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Metalworking (rec.crafts.metalworking) Discuss various aspects of working with metal, such as machining, welding, metal joining, screwing, casting, hardening/tempering, blacksmithing/forging, spinning and hammer work, sheet metal work. |
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#1
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Union Millwrights
What a idiot!
***** If brains were cotton. You would not have enough cotton in your head to make a kotex for a gnats ass! ***** Union definition: A combination so formed, especially an alliance or confederation of people, parties, or political entities for mutual interest or benefit. Excellence Is A Process Not A Goal To Do Better ..." Do It The WRIGHT WAY" "SKILLED ON PRINCIPLE ----- UNION BY CHOICE" Do you know why they hate Unions in the South? They hated to call a Black Man Brother... Think about it? Ron Oliver Millwright Superintendent Union Millwright and Damn Proud Of It...... 35 years Army Security Agency 1967 to 1971 Two tours of duty in Vietnam MOS 33G40 DD214 Member of D.A.V. |
#2
Posted to rec.crafts.metalworking
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Union Millwrights
On Mon, 22 Oct 2007 22:28:52 -0700, Millwright Ron wrote:
What a idiot! ***** If brains were cotton. You would not have enough cotton in your head to make a kotex for a gnats ass! ***** Union definition: A combination so formed, especially an alliance or confederation of people, parties, or political entities for mutual interest or benefit. Excellence Is A Process Not A Goal To Do Better ..." Do It The WRIGHT WAY" "SKILLED ON PRINCIPLE ----- UNION BY CHOICE" Do you know why they hate Unions in the South? They hated to call a Black Man Brother... Think about it? Ron Oliver Millwright Superintendent Union Millwright and Damn Proud Of It...... 35 years Army Security Agency 1967 to 1971 Two tours of duty in Vietnam MOS 33G40 DD214 Member of D.A.V. Every really hard worker I know who was also once in a union was threatened with violence by their (union) coworkers for working too hard. I suppose that's something for a union guy to be proud of, in a twisted sort of way. Me? Well, I like to work hard and get rewarded for it. -- Tim Wescott Control systems and communications consulting http://www.wescottdesign.com Need to learn how to apply control theory in your embedded system? "Applied Control Theory for Embedded Systems" by Tim Wescott Elsevier/Newnes, http://www.wescottdesign.com/actfes/actfes.html |
#3
Posted to rec.crafts.metalworking
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Union Millwrights
"Tim Wescott" wrote in message ... On Mon, 22 Oct 2007 22:28:52 -0700, Millwright Ron wrote: What a idiot! ***** If brains were cotton. You would not have enough cotton in your head to make a kotex for a gnats ass! ***** Union definition: A combination so formed, especially an alliance or confederation of people, parties, or political entities for mutual interest or benefit. Excellence Is A Process Not A Goal To Do Better ..." Do It The WRIGHT WAY" "SKILLED ON PRINCIPLE ----- UNION BY CHOICE" Do you know why they hate Unions in the South? They hated to call a Black Man Brother... Think about it? Ron Oliver Millwright Superintendent Union Millwright and Damn Proud Of It...... 35 years Army Security Agency 1967 to 1971 Two tours of duty in Vietnam MOS 33G40 DD214 Member of D.A.V. Every really hard worker I know who was also once in a union was threatened with violence by their (union) coworkers for working too hard. I suppose that's something for a union guy to be proud of, in a twisted sort of way. Me? Well, I like to work hard and get rewarded for it. You are not alone, and you can be proud for making your statement. I've told this story before. I worked in a shop in Utah that was unionized. Utah, being a right to work state, didn't mandate that I join them, and I didn't. I wanted no part of them. At every turn, the union workers admonished me to "slow down"-----not to turn out much work for fear that you might have a bad day in which you couldn't turn out the number of widgets that the company had become accustomed to receiving daily-------which, to me, was appalling. Said another way, put out a poor day's work every day, that way the company won't have any expectations from you. What kind of moron slows down a company such that it is in jeopardy of losing money? I was with this company only five months. The union killed the job, so the corporation sold the entire operation to Japan. This, by the way, was back in the mid 60's, which it now appears to have been the beginning of US employees demanding more money for less output, a negative aspect of unions, which has been very instrumental in the loss of millions of jobs, all shipped across the pond because we, in our apparently insatiable stupidity, can't seem to grasp the concept of no free lunch, or unearned pay. While I'm now retired, I don't recall ever having the need to have a corrupt organization represent me. The work I turned out spoke volumes about me, and my ability. Qualified people don't need a union, their performance speaks for them. Harold |
#4
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Union Millwrights
On Tue, 23 Oct 2007 02:05:14 -0500, Tim Wescott
wrote: On Mon, 22 Oct 2007 22:28:52 -0700, Millwright Ron wrote: What a idiot! ***** If brains were cotton. You would not have enough cotton in your head to make a kotex for a gnats ass! ***** Union definition: A combination so formed, especially an alliance or confederation of people, parties, or political entities for mutual interest or benefit. Excellence Is A Process Not A Goal To Do Better ..." Do It The WRIGHT WAY" "SKILLED ON PRINCIPLE ----- UNION BY CHOICE" Do you know why they hate Unions in the South? They hated to call a Black Man Brother... Think about it? Ron Oliver Millwright Superintendent Union Millwright and Damn Proud Of It...... 35 years Army Security Agency 1967 to 1971 Two tours of duty in Vietnam MOS 33G40 DD214 Member of D.A.V. Every really hard worker I know who was also once in a union was threatened with violence by their (union) coworkers for working too hard. I suppose that's something for a union guy to be proud of, in a twisted sort of way. Me? Well, I like to work hard and get rewarded for it. And not have to pay some fat rat ******* union knee breaker for the prevlidge of union seniority when Im low man on the totom pole but **** loads better then the weinie on top. Gunner |
#5
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Union Millwrights
On Oct 23, 5:21 am, Gunner Asch wrote:
On Tue, 23 Oct 2007 02:05:14 -0500, Tim Wescott wrote: On Mon, 22 Oct 2007 22:28:52 -0700, Millwright Ron wrote: What a idiot! ***** If brains were cotton. You would not have enough cotton in your head to make a kotex for a gnats ass! ***** Union definition: A combination so formed, especially an alliance or confederation of people, parties, or political entities for mutual interest or benefit. Excellence Is A Process Not A Goal To Do Better ..." Do It The WRIGHT WAY" "SKILLED ON PRINCIPLE ----- UNION BY CHOICE" Do you know why they hate Unions in the South? They hated to call a Black Man Brother... Think about it? Ron Oliver Millwright Superintendent Union Millwright and Damn Proud Of It...... 35 years Army Security Agency 1967 to 1971 Two tours of duty in Vietnam MOS 33G40 DD214 Member of D.A.V. Every really hard worker I know who was also once in a union was threatened with violence by their (union) coworkers for working too hard. I suppose that's something for a union guy to be proud of, in a twisted sort of way. Me? Well, I like to work hard and get rewarded for it. And not have to pay some fat rat ******* union knee breaker for the prevlidge of union seniority when Im low man on the totom pole but **** loads better then the weinie on top. Gunner Funny guys in my primary (non metal) job I'm required to be in the union for them I just finished off writing a letter because some dogger during the day has been busy for two weeks making arragements to test omething i did two weeks ago. I reamed the guy out for being illiterate then for being a parrot then fro being "Clairvoyant" then for plain old being a stupid dog FSCKER. with quotes to back up every accusation. the Douche in question the company has been trying to fire for 15 years i have "ONLY" 6 years seniority guess who the union has been crutching along for 20 years I think Unions are obsolete because most of waht they were needed for has since become government mandated; at least in my country Brent Ottawa Canada |
#6
Posted to rec.crafts.metalworking
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Union Millwrights
Harold and Susan Vordos wrote:
"Tim Wescott" wrote in message ... On Mon, 22 Oct 2007 22:28:52 -0700, Millwright Ron wrote: What a idiot! ***** If brains were cotton. You would not have enough cotton in your head to make a kotex for a gnats ass! ***** Union definition: A combination so formed, especially an alliance or confederation of people, parties, or political entities for mutual interest or benefit. Excellence Is A Process Not A Goal To Do Better ..." Do It The WRIGHT WAY" "SKILLED ON PRINCIPLE ----- UNION BY CHOICE" Do you know why they hate Unions in the South? They hated to call a Black Man Brother... Think about it? Ron Oliver Millwright Superintendent Union Millwright and Damn Proud Of It...... 35 years Army Security Agency 1967 to 1971 Two tours of duty in Vietnam MOS 33G40 DD214 Member of D.A.V. Every really hard worker I know who was also once in a union was threatened with violence by their (union) coworkers for working too hard. I suppose that's something for a union guy to be proud of, in a twisted sort of way. Me? Well, I like to work hard and get rewarded for it. You are not alone, and you can be proud for making your statement. I've told this story before. I worked in a shop in Utah that was unionized. Utah, being a right to work state, didn't mandate that I join them, and I didn't. I wanted no part of them. At every turn, the union workers admonished me to "slow down"-----not to turn out much work for fear that you might have a bad day in which you couldn't turn out the number of widgets that the company had become accustomed to receiving daily-------which, to me, was appalling. Said another way, put out a poor day's work every day, that way the company won't have any expectations from you. What kind of moron slows down a company such that it is in jeopardy of losing money? I was with this company only five months. The union killed the job, so the corporation sold the entire operation to Japan. This, by the way, was back in the mid 60's, which it now appears to have been the beginning of US employees demanding more money for less output, a negative aspect of unions, which has been very instrumental in the loss of millions of jobs, all shipped across the pond because we, in our apparently insatiable stupidity, can't seem to grasp the concept of no free lunch, or unearned pay. While I'm now retired, I don't recall ever having the need to have a corrupt organization represent me. The work I turned out spoke volumes about me, and my ability. Qualified people don't need a union, their performance speaks for them. Harold I believe there once was a time when unions were of benefit to the American workforce . I also believe that day is long gone , for just the reasons you have detailed . I believe that the union's now are more closely akin to organized crime , and their actions no more or less than extortion . -- Snag aka OSG #1 '90 Ultra , "Strider" The road goes on forever ... none to one to reply |
#7
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Union Millwrights
"Harold and Susan Vordos" wrote:
What kind of moron slows down a company such that it is in jeopardy of losing money? Way too many sadly. I want the company I work for to make great gobs of money, so damn much they don't have any excuses not to share. Wes |
#8
Posted to rec.crafts.metalworking
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Union Millwrights
Snag wrote in article ... I believe that the union's now are more closely akin to organized crime , and their actions no more or less than extortion . -- I just can't wait to see how things go when the UAW takes over the handling of auto worker pension funds.......per the GM agreement. Ought to make the whole Enron deal look like shoplifting penny candy. From my POV, it appears that GM has found a way to finally rid itself of the unions.......let them screw their members so badly that the membership rejects unions. |
#9
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Union Millwrights
The last time ol' "Millwright Wrong" brought the subject up, someone pointed out that that union shops - in general - were much more angry places to work than non-union shops. My experience would be the same. Plus, I've made MUCH more money being paid for what I know, and what I can do, than for how long I've managed to tolerate the bullschidt.... Good luck to the UAW membership.......who will soon see how masterfully union leadership can skim from retirement funds. Where do you suppose the UAW president will be building his new retirement home? Just ask the teamsters - known as the most crooked union in the world. |
#10
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Union Millwrights
On Oct 23, 5:37 am, Wes wrote:
"Harold and Susan Vordos" wrote: What kind of moron slows down a company such that it is in jeopardy of losing money? Way too many sadly. I want the company I work for to make great gobs of money, so damn much they don't have any excuses not to share. Wes In case you haven't noticed the hard work you're doing is more likely to wind up as part of a multi- million dollar bonus to the executive who figured out how to screw you. Are people so stupid that they can't see what's going on around them? There's no reason to think up elaborate reasons why jobs are going overseas. Do you imagine some fictitious union forced the jobs for computer (and etc.) support to India??? You would have to be delusional to believe this yet the same tired old canard is pulled out every time the subject comes up: "It's the unions that are forcing jobs overseas." The unions may have caused plenty problems, but today's business person needs no union to help continue screwing people over ( ahh, maximizing their stockholders "return-on-investment), except as a scapegoat. dennis in nca |
#11
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Union Millwrights
"*" wrote:
Good luck to the UAW membership.......who will soon see how masterfully union leadership can skim from retirement funds. Where do you suppose the UAW president will be building his new retirement home? Where there is no extradition treaty? |
#12
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Union Millwrights
Tim Wescott wrote: Every really hard worker I know who was also once in a union was threatened with violence by their (union) coworkers for working too hard. I suppose that's something for a union guy to be proud of, in a twisted sort of way. Me? Well, I like to work hard and get rewarded for it. Yeah, you should read "MIG Pilot" by Victor Belenko. Same thing happened to him in Russia, and he found it extremely discouraging. It was the beginning of him deciding he had to get out. This kind of thinking, not by a small group, but by EVERYBODY in the entire country, is what caused the collapse of the USSR. Oh well, no surprise, that U in "USSR" stands for union! Jon |
#13
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Union Millwrights
"Tim Wescott" wrote in message ... On Mon, 22 Oct 2007 22:28:52 -0700, Millwright Ron wrote: What a idiot! ***** If brains were cotton. You would not have enough cotton in your head to make a kotex for a gnats ass! ***** Union definition: A combination so formed, especially an alliance or confederation of people, parties, or political entities for mutual interest or benefit. Excellence Is A Process Not A Goal To Do Better ..." Do It The WRIGHT WAY" "SKILLED ON PRINCIPLE ----- UNION BY CHOICE" Do you know why they hate Unions in the South? They hated to call a Black Man Brother... Think about it? Ron Oliver Millwright Superintendent Union Millwright and Damn Proud Of It...... 35 years Army Security Agency 1967 to 1971 Two tours of duty in Vietnam MOS 33G40 DD214 Member of D.A.V. Every really hard worker I know who was also once in a union was threatened with violence by their (union) coworkers for working too hard. I suppose that's something for a union guy to be proud of, in a twisted sort of way. Me? Well, I like to work hard and get rewarded for it. -- Tim Wescott That's not always the case. The carpenter's union on Long Island, for example, worked guys pretty hard. If the contractor didn't like the production, the carpenter didn't get called back. In addition they would quite often get screwed by getting laid off before they had enough time in that year for benefits- of course that meant someone in the union was getting all the sweet jobs and the cream. But it wasn't such a sweet deal for every rank and file guy. |
#14
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Union Millwrights
Looks like there are a lot of disgrunteled Rooters, Rats, and Scabs with too much time on their hands. |
#15
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Union Millwrights
"Robb" wrote in message ups.com... Looks like there are a lot of disgrunteled Rooters, Rats, and Scabs with too much time on their hands. Rooter? I haven't heard that one before. |
#16
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Union Millwrights
On Oct 23, 9:08 am, "*" wrote:
The last time ol' "Millwright Wrong" brought the subject up, someone pointed out that that union shops - in general - were much more angry places to work than non-union shops. My experience would be the same. That was me, and since the last time I've had the displeasure of watching a fairly large factory go union. It's a slow process once the contract is signed but it's showing, people who seemed perfectly happy before are now starting to see "management screwing me" in places that don't make sense. I always ask my union employees "what would that get me" when they claim I'm doing some nonsense to screw them. If it doesn't actually get me anything then why would I take the time to do it? |
#17
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Union Millwrights
wrote in message ups.com... On Oct 23, 9:08 am, "*" wrote: The last time ol' "Millwright Wrong" brought the subject up, someone pointed out that that union shops - in general - were much more angry places to work than non-union shops. My experience would be the same. That was me, and since the last time I've had the displeasure of watching a fairly large factory go union. It's a slow process once the contract is signed but it's showing, people who seemed perfectly happy before are now starting to see "management screwing me" in places that don't make sense. I always ask my union employees "what would that get me" when they claim I'm doing some nonsense to screw them. If it doesn't actually get me anything then why would I take the time to do it? The very fact that these morons feel a need for a union is a strong enough message that they "don't get it". My experience with union supporters lends credence to the idea that they feel they are owed a living simply because they exist, and are due their share of any and all profits that might come from their contribution, in spite of the fact that they agreed to sell their time to their employer for a given fee, their wages. Almost to the man, none of them appear to make a connection between in earning their pay, or in receiving pay in keeping with its value. How is it that union people demand a share of the spoils, but are quick to jump ship when a company falls on bad times, particularly at the hand of the damned union(s), perhaps having to close the doors? Where are these people that demanded unearned pay when the company might need a helping hand? How many of them have you seen, voluntarily, put in time to save the company? Their brains don't work like that. They're takers and users, and will stop at nothing to achieve their goal of living off society. Union machinists in the general Seattle area are slowly losing that fat cash cow they've milked for years at Boeing. They've finally pushed management to the point where they realize that they're far better off having components made everywhere but here, than dealing with people that demand money far beyond their value. I worked as a machinist/toolmaker for most of my productive life, and realize, all too well, the degree of skill and experience that one must have to be qualified for the job. These people are worth money, but when they demand wages in keeping with what a well educated doctor used to make, it's time to get a reality check. That, or lose their jobs, as it turns out, is how it's shaking out. Who's fault is it? Harold |
#18
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Union Millwrights
"Harold and Susan Vordos" wrote in message et... snip I worked as a machinist/toolmaker for most of my productive life, and realize, all too well, the degree of skill and experience that one must have to be qualified for the job. These people are worth money, but when they demand wages in keeping with what a well educated doctor used to make, it's time to get a reality check. That, or lose their jobs, as it turns out, is how it's shaking out. Who's fault is it? Harold Don't get too upset with them, Harold. It's because of them that you were able to make a living. Unions pushed the whole scale up to new heights for all people who work, except for white-collar workers, for nearly a century. And probably for most white-collar workers, too, indirectly. The trendline without them would have had you scratching for a living. That's the way it was going before unions really caught hold and there really is nothing in the historical record to suggest it would have changed. Now, their work is mostly done, but not completely. I think of them as a useful annoyance that tend to accelerate a lot of problems that were going to hell anyway. They've been self-destructing in recent decades but what they leave in their wake is an expectation that a good worker should be able to live somewhere in the middle class. That wasn't the case early in the last century. -- Ed Huntress |
#19
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Union Millwrights
"Ed Huntress" wrote in message ... "Harold and Susan Vordos" wrote in message et... snip I worked as a machinist/toolmaker for most of my productive life, and realize, all too well, the degree of skill and experience that one must have to be qualified for the job. These people are worth money, but when they demand wages in keeping with what a well educated doctor used to make, it's time to get a reality check. That, or lose their jobs, as it turns out, is how it's shaking out. Who's fault is it? Harold Don't get too upset with them, Harold. It's because of them that you were able to make a living. Unions pushed the whole scale up to new heights for all people who work, except for white-collar workers, for nearly a century. And probably for most white-collar workers, too, indirectly. The trendline without them would have had you scratching for a living. That's the way it was going before unions really caught hold and there really is nothing in the historical record to suggest it would have changed. Now, their work is mostly done, but not completely. I think of them as a useful annoyance that tend to accelerate a lot of problems that were going to hell anyway. They've been self-destructing in recent decades but what they leave in their wake is an expectation that a good worker should be able to live somewhere in the middle class. That wasn't the case early in the last century. -- Ed Huntress Thanks, Ed. I can always count on you to give me food for thought. Truth is, I do realize how much good they did----it's just that the monkeys are now running the zoo, with the real purpose being lost. Like any good thing, once the crooks figure out there's a free ride, they're in on the action, and those that still believe there's a free lunch are inclined to follow. It's a damned shame that what was once a noble thing has turned into a dreadful anchor on humanity. As you suggested, however, it appears to be resolving itself quite nicely. My early years in the shop, in Utah, were a direct result of unions, or at least their threat. Thanks to the horrible union problems of the mid 50's, at least on the east coast, Sperry sought a right to work state where they might found a new business, for development and production of the Sergeant Missile. They settled on Utah as their choice, and paid wages that were no less than union scale, with great benefits. The only problems I can recall, and I was there for 7-1/2 years, were those that you might encounter anywhere----those with personalities. The company was more than fair minded, and, as it turns out, was the best employer I was to have in my limited time working for industry as an employee. It was clear to the vast majority of workers that a union would serve no good purpose, and would likely undermine the decent relationship we had with management. Harold |
#20
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Union Millwrights
"Harold and Susan Vordos" wrote in message . net... "Ed Huntress" wrote in message ... "Harold and Susan Vordos" wrote in message et... snip I worked as a machinist/toolmaker for most of my productive life, and realize, all too well, the degree of skill and experience that one must have to be qualified for the job. These people are worth money, but when they demand wages in keeping with what a well educated doctor used to make, it's time to get a reality check. That, or lose their jobs, as it turns out, is how it's shaking out. Who's fault is it? Harold Don't get too upset with them, Harold. It's because of them that you were able to make a living. Unions pushed the whole scale up to new heights for all people who work, except for white-collar workers, for nearly a century. And probably for most white-collar workers, too, indirectly. The trendline without them would have had you scratching for a living. That's the way it was going before unions really caught hold and there really is nothing in the historical record to suggest it would have changed. Now, their work is mostly done, but not completely. I think of them as a useful annoyance that tend to accelerate a lot of problems that were going to hell anyway. They've been self-destructing in recent decades but what they leave in their wake is an expectation that a good worker should be able to live somewhere in the middle class. That wasn't the case early in the last century. -- Ed Huntress Thanks, Ed. I can always count on you to give me food for thought. Truth is, I do realize how much good they did----it's just that the monkeys are now running the zoo, with the real purpose being lost. Like any good thing, once the crooks figure out there's a free ride, they're in on the action, and those that still believe there's a free lunch are inclined to follow. It's a damned shame that what was once a noble thing has turned into a dreadful anchor on humanity. As you suggested, however, it appears to be resolving itself quite nicely. My early years in the shop, in Utah, were a direct result of unions, or at least their threat. Thanks to the horrible union problems of the mid 50's, at least on the east coast, Sperry sought a right to work state where they might found a new business, for development and production of the Sergeant Missile. They settled on Utah as their choice, and paid wages that were no less than union scale, with great benefits. The only problems I can recall, and I was there for 7-1/2 years, were those that you might encounter anywhere----those with personalities. The company was more than fair minded, and, as it turns out, was the best employer I was to have in my limited time working for industry as an employee. It was clear to the vast majority of workers that a union would serve no good purpose, and would likely undermine the decent relationship we had with management. Harold It looks to me like you recognize the ups and downs, 'though I hope you realize that the reason Sperry was able to pay you good wages was because the general wages of industry -- and particularly of their competitors, if that applies in this case -- had been driven up to those levels by the unions. They created the expectation, and they also created the competitive situation in which a non-union employer could afford to pay good wages. This effect was carried to extremes by the car industry. It had the added feature of being an oligopoly, so the car makers almost didn't care what they paid as long as their few competitors had to pay the same wages. Everybody got loaded, both the companies and the workers. Today, I think they're mostly an anachronism. But it remains to be seen if they will play any role in driving up wages in low-wage countries, like China. It appears to me they already have. If our dollar keeps declining and Europe becomes a more important market for China, I'll bet that the effect of Europe's unions will be much stronger than ours at indirectly driving up Chinese wages. Then our conservative economists, such as Milton Friedman, will finally be vindicated. We'll have something closer to cost equilibrium and therefore something closer to fair trade. Without unions we'd still wind up with cost equilibrium. But the equilibrium would be just enough to keep you in steamed rice and bicycles. -- Ed Huntress |
#21
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Union Millwrights
Ed Huntress wrote:
"Harold and Susan Vordos" wrote in message . net... "Ed Huntress" wrote in message ... "Harold and Susan Vordos" wrote in message s.net... snip I worked as a machinist/toolmaker for most of my productive life, and realize, all too well, the degree of skill and experience that one must have to be qualified for the job. These people are worth money, but when they demand wages in keeping with what a well educated doctor used to make, it's time to get a reality check. That, or lose their jobs, as it turns out, is how it's shaking out. Who's fault is it? Harold Don't get too upset with them, Harold. It's because of them that you were able to make a living. Unions pushed the whole scale up to new heights for all people who work, except for white-collar workers, for nearly a century. And probably for most white-collar workers, too, indirectly. The trendline without them would have had you scratching for a living. That's the way it was going before unions really caught hold and there really is nothing in the historical record to suggest it would have changed. Now, their work is mostly done, but not completely. I think of them as a useful annoyance that tend to accelerate a lot of problems that were going to hell anyway. They've been self-destructing in recent decades but what they leave in their wake is an expectation that a good worker should be able to live somewhere in the middle class. That wasn't the case early in the last century. -- Ed Huntress Thanks, Ed. I can always count on you to give me food for thought. Truth is, I do realize how much good they did----it's just that the monkeys are now running the zoo, with the real purpose being lost. Like any good thing, once the crooks figure out there's a free ride, they're in on the action, and those that still believe there's a free lunch are inclined to follow. It's a damned shame that what was once a noble thing has turned into a dreadful anchor on humanity. As you suggested, however, it appears to be resolving itself quite nicely. My early years in the shop, in Utah, were a direct result of unions, or at least their threat. Thanks to the horrible union problems of the mid 50's, at least on the east coast, Sperry sought a right to work state where they might found a new business, for development and production of the Sergeant Missile. They settled on Utah as their choice, and paid wages that were no less than union scale, with great benefits. The only problems I can recall, and I was there for 7-1/2 years, were those that you might encounter anywhere----those with personalities. The company was more than fair minded, and, as it turns out, was the best employer I was to have in my limited time working for industry as an employee. It was clear to the vast majority of workers that a union would serve no good purpose, and would likely undermine the decent relationship we had with management. Harold It looks to me like you recognize the ups and downs, 'though I hope you realize that the reason Sperry was able to pay you good wages was because the general wages of industry -- and particularly of their competitors, if that applies in this case -- had been driven up to those levels by the unions. They created the expectation, and they also created the competitive situation in which a non-union employer could afford to pay good wages. This effect was carried to extremes by the car industry. It had the added feature of being an oligopoly, so the car makers almost didn't care what they paid as long as their few competitors had to pay the same wages. Everybody got loaded, both the companies and the workers. Today, I think they're mostly an anachronism. But it remains to be seen if they will play any role in driving up wages in low-wage countries, like China. It appears to me they already have. If our dollar keeps declining and Europe becomes a more important market for China, I'll bet that the effect of Europe's unions will be much stronger than ours at indirectly driving up Chinese wages. Then our conservative economists, such as Milton Friedman, will finally be vindicated. We'll have something closer to cost equilibrium and therefore something closer to fair trade. Without unions we'd still wind up with cost equilibrium. But the equilibrium would be just enough to keep you in steamed rice and bicycles. -- Ed Huntress The unions just killed another one today. In Newton, Iowa (I think) the Maytag plant that had been there forever and was the heart of the town, colsed and moved to a non-union place in Ohio. The plant, according to the news, employed one in four residents of the small town. Now they have to scramble to find other employment. Jim Chandler |
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Union Millwrights
"Jim Chandler" wrote in message newsryUi.2503$eD3.566@trnddc03... snip The unions just killed another one today. In Newton, Iowa (I think) the Maytag plant that had been there forever and was the heart of the town, colsed and moved to a non-union place in Ohio. The plant, according to the news, employed one in four residents of the small town. Now they have to scramble to find other employment. How long do you think it will be before it moves to China? A lot of plants have sort of hop-scotched to lower-wage areas in the US and then threw in the towel completely, leaving the country for cheaper operating costs and wages. We could solve this problem easily. All we have to do is to eliminate the minimum wage, outlaw unions, and then tell people they can accept $0.80/hour (a sort of median wage in China) or suck wind. That's something like the way things operated here before 1910 or so. -- Ed Huntress |
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Union Millwrights
Ed Huntress wrote:
"Jim Chandler" wrote in message newsryUi.2503$eD3.566@trnddc03... snip The unions just killed another one today. In Newton, Iowa (I think) the Maytag plant that had been there forever and was the heart of the town, colsed and moved to a non-union place in Ohio. The plant, according to the news, employed one in four residents of the small town. Now they have to scramble to find other employment. How long do you think it will be before it moves to China? A lot of plants have sort of hop-scotched to lower-wage areas in the US and then threw in the towel completely, leaving the country for cheaper operating costs and wages. We could solve this problem easily. All we have to do is to eliminate the minimum wage, outlaw unions, and then tell people they can accept $0.80/hour (a sort of median wage in China) or suck wind. That's something like the way things operated here before 1910 or so. -- Ed Huntress I made no statement one way or the other. I merely reported what I saw. The company closed the plant and moved to escape the union. Though it was not said in that manner, that is what was implied. U.S. companies cannot continue to pay exhorbitant wages and benefits to people whose skill is mediocre at best and remain competitive. It is a natural law of economics. You have to keep your costs down to keep your prices down. Overly high wages for basically unskilled labor and all the other "benefits" of employment cost money (believe it or not) and have to be recovered somehow. That somehow is in the price of the unit. If the price is too high, the product will not sell and there will be no jobs, wages or "benefits" for the union workers, or anyone else for that matter. The unions did a good thing at one time but are now obsolete and an anchor on American industry, like it or not. Jim Chandler |
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Union Millwrights
"Jim Chandler" wrote in message news:KlJUi.304$%r.209@trnddc01... Ed Huntress wrote: "Jim Chandler" wrote in message newsryUi.2503$eD3.566@trnddc03... snip The unions just killed another one today. In Newton, Iowa (I think) the Maytag plant that had been there forever and was the heart of the town, colsed and moved to a non-union place in Ohio. The plant, according to the news, employed one in four residents of the small town. Now they have to scramble to find other employment. How long do you think it will be before it moves to China? A lot of plants have sort of hop-scotched to lower-wage areas in the US and then threw in the towel completely, leaving the country for cheaper operating costs and wages. We could solve this problem easily. All we have to do is to eliminate the minimum wage, outlaw unions, and then tell people they can accept $0.80/hour (a sort of median wage in China) or suck wind. That's something like the way things operated here before 1910 or so. -- Ed Huntress I made no statement one way or the other. I merely reported what I saw. Yeah, I realize that. I just posed a question and suggested a solution. d8-) The company closed the plant and moved to escape the union. Though it was not said in that manner, that is what was implied. Sure, it happens a lot. U.S. companies cannot continue to pay exhorbitant wages and benefits to people whose skill is mediocre at best and remain competitive. Here's another key point: If they find themselves in direct competition with a low-wage overseas manufacturer, they can't remain competitive no matter what they do. You can't compete with $0.80/hour wages. As GM demonstrated a few years back, you can crate the technology and the management skills and ship them to Shanghai, and then build engines for Chevy SUVs that you ship back to the US. It all happens a lot quicker now. If a company finds itself in the unfortunate position of competing directly -- an apparel manufacturer, or a basic steel producer -- the best thing to do is to get themselves *out* of direct competition, by finding a niche or a collection of services that overseas competitors can't easily duplicate. We do better now in steel mini-mill recycling and in specialty steels than in basic steel. Apparel companies in the US, those few that are left, specialize in things that move fast and that require acute sensitivity to local tastes and fashions. And so on. It is a natural law of economics. You have to keep your costs down to keep your prices down. Overly high wages for basically unskilled labor and all the other "benefits" of employment cost money (believe it or not) and have to be recovered somehow. That somehow is in the price of the unit. If the price is too high, the product will not sell and there will be no jobs, wages or "benefits" for the union workers, or anyone else for that matter. You have two choices: Try to cut your costs to compete with subsidized manufacturing and $0.80/hour wages, and watch your company go down the toilet; or make a change in your business to get out of the line of fire. Cutting wages isn't going to save your ass. You can't cut them enough to make any long-term difference. The unions did a good thing at one time but are now obsolete and an anchor on American industry, like it or not. That may be true, but all they're doing regarding trade with low-wage countries is accelerating the process, as I said. They aren't changing the nature of the problem. -- Ed Huntress |
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Union Millwrights
On Oct 27, 5:17 pm, "Ed Huntress" wrote:
We could solve this problem easily. All we have to do is to eliminate the minimum wage, outlaw unions, and then tell people they can accept $0.80/hour (a sort of median wage in China) or suck wind. That's something like the way things operated here before 1910 or so. -- Ed Huntress Here's another key point: If they find themselves in direct competition with a low-wage overseas manufacturer, they can't remain competitive no matter what they do. You can't compete with $0.80/hour wages. As GM demonstrated a few years back, you can crate the technology and the management skills and ship them to Shanghai, and then build engines for Chevy SUVs that you ship back to the US. It all happens a lot quicker now. If a company finds itself in the unfortunate position of competing directly -- an apparel manufacturer, or a basic steel producer -- the best thing to do is to get themselves *out* of direct competition, by finding a niche or a collection of services that overseas competitors can't easily duplicate. We do better now in steel mini-mill recycling and in specialty steels than in basic steel. Apparel companies in the US, those few that are left, specialize in things that move fast and that require acute sensitivity to local tastes and fashions. And so on. You have two choices: Try to cut your costs to compete with subsidized manufacturing and $0.80/hour wages, and watch your company go down the toilet; or make a change in your business to get out of the line of fire. -- Ed Huntress I disagree. The US is manufacturing more than ever. Maybe not as much as it would be if some industries had not moved to places with lower costs, but still more than ever. As far as things as basic steel producer, read " American Steel ". It is about how Nucor installed the first continuous casting steel plant. You say there are two choices. Actually there are at least three. The one you did not mention is getting rid of unskilled labor. A group of metalheads in Seattle recently toured the Nucor plant is West Seattle. The plant is highly automated. I forget the exact number, but I think they have about 18 people working per shift. All well paid. I know you are going to say Nucor is in the mini-mill business, but they are the second largest steel company in America. And the day we toured the plant, they were producing rebar. A pretty basic product. Nucor has two plants the make fasteners. Nuts and Bolts. They run three shifts, but the grave yard shift has zero people working in it. Look up Nucors web site and see all the things they produce and how much per employee. You can compete with $ .80 wages , but only if you are about 25 times more porductive. There are still a lot of machine shops in the US. But they do not employ many machinists. They are automated. What is going to the the real force is that the foreign plants are eliminating the unskilled labor too. They are automating, educating more engineers, more quality control people, educating more people in manufacturing plant management. I am also not sure how much difference the unions made in increasing the standard of living in the US. Eli Whitney invented mass production. Ford the assembly line. It takes time for things to change, but I think that they would have changed without the unions. Maybe not as fast, but the change would have occurred never the less. It was not the Unions that raised the standard of living. It was the increased amount of goods manufactured per manhour. Unless more goods were manufactured, the standard of living would have stayed the same. Ford understood that the masses had to be able to afford a car in order to sell millions of cars. Dan |
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Union Millwrights
wrote in message ups.com... On Oct 27, 5:17 pm, "Ed Huntress" wrote: We could solve this problem easily. All we have to do is to eliminate the minimum wage, outlaw unions, and then tell people they can accept $0.80/hour (a sort of median wage in China) or suck wind. That's something like the way things operated here before 1910 or so. -- Ed Huntress Here's another key point: If they find themselves in direct competition with a low-wage overseas manufacturer, they can't remain competitive no matter what they do. You can't compete with $0.80/hour wages. As GM demonstrated a few years back, you can crate the technology and the management skills and ship them to Shanghai, and then build engines for Chevy SUVs that you ship back to the US. It all happens a lot quicker now. If a company finds itself in the unfortunate position of competing directly -- an apparel manufacturer, or a basic steel producer -- the best thing to do is to get themselves *out* of direct competition, by finding a niche or a collection of services that overseas competitors can't easily duplicate. We do better now in steel mini-mill recycling and in specialty steels than in basic steel. Apparel companies in the US, those few that are left, specialize in things that move fast and that require acute sensitivity to local tastes and fashions. And so on. You have two choices: Try to cut your costs to compete with subsidized manufacturing and $0.80/hour wages, and watch your company go down the toilet; or make a change in your business to get out of the line of fire. -- Ed Huntress I disagree. The US is manufacturing more than ever. Maybe not as much as it would be if some industries had not moved to places with lower costs, but still more than ever. That's true, but it doesn't tell you anything about the competitiveness of US manufacturing. The fact is that much of US manufacturing has no significant competition from low-wage countries, which is the competition we were talking about. There is no such competition in car assembly (yet), aerospace (yet), a large part of construction materials, and a variety of other fields that amount to well over 1/2 of US manufacturing. Where there is direct competition with low-wage countries, many US manufacturing industries have all but disappeared -- consumer electronics, textiles, tabletop consumer appliances and lower-cost goods of many kinds, for example. As far as things as basic steel producer, read " American Steel ". It is about how Nucor installed the first continuous casting steel plant. I saw and reported on the continuous casting steel operation at Bethlehem's Burns Harbor plant almost exactly 30 years ago. Nucor was doing continuous casting at its mini-mills back in the late '60s. By that time, Japanese steel mills were using it for most of their production in their primary steel plants. I don't know what "American Steel" has to say about it, but that was my beat in those days. Success in the primary steel industry depends on a lot more than technology. Anybody can buy the technology today. Nucor built its business on remelting scrap in mini-mills, which is the kind of service-enhanced manufacturing I was talking about when I discussed ways to get out of the line of competition with low-wage countries. The way economics work in the electric-arc steelmaking business, the cost structure is entirely different from that of primary (or "basic") steel. It favors local production and the economies of scale are much smaller than in primary metal production. Direct labor is a smaller issue compared to warehousing and shipping costs on that low-value steel. At the high end of the scale, another set of forces produce a similar result. Thus my mention of specialty steels as a better target for high-wage, high-technology countries, as opposed to the high-volume mass market of primary steel. The trend in primary steel is toward cross-border ownership by a handful of multinationals who play one country off against another. It's getting very messy to follow and probably isn't a good example anymore of a given country's true costs of production. You say there are two choices. Actually there are at least three. The one you did not mention is getting rid of unskilled labor. A group of metalheads in Seattle recently toured the Nucor plant is West Seattle. The plant is highly automated. I forget the exact number, but I think they have about 18 people working per shift. All well paid. I know you are going to say Nucor is in the mini-mill business, but they are the second largest steel company in America. And the day we toured the plant, they were producing rebar. A pretty basic product. First, I hope you're aware of the difference between a primary steel producer, which makes basic steel, and an electric-arc-remelt operation like Nucor. I made clear that I was talking about primary steel, and, if you noticed, I said that the specialty steel producers (into which we can lump remelt operations for the purpose of this superficial discussion) are the more promising ones for the future of the US steel industry. Nucor does not "make" steel. They remelt scrap, plus some basic ingot steel they buy from the primary steel manufacturers. Most of what they make is steel at the low-cost end of the business -- structural steel and the like that isn't graded by alloy, but rather by a few performance parameters. It's also true that some high-quality specialty steel is made in mini-mills, but that's made from remelted primary steel ingots -- many of which come from foreign primary steel producers. Nucor has two plants the make fasteners. Nuts and Bolts. They run three shifts, but the grave yard shift has zero people working in it. Look up Nucors web site and see all the things they produce and how much per employee. Yes, I visited and covered Nucor when I was reporting on the metals-producing industries. They've been very innovative from the start. You can compete with $ .80 wages , but only if you are about 25 times more porductive. There are still a lot of machine shops in the US. But they do not employ many machinists. They are automated. Again, you can't compete head-to-head against $0.80/hour wages. The example I gave of the GM-Shanghai engine manufacturing operation, which makes engines for the Chevy Equinox, is a good example of how quickly advanced technology can be transplanted to a low-wage country. There are many other such examples ranging from Volkswagen to Charmilles EDMs. As I said, you either have to be in a niche that isn't attractive to low-wage producers for some reason, or you have to offer some services they can't. For example, delivery on JIT schedules and in-person engineering consultations. Communications is a big advantage that US shops and plants have over cheap competition located halfway around the world. What is going to the the real force is that the foreign plants are eliminating the unskilled labor too. They are automating, educating more engineers, more quality control people, educating more people in manufacturing plant management. I am also not sure how much difference the unions made in increasing the standard of living in the US. Eli Whitney invented mass production. Ford the assembly line. It takes time for things to change, but I think that they would have changed without the unions. Maybe not as fast, but the change would have occurred never the less. Not likely. We were headed for a completely divided society and possibly for the end of anything that resembled democracy. It was the unions that arguably saved the US from going communist. Karl Marx despised trade unions because they interfered with the conflict that he (and many other economists and business leaders of the time) thought was going to build to a crisis that would result in revolution. One of his mistakes was that he didn't believe that unions would be successful in improving the lot of workers. It was not the Unions that raised the standard of living. It was the increased amount of goods manufactured per manhour. Unless more goods were manufactured, the standard of living would have stayed the same. The last part is true. As for the first part, it was unions that led to the redistribution of wealth such that we wound up with a pretty well-off middle class of workers. Prior to that time the middle class was a class of merchants and professionals. If you study the history of the period, it's pretty clear that nothing else was pushing in that direction. Ford understood that the masses had to be able to afford a car in order to sell millions of cars. His personal effort in that direction actually was a kind of cockeyed idea that probably added little or nothing to his bottom line, and it wasn't contagious. g Ford was a very strange guy and an extremely successful one for many reasons, but I doubt if his one-time doubling of workers' wages had much to do with it. It's true, though, that he was making products for a market that needed more money if he was going to be able to sell millions more cars. The bottom line on competitiveness with low-wage countries seems to be this: Many people grossly overestimate how much of our manufacturing really is vulnerable to low-wage competition, so they're surprised that manufacturing as a whole actually is growing in the US, should they happen to hear about it. I'm not surprised at all by it. But I did a lot of reporting on the ups and downs of US industry and world trade over the years, so I've been close to the actual numbers. But it's also true that low-wage competition has wiped out entire segments of US manufacturing. Our present status is that manufacturing as a whole is stable or growing slightly, at the same time it's declining as a portion of our GDP. It's also declining sharply as an employer. The parts of US manufacturing that are growing most are ones that do not have direct, head-to-head competition from low-wage countries, either because the US companies are one step ahead, because they're in a niche that's hard to attack from the outside, or because they are able to offer services that only local suppliers can offer. None of his is anything to get depressed about. Some of it is the result of our country's industrial maturation. We're quite flexible and our economy is doing quite well in the long term despite the nibbling away at the edges. We could do a lot better at easing the hardship for people who get caught in a trap by sudden influxes of low-cost goods, something for which even the IMF is highly critical. But our economy as a whole will adjust. I think it's important not to generalize and to conclude from this that we can compete in every segment if we're only smart enough and innovative enough to boost productivity by leaps and bounds. The GM example demonstrates the fallacy with this argument. Technology can be transferred in a relative blink of an eye today. In GM's case, it took just over two years from the zero point to shipping Chevy engines back to us (to Canada, actually, but the completed SUVs are then shipped to the US for final sale). Looking at the segments that are successful, and why, has to be considered at the same time we consider why some good companies have failed in the face of low-wage competition. It isn't always, or even usually, because they did something wrong. A lot of them just got stuck between a rock and a hard place. And then, from that study and consideration, we have to make smart decisions about where the opportunities and the traps are in a globalizing economy. The thing that would be deadly right now would be a lot of self-delusion that we can compete in any product category if we just try harder. That generalization isn't true. -- Ed Huntress |
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Union Millwrights
On Oct 26, 6:31 pm, "Harold and Susan Vordos" wrote:
wrote in message ups.com... On Oct 23, 9:08 am, "*" wrote: The last time ol' "Millwright Wrong" brought the subject up, someone pointed out that that union shops - in general - were much more angry places to work than non-union shops. My experience would be the same. That was me, and since the last time I've had the displeasure of watching a fairly large factory go union. It's a slow process once the contract is signed but it's showing, people who seemed perfectly happy before are now starting to see "management screwing me" in places that don't make sense. I always ask my union employees "what would that get me" when they claim I'm doing some nonsense to screw them. If it doesn't actually get me anything then why would I take the time to do it? The very fact that these morons feel a need for a union is a strong enough message that they "don't get it". My experience with union supporters lends credence to the idea that they feel they are owed a living simply In most peoples defense. Many people do not have a lot of experience with Unions, and boy are they slick when selling themselves. because they exist, and are due their share of any and all profits that might come from their contribution, in spite of the fact that they agreed to sell their time to their employer for a given fee, their wages. Almost to the man, none of them appear to make a connection between in earning their pay, or in receiving pay in keeping with its value. I agree with you entirely with the end outcome. In all honesty a revamp of the laws reguarding the pro/anti union communications leading up to a vote would probably help fix a lot of things. By law the company cannot lie to you about things during the run up, where as the Union can (like in politics) promise anything, lie about everything, and not follow through. Unions are just another business, as long as they get their dues they're happy. |
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Union Millwrights
On Oct 29, 6:22 am, "Ed Huntress" wrote:
I don't know what "American Steel" has to say about it, but that was my beat in those days. Success in the primary steel industry depends on a lot more than technology. Anybody can buy the technology today. Read the book. Anyone can buy the technology today, but not only one company did in the sixties. Of course if they do buy the technology they have to pay Nucor for a license in the US. Nucor built its business on being innovative in building bar joists. They got into minimills to cut costs for making bar joists. . Thus my mention of specialty steels as a better target for high-wage, high-technology countries, as opposed to the high-volume mass market of primary steel. Nucor is in the mass market. Did you notice the production of wide flange beams. 3.7 million tons annually. First, I hope you're aware of the difference between a primary steel producer, which makes basic steel, and an electric-arc-remelt operation like Nucor. I made clear that I was talking about primary steel, Nucor makes steels that compete with the companies you call primary steel companies. Your distinction is like saying that Ford is a primary company and GMC is a secondary company when they both sell to the same market. You can compete with $ .80 wages , but only if you are about 25 times more porductive. There are still a lot of machine shops in the US. But they do not employ many machinists. They are automated. Again, you can't compete head-to-head against $0.80/hour wages. The example I gave of the GM-Shanghai engine manufacturing operation, which makes engines for the Chevy Equinox, is a good example of how quickly advanced technology can be transplanted to a low-wage country. There are many other such examples ranging from Volkswagen to Charmilles EDMs. So does the GM-Shanghai plant pay $0.80/hour wages? And why is the AMD Dresden Plant in a high labor cost area? As I said, you either have to be in a niche that isn't attractive to low-wage producers for some reason, or you have to offer some services they can't. For example, delivery on JIT schedules and in-person engineering consultations. Communications is a big advantage that US shops and plants have over cheap competition located halfway around the world. Or you have to figure out a way so that wages are not the major cost. I wonder what Tom would say about his brush company. He seems to put a lot of effort into building machines that eliminate labor costs. What is going to the the real force is that the foreign plants are eliminating the unskilled labor too. They are automating, educating more engineers, more quality control people, educating more people in manufacturing plant management. I am also not sure how much difference the unions made in increasing the standard of living in the US. Eli Whitney invented mass production. Ford the assembly line. It takes time for things to change, but I think that they would have changed without the unions. Maybe not as fast, but the change would have occurred never the less. Not likely. We were headed for a completely divided society and possibly for the end of anything that resembled democracy. It was the unions that arguably saved the US from going communist. Karl Marx despised trade unions because they interfered with the conflict that he (and many other economists and business leaders of the time) thought was going to build to a crisis that would result in revolution. One of his mistakes was that he didn't believe that unions would be successful in improving the lot of workers. We won't know where we are going until we get there. Russia and China started out communistic. But have found that capitalism has some virtues. I do not believe we are headed for a completely divided society. There is way too much change in individuals fortunes. Rich become poor, poor become rich. Intelligence does not exist only in the rich. And intelligence is a big factor is where one ends up in society. It was not the Unions that raised the standard of living. It was the increased amount of goods manufactured per manhour. Unless more goods were manufactured, the standard of living would have stayed the same. The last part is true. As for the first part, it was unions that led to the redistribution of wealth such that we wound up with a pretty well-off middle class of workers. Prior to that time the middle class was a class of merchants and professionals. If you study the history of the period, it's pretty clear that nothing else was pushing in that direction. I disagree. Many things were at work. Lots of technical changes. I mentioned mass production, and the assembly line. But there were so many other things. Grinding as a way of producing precision parts, a big change in communications with the telegraph, telephone,radio, then television. Even things as motion pictures made a difference. Big opportunities for change. Thousands of things pushing in that direction. Vacuum tubes, transisters, computers, fiber optics, the internet. Public schools. Airplanes. Even things as the Lincoln HIghway going clear across the US. Unions did not lead to the redistribution of wealth. His personal effort in that direction actually was a kind of cockeyed idea that probably added little or nothing to his bottom line, and it wasn't contagious. g Ford was a very strange guy and an extremely successful one for many reasons, but I doubt if his one-time doubling of workers' wages had much to do with it. It's true, though, that he was making products for a market that needed more money if he was going to be able to sell millions more cars. Actually his idea was contagious. That is not the same as saying that it rapidly was adopted. But it was essentially the idea of a minimum wage. But it's also true that low-wage competition has wiped out entire segments of US manufacturing. Which payed low wages. Read the thread about doing welding in return for getting a shed roof. You do not want to keep low wage jobs. I think it's important not to generalize and to conclude from this that we can compete in every segment if we're only smart enough and innovative enough to boost productivity by leaps and bounds. The GM example demonstrates the fallacy with this argument. Technology can be transferred in a relative blink of an eye today. In GM's case, it took just over two years from the zero point to shipping Chevy engines back to us (to Canada, actually, but the completed SUVs are then shipped to the US for final sale). So where were the machines made that GM shipped ? Who designed the machines? Which are the better things to produce? Engines or factories? And then, from that study and consideration, we have to make smart decisions about where the opportunities and the traps are in a globalizing economy. The thing that would be deadly right now would be a lot of self-delusion that we can compete in any product category if we just try harder. That generalization isn't true. And we should not try to compete is every product category. But we should try to eliminate low wage jobs in every product category. -- Ed Huntress |
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wrote in message ps.com... On Oct 29, 6:22 am, "Ed Huntress" wrote: I don't know what "American Steel" has to say about it, but that was my beat in those days. Success in the primary steel industry depends on a lot more than technology. Anybody can buy the technology today. Read the book. Anyone can buy the technology today, but not only one company did in the sixties. What does the 60s have to do with what we're talking about, Dan? You're arguing for the sake of argument, not to clarify the state of manufacturing in the US. Who did what first, and where their past glories come from, is all about where it went. I thought we were talking about where things are. And my point was that primary steel in the US is not competitive on the world market. Nucor is a good example of a company that's doing well because it's *not* competing directly with primary steel. Relative to other producers, we have much less little basic steel capacity in the US than we did. And no, rebar is not basic steel. It's a byproduct or a recycled product. "Basic steel" has a specific meaning in the steel industry. If you want to discuss that, I'll be glad to. There's nothing to be gained by arguing about why AMD Dresden isn't competing against low-wage car builders, or whether an advanced economy can get most of its steel from scrap. Just let us know where you're going. The state of US manufacturing is no mystery if you spend some time watching the trends. As for the history of it, enjoy your discussion. -- Ed Huntress |
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Union Millwrights
wrote in message ups.com... snip-- Unions are just another business, as long as they get their dues they're happy. Yes--------happy to live off the misery of others. Who, in their right mind, would want to be associated with such slugs? Harold |
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On Oct 29, 2:38 pm, "Harold and Susan Vordos" wrote:
wrote in message ups.com... snip-- Unions are just another business, as long as they get their dues they're happy. Yes--------happy to live off the misery of others. Who, in their right mind, would want to be associated with such slugs? Dunno, I tend to think of it more as brainwashing than anything. |
#32
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Union Millwrights
On Oct 29, 6:59 pm, "Ed Huntress" wrote:
wrote in message ps.com... On Oct 29, 6:22 am, "Ed Huntress" wrote: I don't know what "American Steel" has to say about it, but that was my beat in those days. Success in the primary steel industry depends on a lot more than technology. Anybody can buy the technology today. Read the book. Anyone can buy the technology today, but not only one company did in the sixties. What does the 60s have to do with what we're talking about, Dan? Hmmm. I thought we were talking about competing with low wage countries. And my point is that one can not compete with low wage countries by doing things the same way they do. One has to reduce the amount of labor. Nucor did this by installing the first continuous casting facility anywhere. So that is why the sixties have to do with the discussion. Actually The first continuous casting mill was built in the late eighties. At the time their goal was to produce a ton of steel with one manhour of labor. At that rate low wages in some other countries mean nothing. You're arguing for the sake of argument, not to clarify the state of manufacturing in the US. Who did what first, and where their past glories come from, is all about where it went. I thought we were talking about where things are. And my point was that primary steel in the US is not competitive on the world market. Nucor is a good example of a company that's doing well because it's *not* competing directly with primary steel. Relative to other producers, we have much less little basic steel capacity in the US than we did. And no, rebar is not basic steel. It's a byproduct or a recycled product. "Basic steel" has a specific meaning in the steel industry. You mean this? Definition: Steel produced in a furnace in which the hearth consists of a basic refractory such as dolomite or magnesite, as opposed to steel melted in a furnace with an acid lining. The basic process permits the removal of sulphur and phosphorous and in this respect is superior. Present day BOS and electric arc furnaces use basic linings. Sounds like Nucor makes basic steel to me. And if you meant basic, why did you use primary? I am not arguing for the sake of arguing anymore than you are. And I never set out to clarify the state of US manufactuing. I meant to say that there are ways to compete with low wage companies. And one way is to reduce the amount of labor to the point that it is insignificant. If you want to discuss that, I'll be glad to. There's nothing to be gained by arguing about why AMD Dresden isn't competing against low-wage car builders, or whether an advanced economy can get most of its steel from scrap. The point about AMD is that they produce microprocessors in one of the highest pay scale countries. So low wages is not necessarily the most important thing. But productivity is important. Dan Just let us know where you're going. The state of US manufacturing is no mystery if you spend some time watching the trends. As for the history of it, enjoy your discussion. -- Ed Huntress |
#33
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Union Millwrights
wrote in message ups.com... On Oct 29, 6:59 pm, "Ed Huntress" wrote: wrote in message ps.com... On Oct 29, 6:22 am, "Ed Huntress" wrote: I don't know what "American Steel" has to say about it, but that was my beat in those days. Success in the primary steel industry depends on a lot more than technology. Anybody can buy the technology today. Read the book. Anyone can buy the technology today, but not only one company did in the sixties. What does the 60s have to do with what we're talking about, Dan? Hmmm. I thought we were talking about competing with low wage countries. And my point is that one can not compete with low wage countries by doing things the same way they do. Well, I think that's what I said in the beginning, isn't it? You can't go head-to-head against businesses that pay $0.80/hour, I said. And Nucor doesn't go head-to-head with low-wage steel producers. They have a niche, which is making steel from scrap in electric-arc furnaces. The US produces around 55% of its steel that way. China produces 13% of its steel that way. But the US produces around 95 million metric tons of steel/year, while it consumes about 125 m tons. Nucor has a niche in which it produces 20 m tons. It's a large niche, but Nucor and all of the other secondary steel producers in the US put together only produce less than 45% of the steel we use. Note that remelted scrap is not of high enough quality for use in car bodies, for example. They aren't really in that big-volume market, except at the lower end of the quality scale. Most of the rest of the steel we use comes from primary producers here and abroad. Those are the mainstay of the steel industry and those are the ones from which US-based steelmakers have taken a beating, for decades, until there are only a few of them left. If you could make all of your domestic steel from recycled steel, the US primary producers probably wouldn't exist at all. But you can't. It's a niche that's limited by the availability of scrap and quality limitations. However, as I also said, finding niches like that is one of the best ways for US companies to succeed in a globalized economy. Nucor is a first-class example of doing it right. If we want more steel production in the US, however, the newcomers are going to have to find another niche, or new services, or another way of avoiding head-to-head competition with low-wage countries. One has to reduce the amount of labor. Nucor did this by installing the first continuous casting facility anywhere. That's far from being correct, being late by about 50 years, but we won't quibble about history. d8-) So that is why the sixties have to do with the discussion. Actually The first continuous casting mill was built in the late eighties. That was the first *thin slab* continuous casting mill. The continuous casting process was used in advanced countries world-wide by the '60s to make everything from merchant bars to strip, from BOP furnaces, but again, no quibbling. At the time their goal was to produce a ton of steel with one manhour of labor. At that rate low wages in some other countries mean nothing. That's almost twice what the cost models show for both major steelmaking methods today. And there's a bigger issue. I explained this better in some articles a few years ago, but direct labor is a bit of a chimera when it comes to China and other low-wage countries. (Watch Cliff chime in here, BTW; this is his cue). The fact is that the whole supply chain is making $0.80/hour, or similarly low wages, from the guy who loads ore into a freight car to the people who build the steel mill. These are sometimes called "embedded" costs. Most of the intermediate steps -- the services and products that contribute to the final product -- either can't be traded on world markets or aren't, for some political or economic reason. Thus, the whole cost of production is sharply lower than that of the US. It doesn't take long for them to adopt new technologies and they can eat up your productivity advantage in a hurry, or enough of it that they're competitive again. In the case of steel, China may not want to. They need primary production for their own consumption and they don't want to push for bigger market shares in sensitive world markets, for fear of provoking protectionism. Actually, if you remember the early days of the Bush administration, they already have. We have sort of a Mexican standoff going on with China in regard to steel right now. They're producing 400 m tons to our 100 m tons, but they still need more. They're actually net importers of around 13 m tons/year, but only 0.2 m tons comes from the US (plus Canada and Mexico; I only have lumped figures for NAFTA.) Interestingly, NAFTA in total only imports 2.6 m tons/year from China. You're arguing for the sake of argument, not to clarify the state of manufacturing in the US. Who did what first, and where their past glories come from, is all about where it went. I thought we were talking about where things are. And my point was that primary steel in the US is not competitive on the world market. Nucor is a good example of a company that's doing well because it's *not* competing directly with primary steel. Relative to other producers, we have much less little basic steel capacity in the US than we did. And no, rebar is not basic steel. It's a byproduct or a recycled product. "Basic steel" has a specific meaning in the steel industry. You mean this? Definition: Steel produced in a furnace in which the hearth consists of a basic refractory such as dolomite or magnesite, as opposed to steel melted in a furnace with an acid lining. The basic process permits the removal of sulphur and phosphorous and in this respect is superior. Present day BOS and electric arc furnaces use basic linings. Sounds like Nucor makes basic steel to me. And if you meant basic, why did you use primary? If electric-arc furnaces used for remelting cars and tin cans are using basic refractories, I'm a bit behind. d8-). Junk steel is what used to be made in the remelt furnaces, and a lot of that was with high-silica ("acid") linings. When rebar was made from primary steel, it often wound up being basic by default, because there was nothing much else to sell unless the phosphorus and sulfur are controlled. So BOFs are lined with basic refractory. That's how "basic steel" and "primary steel" became virtually synonymous. But rebar could be pretty foul and still pass the limits on tensile strength and elongation. There's no need for it to be basic steel. Sorry about that. I'm out of date on this one. I am not arguing for the sake of arguing anymore than you are. And I never set out to clarify the state of US manufactuing. I meant to say that there are ways to compete with low wage companies. And one way is to reduce the amount of labor to the point that it is insignificant. But direct labor was insignificant to begin with. The Steelonthenet.com cost model for BOF steelmaking shows $14.40 labor cost for a ton of steel made in a BOF; $13.00 for one made in an electric-arc furnace. Direct labor runs less than 5% of the cost of making steel either way. The cost differences lie elsewhere. When you compare a low-wage country like China with the US, the big thing is the embedded labor costs in materials and services, as I described above. And you can't control them except at the margins. But as I realize now, China is a bad example because we're not trading much steel. I should have used Latin America, perhaps. If China needed to export steel and if the US didn't jump back on the protectionist bandwagon, they'd probably clean our clocks, Nucor or not. China sends us their steel in the form of cheap finished products. d8-) If you want to discuss that, I'll be glad to. There's nothing to be gained by arguing about why AMD Dresden isn't competing against low-wage car builders, or whether an advanced economy can get most of its steel from scrap. The point about AMD is that they produce microprocessors in one of the highest pay scale countries. So low wages is not necessarily the most important thing. But productivity is important. It's certainly true that low wages, at least as direct labor, is not much of an issue in modern manufacturing. But embedded labor costs can be. Of course, like Honda in the US or AMD in Dresden, there can be other economic factors -- and big political ones -- that are more important. I think we've come back around to the initial proposition: that in head-to-head competition, you aren't going to compete with low-wage countries. The trick is to find a way to avoid going head-to-head in direct competition. Nucor found a niche and is staying ahead of US competitors with technology. But it doesn't represent an approach that will satisfy either the volume or the quality needs of the larger market. As a sidenote, gathering the figures to clarify these points led me to some articles on newer things Nucor is doing. They're a technological leader, and they're taking some interesting angles, such as applying basic-oxygen-furnace technology to iron carbide converted from iron ore. What this means in the context of niches versus head-to-head competition remains to be seen. -- Ed Huntress |
#34
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Union Millwrights
wrote in message ups.com... On Oct 29, 2:38 pm, "Harold and Susan Vordos" wrote: wrote in message ups.com... snip-- Unions are just another business, as long as they get their dues they're happy. Yes--------happy to live off the misery of others. Who, in their right mind, would want to be associated with such slugs? Dunno, I tend to think of it more as brainwashing than anything. To me, it appears much like following a religion. People tend to migrate towards things they want to believe, regardless of how insane their beliefs may be. Many have convoluted reasoning, and really do think there's a free lunch, or that they're owed a living. I'd also suggest that many that support the union do so from need, secure in the knowledge that they couldn't stand on their own two feet and survive. Many are slackers that go for the ride, and willingly pay the dues for the protection and wages promised. I had a different approach. I learned my trade, then applied it. Harold |
#35
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Union Millwrights
On Oct 30, 2:12 am, "Ed Huntress" wrote:
Hmmm. I thought we were talking about competing with low wage countries. And my point is that one can not compete with low wage countries by doing things the same way they do. Well, I think that's what I said in the beginning, isn't it? You can't go head-to-head against businesses that pay $0.80/hour, I said. And Nucor doesn't go head-to-head with low-wage steel producers. They have a niche, which is making steel from scrap in electric-arc furnaces. The US produces around 55% of its steel that way. China produces 13% of its steel that way. But the US produces around 95 million metric tons of steel/year, while it consumes about 125 m tons. Nucor has a niche in which it produces 20 m tons. It's a large niche, but Nucor and all of the other secondary steel producers in the US put together only produce less than 45% of the steel we use. Note that remelted scrap is not of high enough quality for use in car bodies, for example. They aren't really in that big-volume market, except at the lower end of the quality scale. -- Ed Huntress I think we are pretty much in agreement. Got to be close if we are using real facts. The only point I was trying to make is that we can compete if we reduce the amount of labor so that it is insignificant. And I agree with the embedded costs, but one has to also consider shipping costs. So we can live with somewhat higher embedded costs as they are offset by shipping costs. But we can not compete if we do things the same way. The only place where we differ much is that I do not consider Nucor as operating in a Niche. While you say they are at the low end of the quality scale, they probably don't agree. For instance they claim that 10% of their sheet steel is used in automobiles including the structure. They also sell cold drawn steel bars. As they keep growing, they are competing more directly with companies that make steel from ore. Dan |
#36
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wrote in message oups.com... On Oct 30, 2:12 am, "Ed Huntress" wrote: Hmmm. I thought we were talking about competing with low wage countries. And my point is that one can not compete with low wage countries by doing things the same way they do. Well, I think that's what I said in the beginning, isn't it? You can't go head-to-head against businesses that pay $0.80/hour, I said. And Nucor doesn't go head-to-head with low-wage steel producers. They have a niche, which is making steel from scrap in electric-arc furnaces. The US produces around 55% of its steel that way. China produces 13% of its steel that way. But the US produces around 95 million metric tons of steel/year, while it consumes about 125 m tons. Nucor has a niche in which it produces 20 m tons. It's a large niche, but Nucor and all of the other secondary steel producers in the US put together only produce less than 45% of the steel we use. Note that remelted scrap is not of high enough quality for use in car bodies, for example. They aren't really in that big-volume market, except at the lower end of the quality scale. -- Ed Huntress I think we are pretty much in agreement. Got to be close if we are using real facts. The only point I was trying to make is that we can compete if we reduce the amount of labor so that it is insignificant. And I agree with the embedded costs, but one has to also consider shipping costs. So we can live with somewhat higher embedded costs as they are offset by shipping costs. But we can not compete if we do things the same way. The only place where we differ much is that I do not consider Nucor as operating in a Niche. While you say they are at the low end of the quality scale, they probably don't agree. For instance they claim that 10% of their sheet steel is used in automobiles including the structure. Keep in mind that car structure doesn't require the same perfection as body sheet, and, just a notch down, unibody stampings. The Japanese couldn't make unibodies in high volume, for example, until around 1965 (Datsun 510 was the first high-volume car they made with a unibody), because their domestic steel wasn't good enough for it. They used a lot of imported steel for exterior body panels. From what I could see, Nucor is still not in the body sheet business. That's the high end in high-volume steel. But many companies can and do make very high quality steels in electric arc furnaces, using specially selected scrap and ingots obtained from primary producers. Nucor may have an all-liquid-steel operation somewhere, where they take liquid steel from a BOF and feed it directly into an electric-arc furnace but I didn't check. I did note that the financial analysts say that Nucor is not in the body-sheet market at all. You could argue the niche business either way. In terms of final product, they are competing directly in the merchant bar and structural shape markets. And they're beating US primary steel producers on price, which is why Nucor is flying high. As you say, shipping costs are a big issue in that segment and lower segments of the steel business, so they're selling well against everyone in the US market -- for those products. Electric-arc remelt is a niche that's grown very large, at least in highly developed countries. Comparing US producers with European countries is tough because the steel industry is so heavily subsidized, in many indirect as well as direct ways. But for the short time that China was producing more than it was consuming it was cleaning *everybody's* clock on prices of structural shapes, merchant steel, and even on some appliance-quality strip. The US then loaded on some tariffs, and then the Chinese needed all of their steel, so we never got to see how that one would play out in the end. They also sell cold drawn steel bars. As they keep growing, they are competing more directly with companies that make steel from ore. Companies in the US and other advanced countries, yes. And with the Chinese driving up world scrap prices the way they are, Nucor is more competitive with companies from other countries, as well. Scrap is the biggest cost in making remelt steel. And scrap also makes up 30% or more of the metal charge in BOFs. I don't know, Dan. Nucor is such an unusual example of several things that maybe the conclusion is that it's the exception that tests the rule. In general, it's very tough today to gain a sustainable edge in manufacturing with technology alone, because technology has become a commodity in most cases, as with the GM-Shanghai car engine plant, and the many other multinational car plants, electronics plants, and even machine tool plants operating there today. They aren't based on US technology, but they have plenty of German and Japanese machine tool builders operating there, building machines for Asian consumption. Likewise, China has electric-arc furnaces making steel. It just doesn't have enough scrap to use it for more than 13% of their total steel output -- yet. g They can buy a thin-slab continuous-casting plant from the Germans just as Nucor did, if they need it. And if they do, all of their embedded costs, as well as direct labor, will be a fraction of that among most of their worldwide competitors. That will be true even though their management and operating efficiency are relatively poor. They make it up with very low wages. I meant those original comments as more of a positive thing than they now sound, because there are many things that US companies can do to prosper. We started with the fact that US manufacturing actually is growing, or is at least stable, in terms of volume if not relative to the rest of the economy. I pointed out that the good companies that have failed in the face of low-wage competition have been ones that couldn't, or didn't, make changes to get out of the direct, head-to-head competition with lower wages. Knitting and weaving mills have a difficult time doing that. For a high-tech company with a heavy service component to their business, it's much easier. So the Nucors are welcome and need encouragement, but they aren't going to do it alone. We've pushed productivity to extraordinary lengths and direct labor is not much of an issue (7% right now in US car assembly, according to industry statistics; labor + load is around 14%). But embedded labor costs usually are a big issue. There are opportunities in some cases to cut costs for direct competition but the greater opportunities, IMO, are in finding profitable niches and in adding value through services. -- Ed Huntress |
#37
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Union Millwrights
rigger wrote:
Way too many sadly. I want the company I work for to make great gobs of money, so damn much they don't have any excuses not to share. Wes In case you haven't noticed the hard work you're doing is more likely to wind up as part of a multi- million dollar bonus to the executive who figured out how to screw you. Actually it is being noticed. Not only am I an employee I'm one of the many stock holders in both direct stock and in indexed funds. Investment houses and stockholders have noticed how much of the bottom line is going to the top line executives. Wes |
#38
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On Oct 28, 5:50 pm, " wrote:
On Oct 27, 5:17 pm, "Ed Huntress" wrote: We could solve this problem easily. All we have to do is to eliminate the minimum wage, outlaw unions, and then tell people they can accept $0.80/hour (a sort of median wage in China) or suck wind. That's something like the way things operated here before 1910 or so. -- Ed Huntress Here's another key point: If they find themselves in direct competition with a low-wage overseas manufacturer, they can't remain competitive no matter what they do. You can't compete with $0.80/hour wages. As GM demonstrated a few years back, you can crate the technology and the management skills and ship them to Shanghai, and then build engines for Chevy SUVs that you ship back to the US. It all happens a lot quicker now. If a company finds itself in the unfortunate position of competing directly -- an apparel manufacturer, or a basic steel producer -- the best thing to do is to get themselves *out* of direct competition, by finding a niche or a collection of services that overseas competitors can't easily duplicate. We do better now in steel mini-mill recycling and in specialty steels than in basic steel. Apparel companies in the US, those few that are left, specialize in things that move fast and that require acute sensitivity to local tastes and fashions. And so on. You have two choices: Try to cut your costs to compete with subsidized manufacturing and $0.80/hour wages, and watch your company go down the toilet; or make a change in your business to get out of the line of fire. -- Ed Huntress I disagree. The US is manufacturing more than ever. Maybe not as much as it would be if some industries had not moved to places with lower costs, but still more than ever. As far as things as basic steel producer, read " American Steel ". It is about how Nucor installed the first continuous casting steel plant. You say there are two choices. Actually there are at least three. The one you did not mention is getting rid of unskilled labor. A group of metalheads in Seattle recently toured the Nucor plant is West Seattle. The plant is highly automated. I forget the exact number, but I think they have about 18 people working per shift. All well paid. I know you are going to say Nucor is in the mini-mill business, but they are the second largest steel company in America. And the day we toured the plant, they were producing rebar. A pretty basic product. Nucor has two plants the make fasteners. Nuts and Bolts. They run three shifts, but the grave yard shift has zero people working in it. Look up Nucors web site and see all the things they produce and how much per employee. You can compete with $ .80 wages , but only if you are about 25 times more porductive. There are still a lot of machine shops in the US. But they do not employ many machinists. They are automated. What is going to the the real force is that the foreign plants are eliminating the unskilled labor too. They are automating, educating more engineers, more quality control people, educating more people in manufacturing plant management. I am also not sure how much difference the unions made in increasing the standard of living in the US. Eli Whitney invented mass production. Ford the assembly line. It takes time for things to change, but I think that they would have changed without the unions. Maybe not as fast, but the change would have occurred never the less. It was not the Unions that raised the standard of living. It was the increased amount of goods manufactured per manhour. Unless more goods were manufactured, the standard of living would have stayed the same. Ford understood that the masses had to be able to afford a car in order to sell millions of cars. Dan- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - I've seen several posts by certain people who say unions have outlived their usefulness and are no longer needed. If you feel this way you're in for a rude awakening some time in the future. Once the unions are gone you'll see. There have been many workers that are non-union that have ridden on the coattails of unions. Many times the benchmark for workers for wages and benefits have been union workers, especially the UAW. There is also what is called the prevailing wage. Many wages in a community are based on benchmarks and prevailing wages. Just wait. When all of this is gone we'll all be living in cardboard boxes like they do in Mexico. If you're a professional person it can happen to you, too. This whole deal of illegal immigration, outsourcing - offshoring, H-1B abuses, and other things will serve to lower everyones wages, even among the professions. It's just a matter of time. In fact, it's happening as I write this. Some bigshot somewhere is hatching a plan to offshore your job or reduce your wages. You can take that one to the bank! When this happens who will stand up for you? The government? Hah, Hah. You'll wish you had a union. |
#39
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On Nov 3, 9:14 am, Wes wrote:
rigger wrote: Way too many sadly. I want the company I work for to make great gobs of money, so damn much they don't have any excuses not to share. Wes In case you haven't noticed the hard work you're doing is more likely to wind up as part of a multi- million dollar bonus to the executive who figured out how to screw you. Actually it is being noticed. Not only am I an employee I'm one of the many stock holders in both direct stock and in indexed funds. Investment houses and stockholders have noticed how much of the bottom line is going to the top line executives. Wes It always seems strange why anyone would chose to make less money,less benefits,less insurance,less retirement,less and less. Just how dumb does it take... Not to be able to realize the benefits of belong to a group that looks out for you and your family Union definition: "A combination so formed, especially an alliance or confederation of people, parties, or political entities for mutual interest or benefit" Every doctor,every lawyer,every teacher,every realtor,every police officer, every professional baseball payer,every professional football player,every professional basketball player,every professional umpire,every dentist belongs to a organization or association to that offers help and support to that individual or group. Our country is full of professional associations that take dues form their members. But if a worker joins a group to help themselves. That person becomes a low life dirty dog. This starts with industry and people who are ignorant of Unions and of the real work place. Jobs are moved over seas to the cheapest labor cost and less government control..... Does that mean that we who work with our hands,our brains and our hearts have to make third world wages? Does this mean that we have to work in a unsafe environment? Do we have to sacrifice our health, our bodies and our loved ones? There is always someone who will work cheaper, with less safety and less concern about our environment. Just look at big business..... The owners of mines,factories and companies who are fined or arrested each year for pollution,safety violations,harassment,lying,endangering their employees. The Coe's that steal hundreds of millions of dollars from their companies and stock holders. If you think Unions are corrupted? You hand better take a good look at big business. The IRS does? Today we need organization of Labor more than ever. Unions .... "The people who brought you the weekends" Union Millwright and Damn Proud Of It Ron Oliver |
#40
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Union Millwrights
On Nov 7, 4:11 pm, Millwright Ron
wrote: It always seems strange why anyone would chose to make less money,less benefits,less insurance,less retirement,less and less. Just how dumb does it take... Union Millwright and Damn Proud Of It Ron Oliver Exactly why I chose a profession that was not unionized. I wanted more money, better benefits, and better retirement. Dan |
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