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#1
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While forrests are being protected from being harvested and being bought up.
Al Gore is making a fortune on "cool the earth" priojects. Once the global warming fad has cooled ;~) no pun intended, we will once again be coolong off and those forrests will once again be sold off and harvested for fire wood. |
#2
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On Dec 8, 5:33 pm, "Leon" wrote:
While forrests are being protected from being harvested and being bought up. Al Gore is making a fortune on "cool the earth" priojects. Once the global warming fad has cooled ;~) no pun intended, we will once again be coolong off and those forrests will once again be sold off and harvested for fire wood. I'm gonna re-sharpen my Forrest. Tom |
#3
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In article , lcb11211
@swbell.dotnet says... While forrests are being protected from being harvested and being bought up. Al Gore is making a fortune on "cool the earth" priojects. Once the global warming fad has cooled ;~) no pun intended, we will once again be coolong off and those forrests will once again be sold off and harvested for fire wood. http://www.scientificamerican.com/ar...en-answers-to- climate-contrarian-nonsense&page=6 or http://tinyurl.com/yjhput9 |
#4
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phorbin wrote:
In article , lcb11211 @swbell.dotnet says... While forrests are being protected from being harvested and being bought up. Al Gore is making a fortune on "cool the earth" priojects. Once the global warming fad has cooled ;~) no pun intended, we will once again be coolong off and those forrests will once again be sold off and harvested for fire wood. http://www.scientificamerican.com/ar...en-answers-to- climate-contrarian-nonsense&page=6 or http://tinyurl.com/yjhput9 Just the fact that it describes the contrarian view as "nonsense" tells us that it's a propaganda piece not to be taken credibly. |
#5
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in 125143 20091209 135918 "J. Clarke" wrote:
phorbin wrote: In article , lcb11211 @swbell.dotnet says... While forrests are being protected from being harvested and being bought up. Al Gore is making a fortune on "cool the earth" priojects. Once the global warming fad has cooled ;~) no pun intended, we will once again be coolong off and those forrests will once again be sold off and harvested for fire wood. http://www.scientificamerican.com/ar...en-answers-to- climate-contrarian-nonsense&page=6 or http://tinyurl.com/yjhput9 Just the fact that it describes the contrarian view as "nonsense" tells us that it's a propaganda piece not to be taken credibly. So if I say the moon is made of green cheese ... |
#6
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On Wed, 09 Dec 2009 14:25:16 GMT, Bob Martin
wrote: in 125143 20091209 135918 "J. Clarke" wrote: phorbin wrote: In article , lcb11211 @swbell.dotnet says... While forrests are being protected from being harvested and being bought up. Al Gore is making a fortune on "cool the earth" priojects. Once the global warming fad has cooled ;~) no pun intended, we will once again be coolong off and those forrests will once again be sold off and harvested for fire wood. http://www.scientificamerican.com/ar...en-answers-to- climate-contrarian-nonsense&page=6 or http://tinyurl.com/yjhput9 Just the fact that it describes the contrarian view as "nonsense" tells us that it's a propaganda piece not to be taken credibly. So if I say the moon is made of green cheese ... wait a min. everybody knows the moon is made of swiss cheese! can't you see the holes? :-] |
#7
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On Dec 9, 1:01*pm, skeez wrote:
On Wed, 09 Dec 2009 14:25:16 GMT, Bob Martin wrote: in 125143 20091209 135918 "J. Clarke" wrote: phorbin wrote: In article , lcb11211 @swbell.dotnet says... While forrests are being protected from being harvested and being bought up. Al Gore is making a fortune on "cool the earth" priojects. *Once the global warming fad has cooled *;~) no pun intended, we will once again be coolong off and those forrests will once again be sold off and harvested for fire wood. http://www.scientificamerican.com/ar...en-answers-to- climate-contrarian-nonsense&page=6 or http://tinyurl.com/yjhput9 Just the fact that it describes the contrarian view as "nonsense" tells us that it's a propaganda piece not to be taken credibly. So if I say the moon is made of green cheese ... wait a min. everybody knows the moon is made of swiss cheese! can't you see the holes? :-] At least it isn't Limburger...pheeeweee |
#8
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Bob Martin writes:
in 125143 20091209 135918 "J. Clarke" wrote: phorbin wrote: In article , lcb11211 @swbell.dotnet says... While forrests are being protected from being harvested and being bought up. Al Gore is making a fortune on "cool the earth" priojects. Once the global warming fad has cooled ;~) no pun intended, we will once again be coolong off and those forrests will once again be sold off and harvested for fire wood. http://www.scientificamerican.com/ar...en-answers-to- climate-contrarian-nonsense&page=6 or http://tinyurl.com/yjhput9 Just the fact that it describes the contrarian view as "nonsense" tells us that it's a propaganda piece not to be taken credibly. So if I say the moon is made of green cheese ... Then you'd be a fool, since we've been there and know that it is not. On the other hand, the current hysteria around anthropgenic climate change (of which there is little doubt that man changes climate, at least locally; consider the Urban Heat Island effect, for instance; or land-use changes (why don't tornadoes strike big cities, as a rule?)) is based on some pretty iffy science. First, the temperature record. Historical temperatures are both direct and derived. We have direct temperature measurements for various parts of of the world for up to the last 150 years. The longest sequence of such measurements are available in the United States and Europe. Temperatures before 1850 or so (and up to 1960 in many cases) are derived from various measurements believed to be related to temperature in some way. These are called proxies and include the width of tree rings (the trees are selected such that they are believed to be growth limited by temperature, not precipitation or other external factors; for example long-lived trees at the alpine tree-line. A set of bristlecone pines in the White Mountains in central California were used in several temperature reconstructions as representative of global temperatures in the last millenium. Other proxies include speleotherms in caves, boreholes and the deuterium oxygen isotope ratios in various ice cores from the ice caps and greenland. Tree rings have been pretty much discredited as a temperature proxy by the National Academy of Sciences (DAGS: Wegman/NAS report). Yet they were the primary constituent of the so-called "Hockey Stick" graph used by advocates of catastrophic climate change due to man to indicate that the world is heading for a catastrophy. In addition, the statistical methods used to produce a temperature signal from the tree rings and other proxies used in the hockey stick produce the same graph from random data (red noise). See McIntyre/McKitrick. As for the last 150 years of surface temperature data, it should be no surprise that over that time period, the location at which temperature is measured changes, the time of day of the measurement (and the number of measurements per day) changed, and in many cases the sites themselves while once rural, became urban. This requires that the data be manipulated (or adjusted) to accomodate these differences. The algorithms used by Dr. Hanson at GISS seem to underestimate past temperatures, and boot current temperatures. Dr. Peilke Sr. has a peer-reviewed paper out illustrating the problems with the current surface temperature record as well as pointing out the uncertainties in both the data, as well as the algorithms used to fill in missing data and derived a global average temperature. The error bars, while not generally discussed along with the temperature anomolies, dwarf the 20th century anomoly of about 1 degree C. Of course, the land surface is a small fraction of the planets surface, so other means are used to derive a temperature signal for the 7/8ths of the planet covered by oceans. The main measurement used is the Sea Surface Temperature (SST). SST temperatures are also available for about the last 100 years in the main shipping routes. This data was measured several times a day by ships captains and logged in ships logs. This log data has been collected and massaged to attempt to derive a historical temperature trend for the oceans surface. However, over the century the methods used to measure the SST changed (from dropping a bucket over the side and hauling it up, to measuring intake cooling water for modern ocean liners). The depth at which the measurements changed along with the method, the tools changed from mercury thermometers to thermocouples. All of these changes require that the data be massaged (i.e. adjusted). This increases the error bars on the measurements here as well. An addition source of late 20th century upticks in the surface temperature record are due to the Urban Heat Island effect; which is the effect of a large city on the temperatures within that city. There are researchers on both sides of the issue of whether the UHI has a significant effect or not on the temperature trends; Some who discount UHI have compared the temperatures in old, large cities like London and Paris and extrapolated that that also applies to cites that have significantly increased in the 20th century (atlanta, LA, BA, etc). There is also the so called 'microsite' biases. Several of the US sites used for the surface temperature record have had installed, in the last decade, air conditioners, asphalt parking lots and generators in the direct vicinity of the temperature sensor (in some cases, the exhaust from the AC unit is three feet from the sensor and obviously biases the summertime temperatures higher). Other measurements in the last thirty years or so have been made by a series of satellites with different instruments designed to measure the temperature of the air at various altitudes (again by measuring some effect and deriving a temperature from that effect). Where multiple satellites were in orbit simultaneously, the data can be adjusted with the known bias of the various instruments, but in the case where there is no overlap between the measurements by different instruments on different satellites, the adjustment required to match the data is more complicated. There are at least two sets of satellite data being used today (UAH and RSS), each of which uses a different algorithm to adjust the data to produce a temperature trend. Again, the error bars are are relatively large. There is also relatively little data from the southern hemisphere yet. Then there is CO2, which is a trace gas. The direct doubling of the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere would result in perhaps a degree C of heating. This is accepted. However, there is a school of thought (of which Dr. Hanson is a prime proponent) which believes that this doubling will lead to feedback effects from other greenhouse gasses, particularly water vapor (which is the main greenhouse gas by far). I.e. the belief is that adding CO2 will cause a cascading increase in the water vapor component of the atmosphere leading to catestrophic warming. The only evidence for this is from computer models. Note that not one of the dozen or so global climate models (GCM) correctly hindcast nor forcast the actual weather. The models don't include clouds or water vapor. Yet, the modellers claim that while no single model is accurate, the models, when averaged together accurately predict the future. Given the above, I see no reason to rush through any massive economic changes to adapt (assuming that a warming planet is a _bad_ thing, which is another iffy proposition). I'd point out the following, both peer reviewed climate scientists, who present a more nuanced view of climate change: Dr. Richard Lindzen, MIT Dr. Roger Pielke, Sr., U of Colorado |
#9
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In article ,
Bob Martin wrote: in 125143 20091209 135918 "J. Clarke" wrote: phorbin wrote: In article , lcb11211 @swbell.dotnet says... While forrests are being protected from being harvested and being bought up. Al Gore is making a fortune on "cool the earth" priojects. Once the global warming fad has cooled ;~) no pun intended, we will once again be coolong off and those forrests will once again be sold off and harvested for fire wood. http://www.scientificamerican.com/ar...en-answers-to- climate-contrarian-nonsense&page=6 or http://tinyurl.com/yjhput9 Just the fact that it describes the contrarian view as "nonsense" tells us that it's a propaganda piece not to be taken credibly. So if I say the moon is made of green cheese ... You *do* know that there _is_ scientific evidence to support that statement, don't you? Back in the 1980s, one of the things NASA did was a seismology experiment -- crashing a ship into the moon, and taking seismograph readings from several of the Apollo landing sites. Analysis of the shock patterns transmitted through the body of the moon gave a 'best match' against a particular variety of un-cured (i.e., 'green') cheese. I'm *NOT* making this up. |
#10
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Other proxies include speleotherms in caves, boreholes and the deuterium oxygen isotope ratios in various ice cores from the ice caps and greenland. Well, ****....why didn't he say so at the beginning? |
#11
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phorbin wrote:
In article , lcb11211 @swbell.dotnet says... While forrests are being protected from being harvested and being bought up. Al Gore is making a fortune on "cool the earth" priojects. Once the global warming fad has cooled ;~) no pun intended, we will once again be coolong off and those forrests will once again be sold off and harvested for fire wood. http://www.scientificamerican.com/ar...en-answers-to- climate-contrarian-nonsense&page=6 or http://tinyurl.com/yjhput9 A piece out of "Politically Correct American"? They stopped being credible some time in the late 80's. -- There is never a situation where having more rounds is a disadvantage Rob Leatham |
#12
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Scott Lurndal wrote:
Bob Martin writes: in 125143 20091209 135918 "J. Clarke" wrote: phorbin wrote: In article , lcb11211 @swbell.dotnet says... While forrests are being protected from being harvested and being bought up. Al Gore is making a fortune on "cool the earth" priojects. Once the global warming fad has cooled ;~) no pun intended, we will once again be coolong off and those forrests will once again be sold off and harvested for fire wood. http://www.scientificamerican.com/ar...en-answers-to- climate-contrarian-nonsense&page=6 or http://tinyurl.com/yjhput9 Just the fact that it describes the contrarian view as "nonsense" tells us that it's a propaganda piece not to be taken credibly. So if I say the moon is made of green cheese ... Then you'd be a fool, since we've been there and know that it is not. On the other hand, the current hysteria around anthropgenic climate change (of which there is little doubt that man changes climate, at least locally; consider the Urban Heat Island effect, for instance; or land-use changes (why don't tornadoes strike big cities, as a rule?)) is based on some pretty iffy science. .... snip of explanation of above Dr. Richard Lindzen, MIT Dr. Roger Pielke, Sr., U of Colorado Another bit of evidence of scientific malfeasance and data manipulation to give the results desired by the warmists: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/12/08/the-smoking-gun-at-darwin-zero/ Difference between citing this and Politically Correct American? This has real data and describes methodology, it doesn't imperiously declare "the science is settled" and those who disagree are luddites spouting nonsense. To quote paraphrase the high priest of AGW, "They LIED to US! They played on our FEARS!" -- There is never a situation where having more rounds is a disadvantage Rob Leatham |
#13
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On Wed, 09 Dec 2009 22:50:39 -0700, Mark & Juanita wrote:
A piece out of "Politically Correct American"? They stopped being credible some time in the late 80's. Translation: They published articles that disagreed with one or more of your cherished beliefs :-). -- Intelligence is an experiment that failed - G. B. Shaw |
#14
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On Wed, 09 Dec 2009 14:25:16 GMT, the infamous Bob Martin
scrawled the following: in 125143 20091209 135918 "J. Clarke" wrote: phorbin wrote: In article , lcb11211 @swbell.dotnet says... While forrests are being protected from being harvested and being bought up. Al Gore is making a fortune on "cool the earth" priojects. Once the global warming fad has cooled ;~) no pun intended, we will once again be coolong off and those forrests will once again be sold off and harvested for fire wood. http://www.scientificamerican.com/ar...en-answers-to- climate-contrarian-nonsense&page=6 or http://tinyurl.com/yjhput9 Just the fact that it describes the contrarian view as "nonsense" tells us that it's a propaganda piece not to be taken credibly. So if I say the moon is made of green cheese ... We know for a fact that you're an AGWK alarmist. -- To know what you prefer instead of humbly saying Amen to what the world tells you you ought to prefer, is to have kept your soul alive. -- Robert Louis Stevenson |
#15
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Larry Blanchard wrote:
On Wed, 09 Dec 2009 22:50:39 -0700, Mark & Juanita wrote: A piece out of "Politically Correct American"? They stopped being credible some time in the late 80's. Translation: They published articles that disagreed with one or more of your cherished beliefs :-). Uh, no. Human-caused global warming is a "belief" in the religious sense. It cannot be proved, demonstrated, or explained. If it could be proved, i.e., bolstered by sufficient evidence to convince virtually all rational minds of the high probability of it's truth, there would be no controversy. It obviously cannot be demonstrated as long as only ONE contrary example exists. The earth, moreover, is not like an oven that one can simply turn off. It cannot be explained to the degree that the hypothesis agrees with the historical record or even with computer models. A better description is that anti-AGW is an anti-belief. That is, most are not going to believe it until it can be proved. Mere assertion, melting glaciers, rising sea-levels, etc. are not sufficient in that completely plausible alternative explanations are equally likely. Coincidence, for one. |
#16
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Larry Blanchard wrote:
On Wed, 09 Dec 2009 22:50:39 -0700, Mark & Juanita wrote: A piece out of "Politically Correct American"? They stopped being credible some time in the late 80's. Translation: They published articles that disagreed with one or more of your cherished beliefs :-). Umm, no. I recognize that there are folks out there with whom I disagree and who may come to different conclusions based upon various viewpoints they may hold. That, however, is not science. That belongs more in the fuzzy world of historical interpretation (which still should at least be predicated upon historical facts vs. historical revisionism, but that's a different discussion) or sociology or some of the other more "fuzzy" disciplines. At some point, Scientific American stopped doing science -- that pursuit in which a hypothesis is put forth, experiments formulated and conducted, data taken and examined, hypothesis confirmed, refined or rejected, and results, along with methodology data documented and presented. Instead, they drifted more and more into Politically Correct American in which hypothesis was put forth, cherry-picked statistics manipulated, graphs generated and presented, and current politically acceptable conclusion derived and documented by currently popular experts using vigorous assertion as proof. That's the point at which I became a former subscriber. The irony was that they had some very interesting columns prior to that describing what they termed "math abuse" -- the manipulation of statistics and selective presentation (e.g. selective use of scale, smoothing, etc) to guide a preferred interpretation of the data. -- There is never a situation where having more rounds is a disadvantage Rob Leatham |
#17
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Mark & Juanita wrote:
Larry Blanchard wrote: On Wed, 09 Dec 2009 22:50:39 -0700, Mark & Juanita wrote: A piece out of "Politically Correct American"? They stopped being credible some time in the late 80's. Translation: They published articles that disagreed with one or more of your cherished beliefs :-). Umm, no. I recognize that there are folks out there with whom I disagree and who may come to different conclusions based upon various viewpoints they may hold. That, however, is not science. That belongs more in the fuzzy world of historical interpretation (which still should at least be predicated upon historical facts vs. historical revisionism, but that's a different discussion) or sociology or some of the other more "fuzzy" disciplines. At some point, Scientific American stopped doing science -- that pursuit in which a hypothesis is put forth, experiments formulated and conducted, data taken and examined, hypothesis confirmed, refined or rejected, and results, along with methodology data documented and presented. Instead, they drifted more and more into Politically Correct American in which hypothesis was put forth, cherry-picked statistics manipulated, graphs generated and presented, and current politically acceptable conclusion derived and documented by currently popular experts using vigorous assertion as proof. That's the point at which I became a former subscriber. The irony was that they had some very interesting columns prior to that describing what they termed "math abuse" -- the manipulation of statistics and selective presentation (e.g. selective use of scale, smoothing, etc) to guide a preferred interpretation of the data. Yep. Perusal of the Table of Contents over the past five years or so show a growing interest in "political" goals: Climate Change (nee "Global Warming"), green technology, fish kills, drought mitigation, population control, endangered species, etc. |
#18
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On Thu, 10 Dec 2009 22:50:40 -0700, Mark & Juanita wrote:
That's the point at which I became a former subscriber. The irony was that they had some very interesting columns prior to that describing what they termed "math abuse" -- the manipulation of statistics and selective presentation (e.g. selective use of scale, smoothing, etc) to guide a preferred interpretation of the data. AFAIK, they're still peer-reviewed articles. So there must be a lot of people in on the conspiracy :-). -- Intelligence is an experiment that failed - G. B. Shaw |
#19
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On Fri, 11 Dec 2009 09:35:13 -0600, HeyBub wrote:
Perusal of the Table of Contents over the past five years or so show a growing interest in "political" goals: Climate Change (nee "Global Warming"), green technology, fish kills, drought mitigation, population control, endangered species, etc. And those are all, according to you, political goals? I thought they had to do with maintaining livable conditions on the planet. SciAm would be remiss if they didn't address them. And if (a very big if) we could achieve population control, that would have a big impact on the others. I once saw studies putting the sustained carrying capacity of the US at anywhere from 90 to 125 million people. Even if we double the most optimistic estimate we're well over it. The US population has been doubling about every 60 years, which is also roughly the world average. So it isn't just a 3rd world problem. The only thing "political" about these issues is that most folks put their personal well being above that of their descendants. Normal, but sometimes disheartening. -- Intelligence is an experiment that failed - G. B. Shaw |
#20
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Larry Blanchard wrote:
The US population has been doubling about every 60 years, which is also roughly the world average. So it isn't just a 3rd world problem. Not to worry ... there will be plenty of room in all those 4200sf McMansions occupied by two ... assuming they don't fall down first. -- www.e-woodshop.net Last update: 10/22/08 KarlC@ (the obvious) |
#21
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On Dec 11, 11:16*am, Larry Blanchard wrote:
On Thu, 10 Dec 2009 22:50:40 -0700, Mark & Juanita wrote: *That's the point at which I became a former subscriber. *The irony was that they had some very interesting columns prior to that describing what they termed "math abuse" *-- the manipulation of statistics and selective presentation (e.g. selective use of scale, smoothing, etc) to guide a preferred interpretation of the data. AFAIK, they're still peer-reviewed articles. *So there must be a lot of people in on the conspiracy :-). Using the same cooked datasets you'd expect to have some consensus. Even here they have to censor anyone who isn't a member of the orthodoxy. Consensus, my ass. |
#22
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Larry Blanchard wrote:
On Fri, 11 Dec 2009 09:35:13 -0600, HeyBub wrote: Perusal of the Table of Contents over the past five years or so show a growing interest in "political" goals: Climate Change (nee "Global Warming"), green technology, fish kills, drought mitigation, population control, endangered species, etc. And those are all, according to you, political goals? I thought they had to do with maintaining livable conditions on the planet. SciAm would be remiss if they didn't address them. Exactly what conditions are LESS livable today than at any time in the past? Almost every POOR family in this country has a car, a TV, a microwave, a cell-phone, indoor plumbing, and more. The poor today live longer, healthier, and in all ways better lives than the affluent of a hundred years ago. And if (a very big if) we could achieve population control, that would have a big impact on the others. I once saw studies putting the sustained carrying capacity of the US at anywhere from 90 to 125 million people. Even if we double the most optimistic estimate we're well over it. Were these studies done by the forefathers of the IPCC? The US population has been doubling about every 60 years, which is also roughly the world average. So it isn't just a 3rd world problem. The only thing "political" about these issues is that most folks put their personal well being above that of their descendants. Normal, but sometimes disheartening. Oh bother! If the entire population of the planet were stacked up like cordwood, they would fit in a cubic mile!* If the earth's population lived as the same densest part of Cairo, they would fit in the state of West Virginia.** (Of course living in West Virginia would be pretty grim.) The Malthusian doctrine you espouse was discredited many, many years ago. Full agricultural output of the United States could give everybody in the world a 2,000 calorie a day diet. Almost every natural resource continues to get more plentiful and cheaper - check the famous Simon-Ehrlich Wager. ------- *6,000,000,000 x 6 x 2 x 2 = 144 billion cu ft 5280^3 = 147 billion cu ft ** Cairo (280,000/sq mile) x West Virginia (24,000 sq mi) = 6.7 billion |
#23
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Larry Blanchard wrote:
On Thu, 10 Dec 2009 22:50:40 -0700, Mark & Juanita wrote: That's the point at which I became a former subscriber. The irony was that they had some very interesting columns prior to that describing what they termed "math abuse" -- the manipulation of statistics and selective presentation (e.g. selective use of scale, smoothing, etc) to guide a preferred interpretation of the data. AFAIK, they're still peer-reviewed articles. So there must be a lot of people in on the conspiracy :-). Yep, there were. But it was merely sufficient to suppress dissenting views. Which they did by preventing these views from being published. Further, it is IMPOSSIBLE for "peers" to review a paper if the underlying data are unavailable. |
#24
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There is never a situation where having more rounds is a disadvantage
Rob Leatham Underwater Space Station Black powder Storage Bunker Gasoline Refinery Nitroglyerin factory Baby Nursery Steel Walled Room |
#25
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Malthus and Darwin = Me OR You..
It's funnny how Malthus and his There Won't Be Enough To Go Around
got hooked up a *******ized version of Darwin's Theory of Evolution - Only The Fit Will Survice. With those to assumptions the world is seen from a Me OR You perspective - and WHEN push comes to shove it's going to be just ME - cause I'll kill YOU if that becomes necessary for ME to survive. This is what is referred to as a Zero Sum Game - for someone to gain, someone else must lose. That precludes thinking in terms of Me AND You - synergy - the actual sum of the parts being greater than the numeric value of the parts. Populations tend to level out and then begin to decline in industrialized countries - witness Japan, much of Europe, the United States, Canada, etc. So as other countries reach a certain development level their popolation growth rate will level off and decline - as will the population. But the percapita energy consumption has always - continued to climb. It's not the population growth that's the problem - it's the consumption of non-renuable resources or the resources that are renewable - but not at a rate need that is - and it'll be water - that you can drink - that we should be concerned about. |
#26
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"charlie b" wrote in message ... There is never a situation where having more rounds is a disadvantage Rob Leatham Underwater Space Station Black powder Storage Bunker Gasoline Refinery Nitroglyerin factory Baby Nursery Steel Walled Room ROTFLMAO |
#27
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Malthus and Darwin = Me OR You..
On Fri, 11 Dec 2009 18:07:41 -0800, charlie b wrote:
Populations tend to level out and then begin to decline in industrialized countries - witness Japan, much of Europe, the United States,... But the increase in the US has NOT leveled out. More of it is immigration instead of births than it used to be, but it's still growth. Gotta' keep that Ponzi economy going :-). -- Intelligence is an experiment that failed - G. B. Shaw |
#28
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Malthus and Darwin = Me OR You..
On Fri, 11 Dec 2009 18:07:41 -0800, charlie b wrote:
It's not the population growth that's the problem - it's the consumption of non-renuable resources or the resources that are renewable - but not at a rate need that is - and it'll be water - that you can drink - that we should be concerned about. Yep. Saw tonight that both the US and NATO military establishments are making contingency plans to fight and/or prevent water wars due to global warming and population growth. -- Intelligence is an experiment that failed - G. B. Shaw |
#29
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"charlie b" wrote in message ... There is never a situation where having more rounds is a disadvantage Rob Leatham Steel Walled Room Along those lines: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R1TnU0aIJiQ |
#30
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OT Mean while...
Larry Blanchard wrote:
On Fri, 11 Dec 2009 09:35:13 -0600, HeyBub wrote: Perusal of the Table of Contents over the past five years or so show a growing interest in "political" goals: Climate Change (nee "Global Warming"), green technology, fish kills, drought mitigation, population control, endangered species, etc. And those are all, according to you, political goals? I thought they had to do with maintaining livable conditions on the planet. SciAm would be remiss if they didn't address them. Each one of those accepts certain premises as givens that are far from proven. Climate change: Doest the climate change? Yes. Is man causing this? Hardly plausible let alone proven. And if (a very big if) we could achieve population control, that would have a big impact on the others. First premise taken as a given is that population growth in the developed world is a serious problem. Second premise taken as a given is that populations in the developed world are increasing at an alarming rate. Population growth in developed countries has always found technological solutions to address the ability to maintain that civilization. Population growth in the US is due primarily to immigration. Citizens of the US are just at replacement rate. Citizens in the European countries are below replacement rate. At this point, their problem is not overpopulation, but loss of population. This is going to have profound effects in the coming years. The only people in European countries reproducing at growth rates are immigrants from third world countries who bring a particular mindset that is not conducive to sustainable civilization. I once saw studies putting the sustained carrying capacity of the US at anywhere from 90 to 125 million people. Even if we double the most optimistic estimate we're well over it. The US population has been doubling about every 60 years, which is also roughly the world average. So it isn't just a 3rd world problem. See above, we are currently at sustainment rate with the exception of immigration. The only thing "political" about these issues is that most folks put their personal well being above that of their descendants. Normal, but sometimes disheartening. -- There is never a situation where having more rounds is a disadvantage Rob Leatham |
#31
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Malthus and Darwin = Me OR You..
charlie b wrote:
It's not the population growth that's the problem - it's the consumption of non-renuable resources or the resources that are renewable - but not at a rate need that is - and it'll be water - that you can drink - that we should be concerned about. Almost all water is previously USED water. Whatever it was used for is just temporary. Water, like energy cannot really be destroyed - it's just being used somewhere. As for water shortages, the fix is usually quite simple to describe: the areas susceptible to drought should quit growing water-intensive foods. They should import water-intensive food from areas where water is abundant. For example, it makes no sense to grow rice in the Sudan. Of course to do that, they have to develop something from which than can earn foreign monetary credits with which to buy the food. Perhaps mining minerals or opening technical support call centers... |
#32
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Malthus and Darwin = Me OR You..
HeyBub wrote:
charlie b wrote: It's not the population growth that's the problem - it's the consumption of non-renuable resources or the resources that are renewable - but not at a rate need that is - and it'll be water - that you can drink - that we should be concerned about. Almost all water is previously USED water. Whatever it was used for is just temporary. Water, like energy cannot really be destroyed - it's just being used somewhere. As for water shortages, the fix is usually quite simple to describe: the areas susceptible to drought should quit growing water-intensive foods. They should import water-intensive food from areas where water is abundant. For example, it makes no sense to grow rice in the Sudan. Your example is an interesting coincidence - I've been corresponding with a prof in Khartoum who's interested in helping to develop an inexpensive solar-powered pump to expand the growing area along the Nile and provide a city water supply in Khartoum. If a large-scale solar-powered desalinization technology can also be developed, drought susceptibility might have much less impact. Of course to do that, they have to develop something from which than can earn foreign monetary credits with which to buy the food. Perhaps mining minerals or opening technical support call centers... If you can find a real long-term solution to that problem and help them implement it, I suspect that Al-HaiBub will become a more important historical figure than Al-Iskandr throughout that entire region. -- Morris Dovey DeSoto Solar DeSoto, Iowa USA http://www.iedu.com/DeSoto/ |
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OT Mean while...
On Fri, 11 Dec 2009 22:49:12 -0700, Mark & Juanita wrote:
Climate change: Doest the climate change? Yes. Is man causing this? Hardly plausible let alone proven. Well, I'll give you that there isn't absolute proof, but then there never is. But "hardly plausible" doesn't fly. The overwhelming majority (80-90%?) of experts *in the field* say that our activities are having an effect. Now I know you (and HeyBub) are going to claim a giant conspiracy of all those scientists, but have you considered that the deniers may well (and some do for a fact) have ties to economic interests for the status quo? That is, those few with credence in the field - I don't care about the others. Someone had a letter in our newspaper a few days ago denying global warming because there were more Antarctic icebergs than usual and that proved the glaciers were growing and calving. Today a respondent pointed out that Antarctic glaciers don't come from icebergs, they come from ice fields breaking up. And guess why they're breaking up at an increased rate ... The above does not address the question of how much of the warming is man made, the first writer totally denied there was any warming. I see an awful lot of that. See my sig line :-). -- Intelligence is an experiment that failed - G. B. Shaw |
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OT Mean while...
Larry Blanchard wrote:
On Fri, 11 Dec 2009 22:49:12 -0700, Mark & Juanita wrote: Climate change: Doest the climate change? Yes. Is man causing this? Hardly plausible let alone proven. Well, I'll give you that there isn't absolute proof, but then there never is. But "hardly plausible" doesn't fly. The overwhelming majority (80-90%?) of experts *in the field* say that our activities are having an effect. Your 90% figure may very well be correct. I remind you of what Einstein said: "No amount of experiments will prove my theory correct, but it only takes ONE to prove it wrong." Now I know you (and HeyBub) are going to claim a giant conspiracy of all those scientists, but have you considered that the deniers may well (and some do for a fact) have ties to economic interests for the status quo? That is, those few with credence in the field - I don't care about the others. Someone had a letter in our newspaper a few days ago denying global warming because there were more Antarctic icebergs than usual and that proved the glaciers were growing and calving. Today a respondent pointed out that Antarctic glaciers don't come from icebergs, they come from ice fields breaking up. And guess why they're breaking up at an increased rate ... Sigh. Three of the Antartic ice sheets/glaciers are shrinking. Seven are growing. The above does not address the question of how much of the warming is man made, the first writer totally denied there was any warming. I see an awful lot of that. See my sig line :-). The earth IS probably warming. It's not as warm as it was during the Middle Ages. Further, more warming is good: Longer growing seasons, etc. An open Northwest passage, for example, would be a tremendous boon for world trade. |
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OT Mean while...
On Sun, 13 Dec 2009 21:59:30 -0600, Dave Balderstone wrote:
In article , Larry Blanchard wrote: Well, I'll give you that there isn't absolute proof, but then there never is. But "hardly plausible" doesn't fly. The overwhelming majority (80-90%?) of experts *in the field* say that our activities are having an effect. The problem arises when one considers that the data those experts are using has been filtered through a handful of people, and there is very strong evidence that they manipulated that data for political and financial reasons. Care to list that "handful" of people? Then, when asked for the raw numbers their manipulated data came from, the response is "Oh, the dog ate it." Cite, please. The following report was recommended to me today. I haven't had time to read it yet, but will. Meantime, for those who are interested: http://copenhagendiagnosis.org/ -- Intelligence is an experiment that failed - G. B. Shaw |
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OT Mean while...
Larry Blanchard wrote:
On Sun, 13 Dec 2009 21:59:30 -0600, Dave Balderstone wrote: In article , Larry Blanchard wrote: Well, I'll give you that there isn't absolute proof, but then there never is. But "hardly plausible" doesn't fly. The overwhelming majority (80-90%?) of experts *in the field* say that our activities are having an effect. The problem arises when one considers that the data those experts are using has been filtered through a handful of people, and there is very strong evidence that they manipulated that data for political and financial reasons. Care to list that "handful" of people? Then, when asked for the raw numbers their manipulated data came from, the response is "Oh, the dog ate it." Cite, please. "The Dog Ate It" "SCIENTISTS at the University of East Anglia (UEA) have admitted throwing away much of the raw temperature data on which their predictions of global warming are based. " http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/new...cle6936328.ece Refusal to release data they DO have: "I'm getting hassled by a couple of people to release the CRU station temperature data. Don't any of you three tell anybody that the UK has a Freedom of Information Act!" [Phil Jones, head of CRU] http://donklephant.com/2009/11/29/cl...-britains-foi/ And absolutely fudging of data: "Why does NIWA's graph show strong warming, but graphing their own raw data looks completely different? Their graph shows warming, but the actual temperature readings show none whatsoever!" http://www.climatescience.org.nz/ima...arming_nz2.pdf |
#37
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OT Mean while...
On Mon, 14 Dec 2009 07:29:36 -0600, HeyBub wrote:
Larry Blanchard wrote: Care to list that "handful" of people? "SCIENTISTS at the University of East Anglia (UEA) have admitted throwing away much of the raw temperature data on which their predictions of global warming are based. " http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/new...cle6936328.ece Refusal to release data they DO have: "I'm getting hassled by a couple of people to release the CRU station temperature data. Don't any of you three tell anybody that the UK has a Freedom of Information Act!" [Phil Jones, head of CRU] http://donklephant.com/2009/11/29/cl...-britains-foi/ And absolutely fudging of data: "Why does NIWA's graph show strong warming, but graphing their own raw data looks completely different? Their graph shows warming, but the actual temperature readings show none whatsoever!" http://www.climatescience.org.nz/ima...arming_nz2.pdf OK, you've proven that one group of scientists at one university, plus another scientist who used to work at that same university, have been unethical. That surprises you? In any large group of people, there's always a few as******s. But that's no reason to assume that the entire group is the same. That's like assuming, because a few fanatic Christians have bombed abortion clinics and murdered doctors, that all Christians are nurderers and bombers. And I don't think those East Anglians are the influential "handful of people" that Dave Balderstone alluded to and that I questioned. -- Intelligence is an experiment that failed - G. B. Shaw |
#38
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OT Mean while...
HeyBub wrote:
Larry Blanchard wrote: On Sun, 13 Dec 2009 21:59:30 -0600, Dave Balderstone wrote: In article , Larry Blanchard wrote: Well, I'll give you that there isn't absolute proof, but then there never is. But "hardly plausible" doesn't fly. The overwhelming majority (80-90%?) of experts *in the field* say that our activities are having an effect. The problem arises when one considers that the data those experts are using has been filtered through a handful of people, and there is very strong evidence that they manipulated that data for political and financial reasons. Care to list that "handful" of people? Michael Mann, Phil Jones, Hanson at NASA, Keith Briffa, and a few others at East Anglia, NASA, and NOAA. Willing complicity by the media: Seth Borenstein of AP: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/12/1...just-too-damn- cozy-with-the-people-he-covers-time-for-ap-to-do-somethig-about-it/ Then, when asked for the raw numbers their manipulated data came from, the response is "Oh, the dog ate it." Cite, please. "The Dog Ate It" "SCIENTISTS at the University of East Anglia (UEA) have admitted throwing away much of the raw temperature data on which their predictions of global warming are based. " http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/new...cle6936328.ece Refusal to release data they DO have: "I'm getting hassled by a couple of people to release the CRU station temperature data. Don't any of you three tell anybody that the UK has a Freedom of Information Act!" [Phil Jones, head of CRU] http://donklephant.com/2009/11/29/cl...-britains-foi/ And absolutely fudging of data: "Why does NIWA's graph show strong warming, but graphing their own raw data looks completely different? Their graph shows warming, but the actual temperature readings show none whatsoever!" http://www.climatescience.org.nz/ima...arming_nz2.pdf In the words of Thomas Dolby, "Consensus!" By the way, not just New Zealand, Australia as well: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/12/08/the-smoking-gun-at-darwin-zero/ -- There is never a situation where having more rounds is a disadvantage Rob Leatham |
#39
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OT Mean while...
Larry Blanchard wrote:
On Mon, 14 Dec 2009 07:29:36 -0600, HeyBub wrote: Larry Blanchard wrote: Care to list that "handful" of people? "SCIENTISTS at the University of East Anglia (UEA) have admitted throwing away much of the raw temperature data on which their predictions of global warming are based. " http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/new...cle6936328.ece Refusal to release data they DO have: "I'm getting hassled by a couple of people to release the CRU station temperature data. Don't any of you three tell anybody that the UK has a Freedom of Information Act!" [Phil Jones, head of CRU] http://donklephant.com/2009/11/29/cl...-britains-foi/ And absolutely fudging of data: "Why does NIWA's graph show strong warming, but graphing their own raw data looks completely different? Their graph shows warming, but the actual temperature readings show none whatsoever!" http://www.climatescience.org.nz/ima...arming_nz2.pdf OK, you've proven that one group of scientists at one university, plus another scientist who used to work at that same university, have been unethical. That surprises you? In any large group of people, there's always a few as******s. But that's no reason to assume that the entire group is the same. That's like assuming, because a few fanatic Christians have bombed abortion clinics and murdered doctors, that all Christians are nurderers and bombers. And I don't think those East Anglians are the influential "handful of people" that Dave Balderstone alluded to and that I questioned. Heh! The folks at East Anglia are the godhead of climate research. NASA and NOAA are tied for a distant second. Stand by! One moment please! Attention viewers and all the ships at sea: This just in (Dec 14th): "Odd things are going on at the Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia. Widely available data, existing in the public view for years, is now disappearing from public view." http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/12/1...data-and-more/ And these are not "one group of scientists..." These are (ALL OF) the leaders of the climate change community (which isn't that large to begin with - there are only about ten of them). Admittedly 2,500 (or 10,000, I forget how many) scientists have boarded the Anthropogenic Global Warming bandwagon but, to carry your Christian metaphor forward, look how many true believers the twelve (or eleven) apostles (plus Saul of Kenya) managed to excite. These investigators have ignored one of the cardinal rules of science: "When you've reached the bottom of the hole, quit digging" and you may have overlooked the first principle of public acceptance: "Fish rots from the head down." |
#40
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OT Mean while...
On Sun, 13 Dec 2009 22:26:02 -0600, the infamous Larry Blanchard
scrawled the following: On Sun, 13 Dec 2009 21:59:30 -0600, Dave Balderstone wrote: In article , Larry Blanchard wrote: Well, I'll give you that there isn't absolute proof, but then there never is. But "hardly plausible" doesn't fly. The overwhelming majority (80-90%?) of experts *in the field* say that our activities are having an effect. The problem arises when one considers that the data those experts are using has been filtered through a handful of people, and there is very strong evidence that they manipulated that data for political and financial reasons. Care to list that "handful" of people? Michael Mann and the East Anglia CRU crew, or parts thereof, come to immediate mind, sir. Haven't you been following that? They're funded for their output. Algore and crew is another handful. The Brit courts mandated that no fewer that nine of his false claims in the movie had to be stated to the viewers before the movie could be shown in there schools. Brits have a horridly liberal/political school faculty, too. Gore is starting to rake in the carbon credit bucks now. Paul Ehrlich and a crew for each of his totally defective and disproved books comes to several more handfuls. He was funded for his research and for his books. And the POS books of his are still for sale, ruining young minds anew. sigh James Hanson and computer modeling crew(s). Then, when asked for the raw numbers their manipulated data came from, the response is "Oh, the dog ate it." Cite, please. CRU admitted to _tossing_ raw data during the move to another building due to lack of storage space. No _real_ scientist in his right mind ever does that because it serves as a basis for your ongoing research. DUH! Now the CRU is saying that all the data can be replaced from original sources, but the collection they had which produced the data they put out will never be reassembled. I guess that's not too bad of a thing, as it will surely prove that the graphs they sent out were not created from the true data, but from a falsely created, manipulated set, nailing them to the wall. The following report was recommended to me today. I haven't had time to read it yet, but will. Meantime, for those who are interested: http://copenhagendiagnosis.org/ Recommended to you by another alarmist, sir? "Updating the world on the Latest Climate Science" Science update or data update? Written by students at what Aussie school, er, University? OK, they're claiming 2" of sea level rise over the past 15 years. Why isn't Florida under water? Why isn't everyone moving out of Hawaii, and off every other island in the world? Executive Summary: 3.4mm/yr sea level rise. http://copenhagendiagnosis.org/downl...ES_English.pdf The London Royal Society calculates net sea level rise in Australia at 1 mm/yr[22]— http://www.marine.csiro.au/media/03releases/21jan03.htm (dead link) Every report from the IPCC shows -diminishing- forecasts for doom. The first expected a 4.2 degree increase in global temps by 2100. The second 3.8, the third 3.5, the fourth 3.26 degrees C. Hansen thought it would rise 4.2 in '88 and revised it to 2.8 in '08. Monckton and crew say 0.5 degrees C rise by 2100. Slide 73. http://www.docstoc.com/docs/13460116/Lord-Christopher-Moncktons-Power-Point-Bethel-University--Global-Climate-Change-Conference-Oct-14-2009 These guys say the IPCC is underestimating everything. Hold onto your hat, Larry. They say the sky is, indeed, falling even faster than dreaded. shudderNOT -- Every day above ground is a Good Day(tm). ----------- |
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