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UK diy (uk.d-i-y) For the discussion of all topics related to diy (do-it-yourself) in the UK. All levels of experience and proficency are welcome to join in to ask questions or offer solutions. |
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#41
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On Mon, 9 Nov 2015 21:23:55 +0000, dennis@home
wrote: On 09/11/2015 21:09, mcp wrote: On Mon, 9 Nov 2015 20:21:53 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 09/11/2015 19:59, mcp wrote: The science hasn't changed significantly in the last 6 months and 99% of scientists working in the field still dissagree with you. You mean some of them disagree even though they get all their cash by agreeing? I see, we're back to it's a world wide conspiracy. They could get more money out of the Koch brothers or BP although, as on the case of the Berkley Earth Surface Temperature project, that doesn't always turn out well for the deniers. There are only one set of deniers, the climate scientists that keep their methods and data secret. They are denying proper scientific review by anyone that may disagree with them. It makes their science useless to anyone that understands science as you can no longer trust them. They may be correct but I will disregard bad science. They keep their methods and data secret by publishing regularly in peer reviewed scientific journals? Those that disagree with them publish in right wing newspapers and online blogs with no scientific review. |
#42
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
"mcp" wrote in message ... On Sat, 07 Nov 2015 08:50:28 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On Fri, 06 Nov 2015 23:33:09 +0000, mcp wrote: On Fri, 06 Nov 2015 08:54:50 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On Thu, 05 Nov 2015 21:11:35 +0000, mcp wrote: On Thu, 05 Nov 2015 08:22:04 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: If they seriously believe that rising sea temperatures and decreasing amounts of polar ice (and the latter seems questionable anyway) are indicative of ongoing warming, why has the atmosphere stopped warming? It hasn't. The ten warmest years ever recorded have all occurred since 1998. 2014 was the warmest year on record. That's quite true. No argument. But it's flat. Within the statistics, it's been the same for the last 15 - 17 years, irrespective of 2014. Didn't you know that? See http://tinyurl.com/ocohxuj for your education (scroll down to get the whole article). This figure from that article http://tinyurl.com/5jfe9p shows a flattening off after ~2000, as do others. Temperature data from http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/ , whose home page shows a similar leveling off from ~2000. Note that the rise in global temperatures between 1980 and 2000 closely parallels the rise between 1910 and 1940, but nobody was ****ting in their pants then. It's cherry picking. http://www.skepticalscience.com/graphics/Escalator.gif The average temperature for that 15 - 17 year period is substantially higher than the previous 15 - 17 year period. We had this discussion about six months ago. You're still trotting out the same poor science as you did then. You haven't learnt anything. What a pity! The science hasn't changed significantly in the last 6 months and 99% of scientists working in the field still dissagree with you. Corse they wouldn't improve their job prospects by hyperventilating, eh ? |
#43
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
"mcp" wrote in message ... On Mon, 9 Nov 2015 20:21:53 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 09/11/2015 19:59, mcp wrote: The science hasn't changed significantly in the last 6 months and 99% of scientists working in the field still dissagree with you. You mean some of them disagree even though they get all their cash by agreeing? I see, No you don't. we're back to it's a world wide conspiracy. Nope, just common sense. When the job involves trying to decide what the effect of man is on world temps, its hardly very surprising that those who believe that got the job over other applicants who didn't. Same with priests that believe there is a god too. Hardly surprising that not very many atheists apply for the job and even fewer get that job even when there is a shortage of applicants for the job. They could get more money out of the Koch brothers or BP But those who already believe that man is the problem are unlikely to apply for those jobs. although, as on the case of the Berkley Earth Surface Temperature project, that doesn't always turn out well for the deniers. That doesn't show that the cause is man. |
#44
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On Tue, 10 Nov 2015 09:22:20 +1100, "Rod Speed"
wrote: "mcp" wrote in message .. . On Mon, 9 Nov 2015 20:21:53 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 09/11/2015 19:59, mcp wrote: The science hasn't changed significantly in the last 6 months and 99% of scientists working in the field still dissagree with you. You mean some of them disagree even though they get all their cash by agreeing? I see, No you don't. we're back to it's a world wide conspiracy. Nope, just common sense. When the job involves trying to decide what the effect of man is on world temps, its hardly very surprising that those who believe that got the job over other applicants who didn't. Same with priests that believe there is a god too. Hardly surprising that not very many atheists apply for the job and even fewer get that job even when there is a shortage of applicants for the job. They could get more money out of the Koch brothers or BP But those who already believe that man is the problem are unlikely to apply for those jobs. although, as on the case of the Berkley Earth Surface Temperature project, that doesn't always turn out well for the deniers. That doesn't show that the cause is man. That's not what they concluded. Human Effect Many of the changes in land-surface temperature can be explained by a combination of volcanoes and a proxy for human greenhouse gas emissions. Solar variation does not seem to impact the temperature trend. After accounting for volcanic and human effects, the residual variability in land-surface temperature is observed to closely mirror (and for slower changes slightly lead) variations in the Gulf Stream. |
#45
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 22:24:14 +0000, Tim Streater
wrote: In article , mcp wrote: On Sat, 07 Nov 2015 08:50:28 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On Fri, 06 Nov 2015 23:33:09 +0000, mcp wrote: On Fri, 06 Nov 2015 08:54:50 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On Thu, 05 Nov 2015 21:11:35 +0000, mcp wrote: On Thu, 05 Nov 2015 08:22:04 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: If they seriously believe that rising sea temperatures and decreasing amounts of polar ice (and the latter seems questionable anyway) are indicative of ongoing warming, why has the atmosphere stopped warming? It hasn't. The ten warmest years ever recorded have all occurred since 1998. 2014 was the warmest year on record. That's quite true. No argument. But it's flat. Within the statistics, it's been the same for the last 15 - 17 years, irrespective of 2014. Didn't you know that? See http://tinyurl.com/ocohxuj for your education (scroll down to get the whole article). This figure from that article http://tinyurl.com/5jfe9p shows a flattening off after ~2000, as do others. Temperature data from http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/ , whose home page shows a similar leveling off from ~2000. Note that the rise in global temperatures between 1980 and 2000 closely parallels the rise between 1910 and 1940, but nobody was ****ting in their pants then. It's cherry picking. http://www.skepticalscience.com/graphics/Escalator.gif The average temperature for that 15 - 17 year period is substantially higher than the previous 15 - 17 year period. We had this discussion about six months ago. You're still trotting out the same poor science as you did then. You haven't learnt anything. What a pity! The science hasn't changed significantly in the last 6 months and 99% of scientists working in the field still dissagree with you. Does this stuff make testable predictions? Have any predictions actually been borne out yet? If the answer to either of these questions is "no", then it's not science. If it wasn't for the greenhouse effect the earth would be a frozen ball of ice. The theories do make testable predictions, you are forgetting the timescale. The earth has warmed 0.9 degrees in the past 50 years, the annual variation in temperature is more than that. See, the thing about, say, Newton's theory of gravity, is that it allows one to calculate things like eclipses, and it'd then be pretty obvious that Newton was wrong if the eclipse didn't happen. And guess what. That's never happened, which is why it's called Newton's *theory* of gravity instead of Newton's handwaving ideas about gravity. And what makes it proper science is that Newton could be proved wrong *tomorrow* if some eclipse or other showed up at the wrong time or place. That distinguishes it from dogma or faith. You are pronouncing the theory is flawed before the eclipse is due. |
#46
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 22:08:31 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote:
On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 19:59:11 +0000, mcp wrote: The science hasn't changed significantly in the last 6 months and 99% of scientists working in the field still dissagree with you. On the basis that a million lemmings can't be wrong? Actually, it used to be 97%, not 99%, and it's now down to 43%. So *you're* in a minority. http://tinyurl.com/nvg8xkn. As a retired scientist I like to make my own judgement. The acid test of any theory is that the results it predicts should reasonably follow reality. The theory that anthropogenic CO2 is responsible for the recent rise in global temperature fails that test, in that CO2 has continued to rise, but temperatures haven't changed significantly within their normal variation since about 2000. As a retired scientist I would have thought you would put more faith in figures from a peer reviewed scientific publication from a leading scientific body(97%) rather than than a politically motivated blog(43%). Conclusions: (1) CO2 doesn't play a major part in determining climatic temperature. Unless someone's repealed the conservation of energy, Planck's law or changed the transmission spectrum of CO2 it definitely does. (2) Climatologists still have an awful lot to learn about what does control the climate. Just because they don't know everything, doesn't mean they don't know anything. |
#47
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
mcp wrote
Rod Speed wrote mcp wrote dennis@home wrote mcp wrote The science hasn't changed significantly in the last 6 months and 99% of scientists working in the field still dissagree with you. You mean some of them disagree even though they get all their cash by agreeing? I see, No you don't. we're back to it's a world wide conspiracy. Nope, just common sense. When the job involves trying to decide what the effect of man is on world temps, its hardly very surprising that those who believe that got the job over other applicants who didn't. Same with priests that believe there is a god too. Hardly surprising that not very many atheists apply for the job and even fewer get that job even when there is a shortage of applicants for the job. They could get more money out of the Koch brothers or BP But those who already believe that man is the problem are unlikely to apply for those jobs. although, as on the case of the Berkley Earth Surface Temperature project, that doesn't always turn out well for the deniers. That doesn't show that the cause is man. That's not what they concluded. Doesn't matter what they concluded, what matters is what evidence they could find that supports the claim that human activity is a significant contributor to the changes in temperature that we have seen. When the undoubted massive increase in atmospheric CO2 levels has actually seen a reduction in temperatures at times, it must be a lot more complicated than is claimed. Human Effect Many of the changes in land-surface temperature can be explained by a combination of volcanoes and a proxy for human greenhouse gas emissions. Solar variation does not seem to impact the temperature trend. It is clearly the reason for the ice ages. After accounting for volcanic and human effects, Pity they don't say how they do that last. the residual variability in land-surface temperature is observed to closely mirror (and for slower changes slightly lead) variations in the Gulf Stream. Doesn't explain the variation in temperature nowhere near the Gulf Stream. Its just more waffle. |
#48
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On 09/11/15 21:09, mcp wrote:
On Mon, 9 Nov 2015 20:21:53 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 09/11/2015 19:59, mcp wrote: The science hasn't changed significantly in the last 6 months and 99% of scientists working in the field still dissagree with you. You mean some of them disagree even though they get all their cash by agreeing? I see, we're back to it's a world wide conspiracy. They could get more money out of the *Koch brothers or BP* ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ I see, we're back to 'it's a world wide conspiracy'. as on the case of the Berkley Earth Surface Temperature project, that doesn't always turn out well for the deniers. Try to learn to spell Berkeley And it is now established that 97% of the people who call climate change realists 'deniers' are themselves in denial, and the other 3% are lying deliberately. -- the biggest threat to humanity comes from socialism, which has utterly diverted our attention away from what really matters to our existential survival, to indulging in navel gazing and faux moral investigations into what the world ought to be, whilst we fail utterly to deal with what it actually is. |
#49
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On 09/11/15 21:14, dennis@home wrote:
On 09/11/2015 20:50, The Natural Philosopher wrote: On 09/11/15 20:21, dennis@home wrote: On 09/11/2015 19:59, mcp wrote: The science hasn't changed significantly in the last 6 months and 99% of scientists working in the field still dissagree with you. You mean some of them disagree even though they get all their cash by agreeing? 99% of priests agree that God is really out there. That's different to AGW though, there is more chance of the priests being correct. How is it different? Anyway to get back on topic. The latest on the bbc site includes "For researchers, confusion about the true level of temperatures in the 1750s, when the industrial revolution began and fossil fuels became widely used, means that an accurate assessment of the amount the world has warmed since then is very difficult. To get over this problem, the Met Office use an average of the temperatures recorded between 1850 and 1900, which they argue makes their analysis more accurate." Does anyone want to explain why taking an average between 1850 and 1900 is the correct thing to do as the met office don't appear to say why or how they come to that concussion. You may also note from the article that the BBC stance is a bit softer. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-34763036 From "Scientists say that the one degree mark will be broken in 2015 because of a combination of carbon emissions and the impact of the El Nino weather phenomenon. "We have seen a strong El Nino develop in the Tropical Pacific this year and that will have had some impact on this year's global temperature," said Stephen Belcher, director of the Met Office Hadley Centre. "We've had similar natural events in the past, yet this is the first time we're set to reach the 1C marker and it's clear that it is human influence driving our modern climate into uncharted territory."" It would be interesting as to the split they propose between CO2 and El Nino but they don't appear to want to tell us that. It's all about leaving an impression. I believe they are forecasting a bitterly cold winter on account of the El NiƱo as well. Anything as long as it is 'abnormal' and 'unprecedented', eh? -- the biggest threat to humanity comes from socialism, which has utterly diverted our attention away from what really matters to our existential survival, to indulging in navel gazing and faux moral investigations into what the world ought to be, whilst we fail utterly to deal with what it actually is. |
#50
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On 09/11/15 21:20, mcp wrote:
If you can't win an arguement you can always resort to abuse. I sere you cant spell argument. However leaving that aside who was it coined the term 'denier'? And is that a term of abuse? People in glass houses... -- the biggest threat to humanity comes from socialism, which has utterly diverted our attention away from what really matters to our existential survival, to indulging in navel gazing and faux moral investigations into what the world ought to be, whilst we fail utterly to deal with what it actually is. |
#51
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On 09/11/15 21:49, mcp wrote:
On Mon, 9 Nov 2015 21:23:55 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 09/11/2015 21:09, mcp wrote: On Mon, 9 Nov 2015 20:21:53 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 09/11/2015 19:59, mcp wrote: The science hasn't changed significantly in the last 6 months and 99% of scientists working in the field still dissagree with you. You mean some of them disagree even though they get all their cash by agreeing? I see, we're back to it's a world wide conspiracy. They could get more money out of the Koch brothers or BP although, as on the case of the Berkley Earth Surface Temperature project, that doesn't always turn out well for the deniers. There are only one set of deniers, the climate scientists that keep their methods and data secret. They are denying proper scientific review by anyone that may disagree with them. It makes their science useless to anyone that understands science as you can no longer trust them. They may be correct but I will disregard bad science. They keep their methods and data secret by publishing regularly in peer reviewed scientific journals? Yes. Those that disagree with them publish in right wing newspapers and online blogs with no scientific review. No. -- the biggest threat to humanity comes from socialism, which has utterly diverted our attention away from what really matters to our existential survival, to indulging in navel gazing and faux moral investigations into what the world ought to be, whilst we fail utterly to deal with what it actually is. |
#52
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On 09/11/15 23:19, mcp wrote:
On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 22:08:31 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 19:59:11 +0000, mcp wrote: The science hasn't changed significantly in the last 6 months and 99% of scientists working in the field still dissagree with you. On the basis that a million lemmings can't be wrong? Actually, it used to be 97%, not 99%, and it's now down to 43%. So *you're* in a minority. http://tinyurl.com/nvg8xkn. As a retired scientist I like to make my own judgement. The acid test of any theory is that the results it predicts should reasonably follow reality. The theory that anthropogenic CO2 is responsible for the recent rise in global temperature fails that test, in that CO2 has continued to rise, but temperatures haven't changed significantly within their normal variation since about 2000. As a retired scientist I would have thought you would put more faith in figures from a peer reviewed scientific publication from a leading scientific body(97%) rather than than a politically motivated blog(43%). Conclusions: (1) CO2 doesn't play a major part in determining climatic temperature. Unless someone's repealed the conservation of energy, Planck's law or changed the transmission spectrum of CO2 it definitely does. Well that shows how little you understand the science. Even the most ardent warmist agrees that without 'amplification' the effect of doubling CO2 is less than one third of a degree. You didn't read what the man said - 'major' is the key phrase. No one denies that climate changes or that CO2 has *some* effect. That's not what is under discussion although denialists like you always try to pretend that sceptics *are* saying that. They are not. Which is where your actions are of course openly dishonest. However that aside, the whole argument rests on the 'positive feedback' that had to be assumed to make CO2 a major player in climate variability. For a short period of about 15 years, assuming positive feedback made CO2 almost fit temperature, if you wiped out the mediaeval warm period and tortured the data by improper statistics and cherry picked proxy data. Since then it hasn't fitted the data at all, and anyone with any sense can see that if the sorts of positive feedback assumed by the warmistas in fact was the case, earth's climate would have been in the past so massively unstable that life would probably never have developed. After all the unmodified forcing of a doubling of CO2 is nothing like as bad as a big volcanic eruption or an asteroid impact. Or indeed te differences between winter and summer. In short the evidence all points - not to CO2 having no impact - but to CO2 having no *major* impact. And that the feedback is not positive, but negative, as the water cycle acts as a planetary thermostat, not an amplifier. And what really drives climate change is climate itself. Its a chaotic system, and has no 'stable average' state. Its always wobbling around some attractor or another, an moves from one to the other all by itself. (2) Climatologists still have an awful lot to learn about what does control the climate. Just because they don't know everything, doesn't mean they don't know anything. No, but it doesn't preclude that possibility, either, does it? -- the biggest threat to humanity comes from socialism, which has utterly diverted our attention away from what really matters to our existential survival, to indulging in navel gazing and faux moral investigations into what the world ought to be, whilst we fail utterly to deal with what it actually is. |
#53
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On 09/11/2015 23:19, mcp wrote:
Conclusions: (1) CO2 doesn't play a major part in determining climatic temperature. Unless someone's repealed the conservation of energy, Planck's law or changed the transmission spectrum of CO2 it definitely does. No it doesn't. The alarmists have had to introduce forcing factors into their models to get the results we see. In other words the CO2 doesn't make a significant contribution, its claimed to make other effects worse which is not the same thing. There is little known about these forcing effects and why they exist other than that they have to be in the model to get the results. Then there is the other problem, the models have been unable to predict the future so the forcing effects used have never been correct. This is because they don't understand them. However don't let facts get in the way just continue to believe^W insist its CO2 that's the problem and bend everything to ensure its CO2 that is the problem. If it doesn't fit in five years time just come up with some scare stories and bend something else. Things like water vapour has the biggest effect on climate is a good fact that you may like to investigate. (2) Climatologists still have an awful lot to learn about what does control the climate. Just because they don't know everything, doesn't mean they don't know anything. They have so far failed in every prediction so it appears they know very little but still make exaggerated claims to get the scare factor. Let us know what the latest predictions are so we can see if they get it right with the latest round of scare stories. |
#54
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On Tue, 10 Nov 2015 05:05:01 +0000, The Natural Philosopher wrote:
On 09/11/15 21:20, mcp wrote: If you can't win an arguement you can always resort to abuse. I sere you cant spell argument. However leaving that aside who was it coined the term 'denier'? And is that a term of abuse? People in glass houses... Indeed, I *can't* resist pointing out your own spelling errors/typos in the very first line of your reply. :-) -- Johnny B Good |
#55
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On 10/11/15 19:56, Johnny B Good wrote:
On Tue, 10 Nov 2015 05:05:01 +0000, The Natural Philosopher wrote: On 09/11/15 21:20, mcp wrote: If you can't win an arguement you can always resort to abuse. I sere you cant spell argument. However leaving that aside who was it coined the term 'denier'? And is that a term of abuse? People in glass houses... Indeed, I *can't* resist pointing out your own spelling errors/typos in the very first line of your reply. :-) I cud sweer I did-ent tipe that..;-) -- the biggest threat to humanity comes from socialism, which has utterly diverted our attention away from what really matters to our existential survival, to indulging in navel gazing and faux moral investigations into what the world ought to be, whilst we fail utterly to deal with what it actually is. |
#56
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
In article , mcp
writes On Mon, 9 Nov 2015 20:49:05 +0000, The Natural Philosopher wrote: On 09/11/15 19:59, mcp wrote: On Sat, 07 Nov 2015 08:50:28 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On Fri, 06 Nov 2015 23:33:09 +0000, mcp wrote: On Fri, 06 Nov 2015 08:54:50 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On Thu, 05 Nov 2015 21:11:35 +0000, mcp wrote: On Thu, 05 Nov 2015 08:22:04 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: If they seriously believe that rising sea temperatures and decreasing amounts of polar ice (and the latter seems questionable anyway) are indicative of ongoing warming, why has the atmosphere stopped warming? It hasn't. The ten warmest years ever recorded have all occurred since 1998. 2014 was the warmest year on record. That's quite true. No argument. But it's flat. Within the statistics, it's been the same for the last 15 - 17 years, irrespective of 2014. Didn't you know that? See http://tinyurl.com/ocohxuj for your education (scroll down to get the whole article). This figure from that article http://tinyurl.com/5jfe9p shows a flattening off after ~2000, as do others. Temperature data from http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/ , whose home page shows a similar leveling off from ~2000. Note that the rise in global temperatures between 1980 and 2000 closely parallels the rise between 1910 and 1940, but nobody was ****ting in their pants then. It's cherry picking. http://www.skepticalscience.com/graphics/Escalator.gif The average temperature for that 15 - 17 year period is substantially higher than the previous 15 - 17 year period. We had this discussion about six months ago. You're still trotting out the same poor science as you did then. You haven't learnt anything. What a pity! The science hasn't changed significantly in the last 6 months and 99% of scientists working in the field still dissagree with you. all three of them? On grants from the 'prove global warming' ministry? There are vastly more than three scientists working on climate change. The oil industry has vastly more money and doesn't have any awkward rules about spending it on research like grant awarding bodies do. Cant work out if you are naive, or venal. If you can't win an arguement you can always resort to abuse. Yes indeed. Abuse those who question you by calling them "deniers" or the greatest insult you can muster - Daily Mail readers!! -- bert |
#57
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On 09/11/2015 22:24, Tim Streater wrote:
See, the thing about, say, Newton's theory of gravity, is that it allows one to calculate things like eclipses, and it'd then be pretty obvious that Newton was wrong if the eclipse didn't happen. And guess what. That's never happened, which is why it's called Newton's *theory* of gravity instead of Newton's handwaving ideas about gravity. And what makes it proper science is that Newton could be proved wrong *tomorrow* if some eclipse or other showed up at the wrong time or place. That distinguishes it from dogma or faith. Point of information. IIRC one of the proofs for relativity was that Newton's laws got the orbit of Mercury wrong. Not a lot, but it was measurable. Andy |
#58
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On 10/11/15 23:20, Tim Streater wrote:
In article , Vir Campestris wrote: On 09/11/2015 22:24, Tim Streater wrote: See, the thing about, say, Newton's theory of gravity, is that it allows one to calculate things like eclipses, and it'd then be pretty obvious that Newton was wrong if the eclipse didn't happen. And guess what. That's never happened, which is why it's called Newton's *theory* of gravity instead of Newton's handwaving ideas about gravity. And what makes it proper science is that Newton could be proved wrong *tomorrow* if some eclipse or other showed up at the wrong time or place. That distinguishes it from dogma or faith. Point of information. IIRC one of the proofs for relativity was that Newton's laws got the orbit of Mercury wrong. Not a lot, but it was measurable. Certainly. And that was the point. Newton's theory was dislodged. However: it is still good enough for navigating all over the solar system. The precession of the orbit of mercury is measured in arc-seconds per century, and Newton's theory also predicts the effect. However, he predicted about 6000 and Einstein about 6040. The difference was very small, but measurable, and it persisted even after all other gravitational effects were taken into account, such as the other planets (principally Jupiter). Newton's theory is actually a subset of Einstein's, so it's not so much wrong as incomplete. Which is pretty much where climate change theories are. Of course CO2 makes a minuscule difference. The problem was to make it account for everything, instead of accepting that a lot else was going on besides, and that CO2 was a very very minor player, theory had to introduce positive feedback, and that positive feedback is what gave all the scary predictions. NO warmista ever talks about the positive dfeedback, only about the basics science which *cannot account for the warming by itself*. As I have said many times before, at that point there were two equally likely options - that something else was going on to add to warming, or that something else was going on to multiply the effects of CO2. Why did they choose amplification instead of addition? Well lets just say that withiout amplification they couldn't get CO2 to be a legal pollutant, get it under US legislation, take control of global energy markets and make obscene portofits out of green energy scams. And of course gas... Follow the money. Without feedback amplification, CO2 induced global warming is completely insiginificant at te levels of CO2 we have or are ever likely to have, and the actual climate would be seen to be domianted by water based negative feedback. That doesn't get politicians elected, act as a sop to Green idiots, or make any rent seeking profits for anyone.. -- the biggest threat to humanity comes from socialism, which has utterly diverted our attention away from what really matters to our existential survival, to indulging in navel gazing and faux moral investigations into what the world ought to be, whilst we fail utterly to deal with what it actually is. |
#59
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
Couple of interesting facebook discussion groups - repeal the act! campaign to repeal the climate change act and national association against wind turbines.
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#60
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On Tue, 10 Nov 2015 05:05:37 +0000, The Natural Philosopher
wrote: On 09/11/15 21:49, mcp wrote: On Mon, 9 Nov 2015 21:23:55 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 09/11/2015 21:09, mcp wrote: On Mon, 9 Nov 2015 20:21:53 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 09/11/2015 19:59, mcp wrote: The science hasn't changed significantly in the last 6 months and 99% of scientists working in the field still dissagree with you. You mean some of them disagree even though they get all their cash by agreeing? I see, we're back to it's a world wide conspiracy. They could get more money out of the Koch brothers or BP although, as on the case of the Berkley Earth Surface Temperature project, that doesn't always turn out well for the deniers. There are only one set of deniers, the climate scientists that keep their methods and data secret. They are denying proper scientific review by anyone that may disagree with them. It makes their science useless to anyone that understands science as you can no longer trust them. They may be correct but I will disregard bad science. They keep their methods and data secret by publishing regularly in peer reviewed scientific journals? Yes. Those that disagree with them publish in right wing newspapers and online blogs with no scientific review. No. http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10...8/2/024024/pdf "Our analysis indicates that the number of papers rejecting the consensus on AGW is a vanishingly small proportion of the published research." |
#61
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On Tue, 10 Nov 2015 09:38:27 +0000, dennis@home
wrote: On 09/11/2015 23:19, mcp wrote: Conclusions: (1) CO2 doesn't play a major part in determining climatic temperature. Unless someone's repealed the conservation of energy, Planck's law or changed the transmission spectrum of CO2 it definitely does. No it doesn't. The alarmists have had to introduce forcing factors into their models to get the results we see. In other words the CO2 doesn't make a significant contribution, its claimed to make other effects worse which is not the same thing. There is little known about these forcing effects and why they exist other than that they have to be in the model to get the results. Then there is the other problem, the models have been unable to predict the future so the forcing effects used have never been correct. This is because they don't understand them. However don't let facts get in the way just continue to believe^W insist its CO2 that's the problem and bend everything to ensure its CO2 that is the problem. If it doesn't fit in five years time just come up with some scare stories and bend something else. Things like water vapour has the biggest effect on climate is a good fact that you may like to investigate. Of course water vapour has the biggest radiative effect but the amount of water in the atmosphere is driven by temperature. I love the way this fact always gets trotted out as if it's some kind of relevation. |
#62
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On Tue, 10 Nov 2015 10:03:23 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote:
On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 23:19:57 +0000, mcp wrote: On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 22:08:31 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On the basis that a million lemmings can't be wrong? Actually, it used to be 97%, not 99%, and it's now down to 43%. So *you're* in a minority. http://tinyurl.com/nvg8xkn. As a retired scientist I like to make my own judgement. The acid test of any theory is that the results it predicts should reasonably follow reality. The theory that anthropogenic CO2 is responsible for the recent rise in global temperature fails that test, in that CO2 has continued to rise, but temperatures haven't changed significantly within their normal variation since about 2000. As a retired scientist I would have thought you would put more faith in figures from a peer reviewed scientific publication from a leading scientific body(97%) rather than than a politically motivated blog(43%). There are plenty of well-qualified climatologists who do not believe that anthropogenic CO2 causes global warming. So why don't they publish anything in peer reviewed scientific publication? |
#63
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On 18/11/2015 20:49, mcp wrote:
Of course water vapour has the biggest radiative effect but the amount of water in the atmosphere is driven by temperature. I love the way this fact always gets trotted out as if it's some kind of relevation. Not exactly true though is it? If water vapour were driven by temp and it is the biggest greenhouse gas then we would have runaway increases in both. This indicates that the expected effect of greenhouse gas isn't quite right. Would you like to inform us of why it doesn't runaway? |
#64
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On 18/11/2015 20:50, mcp wrote:
On Tue, 10 Nov 2015 10:03:23 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 23:19:57 +0000, mcp wrote: On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 22:08:31 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On the basis that a million lemmings can't be wrong? Actually, it used to be 97%, not 99%, and it's now down to 43%. So *you're* in a minority. http://tinyurl.com/nvg8xkn. As a retired scientist I like to make my own judgement. The acid test of any theory is that the results it predicts should reasonably follow reality. The theory that anthropogenic CO2 is responsible for the recent rise in global temperature fails that test, in that CO2 has continued to rise, but temperatures haven't changed significantly within their normal variation since about 2000. As a retired scientist I would have thought you would put more faith in figures from a peer reviewed scientific publication from a leading scientific body(97%) rather than than a politically motivated blog(43%). There are plenty of well-qualified climatologists who do not believe that anthropogenic CO2 causes global warming. So why don't they publish anything in peer reviewed scientific publication? They tend to get sacked? |
#65
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
"mcp" wrote in message ... On Tue, 10 Nov 2015 10:03:23 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 23:19:57 +0000, mcp wrote: On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 22:08:31 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On the basis that a million lemmings can't be wrong? Actually, it used to be 97%, not 99%, and it's now down to 43%. So *you're* in a minority. http://tinyurl.com/nvg8xkn. As a retired scientist I like to make my own judgement. The acid test of any theory is that the results it predicts should reasonably follow reality. The theory that anthropogenic CO2 is responsible for the recent rise in global temperature fails that test, in that CO2 has continued to rise, but temperatures haven't changed significantly within their normal variation since about 2000. As a retired scientist I would have thought you would put more faith in figures from a peer reviewed scientific publication from a leading scientific body(97%) rather than than a politically motivated blog(43%). There are plenty of well-qualified climatologists who do not believe that anthropogenic CO2 causes global warming. So why don't they publish anything in peer reviewed scientific publication? Because there isn't anything to publish. No one has come up with anything new on why global temperatures aren't following atmospheric CO2 levels. We just don't know why that isn't happening yet. |
#66
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On Wed, 18 Nov 2015 22:13:24 +0000, dennis@home
wrote: On 18/11/2015 20:49, mcp wrote: Of course water vapour has the biggest radiative effect but the amount of water in the atmosphere is driven by temperature. I love the way this fact always gets trotted out as if it's some kind of relevation. Not exactly true though is it? If water vapour were driven by temp and it is the biggest greenhouse gas then we would have runaway increases in both. This indicates that the expected effect of greenhouse gas isn't quite right. Would you like to inform us of why it doesn't runaway? Mainly by increasing cloud cover. |
#67
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On 18/11/2015 22:41, mcp wrote:
On Wed, 18 Nov 2015 22:13:24 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 18/11/2015 20:49, mcp wrote: Of course water vapour has the biggest radiative effect but the amount of water in the atmosphere is driven by temperature. I love the way this fact always gets trotted out as if it's some kind of relevation. Not exactly true though is it? If water vapour were driven by temp and it is the biggest greenhouse gas then we would have runaway increases in both. This indicates that the expected effect of greenhouse gas isn't quite right. Would you like to inform us of why it doesn't runaway? Mainly by increasing cloud cover. That was discounted by the alarmists as it also means that the clean air acts in Europe resulted in less cloud and could account for the temp rise. |
#68
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On 18/11/15 20:49, mcp wrote:
On Tue, 10 Nov 2015 09:38:27 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 09/11/2015 23:19, mcp wrote: Conclusions: (1) CO2 doesn't play a major part in determining climatic temperature. Unless someone's repealed the conservation of energy, Planck's law or changed the transmission spectrum of CO2 it definitely does. No it doesn't. The alarmists have had to introduce forcing factors into their models to get the results we see. In other words the CO2 doesn't make a significant contribution, its claimed to make other effects worse which is not the same thing. There is little known about these forcing effects and why they exist other than that they have to be in the model to get the results. Then there is the other problem, the models have been unable to predict the future so the forcing effects used have never been correct. This is because they don't understand them. However don't let facts get in the way just continue to believe^W insist its CO2 that's the problem and bend everything to ensure its CO2 that is the problem. If it doesn't fit in five years time just come up with some scare stories and bend something else. Things like water vapour has the biggest effect on climate is a good fact that you may like to investigate. Of course water vapour has the biggest radiative effect but the amount of water in the atmosphere is driven by temperature. I love the way this fact always gets trotted out as if it's some kind of relevation. Try and learn to read and write, dear boy. Revelation. Of course the issue is does water vapour make the world warmer or cooler, and what happens when it rises*above* the bulk of the CO2 laden atmosphere and turns into ice and snow..releasing huge amounts of energy to space and reflecting back even more sunlight energy before it gets here.. Not in the models? Oh dear oh dear. -- the biggest threat to humanity comes from socialism, which has utterly diverted our attention away from what really matters to our existential survival, to indulging in navel gazing and faux moral investigations into what the world ought to be, whilst we fail utterly to deal with what it actually is. |
#69
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On Wed, 18 Nov 2015 22:21:23 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote:
On Wed, 18 Nov 2015 20:50:49 +0000, mcp wrote: On Tue, 10 Nov 2015 10:03:23 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 23:19:57 +0000, mcp wrote: On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 22:08:31 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On the basis that a million lemmings can't be wrong? Actually, it used to be 97%, not 99%, and it's now down to 43%. So *you're* in a minority. http://tinyurl.com/nvg8xkn. As a retired scientist I like to make my own judgement. The acid test of any theory is that the results it predicts should reasonably follow reality. The theory that anthropogenic CO2 is responsible for the recent rise in global temperature fails that test, in that CO2 has continued to rise, but temperatures haven't changed significantly within their normal variation since about 2000. As a retired scientist I would have thought you would put more faith in figures from a peer reviewed scientific publication from a leading scientific body(97%) rather than than a politically motivated blog(43%). The '43%' figure originally came from here. http://tinyurl.com/pkuwob3 Hardly a 'politically motivated blog'! No it did not! The figure of 43% does not appear anywhere in that document or in the peer reviewed paper by the same authors. The lead author has pointed out that it is a misrepresentation of their work. https://ourchangingclimate.wordpress...how/#more-2842 There are plenty of well-qualified climatologists who do not believe that anthropogenic CO2 causes global warming. So why don't they publish anything in peer reviewed scientific publication? I'm sure they have. Plenty of references he- http://tinyurl.com/nwonskj A tiny number, 0.7% of published papers on climate science papers rejected AGW and 0.3% were uncertain about the cause of global warming. |
#70
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On 18/11/15 20:50, mcp wrote:
On Tue, 10 Nov 2015 10:03:23 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 23:19:57 +0000, mcp wrote: On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 22:08:31 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On the basis that a million lemmings can't be wrong? Actually, it used to be 97%, not 99%, and it's now down to 43%. So *you're* in a minority. http://tinyurl.com/nvg8xkn. As a retired scientist I like to make my own judgement. The acid test of any theory is that the results it predicts should reasonably follow reality. The theory that anthropogenic CO2 is responsible for the recent rise in global temperature fails that test, in that CO2 has continued to rise, but temperatures haven't changed significantly within their normal variation since about 2000. As a retired scientist I would have thought you would put more faith in figures from a peer reviewed scientific publication from a leading scientific body(97%) rather than than a politically motivated blog(43%). There are plenty of well-qualified climatologists who do not believe that anthropogenic CO2 causes global warming. So why don't they publish anything in peer reviewed scientific publication? (a) They do, but the media doesn't report it and they usually lose their jobs shortly afterwards (b) because the peer review process is now not scientific, but political, and the science magazines like nature are totally discredited. -- the biggest threat to humanity comes from socialism, which has utterly diverted our attention away from what really matters to our existential survival, to indulging in navel gazing and faux moral investigations into what the world ought to be, whilst we fail utterly to deal with what it actually is. |
#71
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On 18/11/15 20:41, mcp wrote:
On Tue, 10 Nov 2015 05:05:37 +0000, The Natural Philosopher wrote: On 09/11/15 21:49, mcp wrote: On Mon, 9 Nov 2015 21:23:55 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 09/11/2015 21:09, mcp wrote: On Mon, 9 Nov 2015 20:21:53 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 09/11/2015 19:59, mcp wrote: The science hasn't changed significantly in the last 6 months and 99% of scientists working in the field still dissagree with you. You mean some of them disagree even though they get all their cash by agreeing? I see, we're back to it's a world wide conspiracy. They could get more money out of the Koch brothers or BP although, as on the case of the Berkley Earth Surface Temperature project, that doesn't always turn out well for the deniers. There are only one set of deniers, the climate scientists that keep their methods and data secret. They are denying proper scientific review by anyone that may disagree with them. It makes their science useless to anyone that understands science as you can no longer trust them. They may be correct but I will disregard bad science. They keep their methods and data secret by publishing regularly in peer reviewed scientific journals? Yes. Those that disagree with them publish in right wing newspapers and online blogs with no scientific review. No. http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10...8/2/024024/pdf "Our analysis indicates that the number of papers rejecting the consensus on AGW is a vanishingly small proportion of the published research." Well they would say that, wouldn't they? Like 'published research' might be on almost anything, and nothing to do with climate modelling per se, Most 'climate research' is 'what will happen to the Mongolian lesser spotted ****face when the earth warms 3 degrees' (not even questioning whether in fact it will)' There are almost no papers on the actual climate science itself, because the party line is that that is 'settled' And the people running the peer review process and funding the universities simply don't let any contrary view get publicised. Science itself is now utterly discredited, as it has become apparent that scientists are human, and will publish what keeps them in government funded jobs. Even if they don't believe it. -- the biggest threat to humanity comes from socialism, which has utterly diverted our attention away from what really matters to our existential survival, to indulging in navel gazing and faux moral investigations into what the world ought to be, whilst we fail utterly to deal with what it actually is. |
#72
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On Wed, 18 Nov 2015 23:11:35 +0000, The Natural Philosopher
wrote: On 18/11/15 20:49, mcp wrote: On Tue, 10 Nov 2015 09:38:27 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 09/11/2015 23:19, mcp wrote: Conclusions: (1) CO2 doesn't play a major part in determining climatic temperature. Unless someone's repealed the conservation of energy, Planck's law or changed the transmission spectrum of CO2 it definitely does. No it doesn't. The alarmists have had to introduce forcing factors into their models to get the results we see. In other words the CO2 doesn't make a significant contribution, its claimed to make other effects worse which is not the same thing. There is little known about these forcing effects and why they exist other than that they have to be in the model to get the results. Then there is the other problem, the models have been unable to predict the future so the forcing effects used have never been correct. This is because they don't understand them. However don't let facts get in the way just continue to believe^W insist its CO2 that's the problem and bend everything to ensure its CO2 that is the problem. If it doesn't fit in five years time just come up with some scare stories and bend something else. Things like water vapour has the biggest effect on climate is a good fact that you may like to investigate. Of course water vapour has the biggest radiative effect but the amount of water in the atmosphere is driven by temperature. I love the way this fact always gets trotted out as if it's some kind of relevation. Try and learn to read and write, dear boy. Revelation. Of course the issue is does water vapour make the world warmer or cooler, and what happens when it rises*above* the bulk of the CO2 laden atmosphere and turns into ice and snow..releasing huge amounts of energy to space and reflecting back even more sunlight energy before it gets here.. Not in the models? Oh dear oh dear. Of course it's in the models, |
#73
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On 18/11/15 22:41, mcp wrote:
On Wed, 18 Nov 2015 22:13:24 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 18/11/2015 20:49, mcp wrote: Of course water vapour has the biggest radiative effect but the amount of water in the atmosphere is driven by temperature. I love the way this fact always gets trotted out as if it's some kind of relevation. Not exactly true though is it? If water vapour were driven by temp and it is the biggest greenhouse gas then we would have runaway increases in both. This indicates that the expected effect of greenhouse gas isn't quite right. Would you like to inform us of why it doesn't runaway? Mainly by increasing cloud cover. So does more water and cloud make the earth warmer, or colder? Are cloudtops above or below the area of greatest CO2 concentration? How much radiant energy do clouds reflect back to space? How much radiant energy does snow reflect back to space? How much radiant energy do clouds reflect back to earth at night? How does the turbulent nature of convection get modelled in the standard climate models? Are any of the above issues correctly handled in any of the climate models? -- the biggest threat to humanity comes from socialism, which has utterly diverted our attention away from what really matters to our existential survival, to indulging in navel gazing and faux moral investigations into what the world ought to be, whilst we fail utterly to deal with what it actually is. |
#74
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On 18/11/15 23:24, mcp wrote:
On Wed, 18 Nov 2015 23:11:35 +0000, The Natural Philosopher wrote: On 18/11/15 20:49, mcp wrote: On Tue, 10 Nov 2015 09:38:27 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 09/11/2015 23:19, mcp wrote: Conclusions: (1) CO2 doesn't play a major part in determining climatic temperature. Unless someone's repealed the conservation of energy, Planck's law or changed the transmission spectrum of CO2 it definitely does. No it doesn't. The alarmists have had to introduce forcing factors into their models to get the results we see. In other words the CO2 doesn't make a significant contribution, its claimed to make other effects worse which is not the same thing. There is little known about these forcing effects and why they exist other than that they have to be in the model to get the results. Then there is the other problem, the models have been unable to predict the future so the forcing effects used have never been correct. This is because they don't understand them. However don't let facts get in the way just continue to believe^W insist its CO2 that's the problem and bend everything to ensure its CO2 that is the problem. If it doesn't fit in five years time just come up with some scare stories and bend something else. Things like water vapour has the biggest effect on climate is a good fact that you may like to investigate. Of course water vapour has the biggest radiative effect but the amount of water in the atmosphere is driven by temperature. I love the way this fact always gets trotted out as if it's some kind of relevation. Try and learn to read and write, dear boy. Revelation. Of course the issue is does water vapour make the world warmer or cooler, and what happens when it rises*above* the bulk of the CO2 laden atmosphere and turns into ice and snow..releasing huge amounts of energy to space and reflecting back even more sunlight energy before it gets here.. Not in the models? Oh dear oh dear. Of course it's in the models, Try actually LOOKING. You would be appalled at what is not in the models. Or is covered by some grand sweepi8ng assumption that can easily be shown to be totally unjustified. The whole issue of 'climate sensitivity' which has been adjusted threefold over the political life of AGW shows that the equations can't be bent to fit reality. The Emeperor's New Green Clothes are looking tattered these days. Its nothing but sleaze, troughing and pressure on academics. Total disgrace. -- the biggest threat to humanity comes from socialism, which has utterly diverted our attention away from what really matters to our existential survival, to indulging in navel gazing and faux moral investigations into what the world ought to be, whilst we fail utterly to deal with what it actually is. |
#75
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On Wed, 18 Nov 2015 23:04:46 +0000, dennis@home
wrote: On 18/11/2015 22:41, mcp wrote: On Wed, 18 Nov 2015 22:13:24 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 18/11/2015 20:49, mcp wrote: Of course water vapour has the biggest radiative effect but the amount of water in the atmosphere is driven by temperature. I love the way this fact always gets trotted out as if it's some kind of relevation. Not exactly true though is it? If water vapour were driven by temp and it is the biggest greenhouse gas then we would have runaway increases in both. This indicates that the expected effect of greenhouse gas isn't quite right. Would you like to inform us of why it doesn't runaway? Mainly by increasing cloud cover. That was discounted by the alarmists as it also means that the clean air acts in Europe resulted in less cloud and could account for the temp rise. If it's been discounted then why do they include it in their models? |
#76
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On Wed, 18 Nov 2015 23:16:52 +0000, The Natural Philosopher
wrote: On 18/11/15 20:50, mcp wrote: On Tue, 10 Nov 2015 10:03:23 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 23:19:57 +0000, mcp wrote: On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 22:08:31 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On the basis that a million lemmings can't be wrong? Actually, it used to be 97%, not 99%, and it's now down to 43%. So *you're* in a minority. http://tinyurl.com/nvg8xkn. As a retired scientist I like to make my own judgement. The acid test of any theory is that the results it predicts should reasonably follow reality. The theory that anthropogenic CO2 is responsible for the recent rise in global temperature fails that test, in that CO2 has continued to rise, but temperatures haven't changed significantly within their normal variation since about 2000. As a retired scientist I would have thought you would put more faith in figures from a peer reviewed scientific publication from a leading scientific body(97%) rather than than a politically motivated blog(43%). There are plenty of well-qualified climatologists who do not believe that anthropogenic CO2 causes global warming. So why don't they publish anything in peer reviewed scientific publication? (a) They do, but the media doesn't report it and they usually lose their jobs shortly afterwards (b) because the peer review process is now not scientific, but political, and the science magazines like nature are totally discredited. Back to the conspiracy theories again. |
#77
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On Wed, 18 Nov 2015 23:22:07 +0000, The Natural Philosopher
wrote: On 18/11/15 20:41, mcp wrote: On Tue, 10 Nov 2015 05:05:37 +0000, The Natural Philosopher wrote: On 09/11/15 21:49, mcp wrote: On Mon, 9 Nov 2015 21:23:55 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 09/11/2015 21:09, mcp wrote: On Mon, 9 Nov 2015 20:21:53 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 09/11/2015 19:59, mcp wrote: The science hasn't changed significantly in the last 6 months and 99% of scientists working in the field still dissagree with you. You mean some of them disagree even though they get all their cash by agreeing? I see, we're back to it's a world wide conspiracy. They could get more money out of the Koch brothers or BP although, as on the case of the Berkley Earth Surface Temperature project, that doesn't always turn out well for the deniers. There are only one set of deniers, the climate scientists that keep their methods and data secret. They are denying proper scientific review by anyone that may disagree with them. It makes their science useless to anyone that understands science as you can no longer trust them. They may be correct but I will disregard bad science. They keep their methods and data secret by publishing regularly in peer reviewed scientific journals? Yes. Those that disagree with them publish in right wing newspapers and online blogs with no scientific review. No. http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10...8/2/024024/pdf "Our analysis indicates that the number of papers rejecting the consensus on AGW is a vanishingly small proportion of the published research." Well they would say that, wouldn't they? Like 'published research' might be on almost anything, and nothing to do with climate modelling per se, Most 'climate research' is 'what will happen to the Mongolian lesser spotted ****face when the earth warms 3 degrees' (not even questioning whether in fact it will)' There are almost no papers on the actual climate science itself, because the party line is that that is 'settled' And the people running the peer review process and funding the universities simply don't let any contrary view get publicised. Science itself is now utterly discredited, as it has become apparent that scientists are human, and will publish what keeps them in government funded jobs. Even if they don't believe it. Ok, we have now veered firmly into tin foil hat territory. |
#78
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On 18/11/15 23:34, mcp wrote:
On Wed, 18 Nov 2015 23:16:52 +0000, The Natural Philosopher wrote: On 18/11/15 20:50, mcp wrote: On Tue, 10 Nov 2015 10:03:23 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 23:19:57 +0000, mcp wrote: On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 22:08:31 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On the basis that a million lemmings can't be wrong? Actually, it used to be 97%, not 99%, and it's now down to 43%. So *you're* in a minority. http://tinyurl.com/nvg8xkn. As a retired scientist I like to make my own judgement. The acid test of any theory is that the results it predicts should reasonably follow reality. The theory that anthropogenic CO2 is responsible for the recent rise in global temperature fails that test, in that CO2 has continued to rise, but temperatures haven't changed significantly within their normal variation since about 2000. As a retired scientist I would have thought you would put more faith in figures from a peer reviewed scientific publication from a leading scientific body(97%) rather than than a politically motivated blog(43%). There are plenty of well-qualified climatologists who do not believe that anthropogenic CO2 causes global warming. So why don't they publish anything in peer reviewed scientific publication? (a) They do, but the media doesn't report it and they usually lose their jobs shortly afterwards (b) because the peer review process is now not scientific, but political, and the science magazines like nature are totally discredited. Back to the conspiracy theories again. Yeah. its the Koch brothers wot financed it for sure ;-) Or big oil. Just like the tobacco companies innit? Is hypocrisy and the Big Lie a requirement for being a Green, or is it just easier to lie anyway? -- the biggest threat to humanity comes from socialism, which has utterly diverted our attention away from what really matters to our existential survival, to indulging in navel gazing and faux moral investigations into what the world ought to be, whilst we fail utterly to deal with what it actually is. |
#79
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On 18/11/15 23:37, mcp wrote:
On Wed, 18 Nov 2015 23:22:07 +0000, The Natural Philosopher wrote: On 18/11/15 20:41, mcp wrote: On Tue, 10 Nov 2015 05:05:37 +0000, The Natural Philosopher wrote: On 09/11/15 21:49, mcp wrote: On Mon, 9 Nov 2015 21:23:55 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 09/11/2015 21:09, mcp wrote: On Mon, 9 Nov 2015 20:21:53 +0000, dennis@home wrote: On 09/11/2015 19:59, mcp wrote: The science hasn't changed significantly in the last 6 months and 99% of scientists working in the field still dissagree with you. You mean some of them disagree even though they get all their cash by agreeing? I see, we're back to it's a world wide conspiracy. They could get more money out of the Koch brothers or BP although, as on the case of the Berkley Earth Surface Temperature project, that doesn't always turn out well for the deniers. There are only one set of deniers, the climate scientists that keep their methods and data secret. They are denying proper scientific review by anyone that may disagree with them. It makes their science useless to anyone that understands science as you can no longer trust them. They may be correct but I will disregard bad science. They keep their methods and data secret by publishing regularly in peer reviewed scientific journals? Yes. Those that disagree with them publish in right wing newspapers and online blogs with no scientific review. No. http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10...8/2/024024/pdf "Our analysis indicates that the number of papers rejecting the consensus on AGW is a vanishingly small proportion of the published research." Well they would say that, wouldn't they? Like 'published research' might be on almost anything, and nothing to do with climate modelling per se, Most 'climate research' is 'what will happen to the Mongolian lesser spotted ****face when the earth warms 3 degrees' (not even questioning whether in fact it will)' There are almost no papers on the actual climate science itself, because the party line is that that is 'settled' And the people running the peer review process and funding the universities simply don't let any contrary view get publicised. Science itself is now utterly discredited, as it has become apparent that scientists are human, and will publish what keeps them in government funded jobs. Even if they don't believe it. Ok, we have now veered firmly into tin foil hat territory. WE haven't veered into tinfoil hat territory. AGW has always been there since Al Gore. Lead by the Greens, whose paranoia is only equalled by their touching faith in Big Words and Bull**** -- the biggest threat to humanity comes from socialism, which has utterly diverted our attention away from what really matters to our existential survival, to indulging in navel gazing and faux moral investigations into what the world ought to be, whilst we fail utterly to deal with what it actually is. |
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Another Blow for the Ecowarriors
On Wed, 18 Nov 2015 23:45:00 +0000, The Natural Philosopher
wrote: On 18/11/15 23:34, mcp wrote: On Wed, 18 Nov 2015 23:16:52 +0000, The Natural Philosopher wrote: On 18/11/15 20:50, mcp wrote: On Tue, 10 Nov 2015 10:03:23 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 23:19:57 +0000, mcp wrote: On Mon, 09 Nov 2015 22:08:31 +0000, Chris Hogg wrote: On the basis that a million lemmings can't be wrong? Actually, it used to be 97%, not 99%, and it's now down to 43%. So *you're* in a minority. http://tinyurl.com/nvg8xkn. As a retired scientist I like to make my own judgement. The acid test of any theory is that the results it predicts should reasonably follow reality. The theory that anthropogenic CO2 is responsible for the recent rise in global temperature fails that test, in that CO2 has continued to rise, but temperatures haven't changed significantly within their normal variation since about 2000. As a retired scientist I would have thought you would put more faith in figures from a peer reviewed scientific publication from a leading scientific body(97%) rather than than a politically motivated blog(43%). There are plenty of well-qualified climatologists who do not believe that anthropogenic CO2 causes global warming. So why don't they publish anything in peer reviewed scientific publication? (a) They do, but the media doesn't report it and they usually lose their jobs shortly afterwards (b) because the peer review process is now not scientific, but political, and the science magazines like nature are totally discredited. Back to the conspiracy theories again. Yeah. its the Koch brothers wot financed it for sure ;-) Or big oil. Just like the tobacco companies innit? The Koch brothers and big oil are funding scientists to say things which hurt their financial interests? You make even less sense than usual. You are claiming that the vast majority of climate scientists, science journal editors, peer reviewers, funding bodies, national and international science academies and the media are engaged in a global conspiracy. It's not remotely credible. |
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