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Metalworking (rec.crafts.metalworking) Discuss various aspects of working with metal, such as machining, welding, metal joining, screwing, casting, hardening/tempering, blacksmithing/forging, spinning and hammer work, sheet metal work. |
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#41
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
"Ignoramus11056" wrote in message ... On 2008-11-29, Ed Huntress wrote: I think that facing three or four determined, fanatical loonies with AK47's would push anyone except a *current* combat veteran over the limit. The only question is how many 7.62 mm bullets you'd take before hitting the ground; and whether it would happen before or after you got off a shot with your Glock or whatever. They have every advantage -- especially if they see you pull a gun. Arming oneself for individual self-defense against normal criminals has a reasonable statistical chance of working in your favor. In this situation, it's probably a liability. Ed, you misunderstand what is the issue. The issue is not the *certainty* with which armed hostages could win over well armed terrorists. The issue is *lack of certainty* that the terrorists would win. If there was one person at Taj Mahal armed with a gun, without uniform, AND the terrorists did not know how it was, AND they did not know where he was, but they knew that he was there, they would think twice about attacking it and making fools of themselves. I don't misunderstand the issue, Iggy. I was reporting on the DoJ's study about deterrence to burglary due to uncertainty over guns in the hands of homeowners, years ago. And there is plenty of anecdotal evidence, which Gunner could no doubt recite for you g, about criminals being deterred because of uncertainty over the presence of armed citizens. But let's not get off on that side street. The point here is that we aren't talking about criminals. We're talking about crazed killers who know they're likely to die in the end, and who are just trying to create as much mayhem as they can before they die. Terrorism experts have written about the psychology of these people, and it's clear that there is no real parallel with armed criminality of the ordinary sort. They aren't deterred by prospects of their own death. Your idea of rational behavior is not the basis on which they operate. I don't know anything about Indian policing, except that they have multiple layers and departments of armed national police and an armed domestic intelligence service, and they must have some armed detectives in plainclothes, as well as some undercover police walking around the streets. Certainly the terrorists had to know there was a possibility there would be some of those armed people among their targets, if not regular police who happened to show up while making their rounds. And if you look at the actual percentages of armed citizens walking around in the US (well under 2%, in states that allow concealed carry), there can't be a qualitative difference in that regard. Somebody in any crowd probably has a gun. There are news reports on the Mumbai incidents which say that citizens are angry because there were armed police among them who didn't shoot. Of course we don't know the circumstances, but it does appear there were some armed people in the crowds. So it's unlikely that it would have been any different in a US city, even where concealed carry is allowed. I think you're buying into an unsupported and maybe unsupportable idea, that armed citizens could deter terrorism. It isn't even certain how much they deter ordinary street crime, if at all. The reasonable position, IMO, is that being armed gives you a good chance, at least, to defend yourself. Extending this to the idea that you could do anything about a mass murder is a mistake. And believing that it could deter mass murder by terrorists, IMO, is another mistake. I think it has no measurable effect at all. -- Ed Huntress |
#42
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On Fri, 28 Nov 2008 23:37:38 -0600, Ignoramus11056
wrote: On 2008-11-29, Ed Huntress wrote: I think that facing three or four determined, fanatical loonies with AK47's would push anyone except a *current* combat veteran over the limit. The only question is how many 7.62 mm bullets you'd take before hitting the ground; and whether it would happen before or after you got off a shot with your Glock or whatever. They have every advantage -- especially if they see you pull a gun. Arming oneself for individual self-defense against normal criminals has a reasonable statistical chance of working in your favor. In this situation, it's probably a liability. Ed, you misunderstand what is the issue. The issue is not the *certainty* with which armed hostages could win over well armed terrorists. The issue is *lack of certainty* that the terrorists would win. If there was one person at Taj Mahal armed with a gun, without uniform, AND the terrorists did not know how it was, AND they did not know where he was, but they knew that he was there, they would think twice about attacking it and making fools of themselves. Instead, they would probably resort to using gasoline tanker trucks or some other implements of death. Iggy, stop and think. The people who have just completed an assault of the buildings and killed or captured the terrorists were in exactly the same position you describe and they didn't use a gasoline tanker. Why do you think that the terrorists would be different? Cheers, Bruce (bruceinbangkokatgmaildotcom) |
#43
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On Fri, 28 Nov 2008 13:52:04 -0800, "Bill Noble"
wrote: in a crowded place, it is not at all clear that a whole bunch of scared and armed to the teeth civillians, shooting at attackers and at eachother because they don't know who the attackers are, would reduce casualties. Well...Im sure they would figure out pretty quickly that the guys with the AK-47s and pitching grenades were the bad guys. Gunner "They couldn't hit an elephant at this dist..." Maj. Gen. John Sedgewick, killed by a sniper in 1864 at the battle of Spotsylvania |
#44
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On Fri, 28 Nov 2008 18:11:24 -0500, Wes wrote:
Ignoramus11056 wrote: What they forgot to say that it relied also on the fact that the Indian citizens who were attacked, were not armed. Somehow, I have hard times visualizing this attack happening in, say, Oklahoma City. No, that one was a truck bomb. I'm surprised that some of the foreigners didn't have security details. Maybe they did and it hasn't been reported. Bombay has typically been one of the safer cities in India. Its been the center of civilization for many hundreds of years. Unlike Washington DC "They couldn't hit an elephant at this dist..." Maj. Gen. John Sedgewick, killed by a sniper in 1864 at the battle of Spotsylvania |
#45
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On Fri, 28 Nov 2008 18:19:51 -0500, Wes wrote:
"Ed Huntress" wrote: But there is no such place in the developed world, including the US. I haven't checked the percentages in different states but Texas, for example, has issued carry permits to something like 1.5% of its population. That wouldn't start a chain reaction. It would be a fizzle. The effect of armed citizens would be negligible. But the more there were, the more opportunity there would be to get them shooting each other. Viola! Critical mass... Of the 1.5% how many actually carry all the time? Raises hand....... Now, say I'm in my hotel room and banging starts going off. I'm staying put, hopefully finding something for cover, including filling the bath tub and staying behind the wall next to it. Someone breaking though the door is going to get shot. I doubt we would have a bunch of Rambo's. Wes Rambos? Thats so slanted it needs a crutch to stay up. Gunner "They couldn't hit an elephant at this dist..." Maj. Gen. John Sedgewick, killed by a sniper in 1864 at the battle of Spotsylvania |
#46
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On Fri, 28 Nov 2008 16:34:35 -0800 (PST), TwoGuns
wrote: On Nov 28, 4:40*pm, "Ed Huntress" wrote: "John R. Carroll" wrote in m... "Ignoramus11056" wrote in message m... http://www.reuters.com/article/world...4AQ52120081127 ``Security specialists say the attack was probably months in the planning and appears to have been finely tuned in its execution, but it ultimately relied on only an estimated 25 gunmen lightly armed with assault rifles and hand-grenades.'' What they forgot to say that it relied also on the fact that the Indian citizens who were attacked, were not armed. Somehow, I have hard times visualizing this attack happening in, say, Oklahoma City. You shouldn't. Just multiply the civilian death count by an order of magnitude. Armed civilians sounds good but hasn't any value in the face of surprise and a well organized and purposeful enemy. Under those conditions, civilians would have been shot and killed out of hand specifically on the chance that they might have been armed. Whether they actually were wouldn't matter a bit. The perpertrators will certainly be killed regardless you know. JC It's simple. Just shoot anyone who isn't a cop and who is waving or shooting a gun. You can even get them to form a circular firing squad to make it more efficient. g I agree with what you're saying. If some smart attackers were to try it in some place where the citizens were personally armed, they'd probably build that into their plan. Done right, you could start a chain reaction of marvelous proportions. But there is no such place in the developed world, including the US. I haven't checked the percentages in different states but Texas, for example, has issued carry permits to something like 1.5% of its population. That wouldn't start a chain reaction. It would be a fizzle. The effect of armed citizens would be negligible. But the more there were, the more opportunity there would be to get them shooting each other. Viola! Critical mass... -- Ed Huntress Terrorists are usually: Young Men 17 to 35 Usually Middle Eastern Will probably be yelling"Allah Akbar" or whatever. So if you are in a shootout. Don't shoot Old Men Don't shoot any Women unless they are yelling things like "Die Jew, Die American, Allah Akbar etc." Chances are pretty good the terrorist will NOT be White. To make sure you are not mistaken for a terrorist by other armed but innocent citizens yell at the top of your lungs, "Mohammed is a faggot, **** Mohammed or some other appropriate term a Islamist Fanatic would NEVER say. Double tap head shots and throat first in case the terrorists have body armor. Use frangible ammo to prevent richochets. Or you could just look for a place to hide and cower in fear. Dennis Dont hide under the bed...Ed will already be there. Gunner "They couldn't hit an elephant at this dist..." Maj. Gen. John Sedgewick, killed by a sniper in 1864 at the battle of Spotsylvania |
#47
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On Fri, 28 Nov 2008 19:06:23 -0800, Larry Jaques
wrote: This has been well proven in actual incidents of various types in the US where armed civilians were present and didn't take action when there was only a threat like a robbery, or took action only after the perpetrator shot someone. I'm right there with you, Pete. I think Ed's just trying to stir the chit here, the spoilsport. There are enough repetitive caveats about ever using your new carry weapon at all that the majority of folks with licenses likely would _not_ panic. Everyone with a brain would be afraid, though. Fear is good. Fear is a great motivator. Fear keeps one alive. Panic on the other hand, kills faster than a sniff of Rosie ODonnels skivies. Gunner "They couldn't hit an elephant at this dist..." Maj. Gen. John Sedgewick, killed by a sniper in 1864 at the battle of Spotsylvania |
#48
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On Fri, 28 Nov 2008 22:30:35 -0500, the infamous "Ed Huntress"
scrawled the following: "Larry Jaques" wrote in message .. . On Fri, 28 Nov 2008 20:05:57 -0600, the infamous "Pete C." scrawled the following: You're all falling for the propaganda that is intended to calm the ignorant masses. All the sound bites in the media about "months of planning", "specialized training", "sophisticated", "coordinated" are 100% propaganda bull **** to try to make the ignorant masses believe it is difficult and unlikely to happen here. The simple fact is that a comparable attack of could be perpetrated by a handful of people (5-10) of reasonable intelligence with less than one month of planning. As for the idea that a well armed public would only compound the problem, this is still more BS propaganda, just from different sources. The fact is that the armed public would not start shooting at anything that moves, they would dive for cover and then look to identify the attacker(s). It is abundantly easy to differentiate between those taking cover and those on the offensive. The armed public is not out to be heroes, they're out to protect themselves (and their family members if applicable), they aren't going to shoot unless they are confident of the target and that the target is actively after them. This has been well proven in actual incidents of various types in the US where armed civilians were present and didn't take action when there was only a threat like a robbery, or took action only after the perpetrator shot someone. I'm right there with you, Pete. I think Ed's just trying to stir the chit here, the spoilsport. Nonsense. Contrary to what Pete is saying, there is no example in the US of anything like the Mumbai situation, in which the outcome was any different. Most of our mass killings of civilians have been the work of a single individual. Wait a minute. Wasn't it -you- who just said that an armed populace would become a critical mass and shoot up the place (and themselves) if tangoes started it? I agreed with Pete that the armed citizens would _not_ do so. And the point that Iggy brought up, that he couldn't visualize a similar outcome if it had been Oklahoma City (or wherever), just doesn't wash. There aren't that many armed citizens walking the street anywhere in the country. The states that have the most enthusiastic concealed-carry permit holders have only a couple of percent of the adult population who even have permits. And the number actually carrying is a fraction of that. Right. So pulling a pistol in that situation, facing some very intense, crazed, and determined young men armed with AK47's, is much more likely to draw fire than running for cover would. Iggy's hypothetical is not going to happen. The outcome would be about the same as in Mumbai. What's going on, Ed? Do I have the wrong definition of "critical mass" here or did you just switch sides in this discussion? I'm confused. I'm no hero, but I'd be hard pressed NOT to try to stop someone with an AK taking out the herds in a hotel right in front of me if I were carrying, though if it were a squad of armed tangoes, I'm sure I'd think thrice. There are enough repetitive caveats about ever using your new carry weapon at all that the majority of folks with licenses likely would _not_ panic. Oh, gimme a break. Cites, please? -- In all affairs it's a healthy thing now and then to hang a question mark on the things you have long taken for granted. -- Bertrand Russell |
#49
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
"Ed Huntress" wrote:
None of it happens in the real world. Tell us about an example of a bunch of armed citizens taking down some crazed terrorists armed with AK47s. I can't think of any examples. Can you? Generally is single terrorists meeting an armed Israeli citizen. Wes |
#50
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
Gunner Asch wrote:
Panic on the other hand, kills faster than a sniff of Rosie ODonnels skivies. Gunner, I *was* eating breakfast. eeeyuck. Wes |
#51
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On Nov 29, 2:19 pm, "Ed Huntress" wrote:
"Wes" wrote in message ... "Ed Huntress" wrote: Nah! You know that trained, registered gun owners wouldn't panic like that over most things, Ed. Not a chance. They'll panic like anyone else. I'd agree that they would be scared chit less but, not being totally defenseless has a calming effect. Also a moderating effect on one's action. I carry legally. Comes with a real attitude change if you understand the legal framework that binds you. Wes I think that facing three or four determined, fanatical loonies with AK47's would push anyone except a *current* combat veteran over the limit. The only question is how many 7.62 mm bullets you'd take before hitting the ground; and whether it would happen before or after you got off a shot with your Glock or whatever. They have every advantage -- especially if they see you pull a gun. Arming oneself for individual self-defense against normal criminals has a reasonable statistical chance of working in your favor. In this situation, it's probably a liability. -- Ed Huntress Thank you, Ed, for a logical analysis - I feel you are quite right, and from detailed reports on our daily papers telling how it was done with military precision, and timing, and even to the hijacking a fishing trawler to come in by sea to avoid normal security measures - these were trained to a high degree. 25 fanatics, armed with AK47's, grenades, and explosives, trained to use them, with a co-ordinated plan of attack - who would you put up against them except people of similar training and weaponry? - certainly not some unfit, middle aged civilian armed with a pistol dreaming of the chance to be heroic.... And, eventually, what took them out was larger numbers of combat trained troops with the weapons and ability to use them. There has been huge numbers of terrorist attacks in India in recent years, including in Mumbai, this one is notable because 1.The professionalism, and large financial funding, the attackers showed 2.That there were foreigners involved - thats the only reason its of interest to the West. Andrew VK3BFA. |
#52
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
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#53
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On 2008-11-29, Gunner Asch wrote:
On Fri, 28 Nov 2008 13:52:04 -0800, "Bill Noble" wrote: in a crowded place, it is not at all clear that a whole bunch of scared and armed to the teeth civillians, shooting at attackers and at eachother because they don't know who the attackers are, would reduce casualties. Well...Im sure they would figure out pretty quickly that the guys with the AK-47s and pitching grenades were the bad guys. I have an AK-47... But not grenades though... i Gunner "They couldn't hit an elephant at this dist..." Maj. Gen. John Sedgewick, killed by a sniper in 1864 at the battle of Spotsylvania -- Due to extreme spam originating from Google Groups, and their inattention to spammers, I and many others block all articles originating from Google Groups. If you want your postings to be seen by more readers you will need to find a different means of posting on Usenet. http://improve-usenet.org/ |
#54
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
Wes wrote:
Do you think the results would be much different if the same number of similar armed terrorists stormed a Cook County luxury hotel? Wes Probably WORSE. since the Chicago police are undoubtedly worse trained than the Indian "military" type responders. :-) ...lew... |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On Fri, 28 Nov 2008 22:45:29 -0500, "Ed Huntress"
wrote: "Pete C." wrote in message ster.com... Ed Huntress wrote: I think I've misidentified who I was talking about. I was talking about an armed citizen caught in a terrorist attack. All the armed citizens pull their guns, and everybody shoots anyone with a gun. Except for the fact that is not what happens in the real world, only in the fantasy world of the anti-gun loons. None of it happens in the real world. Tell us about an example of a bunch of armed citizens taking down some crazed terrorists armed with AK47s. I can't think of any examples. Can you? The same anti-gun loons who make predictions of a "wild west" environment any time someone mentions concealed carry, yet the reality is that concealed carry has been around for decades and those "wild west" fantasies have been thoroughly disproven. Tell us about the terrorists and the AKs, versus the panicked citizens with their S&Ws and Glocks. I'd like to hear an example. Well, if you believe the news, the 4th plane on 9-11, that came down in PA, was an example of something similar. Some people on the plane figured they were dead anyway, they weren't taking any **** from the terrorists. They took the hijack crew out of commission and scattered jet parts and bodies all over that PA feild insted of the whitehouse or wherever the terrorists were heading. No firearms required. |
#56
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On Nov 29, 10:00*am, Ignoramus11056 ignoramus11...@NOSPAM.
11056.invalid wrote: ... I have an AK-47... But not grenades though... Why? You can't defend your house with it. |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
I skipped the meeting, but the Memos showed that "Bill Noble"
wrote on Fri, 28 Nov 2008 13:52:04 -0800 in rec.crafts.metalworking : "Ignoramus11056" wrote: http://www.reuters.com/article/world...4AQ52120081127 ``Security specialists say the attack was probably months in the planning and appears to have been finely tuned in its execution, but it ultimately relied on only an estimated 25 gunmen lightly armed with assault rifles and hand-grenades.'' What they forgot to say that it relied also on the fact that the Indian citizens who were attacked, were not armed. Somehow, I have hard times visualizing this attack happening in, say, Oklahoma City. in a crowded place, it is not at all clear that a whole bunch of scared and armed to the teeth civillians, shooting at attackers and at eachother because they don't know who the attackers are, would reduce casualties. I realize that liberals have a great deal of difficulty with discerning good from evil without a list of talking points from the Media, but for the rest of us it wouldn't be that difficult. Those who are trying to kill you will serve as a good metric for who qualifies as what. That would be the non-staff persons with the AKs, for those of you in Brentwood. (I was going to say "Rio Linda" but in this sort of situation, the folks in Rio Linda haven't been "educated" out of common sense.) Now while you might be the sort who would start blazing away at anything which moved, those who actually have some experience with firearms know several things of which you seem unaware. For starters, unlike in the movies, guns do not have an infinite number of rounds in them. So you have to make every round count. Secondly, the guys with the AKs and grenades are probably the bad guys. That probability approaches unity. Remember that "finite ammo supply"? that also means you don't shoot unless you are sure of your shot, or there is no alternative. Going up against a guy with an AK with only a 38 (not even if it is a 357) is not optimal, unless the alternative is dieing. But don't worry. When seconds count, the SWAT team is only minutes away. tschus pyotr -- pyotr filipivich Most journalists these days couldn't investigate a missing chocolate cake at a pre-school without a Democrat office holder telling them what to look for, where, and what significance it all has. |
#58
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
Ignoramus11056 wrote:
http://www.reuters.com/article/world...4AQ52120081127 ``Security specialists say the attack was probably months in the planning and appears to have been finely tuned in its execution, but it ultimately relied on only an estimated 25 gunmen lightly armed with assault rifles and hand-grenades.'' What they forgot to say that it relied also on the fact that the Indian citizens who were attacked, were not armed. Somehow, I have hard times visualizing this attack happening in, say, Oklahoma City. I'm red faced to have to admit that the first "lesson" I learned several hours into the TV coverage of that horrible mess was that Mumbai is the post-colonial name for the city I grew up knowing as Bombay. I kept asking the thirteen or so folks we were over for a Thanksgiving Day lunch feast, "How come I never heard of Mumbai, India?", and none of the others were familiar that place name either. I guess maybe because the two names are so close phonetically, We'd all been hearing "Bombay" when someone said "Mumbai" and it was only when text kept appearing on the Fox News TV coverage that we started wondering. Anyone else care to fess up to the same chauvinistic failure in being up to date? Happy Holidays, Jeff -- Jeffry Wisnia (W1BSV + Brass Rat '57 EE) The speed of light is 1.98*10^14 fathoms per fortnight. |
#59
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
I skipped the meeting, but the Memos showed that Larry Jaques
wrote on Fri, 28 Nov 2008 19:06:23 -0800 in rec.crafts.metalworking : This has been well proven in actual incidents of various types in the US where armed civilians were present and didn't take action when there was only a threat like a robbery, or took action only after the perpetrator shot someone. I'm right there with you, Pete. I think Ed's just trying to stir the chit here, the spoilsport. There are enough repetitive caveats about ever using your new carry weapon at all that the majority of folks with licenses likely would _not_ panic. Sheesh - the thought of the paperwork alone ... Everyone with a brain would be afraid, though. "Fear, Ruby, Fear is a great motivator." Fear is a response, your body's way of letting you know that what ever is happening, it bodes ill for it, and you. It is a function of your brain. What you do with that fear is your choice, choice is a function of your mind. Courage is a middle way, a balancing balance between the excesses of the twin vices of cowardice and recklessness. (Aristotle: vices are imbalance, usually a deficit of another value.) The coward is deficit in "bravery" with a surfeit of self-preservation. The reckless one is deficit in self-preservation, surfeit in bravery, and over all, inclined to "run down and attack some" rather than "walk down and kill them all." The "Courageous" one is more in balance. He may be very afraid, of getting hurt, of failing, of being thought a coward. But he is master of his fear, at least for the moment. tschus pyotr -- pyotr filipivich We will drink no whiskey before its nine. It's eight fifty eight. Close enough! |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On Fri, 28 Nov 2008 17:15:00 -0600, Ignoramus11056 wrote:
On 2008-11-28, Bill Noble wrote: (top posting fixed) "Ignoramus11056" wrote in message ... http://www.reuters.com/article/world...4AQ52120081127 ``Security specialists say the attack was probably months in the planning and appears to have been finely tuned in its execution, but it ultimately relied on only an estimated 25 gunmen lightly armed with assault rifles and hand-grenades.'' What they forgot to say that it relied also on the fact that the Indian citizens who were attacked, were not armed. Somehow, I have hard times visualizing this attack happening in, say, Oklahoma City. ** Posted from http://www.teranews.com ** in a crowded place, it is not at all clear that a whole bunch of scared and armed to the teeth civillians, shooting at attackers and at eachother because they don't know who the attackers are, would reduce casualties. It would probably increase casualties, but it also probaly would deter attackers. I don't think so. The real attackers in these cases aren't the misguided, angry young men doing the shooting (or driving the planes, or whatever). It's the organization of cynical old men who mis-guides them to suicide attacks. By the time some kid with a gun shows up in your vicinity he's just a guided missile, manufactured in a factory where kids are cheaper and less valued than computers. I don't know _what_ would do the trick, although I'm pretty sure that if the b*****s behind this crap ever got into power, the Islamic world would deeply regret letting it happen. -- Tim Wescott Control systems and communications consulting http://www.wescottdesign.com Need to learn how to apply control theory in your embedded system? "Applied Control Theory for Embedded Systems" by Tim Wescott Elsevier/Newnes, http://www.wescottdesign.com/actfes/actfes.html |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
"Tim Wescott" wrote in message ... On Fri, 28 Nov 2008 17:15:00 -0600, Ignoramus11056 wrote: On 2008-11-28, Bill Noble wrote: (top posting fixed) "Ignoramus11056" wrote in message ... http://www.reuters.com/article/world...4AQ52120081127 ``Security specialists say the attack was probably months in the planning and appears to have been finely tuned in its execution, but it ultimately relied on only an estimated 25 gunmen lightly armed with assault rifles and hand-grenades.'' What they forgot to say that it relied also on the fact that the Indian citizens who were attacked, were not armed. Somehow, I have hard times visualizing this attack happening in, say, Oklahoma City. ** Posted from http://www.teranews.com ** in a crowded place, it is not at all clear that a whole bunch of scared and armed to the teeth civillians, shooting at attackers and at eachother because they don't know who the attackers are, would reduce casualties. It would probably increase casualties, but it also probaly would deter attackers. I don't think so. The real attackers in these cases aren't the misguided, angry young men doing the shooting (or driving the planes, or whatever). It's the organization of cynical old men who mis-guides them to suicide attacks. By the time some kid with a gun shows up in your vicinity he's just a guided missile, manufactured in a factory where kids are cheaper and less valued than computers. I don't know _what_ would do the trick, The same thing that always has. You have to know of these things in advance. That allows deterence. Prevention is another matter and requires the removal of the root cause. Were the US really of a mind to screw the Taliban and Bin Ladens bunch, we'd simply require the Big Three to each build and run a manufacturing plant in Afghaistan. Good jobs, full bellies and a bright future for a child are all the incentive necessary to behave in a civilized manner. JC |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
"Larry Jaques" wrote in message ... On Fri, 28 Nov 2008 22:30:35 -0500, the infamous "Ed Huntress" scrawled the following: "Larry Jaques" wrote in message . .. On Fri, 28 Nov 2008 20:05:57 -0600, the infamous "Pete C." scrawled the following: You're all falling for the propaganda that is intended to calm the ignorant masses. All the sound bites in the media about "months of planning", "specialized training", "sophisticated", "coordinated" are 100% propaganda bull **** to try to make the ignorant masses believe it is difficult and unlikely to happen here. The simple fact is that a comparable attack of could be perpetrated by a handful of people (5-10) of reasonable intelligence with less than one month of planning. As for the idea that a well armed public would only compound the problem, this is still more BS propaganda, just from different sources. The fact is that the armed public would not start shooting at anything that moves, they would dive for cover and then look to identify the attacker(s). It is abundantly easy to differentiate between those taking cover and those on the offensive. The armed public is not out to be heroes, they're out to protect themselves (and their family members if applicable), they aren't going to shoot unless they are confident of the target and that the target is actively after them. This has been well proven in actual incidents of various types in the US where armed civilians were present and didn't take action when there was only a threat like a robbery, or took action only after the perpetrator shot someone. I'm right there with you, Pete. I think Ed's just trying to stir the chit here, the spoilsport. Nonsense. Contrary to what Pete is saying, there is no example in the US of anything like the Mumbai situation, in which the outcome was any different. Most of our mass killings of civilians have been the work of a single individual. Wait a minute. Wasn't it -you- who just said that an armed populace would become a critical mass and shoot up the place (and themselves) if tangoes started it? I agreed with Pete that the armed citizens would _not_ do so. Nope. I said that there would be no "armed populace." I said it wouldn't happen. And the rest was a tongue-in-cheek discussion about why Iggy's hypothetical point wasn't right. Sheesh. I'm going to have to put extra sarcasm flags on my messages. d8-) And the point that Iggy brought up, that he couldn't visualize a similar outcome if it had been Oklahoma City (or wherever), just doesn't wash. There aren't that many armed citizens walking the street anywhere in the country. The states that have the most enthusiastic concealed-carry permit holders have only a couple of percent of the adult population who even have permits. And the number actually carrying is a fraction of that. Right. So pulling a pistol in that situation, facing some very intense, crazed, and determined young men armed with AK47's, is much more likely to draw fire than running for cover would. Iggy's hypothetical is not going to happen. The outcome would be about the same as in Mumbai. What's going on, Ed? Do I have the wrong definition of "critical mass" here or did you just switch sides in this discussion? I'm confused. I didn't switch sides. [notification of previous tongue-in-cheek discussion ON] I pointed out that Iggy's conclusion is not what would happen, and why. I've said from the start that the armed people, as few as they might be, would head for cover like everyone else. I presented the scenario that would happen in the extremely unlikely case armed citizens would step in and take on the attackers [notification of previous tongue-in-cheek discussion OFF]. Have I said it enough times now? I'm no hero, but I'd be hard pressed NOT to try to stop someone with an AK taking out the herds in a hotel right in front of me if I were carrying, though if it were a squad of armed tangoes, I'm sure I'd think thrice. Good. Your supine carcass probably will shield two or three small children. g Nobody knows how they'll behave under superior fire until they actually experience it. Debilitating fear is quite common, according to people who have been there, even among guys who think they're well-trained and tough. You never know who's going to turn out to have the cool hand until it happens. There are enough repetitive caveats about ever using your new carry weapon at all that the majority of folks with licenses likely would _not_ panic. Oh, gimme a break. Cites, please? Cites of what? You're the one who says that the majority of folks with licenses would not panic. In the absence of evidence, I see no reason to distinguish them from anyone else. Do you have cites that they would be different? -- Ed Huntress |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
"Wes" wrote in message ... "Ed Huntress" wrote: None of it happens in the real world. Tell us about an example of a bunch of armed citizens taking down some crazed terrorists armed with AK47s. I can't think of any examples. Can you? Generally is single terrorists meeting an armed Israeli citizen. Wes Generally it's single terrorists meeting an armed Israeli policeman or soldier. -- Ed Huntress |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
wrote in message ... On Nov 29, 2:19 pm, "Ed Huntress" wrote: "Wes" wrote in message ... "Ed Huntress" wrote: Nah! You know that trained, registered gun owners wouldn't panic like that over most things, Ed. Not a chance. They'll panic like anyone else. I'd agree that they would be scared chit less but, not being totally defenseless has a calming effect. Also a moderating effect on one's action. I carry legally. Comes with a real attitude change if you understand the legal framework that binds you. Wes I think that facing three or four determined, fanatical loonies with AK47's would push anyone except a *current* combat veteran over the limit. The only question is how many 7.62 mm bullets you'd take before hitting the ground; and whether it would happen before or after you got off a shot with your Glock or whatever. They have every advantage -- especially if they see you pull a gun. Arming oneself for individual self-defense against normal criminals has a reasonable statistical chance of working in your favor. In this situation, it's probably a liability. -- Ed Huntress Thank you, Ed, for a logical analysis - I feel you are quite right, and from detailed reports on our daily papers telling how it was done with military precision, and timing, and even to the hijacking a fishing trawler to come in by sea to avoid normal security measures - these were trained to a high degree. 25 fanatics, armed with AK47's, grenades, and explosives, trained to use them, with a co-ordinated plan of attack - who would you put up against them except people of similar training and weaponry? - certainly not some unfit, middle aged civilian armed with a pistol dreaming of the chance to be heroic.... Just be sure we're distinguishing between people who might take on the attackers and those who take cover and use a gun for self-defense. The latter are in better shape than those who are not armed. The problem I have with these hypotheticals is that people lose sight of the difference. And, eventually, what took them out was larger numbers of combat trained troops with the weapons and ability to use them. There has been huge numbers of terrorist attacks in India in recent years, including in Mumbai, this one is notable because 1.The professionalism, and large financial funding, the attackers showed 2.That there were foreigners involved - thats the only reason its of interest to the West. Andrew VK3BFA. |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
"Ed Huntress" wrote:
Generally is single terrorists meeting an armed Israeli citizen. Wes Generally it's single terrorists meeting an armed Israeli policeman or soldier. Actually, an Israeli citizen can check out a hand gun from the police station. From what I've heard they can't own their own. Kinda wierd but that is their system. Since most citizens have been members of the IDF they know how to use it. Wes |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
Jim Wilkins wrote:
On Nov 29, 10:00 am, Ignoramus11056 ignoramus11...@NOSPAM. 11056.invalid wrote: ... I have an AK-47... But not grenades though... Why? You can't defend your house with it. Why not ? A semi-auto rifle is part of *my* home defense plan ... along with a shotgun and a handgun . And other weapons , right down to the kitchen knives , if necessary . -- Snag sometimes ya gotta shovel manure to pay the bills |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
Jeff Wisnia wrote:
Anyone else care to fess up to the same chauvinistic failure in being up to date? Well, it just was a place in India to me. A lot of countries and people have changed names during my lifetime. I guess since the Brits left, changing the name is their perogative. Wes |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
"Ed Huntress" wrote:
I think that facing three or four determined, fanatical loonies with AK47's would push anyone except a *current* combat veteran over the limit. The only question is how many 7.62 mm bullets you'd take before hitting the ground; and whether it would happen before or after you got off a shot with your Glock or whatever. They have every advantage -- especially if they see you pull a gun. In the first place, I'd be hiding in my room, door locked, stuff against the door playing invisible. If they come though, I'm likely going to die. I'm not going down with out taking someone with me. Have a enough of us at the ****ty end of the stick and their numbers will decline. Now consider Columbine. Two kids with guns in a gun free zone. Parents that likely owned guns prevented from coming to the aid of the children by law enforcment that cowardly sat back and let kids die. Not being able to defend yourself is the most dangerous position one can be in. Freemen are armed. Wes |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
"Wes" wrote in message ... "Ed Huntress" wrote: I think that facing three or four determined, fanatical loonies with AK47's would push anyone except a *current* combat veteran over the limit. The only question is how many 7.62 mm bullets you'd take before hitting the ground; and whether it would happen before or after you got off a shot with your Glock or whatever. They have every advantage -- especially if they see you pull a gun. In the first place, I'd be hiding in my room, door locked, stuff against the door playing invisible. In the first place, we were talking about the crowds they attacked out in the street. You aren't in your room yet. d8-) If they come though, I'm likely going to die. I'm not going down with out taking someone with me. Have a enough of us at the ****ty end of the stick and their numbers will decline. They breed rather quickly. However, we agree that your chances are better if you're armed. Now consider Columbine. Two kids with guns in a gun free zone. Parents that likely owned guns prevented from coming to the aid of the children by law enforcment that cowardly sat back and let kids die. Not being able to defend yourself is the most dangerous position one can be in. I don't remember those things about Columbine, but it never stuck with me. I agree about not being able to defend oneself. It's not only dangerous, it undermines some social relationships and attitudes that I consider to be important. Freemen are armed. Wes |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On Nov 30, 7:26 am, "Ed Huntress" wrote:
wrote in message I readily concede that point Ed - if, after the attackers had used Tactics 101 (ie, throw some grenades then spray the area with automatic weapons fire, just in case anyone was armed) and hopefully the armed civilian would be still able to hide with his pistol and take out at least one of them if threatened, before the attackers colleagues sprayed the area again to take care of the armed citizen (and anyone else nearby) ....then I guess it would be good argument for an armed civilian population. Still, its all academic, it might have been you who said that no one would know how they would react in such a situation, bull**** aside. And we sit here in front of our PCs being sage and wise about situations that I, at least, hope I never encounter. And we can vote for whoever promises to take care of the "bad guys" so we can keep on being armchair experts without having to expose ourselves to any real danger. Its 12.30 here in Melbourne, Sunday, all is peaceful, I will have another coffee, then go and do some gardening while the weather is nice, thinking of the poor *******s who got killed because they were in the wrong place at the wrong time and Global Politics intercepted with their daily lives....I am sure their families will take comfort from these "how it should have been" discussions here and no doubt in other forums. Andrew VK3BFA. |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On Nov 29, 11:47*am, pyotr filipivich wrote:
* * * * Secondly, the guys with the AKs and grenades are probably the bad guys. *That probability approaches unity. *Remember that "finite ammo supply"? *that also means you don't shoot unless you are sure of your shot, or there is no alternative. *Going up against a guy with an AK with only a 38 (not even if it is a 357) is not optimal, unless the alternative is dieing. * * * * But don't worry. *When seconds count, the SWAT team is only minutes away. http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/ne...le14086308.ece "Mr D'Souza added: "I told some policemen the gunmen had moved towards the rear of the station but they refused to follow them. What is the point if having policemen with guns if they refuse to use them? I only wish I had a gun rather than a camera." ** mike ** |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
"Ignoramus11056" wrote in message ... http://www.reuters.com/article/world...4AQ52120081127 ``Security specialists say the attack was probably months in the planning and appears to have been finely tuned in its execution, but it ultimately relied on only an estimated 25 gunmen lightly armed with assault rifles and hand-grenades.'' What they forgot to say that it relied also on the fact that the Indian citizens who were attacked, were not armed. Somehow, I have hard times visualizing this attack happening in, say, Oklahoma City. -- Due to extreme spam originating from Google Groups, and their inattention to spammers, I and many others block all articles originating from Google Groups. If you want your postings to be seen by more readers you will need to find a different means of posting on Usenet. http://improve-usenet.org/ The simplest way to prevent terror attacks is to have a world-wide agreement NOT to report any terror attacks on any media. |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
"Ed Huntress" wrote:
"Wes" wrote in message ... "Ed Huntress" wrote: I think that facing three or four determined, fanatical loonies with AK47's would push anyone except a *current* combat veteran over the limit. The only question is how many 7.62 mm bullets you'd take before hitting the ground; and whether it would happen before or after you got off a shot with your Glock or whatever. They have every advantage -- especially if they see you pull a gun. I'm not against shooting a gunman in the back. In the first place, I'd be hiding in my room, door locked, stuff against the door playing invisible. In the first place, we were talking about the crowds they attacked out in the street. You aren't in your room yet. d8-) I hear now that 300 dead were found in their rooms. If they come though, I'm likely going to die. I'm not going down with out taking someone with me. Have a enough of us at the ****ty end of the stick and their numbers will decline. They breed rather quickly. However, we agree that your chances are better if you're armed. Sometimes winning means doing your bit as you go down. Now consider Columbine. Two kids with guns in a gun free zone. Parents that likely owned guns prevented from coming to the aid of the children by law enforcment that cowardly sat back and let kids die. Not being able to defend yourself is the most dangerous position one can be in. I don't remember those things about Columbine, but it never stuck with me. I agree about not being able to defend oneself. It's not only dangerous, it undermines some social relationships and attitudes that I consider to be important. I'm not going to rehash Columbine other than I'd rather take my chances with teachers that carry legally than be in a gun free zone. http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/11/...a/30mumbai.php Sounds like it was only 10 armed terrorists. Not claiming this is true since you know how often early reports are wrong. Wes -- "Additionally as a security officer, I carry a gun to protect government officials but my life isn't worth protecting at home in their eyes." Dick Anthony Heller |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On Nov 29, 6:32*am, Gunner Asch wrote:
On Fri, 28 Nov 2008 16:34:35 -0800 (PST), TwoGuns wrote: On Nov 28, 4:40*pm, "Ed Huntress" wrote: "John R. Carroll" wrote in m... "Ignoramus11056" wrote in message m... http://www.reuters.com/article/world...4AQ52120081127 ``Security specialists say the attack was probably months in the planning and appears to have been finely tuned in its execution, but it ultimately relied on only an estimated 25 gunmen lightly armed with assault rifles and hand-grenades.'' What they forgot to say that it relied also on the fact that the Indian citizens who were attacked, were not armed. Somehow, I have hard times visualizing this attack happening in, say, Oklahoma City.. You shouldn't. Just multiply the civilian death count by an order of magnitude. Armed civilians sounds good but hasn't any value in the face of surprise and a well organized and purposeful enemy. Under those conditions, civilians would have been shot and killed out of hand specifically on the chance that they might have been armed. Whether they actually were wouldn't matter a bit. The perpertrators will certainly be killed regardless you know. JC It's simple. Just shoot anyone who isn't a cop and who is waving or shooting a gun. You can even get them to form a circular firing squad to make it more efficient. g I agree with what you're saying. If some smart attackers were to try it in some place where the citizens were personally armed, they'd probably build that into their plan. Done right, you could start a chain reaction of marvelous proportions. But there is no such place in the developed world, including the US. I haven't checked the percentages in different states but Texas, for example, has issued carry permits to something like 1.5% of its population. That wouldn't start a chain reaction. It would be a fizzle. The effect of armed citizens would be negligible. But the more there were, the more opportunity there would be to get them shooting each other. Viola! Critical mass.... -- Ed Huntress Terrorists are usually: Young Men 17 to 35 Usually Middle Eastern Will probably be yelling"Allah Akbar" or whatever. So if you are in a shootout. Don't shoot Old Men Don't shoot any Women unless they are yelling things like "Die Jew, Die American, Allah Akbar etc." Chances are pretty good the terrorist will NOT be White. To make sure you are not mistaken for a terrorist by other armed but innocent citizens yell at the top of your lungs, "Mohammed is a faggot, **** Mohammed or some other appropriate term a Islamist Fanatic would NEVER say. Double tap head shots and throat first in case the terrorists have body armor. Use frangible ammo to prevent richochets. Or you could just look for a place to hide and cower in fear. Dennis Dont hide *under the bed...Ed will already be there. Gunner "They couldn't hit an elephant at this dist..." Maj. Gen. John Sedgewick, killed by a sniper in 1864 at the battle of Spotsylvania- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - LOL...Gunner you are a fool...and a dead one if in that situation. Ed is right...only a fool stands against a superior force. TMT |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On Nov 28, 9:16*pm, "Pete C." wrote:
Ed Huntress wrote: I think I've misidentified who I was talking about. I was talking about an armed citizen caught in a terrorist attack. All the armed citizens pull their guns, and everybody shoots anyone with a gun. Except for the fact that is not what happens in the real world, only in the fantasy world of the anti-gun loons. The same anti-gun loons who make predictions of a "wild west" environment any time someone mentions concealed carry, yet the reality is that concealed carry has been around for decades and those "wild west" fantasies have been thoroughly disproven. You are so full of sh*t..haven't you ever heard of friendly fire? Anyone with REAL combat experience knows that you can easily be shot by your friends. TMT |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On Nov 28, 9:45*pm, "Ed Huntress" wrote:
"Pete C." wrote in message ter.com... Ed Huntress wrote: I think I've misidentified who I was talking about. I was talking about an armed citizen caught in a terrorist attack. All the armed citizens pull their guns, and everybody shoots anyone with a gun. Except for the fact that is not what happens in the real world, only in the fantasy world of the anti-gun loons. None of it happens in the real world. Tell us about an example of a bunch of armed citizens taking down some crazed terrorists armed with AK47s. I can't think of any examples. Can you? The same anti-gun loons who make predictions of a "wild west" environment any time someone mentions concealed carry, yet the reality is that concealed carry has been around for decades and those "wild west" fantasies have been thoroughly disproven. Tell us about the terrorists and the AKs, versus the panicked citizens with their S&Ws and Glocks. I'd like to hear an example. -- Ed Huntress Damn it Ed...don't ask for proof...you will destroy their fantasy. TMT |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On Nov 29, 10:30*am, wrote:
On Fri, 28 Nov 2008 22:45:29 -0500, "Ed Huntress" wrote: "Pete C." wrote in message ster.com... Ed Huntress wrote: I think I've misidentified who I was talking about. I was talking about an armed citizen caught in a terrorist attack. All the armed citizens pull their guns, and everybody shoots anyone with a gun. Except for the fact that is not what happens in the real world, only in the fantasy world of the anti-gun loons. None of it happens in the real world. Tell us about an example of a bunch of armed citizens taking down some crazed terrorists armed with AK47s. I can't think of any examples. Can you? The same anti-gun loons who make predictions of a "wild west" environment any time someone mentions concealed carry, yet the reality is that concealed carry has been around for decades and those "wild west" fantasies have been thoroughly disproven. Tell us about the terrorists and the AKs, versus the panicked citizens with their S&Ws and Glocks. I'd like to hear an example. Well, if you believe the news, the 4th plane on 9-11, that came down in PA, was an example of something similar. Some people on the plane figured they were dead anyway, they weren't taking any **** from the terrorists. They took the hijack crew out of commission and scattered jet parts and bodies all over that PA feild insted of the whitehouse or wherever the terrorists were heading. No firearms required.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Would you mind providing a REAL cite for that? There is no proof that the hijackers were actually taken out. TMT |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On Nov 28, 9:25*pm, "Pete C." wrote:
Larry Jaques wrote: On Fri, 28 Nov 2008 20:05:57 -0600, the infamous "Pete C." scrawled the following: You're all falling for the propaganda that is intended to calm the ignorant masses. All the sound bites in the media about "months of planning", "specialized training", "sophisticated", "coordinated" are 100% propaganda bull **** to try to make the ignorant masses believe it is difficult and unlikely to happen here. The simple fact is that a comparable attack of could be perpetrated by a handful of people (5-10) of reasonable intelligence with less than one month of planning. As for the idea that a well armed public would only compound the problem, this is still more BS propaganda, just from different sources.. The fact is that the armed public would not start shooting at anything that moves, they would dive for cover and then look to identify the attacker(s). It is abundantly easy to differentiate between those taking cover and those on the offensive. The armed public is not out to be heroes, they're out to protect themselves (and their family members if applicable), they aren't going to shoot unless they are confident of the target and that the target is actively after them. This has been well proven in actual incidents of various types in the US where armed civilians were present and didn't take action when there was only a threat like a robbery, or took action only after the perpetrator shot someone. I'm right there with you, Pete. I think Ed's just trying to stir the chit here, the spoilsport. There are enough repetitive caveats about ever using your new carry weapon at all that the majority of folks with licenses likely would _not_ panic. Everyone with a brain would be afraid, though. Pretty much everyone will dive for cover, armed or not, and if their cover is good they are going to stay hidden and quiet even if they are armed. I know I for one would not waste a single round if I can help it and if I can stay hidden and eventually come out when the dust has settled without ever firing a shot I'll be very happy. Having recently spent a couple weeks in Egypt where we had a security escort armed with an MP5 and traveled in an armed convoy at one point, I can tell you it is interesting being a target and keeping a low profile would take precedence over any thoughts of heroics.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Correct. |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
On Nov 28, 9:02*pm, GeoLane at PTD dot NET GeoLane at PTD dot NET
wrote: On Fri, 28 Nov 2008 18:11:24 -0500, Wes wrote: Ignoramus11056 wrote: What they forgot to say that it relied also on the fact that the Indian citizens who were attacked, were not armed. Somehow, I have hard times visualizing this attack happening in, say, Oklahoma City. Do you think the results would be much different if the same number of similar armed terrorists stormed a Cook County luxury hotel? Of course not. *Chicago has a handgun ban. *Only the drug dealers and other criminals could defend themselves. ;-) On a more serious note, there would probably be a very similar outcome in most American cities. *Even though a fair number of people have carry permits, probably the majority who have them don't carry on a daily basis. *The one or two citizens who were armed would defend themselves and others close by, but it's unlikely they'd be out creeping around corners hunting the terrorists with their handguns. There might be a little less loss of life, but not much. Now an attack on a roadside restaurant at 4:30 AM on the opening day of Buck season in PA - that might be a different story. *There are approximately 1 million licensed hunters in PA, the majority of which will be out there this Monday AM - a small standing army at no cost to the populace. RWL With most suffering from hangovers and/or illegal blood alcohol levels. Apparently you don't hunt often. TMT |
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The lesson from the Mumbai mayhem
Terry Coombs wrote:
Jim Wilkins wrote: On Nov 29, 10:00 am, Ignoramus11056 ignoramus11...@NOSPAM. 11056.invalid wrote: ... I have an AK-47... But not grenades though... Why? You can't defend your house with it. Why not ? A semi-auto rifle is part of *my* home defense plan ... along with a shotgun and a handgun . And other weapons , right down to the kitchen knives , if necessary . He didn't say "semi-auto rifle", he said AK-47, a select fire weapon. Although most owners of semi-auto AKs may THINK they have an AK-47. David |
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