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Metalworking (rec.crafts.metalworking) Discuss various aspects of working with metal, such as machining, welding, metal joining, screwing, casting, hardening/tempering, blacksmithing/forging, spinning and hammer work, sheet metal work. |
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#1
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
This week’s NOVA is about micro-technology including something about
pill-cameras (recently discussed here). It is the second show of the 4-part “Making Stuff” series (Stronger, Smaller, Cleaner and Smarter). Next week's show features Jay Leno, his collection of cars and new car and energy technology. A local PBS radio show, I follow, interviewed the show’s host, David Pogue (a NY Times science correspondent). He mentioned one funny thing about the pillcam that was probably an aside to the TV broadcast (I haven’t seen it yet). Doctors instruct patients that when the pill-cam completes it’s “journey”, they don’t have to worry about it and can flush it down the toilet. Yet when they review the video, they will often see a hand fishing it out of the toilet and fingers busily washing the camera off with soap and water. gross, but funny |
#2
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
Denis G. wrote:
This week?s NOVA is about micro-technology including something about pill-cameras (recently discussed here). It is the second show of the 4-part ?Making Stuff? series (Stronger, Smaller, Cleaner and Smarter). Next week's show features Jay Leno, his collection of cars and new car and energy technology. A local PBS radio show, I follow, interviewed the show?s host, David Pogue (a NY Times science correspondent). He mentioned one funny thing about the pillcam that was probably an aside to the TV broadcast (I haven?t seen it yet). Doctors instruct patients that when the pill-cam completes it?s ?journey?, they don?t have to worry about it and can flush it down the toilet. Yet when they review the video, they will often see a hand fishing it out of the toilet and fingers busily washing the camera off with soap and water. gross, but funny I was a lot more disappointed with that show than most people probably were. Even more so than I expected to be. Early in the show, they're doing a bit on wris****ches. He does a brief thumbnail history of the pendulum, which he calls an "oscillator," and when you see a close-up of an escapement, he's still calling it the "oscillator." Then, he segues into making clocks not need a pendulum, and he says the answer was a "mainspring." Well, that's just crap. The revolutionary thing wasn't the "mainspring," they'd been running stuff off springs for decades if not centuries! The _real_ revolution in chronometry came with the _hairspring_ and the balance wheel, which didn't even get mentioned! At that point, I thought, man if they're that stupid this early in the show, how credible is anything else he tells me? And when they got to the segment about silicon chips, after about the third time the guy said, "siliKAHN" I wanted to strangle him. Thanks for the opportunity to vent; I feel much better now. :-) Cheers! Rich |
#3
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
Denis G. wrote:
This week?s NOVA is about micro-technology including something about pill-cameras (recently discussed here). It is the second show of the 4-part ?Making Stuff? series (Stronger, Smaller, Cleaner and Smarter). Next week's show features Jay Leno, his collection of cars and new car and energy technology. A local PBS radio show, I follow, interviewed the show?s host, David Pogue (a NY Times science correspondent). He mentioned one funny thing about the pillcam that was probably an aside to the TV broadcast (I haven?t seen it yet). Doctors instruct patients that when the pill-cam completes it?s ?journey?, they don?t have to worry about it and can flush it down the toilet. Yet when they review the video, they will often see a hand fishing it out of the toilet and fingers busily washing the camera off with soap and water. gross, but funny I saw a sitcom where some guy swallowed a diamond ring and then crapped in a colander until he found it. Cheers! Rich |
#4
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
On Jan 27, 4:07*am, Rich Grise wrote:
Denis G. wrote: This week?s NOVA is about micro-technology including something about pill-cameras (recently discussed here). *It is the second show of the 4-part ?Making Stuff? series (Stronger, Smaller, Cleaner and Smarter). *Next week's show features Jay Leno, his collection of cars and new car and energy technology. *A local PBS radio show, I follow, interviewed the show?s host, David Pogue (a NY Times science correspondent). *He mentioned one funny thing about the pillcam that was probably an aside to the TV broadcast (I haven?t seen it yet). Doctors instruct patients that when the pill-cam completes it?s ?journey?, they don?t have to worry about it and can flush it down the toilet. *Yet when they review the video, they will often see a hand fishing it out of the toilet and fingers busily washing the camera off with soap and water. *gross, but funny I was a lot more disappointed with that show than most people probably were. *Even more so than I expected to be. Early in the show, they're doing a bit on wris****ches. He does a brief thumbnail history of the pendulum, which he calls an "oscillator," and when you see a close-up of an escapement, he's still calling it the "oscillator." Then, he segues into making clocks not need a pendulum, and he says the answer was a "mainspring." Well, that's just crap. The revolutionary thing wasn't the "mainspring," they'd been running stuff off springs for decades if not centuries! The _real_ revolution in chronometry came with the _hairspring_ and the balance wheel, which didn't even get mentioned! At that point, I thought, man if they're that stupid this early in the show, how credible is anything else he tells me? And when they got to the segment about silicon chips, after about the third time the guy said, "siliKAHN" I wanted to strangle him. Thanks for the opportunity to vent; I feel much better now. :-) Cheers! Rich NOVA has become total goo-goo-gaa-gaa science, and is now intended for kids. I wish they would replay the original shows I remember from 1976, these were not dumb down. Oh well, the intent is to get more kids in science. Just what I need more kids that are academic, and have no "knack". ignator |
#5
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
On Jan 27, 9:09*am, ignator wrote:
On Jan 27, 4:07*am, Rich Grise wrote: Denis G. wrote: This week?s NOVA is about micro-technology including something about pill-cameras (recently discussed here). *It is the second show of the 4-part ?Making Stuff? series (Stronger, Smaller, Cleaner and Smarter). *Next week's show features Jay Leno, his collection of cars and new car and energy technology. *A local PBS radio show, I follow, interviewed the show?s host, David Pogue (a NY Times science correspondent). *He mentioned one funny thing about the pillcam that was probably an aside to the TV broadcast (I haven?t seen it yet). Doctors instruct patients that when the pill-cam completes it?s ?journey?, they don?t have to worry about it and can flush it down the toilet. *Yet when they review the video, they will often see a hand fishing it out of the toilet and fingers busily washing the camera off with soap and water. *gross, but funny I was a lot more disappointed with that show than most people probably were. *Even more so than I expected to be. Early in the show, they're doing a bit on wris****ches. He does a brief thumbnail history of the pendulum, which he calls an "oscillator," and when you see a close-up of an escapement, he's still calling it the "oscillator." Then, he segues into making clocks not need a pendulum, and he says the answer was a "mainspring." Well, that's just crap. The revolutionary thing wasn't the "mainspring," they'd been running stuff off springs for decades if not centuries! The _real_ revolution in chronometry came with the _hairspring_ and the balance wheel, which didn't even get mentioned! At that point, I thought, man if they're that stupid this early in the show, how credible is anything else he tells me? And when they got to the segment about silicon chips, after about the third time the guy said, "siliKAHN" I wanted to strangle him. Thanks for the opportunity to vent; I feel much better now. :-) Cheers! Rich NOVA has become total goo-goo-gaa-gaa science, and is now intended for kids. *I wish they would replay the original shows I remember from 1976, these were not dumb down. *Oh well, the intent is to get more kids in science. *Just what I need more kids that are academic, and have no "knack". ignator Same with scientific american- they dialed the smarts waaaay back. Dave |
#6
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
On Thu, 27 Jan 2011 02:07:25 -0800, Rich Grise
wrote: Denis G. wrote: This week?s NOVA is about micro-technology including something about pill-cameras (recently discussed here). It is the second show of the 4-part ?Making Stuff? series (Stronger, Smaller, Cleaner and Smarter). Next week's show features Jay Leno, his collection of cars and new car and energy technology. A local PBS radio show, I follow, interviewed the show?s host, David Pogue (a NY Times science correspondent). He mentioned one funny thing about the pillcam that was probably an aside to the TV broadcast (I haven?t seen it yet). Doctors instruct patients that when the pill-cam completes it?s ?journey?, they don?t have to worry about it and can flush it down the toilet. Yet when they review the video, they will often see a hand fishing it out of the toilet and fingers busily washing the camera off with soap and water. gross, but funny I was a lot more disappointed with that show than most people probably were. Even more so than I expected to be. NOVA and Nature (George Page's baby, RIP sniffle) used to be much better shows. Political correctness and less intelligence crept in. Early in the show, they're doing a bit on wris****ches. He does a brief thumbnail history of the pendulum, which he calls an "oscillator," and when you see a close-up of an escapement, he's still calling it the "oscillator." Then, he segues into making clocks not need a pendulum, and he says the answer was a "mainspring." Well, that's just crap. The revolutionary thing wasn't the "mainspring," they'd been running stuff off springs for decades if not centuries! The _real_ revolution in chronometry came with the _hairspring_ and the balance wheel, which didn't even get mentioned! At that point, I thought, man if they're that stupid this early in the show, how credible is anything else he tells me? Hey, they have to dumb it down so everyone who didn't graduate from what they graciously call "schools" here now could understand it. And when they got to the segment about silicon chips, after about the third time the guy said, "siliKAHN" I wanted to strangle him. Um, silicon is pronounced "silikahn" while silicone is pronounced "silicone". Silicon (chips) is elemental while silicone (rubber stuff) is a manmade compound. Pronunciation differs. Whassamattayou? Thanks for the opportunity to vent; I feel much better now. :-) Heavier now, I presume? -- Ask not what the world needs. Ask what makes you come alive... then go do it. Because what the world needs is people who have come alive. -- Howard Thurman |
#7
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
On Thu, 27 Jan 2011 02:11:39 -0800, Rich Grise
wrote: I saw a sitcom where some guy swallowed a diamond ring and then crapped in a colander until he found it. That suuuuuure makes me miss watching TV... Well, that one lived up to its name: a ****com. -- Ask not what the world needs. Ask what makes you come alive... then go do it. Because what the world needs is people who have come alive. -- Howard Thurman |
#8
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
Larry Jaques wrote:
On Thu, 27 Jan 2011 02:11:39 -0800, Rich Grise wrote: I saw a sitcom where some guy swallowed a diamond ring and then crapped in a colander until he found it. That suuuuuure makes me miss watching TV... Well, that one lived up to its name: a ****com. -- Ask not what the world needs. Ask what makes you come alive... then go do it. Because what the world needs is people who have come alive. -- Howard Thurman I went to the local VA clinic this morning for blood work. "I dream of Jennie" was on the TV in the waiting room. Sad... -- Richard Lamb email me: web site: http://www.home.earthlink.net/~cavelamb |
#9
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
--Disappointing. Lots of 'they made it smaller' but nothing about
HOW they made it smaller. Harrumph. -- "Steamboat Ed" Haas : Steel, Stainless, Titanium: Hacking the Trailing Edge! : Guaranteed Uncertified Welding! www.nmpproducts.com ---Decks a-wash in a sea of words--- |
#10
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
ignator wrote:
On Jan 27, 4:07*am, Rich Grise wrote: ... And when they got to the segment about silicon chips, after about the third time the guy said, "siliKAHN" I wanted to strangle him. Thanks for the opportunity to vent; I feel much better now. :-) NOVA has become total goo-goo-gaa-gaa science, and is now intended for kids. I wish they would replay the original shows I remember from 1976, these were not dumb down. Oh well, the intent is to get more kids in science. Just what I need more kids that are academic, and have no "knack". Yabbut, doesn't that make it even more important that they at least be accurate? "For the chillllldruuuuuuunnnnn," you know. Thanks, Rich |
#11
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
Dave__67 wrote:
On Jan 27, 9:09*am, ignator wrote: NOVA has become total goo-goo-gaa-gaa science, and is now intended for kids. *I wish they would replay the original shows I remember from 1976, these were not dumb down. *Oh well, the intent is to get more kids in science. *Just what I need more kids that are academic, and have no "knack". Same with scientific american- they dialed the smarts waaaay back. I used to have a supscription to SA; I dropped it in the 1970's when they went warmingist. Thanks, Rich |
#12
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
On Jan 27, 12:34*pm, steamer wrote:
* * * * --Disappointing. Lots of 'they made it smaller' but nothing about HOW they made it smaller. Harrumph. -- * * * * "Steamboat Ed" Haas * * * * : *Steel, Stainless, Titanium: * * * * * Hacking the Trailing Edge! *: *Guaranteed Uncertified Welding! * * * * * * * * * * * * *www.nmpproducts.com * * * * * * * * * *---Decks a-wash in a sea of words--- I finished watching it, and I guess that your criticism and that of the others unfortunately fits. It was a bit breezy. I guess that the target audience if really for the non-technical. I was drawn in by the promotion of the show, but now that I've learned my lesson, I'll return to whatever else I was doing. |
#13
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
On Thu, 27 Jan 2011 08:33:38 -0800, Larry Jaques wrote:
On Thu, 27 Jan 2011 02:07:25 -0800, Rich Grise wrote: Denis G. wrote: This week?s NOVA is about micro-technology [...] second show of the 4-part ?Making Stuff? series (Stronger, Smaller, Cleaner and Smarter). I was a lot more disappointed with that show than most people probably were. Even more so than I expected to be. The first show of the series, about stronger materials, was reasonably good (and far above my expectations for it) although in many places technical details were lacking that should have been included. Stupid, flashing screen cuts and horrid, irritating background music (which have been problems with many of the Nova Science Now programs) were notably absent. And when they got to the segment about silicon chips, after about the third time the guy said, "siliKAHN" I wanted to strangle him. Um, silicon is pronounced "silikahn" while silicone is pronounced "silicone". Silicon (chips) is elemental while silicone (rubber stuff) is a manmade compound. Pronunciation differs. Whassamattayou? Perhaps he wants them to say it like "silikun", ie, have the last syllable rhyme with gun rather than gone. Ie, "...cone" not an issue. Pronunciation shown at http://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/silicon is "IPA: /ˈsɪlɪkən/", and elsewhere online, "\ˈsi-li-kən, ˈsi-lə-ˌkän\". For the pronunciation meaning of ə (a turned (rotated) lower-case e) see chart with mid-central vowel, near the middle of http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Phonetic_Alphabet. (But note that http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mid-central_vowel says, "this symbol does not specifically represent an unrounded vowel, and is frequently used for almost any unstressed obscure vowel".) -- jiw |
#14
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
On Thu, 27 Jan 2011 19:57:26 +0000 (UTC), James Waldby
wrote: On Thu, 27 Jan 2011 08:33:38 -0800, Larry Jaques wrote: On Thu, 27 Jan 2011 02:07:25 -0800, Rich Grise wrote: Denis G. wrote: This week?s NOVA is about micro-technology [...] second show of the 4-part ?Making Stuff? series (Stronger, Smaller, Cleaner and Smarter). I was a lot more disappointed with that show than most people probably were. Even more so than I expected to be. The first show of the series, about stronger materials, was reasonably good (and far above my expectations for it) although in many places technical details were lacking that should have been included. Stupid, flashing screen cuts and horrid, irritating background music (which have been problems with many of the Nova Science Now programs) were notably absent. And when they got to the segment about silicon chips, after about the third time the guy said, "siliKAHN" I wanted to strangle him. Um, silicon is pronounced "silikahn" while silicone is pronounced "silicone". Silicon (chips) is elemental while silicone (rubber stuff) is a manmade compound. Pronunciation differs. Whassamattayou? Perhaps he wants them to say it like "silikun", ie, have the last syllable rhyme with gun rather than gone. Ie, "...cone" not an issue. I guess it could be. I'm always gritting my teeth when someone says "Hand me the silicon caulk." or that so-and-so is made with "silicone chips". I'm less sensitive to "kun" vs "kahn", myself. -- Ask not what the world needs. Ask what makes you come alive... then go do it. Because what the world needs is people who have come alive. -- Howard Thurman |
#15
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
James Waldby wrote:
On Thu, 27 Jan 2011 08:33:38 -0800, Larry Jaques wrote: On Thu, 27 Jan 2011 02:07:25 -0800, Rich Grise wrote: Denis G. wrote: This week?s NOVA is about micro-technology [...] second show of the 4-part ?Making Stuff? series (Stronger, Smaller, Cleaner and Smarter). I was a lot more disappointed with that show than most people probably were. Even more so than I expected to be. The first show of the series, about stronger materials, was reasonably good (and far above my expectations for it) although in many places technical details were lacking that should have been included. Stupid, flashing screen cuts and horrid, irritating background music (which have been problems with many of the Nova Science Now programs) were notably absent. And when they got to the segment about silicon chips, after about the third time the guy said, "siliKAHN" I wanted to strangle him. Um, silicon is pronounced "silikahn" while silicone is pronounced "silicone". Silicon (chips) is elemental while silicone (rubber stuff) is a manmade compound. Pronunciation differs. Whassamattayou? Perhaps he wants them to say it like "silikun", ie, have the last syllable rhyme with gun rather than gone. Ie, "...cone" not an issue. Pronunciation shown at http://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/silicon is "IPA: /?s?l?k?n/", and elsewhere online, "\?si-li-k?n, ?si-l?-?kän\". For the pronunciation meaning of ? (a turned (rotated) lower-case e) see chart with mid-central vowel, near the middle of http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Phonetic_Alphabet. (But note that http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mid-central_vowel says, "this symbol does not specifically represent an unrounded vowel, and is frequently used for almost any unstressed obscure vowel".) Yeah - the schwa. It irks me no end that the extended ascii guys didn't include that one. But I did find a lot of words that are pronounced like "silicon" the right way, most notably "carbon." You wouldn't say, "carBAHN," would you? ;-) Here's a few: abandon apron arson bacon badminton bandwagon baron beacon beckon bison bourbon burgeon button cannon canon canyon carbon carton cauldron chairperson at which point I quit picking and choosing, because it was getting boring. Cheers! Rich |
#16
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
Larry Jaques wrote:
On Thu, 27 Jan 2011 19:57:26 +0000 (UTC), James Waldby On Thu, 27 Jan 2011 08:33:38 -0800, Larry Jaques wrote: On Thu, 27 Jan 2011 02:07:25 -0800, Rich Grise wrote: Denis G. wrote: This week?s NOVA is about micro-technology [...] second show of the 4-part ?Making Stuff? series (Stronger, Smaller, Cleaner and Smarter). I was a lot more disappointed with that show than most people probably were. Even more so than I expected to be. The first show of the series, about stronger materials, was reasonably good (and far above my expectations for it) although in many places technical details were lacking that should have been included. Stupid, flashing screen cuts and horrid, irritating background music (which have been problems with many of the Nova Science Now programs) were notably absent. And when they got to the segment about silicon chips, after about the third time the guy said, "siliKAHN" I wanted to strangle him. Um, silicon is pronounced "silikahn" while silicone is pronounced "silicone". Silicon (chips) is elemental while silicone (rubber stuff) is a manmade compound. Pronunciation differs. Whassamattayou? Perhaps he wants them to say it like "silikun", ie, have the last syllable rhyme with gun rather than gone. Ie, "...cone" not an issue. I guess it could be. I'm always gritting my teeth when someone says "Hand me the silicon caulk." or that so-and-so is made with "silicone chips". I'm less sensitive to "kun" vs "kahn", myself. In one of Asimov's articles in "F&SF" around the time of the moon shot(s), he was complaining about the NASA talking heads calling everything "looNAHR." He speculated that it was some kind of thing about "radar" or "sonar" being all modernistic and scientifical and stuff. ;-) Cheers! Rich |
#17
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
ignator wrote in
rec.crafts.metalworking on Thu, 27 Jan 2011 06:09:31 -0800 (PST): NOVA has become total goo-goo-gaa-gaa science, and is now intended for kids. I wish they would replay the original shows I remember from 1976, these were not dumb down. Oh well, the intent is to get more kids in science. Just what I need more kids that are academic, and have no "knack". You would like "connections" a BBC production from the 1970s. A little dated, but still good. -- Dan H. northshore MA. |
#18
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
dan wrote: ignator wrote in rec.crafts.metalworking on Thu, 27 Jan 2011 06:09:31 -0800 (PST): NOVA has become total goo-goo-gaa-gaa science, and is now intended for kids. I wish they would replay the original shows I remember from 1976, these were not dumb down. Oh well, the intent is to get more kids in science. Just what I need more kids that are academic, and have no "knack". You would like "connections" a BBC production from the 1970s. A little dated, but still good. Connections was more than good, it was spectacularly good, and unlike the noted current NOVA schlock, it had plenty of detail. There is a book available and I believe you can get it on DVD now as well. |
#19
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
Pete C. wrote:
dan wrote: ignator wrote in NOVA has become total goo-goo-gaa-gaa science, and is now intended for kids. I wish they would replay the original shows I remember from 1976, these were not dumb down. Oh well, the intent is to get more kids in science. Just what I need more kids that are academic, and have no "knack". You would like "connections" a BBC production from the 1970s. A little dated, but still good. Connections was more than good, it was spectacularly good, and unlike the noted current NOVA schlock, it had plenty of detail. There is a book available and I believe you can get it on DVD now as well. Yes, I concur. James something-or-other, I think. Burke? One of his shows climaxed in "an atomic bomb dramatic pause in a _suitcase_! =:-O" Cheers! Rich |
#20
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
On 01/27/2011 04:48 PM, dan wrote:
You would like "connections" a BBC production from the 1970s. A little dated, but still good. Try it before you buy it. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OcSxL8GUn-g James Burke "Connections" I didn't look up "The Secret Life of Machines" series but it was around shortly after "Connection" ISTR. technomaNge -- |
#21
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
technomaNge wrote:
On 01/27/2011 04:48 PM, dan wrote: You would like "connections" a BBC production from the 1970s. A little dated, but still good. Try it before you buy it. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OcSxL8GUn-g James Burke "Connections" I didn't look up "The Secret Life of Machines" series but it was around shortly after "Connection" ISTR. Very Cool! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LjhyTcOy124 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Jbk1uU_Jkk Etc Etc. --Winston |
#22
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
technomaNge wrote:
On 01/27/2011 04:48 PM, dan wrote: You would like "connections" a BBC production from the 1970s. A little dated, but still good. Try it before you buy it. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OcSxL8GUn-g James Burke "Connections" I didn't look up "The Secret Life of Machines" series but it was around shortly after "Connection" ISTR. technomaNge cartoons: http://www.secretlifeofmachines.com/ videos: http://www.secretlifeofmachines.com/the_tv_series.shtml -- Richard Lamb email me: web site: http://www.home.earthlink.net/~cavelamb |
#23
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
Dave__67 wrote:
Same with scientific american- they dialed the smarts waaaay back. Dave Well when the educational system deteriorates to the point that graduates can hardly read let alone spell the media (print and TV) have to degrade along with it to be able to keep the "public" interested enough to watch/read. If you want technical details you have to read the technical journals. Not depend on the Pablum that TV dishes out. :-) ...lew... |
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
Rich Grise wrote:
Dave__67 wrote: On Jan 27, 9:09 am, ignator wrote: NOVA has become total goo-goo-gaa-gaa science, and is now intended for kids. I wish they would replay the original shows I remember from 1976, these were not dumb down. Oh well, the intent is to get more kids in science. Just what I need more kids that are academic, and have no "knack". Same with scientific american- they dialed the smarts waaaay back. I used to have a supscription to SA; I dropped it in the 1970's when they went warmingist. Thanks, Rich I dropped mine when they went anti-nuclear about the late 50s, I think. (may have been into the 60s) About the same time it became about 90 % Biological. ...lew... |
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
On Thu, 27 Jan 2011 21:08:12 -0800, Winston
wrote: technomaNge wrote: On 01/27/2011 04:48 PM, dan wrote: You would like "connections" a BBC production from the 1970s. A little dated, but still good. Try it before you buy it. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OcSxL8GUn-g James Burke "Connections" I didn't look up "The Secret Life of Machines" series but it was around shortly after "Connection" ISTR. Very Cool! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LjhyTcOy124 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Jbk1uU_Jkk Etc Etc. --Winston Funny how things come back around. Watched the first video, just cause I liked that show back when. That guy was entertaining, IIRC he was a brute along with his bro. at taking things apart. Anyhow, I knew it, brine! I've been kicking that around for some time now and forgetting to follow up on it. I have a 517 gallon fiberglass double walled solar storage tank that I got from the late Sammy Davis Jr. that is sitting in the corner of my shop. I can't afford to fill it, the in-floor heating, and future solar experiments with antifreeze so maybe this is the ticket. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brine Anyone know about saturated salt water and sodium chloride with metal and plastic? I don't even know the difference, but have heard they use the latter in tractor tires up here and it is as costly as antifreeze. Salt water seems to be safer than antifreeze if it all leaked out. As for the OP, yeah, they never tell the really cool stuff, like how it is done. Can't be that much of a secret in the industry. http://listverse.com/2010/02/06/top-...le-miniatures/ SW |
#26
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
On Fri, 28 Jan 2011 09:26:04 -0700, Lewis Hartswick
wrote: Rich Grise wrote: Dave__67 wrote: On Jan 27, 9:09 am, ignator wrote: NOVA has become total goo-goo-gaa-gaa science, and is now intended for kids. I wish they would replay the original shows I remember from 1976, these were not dumb down. Oh well, the intent is to get more kids in science. Just what I need more kids that are academic, and have no "knack". Same with scientific american- they dialed the smarts waaaay back. I used to have a supscription to SA; I dropped it in the 1970's when they went warmingist. Uh, don't you mean "coldingist", sir? The exact same data (up to that year) they're looking at now -used- to point to another ice age, remember? All I can say for sure is that "climate" scientists have a long, long way to go, both in understanding and modeling, before they're accurate. Humans can't predict squat...yet. Humans 0, Mother Nature 1. I dropped mine when they went anti-nuclear about the late 50s, I think. (may have been into the 60s) About the same time it became about 90 % Biological. Those fuels! -- Ask not what the world needs. Ask what makes you come alive... then go do it. Because what the world needs is people who have come alive. -- Howard Thurman |
#27
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
"Larry Jaques" wrote in message ... On Fri, 28 Jan 2011 09:26:04 -0700, Lewis Hartswick wrote: Rich Grise wrote: Dave__67 wrote: On Jan 27, 9:09 am, ignator wrote: NOVA has become total goo-goo-gaa-gaa science, and is now intended for kids. I wish they would replay the original shows I remember from 1976, these were not dumb down. Oh well, the intent is to get more kids in science. Just what I need more kids that are academic, and have no "knack". Same with scientific american- they dialed the smarts waaaay back. I used to have a supscription to SA; I dropped it in the 1970's when they went warmingist. Uh, don't you mean "coldingist", sir? The exact same data (up to that year) they're looking at now -used- to point to another ice age, remember? All I can say for sure is that "climate" scientists have a long, long way to go, both in understanding and modeling, before they're accurate. Humans can't predict squat...yet. Humans 0, Mother Nature 1. No, not really. There were a few speculative papers talking about a possible cooling trend that were picked up and sensationalized in 1975 by Newsweek and others. Even then, by far, most published research pointed to warming not cooling. Pretty much all papers back then emphasized the need to more study and more computer power. See here for more info: http://www.skepticalscience.com/ice-...s-in-1970s.htm You stated above: "All I can say for sure is that "climate" scientists have a long, long way to go, both in understanding and modeling, before they're accurate." That would have been be an accurate conclusion 36 years ago, and that is why you did not hear a call to action back then even if you did catch pieces of the scientific debate. However, A lot of progress has been made in 36 years, and the fundamental question of human-produced CO2 causing warming is settled in the minds practically every one who has any expert knowledge in the subject. |
#28
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
Sunworshipper wrote: On Thu, 27 Jan 2011 21:08:12 -0800, Winston wrote: technomaNge wrote: On 01/27/2011 04:48 PM, dan wrote: You would like "connections" a BBC production from the 1970s. A little dated, but still good. Try it before you buy it. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OcSxL8GUn-g James Burke "Connections" I didn't look up "The Secret Life of Machines" series but it was around shortly after "Connection" ISTR. Very Cool! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LjhyTcOy124 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Jbk1uU_Jkk Etc Etc. --Winston Funny how things come back around. Watched the first video, just cause I liked that show back when. That guy was entertaining, IIRC he was a brute along with his bro. at taking things apart. Anyhow, I knew it, brine! I've been kicking that around for some time now and forgetting to follow up on it. I have a 517 gallon fiberglass double walled solar storage tank that I got from the late Sammy Davis Jr. that is sitting in the corner of my shop. I can't afford to fill it, the in-floor heating, and future solar experiments with antifreeze so maybe this is the ticket. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brine Anyone know about saturated salt water and sodium chloride with metal and plastic? I don't even know the difference, but have heard they use the latter in tractor tires up here and it is as costly as antifreeze. Salt water seems to be safer than antifreeze if it all leaked out. As for the OP, yeah, they never tell the really cool stuff, like how it is done. Can't be that much of a secret in the industry. http://listverse.com/2010/02/06/top-...le-miniatures/ SW Calcium chloride is what they use in tractor tire ballast solution, same stuff used for sidewalk ice melt. |
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
On Fri, 28 Jan 2011 13:12:22 -0800, "anorton"
wrote: "Larry Jaques" wrote in message .. . On Fri, 28 Jan 2011 09:26:04 -0700, Lewis Hartswick wrote: Rich Grise wrote: Dave__67 wrote: On Jan 27, 9:09 am, ignator wrote: NOVA has become total goo-goo-gaa-gaa science, and is now intended for kids. I wish they would replay the original shows I remember from 1976, these were not dumb down. Oh well, the intent is to get more kids in science. Just what I need more kids that are academic, and have no "knack". Same with scientific american- they dialed the smarts waaaay back. I used to have a supscription to SA; I dropped it in the 1970's when they went warmingist. Uh, don't you mean "coldingist", sir? The exact same data (up to that year) they're looking at now -used- to point to another ice age, remember? All I can say for sure is that "climate" scientists have a long, long way to go, both in understanding and modeling, before they're accurate. Humans can't predict squat...yet. Humans 0, Mother Nature 1. No, not really. There were a few speculative papers talking about a possible cooling trend that were picked up and sensationalized in 1975 by Newsweek and others. Even then, by far, most published research pointed to warming not cooling. Pretty much all papers back then emphasized the need to more study and more computer power. See here for more info: http://www.skepticalscience.com/ice-...s-in-1970s.htm I remember many headlines about ice and can't remember any about warming from back then, and I took up the environmental sword at that time. I've been recycling, reducing, and reusing for 40 years. That site you linked is run by an Aussie AGWKer who usurped the skeptic name, the blackguard. sigh You stated above: "All I can say for sure is that "climate" scientists have a long, long way to go, both in understanding and modeling, before they're accurate." That would have been be an accurate conclusion 36 years ago, and that is why you did not hear a call to action back then even if you did catch pieces of the scientific debate. However, A lot of progress has been made in 36 years, and the fundamental question of human-produced CO2 causing warming is settled in the minds practically every one who has any expert knowledge in the subject. OK, show me a single one of those "climate" scientists who can make their current modeling software -accurately- predict the future. Hell, they can't even make it track the _past_ accurately, and they have exact data for that. Go ahead, prove me wrong. Jayzuss, I can't believe that, even after the scandals about doctoring data and keeping skeptic papers from getting published, you bastids still don't accept facts and can't see that the burning wool is being pulled over your eyes by scam artists going for the enviro-loot. deep sigh -- We're all here because we're not all there. |
#30
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
Larry Jaques wrote:
On Fri, 28 Jan 2011 09:26:04 -0700, Lewis Hartswick wrote: Rich Grise wrote: Dave__67 wrote: On Jan 27, 9:09 am, ignator wrote: NOVA has become total goo-goo-gaa-gaa science, and is now intended for kids. I wish they would replay the original shows I remember from 1976, these were not dumb down. Oh well, the intent is to get more kids in science. Just what I need more kids that are academic, and have no "knack". Same with scientific american- they dialed the smarts waaaay back. I used to have a supscription to SA; I dropped it in the 1970's when they went warmingist. Uh, don't you mean "coldingist", sir? Now that everybody's pointed this out, maybe it was the Great Ozone Hoax that disgusted me. Thanks, Rich |
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
On Fri, 28 Jan 2011 21:09:39 -0800, Rich Grise
wrote: Larry Jaques wrote: On Fri, 28 Jan 2011 09:26:04 -0700, Lewis Hartswick wrote: Rich Grise wrote: Dave__67 wrote: On Jan 27, 9:09 am, ignator wrote: NOVA has become total goo-goo-gaa-gaa science, and is now intended for kids. I wish they would replay the original shows I remember from 1976, these were not dumb down. Oh well, the intent is to get more kids in science. Just what I need more kids that are academic, and have no "knack". Same with scientific american- they dialed the smarts waaaay back. I used to have a supscription to SA; I dropped it in the 1970's when they went warmingist. Uh, don't you mean "coldingist", sir? Now that everybody's pointed this out, maybe it was the Great Ozone Hoax that disgusted me. Don't they _all_? -- We're all here because we're not all there. |
#32
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
"Larry Jaques" wrote in message ... On Fri, 28 Jan 2011 13:12:22 -0800, "anorton" wrote: "Larry Jaques" wrote in message . .. On Fri, 28 Jan 2011 09:26:04 -0700, Lewis Hartswick wrote: Rich Grise wrote: Dave__67 wrote: On Jan 27, 9:09 am, ignator wrote: NOVA has become total goo-goo-gaa-gaa science, and is now intended for kids. I wish they would replay the original shows I remember from 1976, these were not dumb down. Oh well, the intent is to get more kids in science. Just what I need more kids that are academic, and have no "knack". Same with scientific american- they dialed the smarts waaaay back. I used to have a supscription to SA; I dropped it in the 1970's when they went warmingist. Uh, don't you mean "coldingist", sir? The exact same data (up to that year) they're looking at now -used- to point to another ice age, remember? All I can say for sure is that "climate" scientists have a long, long way to go, both in understanding and modeling, before they're accurate. Humans can't predict squat...yet. Humans 0, Mother Nature 1. No, not really. There were a few speculative papers talking about a possible cooling trend that were picked up and sensationalized in 1975 by Newsweek and others. Even then, by far, most published research pointed to warming not cooling. Pretty much all papers back then emphasized the need to more study and more computer power. See here for more info: http://www.skepticalscience.com/ice-...s-in-1970s.htm I remember many headlines about ice and can't remember any about warming from back then, and I took up the environmental sword at that time. I've been recycling, reducing, and reusing for 40 years. That site you linked is run by an Aussie AGWKer who usurped the skeptic name, the blackguard. sigh You stated above: "All I can say for sure is that "climate" scientists have a long, long way to go, both in understanding and modeling, before they're accurate." That would have been be an accurate conclusion 36 years ago, and that is why you did not hear a call to action back then even if you did catch pieces of the scientific debate. However, A lot of progress has been made in 36 years, and the fundamental question of human-produced CO2 causing warming is settled in the minds practically every one who has any expert knowledge in the subject. OK, show me a single one of those "climate" scientists who can make their current modeling software -accurately- predict the future. Hell, they can't even make it track the _past_ accurately, and they have exact data for that. Go ahead, prove me wrong. I am sorry, but these statements about models are just pure propaganda. For past correlation see for example the plot on the second page of this paper: http://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/docs/2005/...sen_etal_1.pdf This whole myth about inaccurate models started with this fellow's testimony to congress in 1988: http://www.cato.org/testimony/ct-pm072998.html He falsified the data by omission by excluding Hansen's most likely scenarios. Future predictions of various models with various assumptions can be found he http://www.ig.utexas.edu/people/staf..._predictio.htm Yes they differ, but they all predict warming. What convinces me is not even the models. You can do the calculation on paper to find the LEAST possible effect: http://www.hfranzen.org/GWPPT6.pdf Jayzuss, I can't believe that, even after the scandals about doctoring data and keeping skeptic papers from getting published, you bastids still don't accept facts and can't see that the burning wool is being pulled over your eyes by scam artists going for the enviro-loot. deep sigh Another hallmark of propaganda is yesterday's unfounded and discredited accusation is today's fact. No one has been found after investigations to have doctored data (and there have been a lot of accusations thrown around). There was the IPCC incident which involved an exagerated conclusion by one of the technocrats writing the report (they repeated the conclusion of an older paper about Himalyan glaciers that had previously been shown to be incorrect). This was brought to light by other scientists who had contributed to the report (not a very indicative of a conspiracy is it). If you have a good background in physics you can look at the paper calculations yourself. If not, you either believe there is this vast conspiracy of tens of thousands of people lasting for 35 or 40 years or you do not. -- We're all here because we're not all there. |
#33
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
anorton wrote:
"Larry Jaques" wrote in message ... On Fri, 28 Jan 2011 13:12:22 -0800, "anorton" wrote: "Larry Jaques" wrote in message ... On Fri, 28 Jan 2011 09:26:04 -0700, Lewis Hartswick wrote: Rich Grise wrote: Dave__67 wrote: On Jan 27, 9:09 am, ignator wrote: NOVA has become total goo-goo-gaa-gaa science, and is now intended for kids. I wish they would replay the original shows I remember from 1976, these were not dumb down. Oh well, the intent is to get more kids in science. Just what I need more kids that are academic, and have no "knack". Same with scientific american- they dialed the smarts waaaay back. I used to have a supscription to SA; I dropped it in the 1970's when they went warmingist. Uh, don't you mean "coldingist", sir? The exact same data (up to that year) they're looking at now -used- to point to another ice age, remember? All I can say for sure is that "climate" scientists have a long, long way to go, both in understanding and modeling, before they're accurate. Humans can't predict squat...yet. Humans 0, Mother Nature 1. No, not really. There were a few speculative papers talking about a possible cooling trend that were picked up and sensationalized in 1975 by Newsweek and others. Even then, by far, most published research pointed to warming not cooling. Pretty much all papers back then emphasized the need to more study and more computer power. See here for more info: http://www.skepticalscience.com/ice-...s-in-1970s.htm I remember many headlines about ice and can't remember any about warming from back then, and I took up the environmental sword at that time. I've been recycling, reducing, and reusing for 40 years. That site you linked is run by an Aussie AGWKer who usurped the skeptic name, the blackguard. sigh You stated above: "All I can say for sure is that "climate" scientists have a long, long way to go, both in understanding and modeling, before they're accurate." That would have been be an accurate conclusion 36 years ago, and that is why you did not hear a call to action back then even if you did catch pieces of the scientific debate. However, A lot of progress has been made in 36 years, and the fundamental question of human-produced CO2 causing warming is settled in the minds practically every one who has any expert knowledge in the subject. OK, show me a single one of those "climate" scientists who can make their current modeling software -accurately- predict the future. Hell, they can't even make it track the _past_ accurately, and they have exact data for that. Go ahead, prove me wrong. I am sorry, but these statements about models are just pure propaganda. For past correlation see for example the plot on the second page of this paper: http://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/docs/2005/...sen_etal_1.pdf This whole myth about inaccurate models started with this fellow's testimony to congress in 1988: http://www.cato.org/testimony/ct-pm072998.html He falsified the data by omission by excluding Hansen's most likely scenarios. Future predictions of various models with various assumptions can be found he http://www.ig.utexas.edu/people/staf..._predictio.htm Yes they differ, but they all predict warming. What convinces me is not even the models. You can do the calculation on paper to find the LEAST possible effect: http://www.hfranzen.org/GWPPT6.pdf Jayzuss, I can't believe that, even after the scandals about doctoring data and keeping skeptic papers from getting published, you bastids still don't accept facts and can't see that the burning wool is being pulled over your eyes by scam artists going for the enviro-loot. deep sigh Another hallmark of propaganda is yesterday's unfounded and discredited accusation is today's fact. No one has been found after investigations to have doctored data (and there have been a lot of accusations thrown around). There was the IPCC incident which involved an exagerated conclusion by one of the technocrats writing the report (they repeated the conclusion of an older paper about Himalyan glaciers that had previously been shown to be incorrect). This was brought to light by other scientists who had contributed to the report (not a very indicative of a conspiracy is it). If you have a good background in physics you can look at the paper calculations yourself. If not, you either believe there is this vast conspiracy of tens of thousands of people lasting for 35 or 40 years or you do not. -- We're all here because we're not all there. Excellent points, anorton. But What seems to stick in people's craw is attributing a cause to the effect. -- Richard Lamb email me: web site: http://www.home.earthlink.net/~cavelamb |
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
On Sat, 29 Jan 2011 10:52:16 -0800, "anorton"
wrote: If you have a good background in physics you can look at the paper calculations yourself. If not, you either believe there is this vast conspiracy of tens of thousands of people lasting for 35 or 40 years or you do not. What I see is nature doing its thing, regardless of man, and nothing man can do will change that. If you want to "believe", go for it. Become a Luddite for all I care. Just stop trying to foist it on humanity, eh? We won't change each other's mind, so I'm done here. -- We're all here because we're not all there. |
#35
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
"CaveLamb" wrote in message m... anorton wrote: "Larry Jaques" wrote in message ... On Fri, 28 Jan 2011 13:12:22 -0800, "anorton" wrote: "Larry Jaques" wrote in message ... On Fri, 28 Jan 2011 09:26:04 -0700, Lewis Hartswick wrote: Rich Grise wrote: Dave__67 wrote: On Jan 27, 9:09 am, ignator wrote: NOVA has become total goo-goo-gaa-gaa science, and is now intended for kids. I wish they would replay the original shows I remember from 1976, these were not dumb down. Oh well, the intent is to get more kids in science. Just what I need more kids that are academic, and have no "knack". Same with scientific american- they dialed the smarts waaaay back. I used to have a supscription to SA; I dropped it in the 1970's when they went warmingist. Uh, don't you mean "coldingist", sir? The exact same data (up to that year) they're looking at now -used- to point to another ice age, remember? All I can say for sure is that "climate" scientists have a long, long way to go, both in understanding and modeling, before they're accurate. Humans can't predict squat...yet. Humans 0, Mother Nature 1. No, not really. There were a few speculative papers talking about a possible cooling trend that were picked up and sensationalized in 1975 by Newsweek and others. Even then, by far, most published research pointed to warming not cooling. Pretty much all papers back then emphasized the need to more study and more computer power. See here for more info: http://www.skepticalscience.com/ice-...s-in-1970s.htm I remember many headlines about ice and can't remember any about warming from back then, and I took up the environmental sword at that time. I've been recycling, reducing, and reusing for 40 years. That site you linked is run by an Aussie AGWKer who usurped the skeptic name, the blackguard. sigh You stated above: "All I can say for sure is that "climate" scientists have a long, long way to go, both in understanding and modeling, before they're accurate." That would have been be an accurate conclusion 36 years ago, and that is why you did not hear a call to action back then even if you did catch pieces of the scientific debate. However, A lot of progress has been made in 36 years, and the fundamental question of human-produced CO2 causing warming is settled in the minds practically every one who has any expert knowledge in the subject. OK, show me a single one of those "climate" scientists who can make their current modeling software -accurately- predict the future. Hell, they can't even make it track the _past_ accurately, and they have exact data for that. Go ahead, prove me wrong. I am sorry, but these statements about models are just pure propaganda. For past correlation see for example the plot on the second page of this paper: http://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/docs/2005/...sen_etal_1.pdf This whole myth about inaccurate models started with this fellow's testimony to congress in 1988: http://www.cato.org/testimony/ct-pm072998.html He falsified the data by omission by excluding Hansen's most likely scenarios. Future predictions of various models with various assumptions can be found he http://www.ig.utexas.edu/people/staf..._predictio.htm Yes they differ, but they all predict warming. What convinces me is not even the models. You can do the calculation on paper to find the LEAST possible effect: http://www.hfranzen.org/GWPPT6.pdf Jayzuss, I can't believe that, even after the scandals about doctoring data and keeping skeptic papers from getting published, you bastids still don't accept facts and can't see that the burning wool is being pulled over your eyes by scam artists going for the enviro-loot. deep sigh Another hallmark of propaganda is yesterday's unfounded and discredited accusation is today's fact. No one has been found after investigations to have doctored data (and there have been a lot of accusations thrown around). There was the IPCC incident which involved an exagerated conclusion by one of the technocrats writing the report (they repeated the conclusion of an older paper about Himalyan glaciers that had previously been shown to be incorrect). This was brought to light by other scientists who had contributed to the report (not a very indicative of a conspiracy is it). If you have a good background in physics you can look at the paper calculations yourself. If not, you either believe there is this vast conspiracy of tens of thousands of people lasting for 35 or 40 years or you do not. -- We're all here because we're not all there. Excellent points, anorton. But What seems to stick in people's craw is attributing a cause to the effect. -- Richard Lamb email me: web site: http://www.home.earthlink.net/~cavelamb With either paper calculations or good models, you can vary the causes and see the effects. What is really sticking in peoples' craws is the fear that doing something about it will ruin their lifestyle, ruin the economy and handicap us relative to nations that do not abide by any agreements. All this could happen with bad political policy but that is separate from the science. My take on the policy side is that the current marginal cost of extracting coal or oil is so low that the price will always drop to put out of business any competing alternative, including nuclear. That would be fine if this were the true cost of producing fossil fuels. But the cost to cope with warming effects, fund wars to insure supply, prop up pretend-friendly goverments and accompanying terrorist backlash, and so forth are not included. If they were, the market would find an alternative. I think a good start would be a gradually increasing tax over several years on just imported fossil fuels, and use it to pay off national debt accumulated in Iraq. This will never happen due to the infuence of Saudi Arabia with our goverment and that the fact they are now 2nd largest owners of Fox News and the Wall St. Journal. |
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NOVA show: Making Stuff Smaller
Are you going to "fix" this too??? http://science.nasa.gov/science-news..._stormwarning/ March 10, 2006: It's official: Solar minimum has arrived. Sunspots have all but vanished. Solar flares are nonexistent. The sun is utterly quiet. Like the quiet before a storm. This week researchers announced that a storm is coming--the most intense solar maximum in fifty years. The prediction comes from a team led by Mausumi Dikpati of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). "The next sunspot cycle will be 30% to 50% stronger than the previous one," she says. If correct, the years ahead could produce a burst of solar activity second only to the historic Solar Max of 1958. That was a solar maximum. The Space Age was just beginning: Sputnik was launched in Oct. 1957 and Explorer 1 (the first US satellite) in Jan. 1958. In 1958 you couldn't tell that a solar storm was underway by looking at the bars on your cell phone; cell phones didn't exist. Even so, people knew something big was happening when Northern Lights were sighted three times in Mexico. A similar maximum now would be noticed by its effect on cell phones, GPS, weather satellites and many other modern technologies. Dikpati's prediction is unprecedented. In nearly-two centuries since the 11-year sunspot cycle was discovered, scientists have struggled to predict the size of future maxima—and failed. Solar maxima can be intense, as in 1958, or barely detectable, as in 1805, obeying no obvious pattern. The key to the mystery, Dikpati realized years ago, is a conveyor belt on the sun. We have something similar here on Earth—the Great Ocean Conveyor Belt, popularized in the sci-fi movie The Day After Tomorrow. It is a network of currents that carry water and heat from ocean to ocean--see the diagram below. In the movie, the Conveyor Belt stopped and threw the world's weather into chaos. The sun's conveyor belt is a current, not of water, but of electrically-conducting gas. It flows in a loop from the sun's equator to the poles and back again. Just as the Great Ocean Conveyor Belt controls weather on Earth, this solar conveyor belt controls weather on the sun. Specifically, it controls the sunspot cycle. Solar physicist David Hathaway of the National Space Science & Technology Center (NSSTC) explains: "First, remember what sunspots are--tangled knots of magnetism generated by the sun's inner dynamo. A typical sunspot exists for just a few weeks. Then it decays, leaving behind a 'corpse' of weak magnetic fields." Enter the conveyor belt. see caption"The top of the conveyor belt skims the surface of the sun, sweeping up the magnetic fields of old, dead sunspots. The 'corpses' are dragged down at the poles to a depth of 200,000 km where the sun's magnetic dynamo can amplify them. Once the corpses (magnetic knots) are reincarnated (amplified), they become buoyant and float back to the surface." Presto—new sunspots! Photo Right: The sun's "great conveyor belt." [Larger image] All this happens with massive slowness. "It takes about 40 years for the belt to complete one loop," says Hathaway. The speed varies "anywhere from a 50-year pace (slow) to a 30-year pace (fast)." When the belt is turning "fast," it means that lots of magnetic fields are being swept up, and that a future sunspot cycle is going to be intense. This is a basis for forecasting: "The belt was turning fast in 1986-1996," says Hathaway. "Old magnetic fields swept up then should re-appear as big sunspots in 2010-2011." Like most experts in the field, Hathaway has confidence in the conveyor belt model and agrees with Dikpati that the next solar maximum should be a doozy. But he disagrees with one point. Dikpati's forecast puts Solar Max at 2012. Hathaway believes it will arrive sooner, in 2010 or 2011. "History shows that big sunspot cycles 'ramp up' faster than small ones," he says. "I expect to see the first sunspots of the next cycle appear in late 2006 or 2007—and Solar Max to be underway by 2010 or 2011." Who's right? Time will tell. Either way, a storm is coming. http://science.nasa.gov/science-news...oaaprediction/ |
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