS SETTLED" idea. A degree or two up or down is not going to kill the planet, and think about it, would you rather it colder or warmer. In any case, a word of advice to NASA, which seems to have some linkage to all this: Physician, heal thyself. Regards, Tom Watson http://home.comcast.net/~tjwatson1/ |
#105
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
On Dec 7, 1:29*pm, Swingman wrote:
What should have been an age of enlightenment has demonstrably turned into and age of skepticism and suspicion. I couldn't agree more. Especially with the truth hiding in plain sight. IOW, I've been right all along ... g Well... Karl... I wanted to stay out of this. But actually, blaming Canada earlier was just a smoke screen on the real truth. I didn't want to post the REAL truth, since (thinking of Jack Nicholson here) many couldn't handle the truth. Well, here it is. And it's been out there for many years, and NO ONE, no matter how they internet search and quote, can disprove it. In that vein, since I believe it and it can't be googled away with foamy blather, doesn't that make it the truth according to the group definition? I didn't want to play this card as the "experts" are obviously not finished. But... http://www.michaelcrichton.net/speec...alwarming.html I hope this clears things up. Now all of you can go back to being friends again.... or can you.... Robert |
#106
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
jo4hn wrote:
calibration values, and the like. Fraud is very rare (Fox rants notwithstanding), since it will be found out by ones peers. Not if you don't allow, or actively discourage, peer review. Proof of that happening is available, but you just don't seem to be hearing about it from the AP. Just call me skeptical/suspicious as to why ... but I'll be glad to change my mind if someone can refute it beyond doubt and from an unbiased source. -- www.e-woodshop.net Last update: 10/22/08 KarlC@ (the obvious) |
#107
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
Tom Watson wrote:
On Mon, 07 Dec 2009 12:53:33 -0500, Tom Watson wrote: Beware the Yahoos, Googlectuals, WikiPaederasts and Bloglodytes. The following is by Joe *******i, senior meteorologist for Accu-Weather. It is presented for your edification. I like old Joe ... even after he said that Rita would come roaring down the "Texas 59 Corridor" and basically "wipe out Houston" just hours before it hit, well to the East, and leaving an evacuated Houston high and dry, but many evacuee's in misery and/or dead. (Being a skeptic, I watched it from my porch with a bottle of Pinot noir, and had to water the grass the next day to keep it from dying) Ahhh well, the fortunes of weather and climate modeling, win a few, lose a few ... BTW, I routinely watch Joe, on your favorite cable news channel, for all hurricane build ups in the Gulf. g,d &r! -- www.e-woodshop.net Last update: 10/22/08 KarlC@ (the obvious) |
#109
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
On Mon, 07 Dec 2009 19:08:30 -0600, Swingman wrote:
Tom Watson wrote: On Mon, 07 Dec 2009 12:53:33 -0500, Tom Watson wrote: Beware the Yahoos, Googlectuals, WikiPaederasts and Bloglodytes. The following is by Joe *******i, senior meteorologist for Accu-Weather. It is presented for your edification. I like old Joe ... even after he said that Rita would come roaring down the "Texas 59 Corridor" and basically "wipe out Houston" just hours before it hit, well to the East, and leaving an evacuated Houston high and dry, but many evacuee's in misery and/or dead. (Being a skeptic, I watched it from my porch with a bottle of Pinot noir, and had to water the grass the next day to keep it from dying) Ahhh well, the fortunes of weather and climate modeling, win a few, lose a few ... BTW, I routinely watch Joe, on your favorite cable news channel, for all hurricane build ups in the Gulf. g,d &r! You know he's an Aggies fan, right? Regards, Tom Watson http://home.comcast.net/~tjwatson1/ |
#110
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
"J. Clarke" wrote in message ... Snip The climate cycle is at least 120,000 years, the models that purport to project that cycle are working on 40 years of data. See the problem? Eggsactly. |
#111
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
jo4hn wrote:
J. Clarke wrote: jo4hn wrote: Swingman wrote: jo4hn wrote: To all readers: look at that website anyway. Lots of information that is quite understandable without a lot of science background. Agreed ... damned trouble is it seems everyone has an agenda of some sort, making any data, and any modeling using same, subject to suspicion. All temperature data is massaged, supposedly to reduce error inherent in historical readings, but I'm personally, and simply, at the point of not trusting those doing the "massaging", and there is ample evidence to back up that skepticism. What should have been an age of enlightenment has demonstrably turned into and age of skepticism and suspicion. IOW, I've been right all along ... g Massaging in science is removing wild points (or spikes), conversion from data numbers to engineering/science values, applying instrument calibration values, and the like. Fraud is very rare (Fox rants notwithstanding), since it will be found out by ones peers. Massaging data is not the issue. Taking a short term item of noise in a long term cycle and claiming that your model projects the long term trend is the problem. The climate cycle is at least 120,000 years, the models that purport to project that cycle are working on 40 years of data. See the problem? Indeed. There are no long term (paleo)climatological models that operate on 40 years worth of data. Tree rings, earth cores, sea cores, and even the written descriptions of various weather phenomena go back hundreds, if not thousands of years. New Vostok data have extended the historical record of temperature variations and atmospheric concentrations of CO2, methane and other greenhouse trace gases (GTG) back to 420,000 years before present. I am well aware of the _data_. You understand, do you not, that _data_ is not a _model_? Show me a _model_--something that allows computation--that accurately describes a full glaciation cycle and that is accepted by IPCC, and then tell us why NASA Goddard is not using _that_ model instead of the one that they _are_ using which according to their own reports has only been validated for the period subsequent to 1951. This is all science that won't go away just because you will it so. I have been asking you people to present me with a model that accurately describes the full glaciation cycle for years and you are the first who has not simply told me that I was crazy for wanting such a thing. If the model exists please present it and then explain to us why _that_ model is not being used by IPCC instead of the Hansen model. A model will not spring into existence simply because you wish it so. Perhaps nothing will come of it or even the massive amounts of fresh water that are entering the oceans will alter the thermohaline circulation patterns resulting in colder temperatures. Research in these areas should not be curtailed despite the anti-science popularity in certain political arenas. Who has advocated "curtailing research". Research anything you want to. But don't tell me that something is proven because somebody got some numbers out of a computer. You seem to have only the most nebulous familiarity with the scientific method and even less with the actual basis for the assertions of global warming. |
#112
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dpb wrote:
jo4hn wrote: ... hundreds, if not thousands of years. New Vostok data have extended the historical record of temperature variations and atmospheric concentrations of CO2, methane and other greenhouse trace gases (GTG) back to 420,000 years before present. ... Which all indicates that the previous temperature rises (greater by far than the recent) all _precede_ the CO2 levels thereby negating the cause of higher temperatures being CO2 but rather that it appears that the rising temperatures resulted in higher CO2 levels (probably by stimulating additional plant growth???) IOW, it refutes the hypothesis currently being posited as the causative factor. -- The cause and effect relationships are not known at this time. Data supports neither possibility. |
#113
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
jo4hn wrote:
Swingman wrote: jo4hn wrote: To all readers: look at that website anyway. Lots of information that is quite understandable without a lot of science background. Agreed ... damned trouble is it seems everyone has an agenda of some sort, making any data, and any modeling using same, subject to suspicion. All temperature data is massaged, supposedly to reduce error inherent in historical readings, but I'm personally, and simply, at the point of not trusting those doing the "massaging", and there is ample evidence to back up that skepticism. What should have been an age of enlightenment has demonstrably turned into and age of skepticism and suspicion. IOW, I've been right all along ... g Massaging in science is removing wild points (or spikes), conversion from data numbers to engineering/science values, applying instrument calibration values, and the like. Fraud is very rare (Fox rants notwithstanding), since it will be found out by ones peers. Well, one case in point, if you feed a flat temperature reading into one of CRU's models, it returns the infamous "Hockey Stick" result. i.e., it massages data in a way that appears to have hardcoded in the researcher's bias. All of this bleating about peer reviews would be a lot more credible if the peer review process had not been subverted. *That* is definitely shown in the released e-mails. When the only peers who review your work are those who agree with your conclusions, and the only papers accepted for peer review in journals are those that agree with AGW, and when journals that dare publish peer reviewed papers that don't agree with AGW are threatened and coerced into stopping that behavior, one no longer has science. One has dogma and religion. In this case, the collars and cassocks have been replaced with white labcoats. Still religion with orthodoxy being strictly enforced. -- There is never a situation where having more rounds is a disadvantage Rob Leatham |
#114
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
jo4hn wrote:
J. Clarke wrote: jo4hn wrote: Swingman wrote: jo4hn wrote: To all readers: look at that website anyway. Lots of information that is quite understandable without a lot of science background. Agreed ... damned trouble is it seems everyone has an agenda of some sort, making any data, and any modeling using same, subject to suspicion. All temperature data is massaged, supposedly to reduce error inherent in historical readings, but I'm personally, and simply, at the point of not trusting those doing the "massaging", and there is ample evidence to back up that skepticism. What should have been an age of enlightenment has demonstrably turned into and age of skepticism and suspicion. IOW, I've been right all along ... g Massaging in science is removing wild points (or spikes), conversion from data numbers to engineering/science values, applying instrument calibration values, and the like. Fraud is very rare (Fox rants notwithstanding), since it will be found out by ones peers. Massaging data is not the issue. Taking a short term item of noise in a long term cycle and claiming that your model projects the long term trend is the problem. The climate cycle is at least 120,000 years, the models that purport to project that cycle are working on 40 years of data. See the problem? Indeed. There are no long term (paleo)climatological models that operate on 40 years worth of data. Tree rings, earth cores, sea cores, and even the written descriptions of various weather phenomena go back hundreds, if not thousands of years. New Vostok data have extended the historical record of temperature variations and atmospheric concentrations of CO2, methane and other greenhouse trace gases (GTG) back to 420,000 years before present. The warmist religion is attempting to predict disaster with average temperature increases on the order of 0.6 deg C (~1.2 deg F). In order for the models to be believable to that degree of precision, then the records going back in time must be accurate on the order of 0.1 deg C. Do you seriously believe that tree rings, driven by multiple confounding factors, average temperature being much smaller in contribution than rainfall, or ice core samples, again driven by multiple confounding factors can be relied upon to that degree of precision? That isn't science, that's reading goat entrails. This is all science that won't go away just because you will it so. Perhaps nothing will come of it or even the massive amounts of fresh water that are entering the oceans will alter the thermohaline circulation patterns resulting in colder temperatures. Research in these areas should not be curtailed despite the anti-science popularity in certain political arenas. -- There is never a situation where having more rounds is a disadvantage Rob Leatham |
#115
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
On Mon, 7 Dec 2009 16:01:36 -0600, "Dave in Houston"
wrote: "Robatoy" wrote in message ... If we take the earth's population at 7 billion, and moved them all toTexas, Wouldn't that put the planet out of balance and throw it out of it's solar orbit? I mean, I can see it wobbling like the washing machine when the big blanket bunches up on one side of the tub and then hurtling out into deep space. Dave in Houston So in theory they could move the population around the planet to control the orbit around the sun and control the climate. 8-) Mike M |
#116
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
Tom Watson wrote:
You know he's an Aggies fan, right? Probably the cause his apparently built in skepticism ... -- www.e-woodshop.net Last update: 10/22/08 KarlC@ (the obvious) |
#117
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
"Mike M" wrote in message ... On Mon, 7 Dec 2009 16:01:36 -0600, "Dave in Houston" wrote: "Robatoy" wrote in message ... If we take the earth's population at 7 billion, and moved them all toTexas, Wouldn't that put the planet out of balance and throw it out of it's solar orbit? I mean, I can see it wobbling like the washing machine when the big blanket bunches up on one side of the tub and then hurtling out into deep space. Dave in Houston So in theory they could move the population around the planet to control the orbit around the sun and control the climate. 8-) Mike M NASA Proposed an idea not to far from that. They suggested moving the planet away from the sun to mitigate global warming. |
#118
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
Mark & Juanita wrote:
jo4hn wrote: problem? Indeed. There are no long term (paleo)climatological models that operate on 40 years worth of data. Tree rings, earth cores, sea cores, and even the written descriptions of various weather phenomena go back hundreds, if not thousands of years. New Vostok data have extended the historical record of temperature variations and atmospheric concentrations of CO2, methane and other greenhouse trace gases (GTG) back to 420,000 years before present. The warmist religion is attempting to predict disaster with average temperature increases on the order of 0.6 deg C (~1.2 deg F). In order for the models to be believable to that degree of precision, then the records going back in time must be accurate on the order of 0.1 deg C. Do you seriously believe that tree rings, driven by multiple confounding factors, average temperature being much smaller in contribution than rainfall, or ice core samples, again driven by multiple confounding factors can be relied upon to that degree of precision? That isn't science, that's reading goat entrails. This is all science that won't go away just because you will it so. Perhaps nothing will come of it or even the massive amounts of fresh water that are entering the oceans will alter the thermohaline circulation patterns resulting in colder temperatures. Research in these areas should not be curtailed despite the anti-science popularity in certain political arenas. Mark is mixing micro- with macro-climatology here. Models of this type deal with long term trends. I will sign off now. Good night and good grief. yours in science, jo4hn |
#119
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
Mark & Juanita wrote:
jo4hn wrote: Swingman wrote: jo4hn wrote: To all readers: look at that website anyway. Lots of information that is quite understandable without a lot of science background. Agreed ... damned trouble is it seems everyone has an agenda of some sort, making any data, and any modeling using same, subject to suspicion. All temperature data is massaged, supposedly to reduce error inherent in historical readings, but I'm personally, and simply, at the point of not trusting those doing the "massaging", and there is ample evidence to back up that skepticism. What should have been an age of enlightenment has demonstrably turned into and age of skepticism and suspicion. IOW, I've been right all along ... g Massaging in science is removing wild points (or spikes), conversion from data numbers to engineering/science values, applying instrument calibration values, and the like. Fraud is very rare (Fox rants notwithstanding), since it will be found out by ones peers. Well, one case in point, if you feed a flat temperature reading into one of CRU's models, it returns the infamous "Hockey Stick" result. i.e., it massages data in a way that appears to have hardcoded in the researcher's bias. All of this bleating about peer reviews would be a lot more credible if the peer review process had not been subverted. *That* is definitely shown in the released e-mails. When the only peers who review your work are those who agree with your conclusions, and the only papers accepted for peer review in journals are those that agree with AGW, and when journals that dare publish peer reviewed papers that don't agree with AGW are threatened and coerced into stopping that behavior, one no longer has science. One has dogma and religion. In this case, the collars and cassocks have been replaced with white labcoats. Still religion with orthodoxy being strictly enforced. OK. You are resorting to snottiness now. Good night. |
#120
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To My Friends In South Texas This Evening
"Leon" wrote: How about you show me scientific data from 800 years ago, and all years since. Interesting comment but how does it provide a vetted source to support your previous observation? Lew |
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