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#1
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The true cost of wind...
Today as a more than usually stiff breeze covers the British isles, and
wind power creeps up to 10% of demand, you can cry in your beer over the fact that today will cost you, the electricity consumer, a minimum of £3.6 million quid you wouldn't otherwise have had to pay. For a populaton of c 70 million, thats 5p each you have dropped into the coffers of the troughers, or in terms of households about 15p -- Ineptocracy (in-ep-toc-ra-cy) €“ a system of government where the least capable to lead are elected by the least capable of producing, and where the members of society least likely to sustain themselves or succeed, are rewarded with goods and services paid for by the confiscated wealth of a diminishing number of producers. |
#2
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The true cost of wind...
The Natural Philosopher scribbled...
Today as a more than usually stiff breeze covers the British isles, and wind power creeps up to 10% of demand, you can cry in your beer over the fact that today will cost you, the electricity consumer, a minimum of £3.6 million quid you wouldn't otherwise have had to pay. For a populaton of c 70 million, thats 5p each you have dropped into the coffers of the troughers, or in terms of households about 15p You're so right. Just think, we could have used that money to buy fuel and arms for the RAF so they could fight another war. BTW my food bill probably went up by £1 this week. Different trough and no gain for me. |
#3
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The true cost of wind...
Artic wrote:
The Natural Philosopher scribbled... Today as a more than usually stiff breeze covers the British isles, and wind power creeps up to 10% of demand, you can cry in your beer over the fact that today will cost you, the electricity consumer, a minimum of £3.6 million quid you wouldn't otherwise have had to pay. For a populaton of c 70 million, thats 5p each you have dropped into the coffers of the troughers, or in terms of households about 15p You're so right. Just think, we could have used that money to buy fuel and arms for the RAF so they could fight another war. Or we could have used it to improve paediatric care in the NHS. Bill |
#4
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The true cost of wind...
On 10/09/13 15:41, Artic wrote:
The Natural Philosopher scribbled... Today as a more than usually stiff breeze covers the British isles, and wind power creeps up to 10% of demand, you can cry in your beer over the fact that today will cost you, the electricity consumer, a minimum of £3.6 million quid you wouldn't otherwise have had to pay. For a populaton of c 70 million, thats 5p each you have dropped into the coffers of the troughers, or in terms of households about 15p You're so right. Just think, we could have used that money to buy fuel and arms for the RAF so they could fight another war. BTW my food bill probably went up by £1 this week. Different trough and no gain for me. with electricity prices rising to supermarkets, of course prices will go up. 2/3rd of the cost of green idiocy gets 'lost' in general inflation. -- Ineptocracy (in-ep-toc-ra-cy) €“ a system of government where the least capable to lead are elected by the least capable of producing, and where the members of society least likely to sustain themselves or succeed, are rewarded with goods and services paid for by the confiscated wealth of a diminishing number of producers. |
#5
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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The true cost of wind...
On 10/09/13 16:31, Bill Wright wrote:
Artic wrote: The Natural Philosopher scribbled... Today as a more than usually stiff breeze covers the British isles, and wind power creeps up to 10% of demand, you can cry in your beer over the fact that today will cost you, the electricity consumer, a minimum of £3.6 million quid you wouldn't otherwise have had to pay. For a populaton of c 70 million, thats 5p each you have dropped into the coffers of the troughers, or in terms of households about 15p You're so right. Just think, we could have used that money to buy fuel and arms for the RAF so they could fight another war. Or we could have used it to improve paediatric care in the NHS. or build new nukes that actually work... -- Ineptocracy (in-ep-toc-ra-cy) €“ a system of government where the least capable to lead are elected by the least capable of producing, and where the members of society least likely to sustain themselves or succeed, are rewarded with goods and services paid for by the confiscated wealth of a diminishing number of producers. |
#6
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The true cost of wind...
On Tue, 10 Sep 2013 13:13:03 +0100, The Natural Philosopher wrote:
Today as a more than usually stiff breeze covers the British isles, and wind power creeps up to 10% of demand, you can cry in your beer over the fact that today will cost you, the electricity consumer, a minimum of £3.6 million quid you wouldn't otherwise have had to pay. What'd the other 90% cost? |
#7
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The true cost of wind...
ah yes, this explains why the Mafia got involved in it early on in Italy
then. Brian -- From the Sofa of Brian Gaff Reply address is active "The Natural Philosopher" wrote in message ... Today as a more than usually stiff breeze covers the British isles, and wind power creeps up to 10% of demand, you can cry in your beer over the fact that today will cost you, the electricity consumer, a minimum of £3.6 million quid you wouldn't otherwise have had to pay. For a populaton of c 70 million, thats 5p each you have dropped into the coffers of the troughers, or in terms of households about 15p -- Ineptocracy (in-ep-toc'-ra-cy) - a system of government where the least capable to lead are elected by the least capable of producing, and where the members of society least likely to sustain themselves or succeed, are rewarded with goods and services paid for by the confiscated wealth of a diminishing number of producers. |
#8
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The true cost of wind...
You just can't, or more likely just won't, hoist it on board, will
you? According to the previously linked BBC Report in March 2013: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-somerset-21774652 "Today, electricity sells on the wholesale market for about £45 per megawatt-hour (Mw). But anything under £90 a Mw would see Hinkley lose money." So currently wholesale is half of the MINIMUM of what new nuclear would cost. Today Gridwatch shows nuclear to be at 7.73GW. So if that were to be generated by new nuclear build at the minimum likely price of £95/Mw or 9.5p/unit (EDF have to make a profit, and it makes the maths easier) that's £50/Mw or 5p/unit extra to the current price, so that's: 7.73 * 1,000 * 24 * 50 = £9,276,000 So that's 13p/person or 40p/household that would have to be paid to EDF over and above the current price of electricity, or about 2.5 times the extra cost of wind. On Tue, 10 Sep 2013 17:02:46 +0100, The Natural Philosopher wrote: or build new nukes that actually work... -- ================================================== ======= Please always reply to ng as the email in this post's header does not exist. Or use a contact address at: http://www.macfh.co.uk/JavaJive/JavaJive.html http://www.macfh.co.uk/Macfarlane/Macfarlane.html |
#9
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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The true cost of wind...
As did all the historical subsidies to nuclear power ...
On Tue, 10 Sep 2013 17:02:01 +0100, The Natural Philosopher wrote: 2/3rd of the cost of green idiocy gets 'lost' in general inflation. -- ================================================== ======= Please always reply to ng as the email in this post's header does not exist. Or use a contact address at: http://www.macfh.co.uk/JavaJive/JavaJive.html http://www.macfh.co.uk/Macfarlane/Macfarlane.html |
#10
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The true cost of wind...
On 10/09/13 17:49, Adrian wrote:
On Tue, 10 Sep 2013 13:13:03 +0100, The Natural Philosopher wrote: Today as a more than usually stiff breeze covers the British isles, and wind power creeps up to 10% of demand, you can cry in your beer over the fact that today will cost you, the electricity consumer, a minimum of £3.6 million quid you wouldn't otherwise have had to pay. What'd the other 90% cost? half the price. -- Ineptocracy (in-ep-toc-ra-cy) €“ a system of government where the least capable to lead are elected by the least capable of producing, and where the members of society least likely to sustain themselves or succeed, are rewarded with goods and services paid for by the confiscated wealth of a diminishing number of producers. |
#11
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The true cost of wind...
On Tue, 10 Sep 2013 18:49:27 +0100, Java Jive wrote:
You just can't, or more likely just won't, hoist it on board, will you? According to the previously linked BBC Report in March 2013: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-somerset-21774652 "Today, electricity sells on the wholesale market for about £45 per megawatt-hour (Mw). But anything under £90 a Mw would see Hinkley lose money." So currently wholesale is half of the MINIMUM of what new nuclear would cost. Today Gridwatch shows nuclear to be at 7.73GW. So if that were to be generated by new nuclear build at the minimum likely price of £95/Mw or 9.5p/unit (EDF have to make a profit, and it makes the maths easier) that's £50/Mw or 5p/unit extra to the current price, so that's: 7.73 * 1,000 * 24 * 50 = £9,276,000 So that's 13p/person or 40p/household that would have to be paid to EDF over and above the current price of electricity, or about 2.5 times the extra cost of wind. I'd fully agree with your costings IF wind was compelled to deliver an exactly defined level of generation at an exactly defined time, in say 2030. The level of generation has to be achieved under conditions of a stationary blocking high. Nukes at £95 per MWh in are a bargain. Give me 30GW asap, and while we are at it another 30GW of coal. In parallel hack every wind turbine down and tell the FIT parasites to **** off. -- |
#12
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The true cost of wind...
On Tue, 10 Sep 2013 23:24:22 +0100, The Other Mike
wrote: I'd fully agree with your costings IF wind was compelled to deliver an exactly defined level of generation at an exactly defined time, in say 2030. The level of generation has to be achieved under conditions of a stationary blocking high. What relevance has wind got to the exorbitant cost of nuclear energy? Nukes at £95 per MWh in are a bargain. Not exactly compared with the cost of carbon-based generation - the documents linked by Nightjar in a recent thread strongly suggest that once you've taken into account the recent increases in the cost of Hinkley C, even including either a carbon tax or carbon capture, carbon-based generation will be cheaper, and we have the fuels for it, and haven't for nuclear fission. Give me 30GW asap We haven't got the fuel for it. With current expected world supplies, say 10 years from when we've completed the first new plant, and the UK's current stockpiles of 392GWyr, you can be certain only of 30GW for 23 years or 8GW to last the full proposed plant lifetime of 60 years. Either way, you'll be incurring a great deal of extra expense - over and above the latest huge increases in the cost of building the plant as evidenced by Hinkley C - recycling current stockpiles of waste fuel, depleted uranium, etc. and while we are at it another 30GW of coal. That would certainly be doable. In parallel hack every wind turbine down and tell the FIT parasites to **** off. Nuclear, if it does actually go ahead as currently envisaged by HMG, will be a FIT parasite also, about 2.5 times than wind is currently. Having answered your points, I'm going to take a little time out for some thinking out loud ... The problem with wind is, as every body here knows, its variability. However, demand is variable too. For years the operators of the NG have been doing a merry dance trying to meet varying demand by switching on & off constant supplies, often at ridiculously short notice - how in the name of human intelligence can it be sensible to have the grid overloading and have to power up extra capacity just because there's a commercial break in a popular TV program, or because one has just ended? What is needed is more storage, then existing problems of meeting variable demand would be somewhat relieved, and the variable contribution of wind would be much more easily and usefully absorbed into the system. The question is how? We've already done a great deal with hydro - already there are some places in Scotland where the same bit of water will go through as many as 4 hydro stations on its way to the sea. However, there are still one or two pumped storage schemes that were once mooted, but never got built, or at least the pumped storage part wasn't. Certainly we should build those asap, but this won't be enough on its own, and anyway doesn't alleviate any of the problems caused by variable demand. So we have to be prepared to think rather more blue sky ... Mackay suggests electrifying car travel, and using the charging of the vehicles to buffer variable supply and demand. But this would increase the demand for electricity overall, and thereby increase some already existing important difficulties, such as can the existing grid cope with the increased flows? In fact, we are already currently exacerbating such problems by electrifying all the railways. Why not at least put battery banks in the locos, or perhaps by the tracks (saves carting their weight around)? If that works, we could consider extending it to cover increasing amounts of road transport as well. For the price of one Hinkley C, we could easily afford to put batteries and an invertor into every home. Could we create pumped sea-water storage reservoirs and use wind-power to fill them? I don't know how many of these and other possible ideas would work, but I am certain of one thing: If fusion cannot deliver, the future will of necessity be very, very different from the past, and therefore it's no good THINKING as in the past. We're probably going to have to wring every last joule from renewable sources that we can, and the sooner we get used to that idea and stop mindlessly bitching about it in Pavlovian parrot-fashion, the better. We're probably going to have to learn to capture carbon, and again, the sooner we start to learn how, the better. If we decide we really do need nuclear, HMG's existing proposals will lead to a very quick and costly dead-end, so we'd just as surely need to be thinking differently about nuclear power as well, and the sooner we accept that, the better. And the sooner a certain bigot here stops posting endless lies and disinformation on all these matters, the better. -- ================================================== ======= Please always reply to ng as the email in this post's header does not exist. Or use a contact address at: http://www.macfh.co.uk/JavaJive/JavaJive.html http://www.macfh.co.uk/Macfarlane/Macfarlane.html |
#13
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The true cost of wind...
"The Natural Philosopher" wrote in message ... On 10/09/13 16:31, Bill Wright wrote: Artic wrote: The Natural Philosopher scribbled... Today as a more than usually stiff breeze covers the British isles, and wind power creeps up to 10% of demand, you can cry in your beer over the fact that today will cost you, the electricity consumer, a minimum of £3.6 million quid you wouldn't otherwise have had to pay. For a populaton of c 70 million, thats 5p each you have dropped into the coffers of the troughers, or in terms of households about 15p You're so right. Just think, we could have used that money to buy fuel and arms for the RAF so they could fight another war. Or we could have used it to improve paediatric care in the NHS. or build new nukes that actually work... I see your demetia is troubling you. We have established they are expensive white elephants. |
#14
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The true cost of wind...
"Java Jive" wrote in message ... You just can't, or more likely just won't, hoist it on board, will you? According to the previously linked BBC Report in March 2013: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-somerset-21774652 "Today, electricity sells on the wholesale market for about £45 per megawatt-hour (Mw). But anything under £90 a Mw would see Hinkley lose money." So currently wholesale is half of the MINIMUM of what new nuclear would cost. Today Gridwatch shows nuclear to be at 7.73GW. So if that were to be generated by new nuclear build at the minimum likely price of £95/Mw or 9.5p/unit (EDF have to make a profit, and it makes the maths easier) that's £50/Mw or 5p/unit extra to the current price, so that's: 7.73 * 1,000 * 24 * 50 = £9,276,000 So that's 13p/person or 40p/household that would have to be paid to EDF over and above the current price of electricity, or about 2.5 times the extra cost of wind. He's too thick to understand stuff like that. In his dotage I suspect. |
#15
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The true cost of wind...
On 11/09/13 09:08, harryagain wrote:
"The Natural Philosopher" wrote in message ... On 10/09/13 16:31, Bill Wright wrote: Artic wrote: The Natural Philosopher scribbled... Today as a more than usually stiff breeze covers the British isles, and wind power creeps up to 10% of demand, you can cry in your beer over the fact that today will cost you, the electricity consumer, a minimum of £3.6 million quid you wouldn't otherwise have had to pay. For a populaton of c 70 million, thats 5p each you have dropped into the coffers of the troughers, or in terms of households about 15p You're so right. Just think, we could have used that money to buy fuel and arms for the RAF so they could fight another war. Or we could have used it to improve paediatric care in the NHS. or build new nukes that actually work... I see your demetia is troubling you. We have established they are expensive white elephants. We haven't. -- Ineptocracy (in-ep-toc-ra-cy) €“ a system of government where the least capable to lead are elected by the least capable of producing, and where the members of society least likely to sustain themselves or succeed, are rewarded with goods and services paid for by the confiscated wealth of a diminishing number of producers. |
#16
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The true cost of wind...
On Wed, 11 Sep 2013 10:03:56 +0100, Tim Streater
wrote: Yes, this is the part that's too hard for J and harry to understand. As I type, wind is producing just over 2GW. On Monday, it was under 1GW, at times *well* under. Since the windies promise us what you've asked for above, a constant level of generation, we're obviously due a refund e.g. for July, when you were lucky to get 0.1GW the whole month. Suggest you read what I actually have been posting on this subject, not what you choose to think I have been posting. I'm still waiting for JJ and harry to indicate where and to whom the country (i.e. the rest of us) should apply for a refund, but curiously they seem unable to do so. Well, if we're going to play silly buggers, I'm still waiting for you, and others like you, to indicate where and to whom the country (i.e. the rest of us) should apply for a refund of all the historical subsidies that nuclear power has had and yet still expects us to pick up the tab for looking after its waste, but curiously you seem unable to do so. -- ================================================== ======= Please always reply to ng as the email in this post's header does not exist. Or use a contact address at: http://www.macfh.co.uk/JavaJive/JavaJive.html http://www.macfh.co.uk/Macfarlane/Macfarlane.html |
#17
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The true cost of wind...
On 10/09/2013 13:13, The Natural Philosopher wrote:
Today as a more than usually stiff breeze covers the British isles, and wind power creeps up to 10% of demand, you can cry in your beer over the fact that today will cost you, the electricity consumer, a minimum of £3.6 million quid you wouldn't otherwise have had to pay. The spivs in the city manipulating spot market price costs us far more For a populaton of c 70 million, thats 5p each you have dropped into the coffers of the troughers, or in terms of households about 15p Have a listen to R4's Whinge at One - you will love it! Manufacturers of wind turbines have been derating 800kW capable units to 500kW to harvest the income generated by FIT rules optimally. That is by deliberately obtaining less electricity from each one installed. Law of unintended consequences and a particularly daft set of rules. -- Regards, Martin Brown |
#18
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The true cost of wind...
Could we create pumped sea-water storage reservoirs and use wind-power to fill them? I don't know how many of these and other possible ideas would work, but I am certain of one thing: If fusion cannot deliver, the future will of necessity be very, very different from the past, and therefore it's no good THINKING as in the past. We're probably going to have to wring every last joule from renewable sources that we can, and the sooner we get used to that idea and stop mindlessly bitching about it in Pavlovian parrot-fashion, the better. We're probably going to have to learn to capture carbon, and again, the sooner we start to learn how, the better. If we decide we really do need nuclear, HMG's existing proposals will lead to a very quick and costly dead-end, so we'd just as surely need to be thinking differently about nuclear power as well, and the sooner we accept that, the better. And the sooner a certain bigot here stops posting endless lies and disinformation on all these matters, the better. Have you -any- ideas on how large these storage places would need to be at all?.. Even if we could get the wind to fulfil our needs, existing ones let alone with cars being electrically powered to add to demand.. And idea just how many and the amount of land they would need?. Also just how long would they need to last to cope with blocking highs across the UK?. Those days of fairly even air pressure over the UK land mass.. -- Tony Sayer |
#19
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The true cost of wind...
On Wednesday, September 11, 2013 4:10:00 PM UTC+1, tony sayer wrote:
(JavaJive wrote) Could we create pumped sea-water storage reservoirs and use wind-power to fill them? snip Have you -any- ideas on how large these storage places would need to be at all?.. Even if we could get the wind to fulfil our needs, existing ones let alone with cars being electrically powered to add to demand.. And idea just how many and the amount of land they would need?. Also just how long would they need to last to cope with blocking highs across the UK?. Those days of fairly even air pressure over the UK land mass.. Just to put some figures on that, if you could get 100% efficiency and assuming you had say a 100 metre height difference, you need 3.6 tonnes of water per kWh. (I'm approximating g as 10metres per second per second). Seawater storage is likely to be smaller height difference, so if we go down to 10m you need 36 tonnes/kWh. The average domestic power consumption is about 12.5kWh per day, so you'd need 450 tonnes per household per day. I have a feeling that efficiency is likely to be a bit less for small height difference, as well. |
#21
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The true cost of wind...
As proved up thread and in other recent threads, new nuclear cannot be
less than about the current price of on shore wind. On Wed, 11 Sep 2013 19:24:37 +0100, The Natural Philosopher wrote: Its already twice the price of nuclear, and adding storage to make it work doubles the price again -- ================================================== ======= Please always reply to ng as the email in this post's header does not exist. Or use a contact address at: http://www.macfh.co.uk/JavaJive/JavaJive.html http://www.macfh.co.uk/Macfarlane/Macfarlane.html |
#22
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The true cost of wind...
On Wed, 11 Sep 2013 19:24:37 +0100, The Natural Philosopher wrote:
Cost would probably exceed cost of 20 nuclear power stations that could keep Britain going indefinitely. Care to guesstimate the cost of Fukushima? |
#23
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The true cost of wind...
On Wed, 11 Sep 2013 19:24:37 +0100, The Natural Philosopher
wrote: I calcluated a lake the size of loch ness 1000 feet high could keep britain going for a couple of weeks.. Cost would probably exceed cost of 20 nuclear power stations that could keep Britain going indefinitely. Well now, let's see ... Let us assume that only our electrical energy needs to be stored, not as originally stated by TNP all other forms of energy, and let's call that 50GW. The cost of nuclear stations to supply that at the Hinkley C price of £7bn/1.6MW = 50000 / 1.6 * 7 £bn or £218,750bn! And far from keep Britain going indefinitely, they would run out of fuel in 10-15 years, possibly sooner, given that the huge increase in demand they would cause may have the knock-on effect of panic buying and stockpiling by other countries eacy trying to ensure security of its own supply. Almost makes wind look viable by comparison ... Renewable energy is just a cosmetic solution. Lipstick on an old whore's face. It doesn't actually do anything useful at all. No, you are conflating all forms of renewable energy into your peculiar personal form of bigotry. Hydro has served us very well over the years. Its already twice the price of nuclear, and adding storage to make it work doubles the price again As previously shown, new nuclear is about the same price as onshore wind. -- ================================================== ======= Please always reply to ng as the email in this post's header does not exist. Or use a contact address at: http://www.macfh.co.uk/JavaJive/JavaJive.html http://www.macfh.co.uk/Macfarlane/Macfarlane.html |
#24
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The true cost of wind...
On Wed, 11 Sep 2013 10:54:00 -0700 (PDT),
wrote: Just to put some figures on that, if you could get 100% efficiency and assuming you had say a 100 metre height difference, you need 3.6 tonnes of water per kWh. http://www.reuk.co.uk/Calculation-of-Hydro-Power.htm 100 m head, 1.7 l/s gives 1 kW electrical output @ 60% effciency. 1.7 l/s is 1.7 * 60 * 60 = 6120 l/Hr or 6.12 tonnes or cu m per hour. Plans have just been approved for a new pumped storage scheme in North Wales: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-n...wales-23920312 After much digging it's proposed to be just under 50 MW. So tiddly widdly. -- Cheers Dave. |
#25
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The true cost of wind...
On Wed, 11 Sep 2013 14:32:55 +0100, Martin Brown
wrote: On 10/09/2013 13:13, The Natural Philosopher wrote: Today as a more than usually stiff breeze covers the British isles, and wind power creeps up to 10% of demand, you can cry in your beer over the fact that today will cost you, the electricity consumer, a minimum of £3.6 million quid you wouldn't otherwise have had to pay. The spivs in the city manipulating spot market price costs us far more For a populaton of c 70 million, thats 5p each you have dropped into the coffers of the troughers, or in terms of households about 15p Have a listen to R4's Whinge at One - you will love it! Manufacturers of wind turbines have been derating 800kW capable units to 500kW to harvest the income generated by FIT rules optimally. That is by deliberately obtaining less electricity from each one installed. Yes they should get more electricity and increased FIT payments but the increased capital cost of a flat rated 500kW vs one originally at 800kW and replated to 500kW should also be considered. 18.04p @ 500kW vs 9.79p @ 800kW is quite significant but this loophole will only work with discrete installations. The individual turbine rating is of no concern across an average wind farm with multiple installations. FIT boundaries for wind turbines are currently at 0.1, 0.5, 1.5 and 5MW and this is determined by the aggregated connection capacity, not the individual turbine rating. Similar tariff steps exist on Solar, Hydro and Biomass. You could conceivably have an individual grid connection for each wind turbine, although the cost of doing this would almost certainly outweigh the increased FIT payment received. The early 'rent a roof' solar schemes took full advantage of this loophole by installing a few MW of generation in sub 4kW chunks and getting about 5x the rate they would for stuffing them all in a field on a single connection. -- |
#26
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The true cost of wind...
On Wed, 11 Sep 2013 02:15:12 +0100, Java Jive wrote:
What is needed is more storage, then existing problems of meeting variable demand would be somewhat relieved, and the variable contribution of wind would be much more easily and usefully absorbed into the system. The question is how? As has been mentioned here many times in the past that particular problem has already been solved. Build a large wall around the coast of Scotland and flood it, all of it. It's a practical solution to the severe problems we face due to wind turbines and if Alex Salmond & Co drown then it's ultimately for a good cause. -- |
#27
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The true cost of wind...
Flooding the Thames Valley would be a much better option, it would
drown more of the country's excess population, not to mention the most objectionable part of it, and produce electricity closer to where the survivors live. On Wed, 11 Sep 2013 21:59:00 +0100, The Other Mike wrote: As has been mentioned here many times in the past that particular problem has already been solved. Build a large wall around the coast of Scotland and flood it, all of it. It's a practical solution to the severe problems we face due to wind turbines and if Alex Salmond & Co drown then it's ultimately for a good cause. -- ================================================== ======= Please always reply to ng as the email in this post's header does not exist. Or use a contact address at: http://www.macfh.co.uk/JavaJive/JavaJive.html http://www.macfh.co.uk/Macfarlane/Macfarlane.html |
#28
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The true cost of wind...
Java Jive wrote:
Today Gridwatch shows nuclear to be at 7.73GW. So if that were to be generated by new nuclear build at the minimum likely price of £95/Mw or 9.5p/unit (EDF have to make a profit, and it makes the maths easier) that's £50/Mw or 5p/unit extra to the current price, so that's: 7.73 * 1,000 * 24 * 50 = £9,276,000 So that's 13p/person or 40p/household that would have to be paid to EDF over and above the current price of electricity, or about 2.5 times the extra cost of wind. ....less the cost of keeping conventional generation on standby for those inconvenient times when the wind doesn't blow. Fortunately, we're about to enjoy the equinoxial gales, so that will make the wind figures look good - minus the cost of providing standby, of course. -- Terry Fields |
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The true cost of wind...
On Wed, 11 Sep 2013 20:54:55 +0100, Java Jive wrote:
The cost of nuclear stations to supply that at the Hinkley C price of £7bn/1.6MW = 50000 / 1.6 * 7 £bn or £218,750bn! 1.6 MW power plant can fit in a standard container and be driven about... I think you mean 1.6 GW and a final answer a tad over £218bn. But at least that would be power 24/7 not just when the wind blows. -- Cheers Dave. |
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The true cost of wind...
On 12/09/13 00:08, Dave Liquorice wrote:
On Wed, 11 Sep 2013 20:54:55 +0100, Java Jive wrote: The cost of nuclear stations to supply that at the Hinkley C price of £7bn/1.6MW = 50000 / 1.6 * 7 £bn or £218,750bn! 1.6 MW power plant can fit in a standard container and be driven about... I think you mean 1.6 GW and a final answer a tad over £218bn. But at least that would be power 24/7 not just when the wind blows. actual prices are reckoned to be between £2bn and £4bn/GW capacity. Hinkley is proposed to be 3.2GW which fist well with a £14bn estimate, for a crappy French reactor that they have lost over £5bn on already. Given the total opposition of half the government and most of the EU to it. Hitachi CANDU and the AP1000 range would all be cheaper. At £3bn a GW we could have an all nuclear baseload for £100bn. About what we spent bailing out banks and about 5 times less than Germany is expected to spend to end up coal fired with windmills on top top keep the greens happy. -- Ineptocracy (in-ep-toc-ra-cy) €“ a system of government where the least capable to lead are elected by the least capable of producing, and where the members of society least likely to sustain themselves or succeed, are rewarded with goods and services paid for by the confiscated wealth of a diminishing number of producers. |
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The true cost of wind...
On Thu, 12 Sep 2013 00:19:24 +0100, The Natural Philosopher
wrote: On 12/09/13 00:08, Dave Liquorice wrote: I think you mean 1.6 GW and a final answer a tad over £218bn. I saw that figure in Wikipedia, and was sufficiently surprised to read it twice just to be certain I'd read it correctly, but still I hadn't - looking at it yet again I realise I read a comma as a decimal point. Apologies to all. But at least that would be power 24/7 not just when the wind blows. But for how long? 10 years or so. actual prices are reckoned to be between £2bn and £4bn/GW capacity. Hinkley is proposed to be 3.2GW which fist well with a £14bn estimate, for a crappy French reactor that they have lost over £5bn on already. Given the total opposition of half the government and most of the EU to it. Hitachi CANDU and the AP1000 range would all be cheaper. At £3bn a GW we could have an all nuclear baseload for £100bn. About what we spent bailing out banks and about 5 times less than Germany is expected to spend to end up coal fired with windmills on top top keep the greens happy. Both suggested designs are fission reactors, so again, for how long? 10 years or so. -- ================================================== ======= Please always reply to ng as the email in this post's header does not exist. Or use a contact address at: http://www.macfh.co.uk/JavaJive/JavaJive.html http://www.macfh.co.uk/Macfarlane/Macfarlane.html |
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The true cost of wind...
On Wed, 11 Sep 2013 16:10:00 +0100, tony sayer
wrote: Could we create pumped sea-water storage reservoirs and use wind-power to fill them? Have you -any- ideas on how large these storage places would need to be at all?.. No, as I said, I was thinking out loud, but I see docholliday has already produced some figures. Even if we could get the wind to fulfil our needs, existing ones let alone with cars being electrically powered to add to demand.. Which is the very criticism I myself made of Mackay's ideas. That is why it would be better to suck it and see with trains, which have already been electrified, and so will not place an extra burden on the grid. -- ================================================== ======= Please always reply to ng as the email in this post's header does not exist. Or use a contact address at: http://www.macfh.co.uk/JavaJive/JavaJive.html http://www.macfh.co.uk/Macfarlane/Macfarlane.html |
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The true cost of wind...
Java Jive wrote:
As previously shown, new nuclear is about the same price as onshore wind. This whole discussion misses the point. AGW is a myth. We are sitting on a 200 year supply of coal. We are trying to solve a problem that doesn't exist. Bill |
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The true cost of wind...
On Wed, 11 Sep 2013 22:51:38 +0100, Java Jive wrote:
Flooding the Thames Valley would be a much better option, it would drown more of the country's excess population, not to mention the most objectionable part of it, and produce electricity closer to where the survivors live. Now that I like! I'm only about 10 miles NW of MK, so damn near in London now. On Wed, 11 Sep 2013 21:59:00 +0100, The Other Mike wrote: As has been mentioned here many times in the past that particular problem has already been solved. Build a large wall around the coast of Scotland and flood it, all of it. It's a practical solution to the severe problems we face due to wind turbines and if Alex Salmond & Co drown then it's ultimately for a good cause. -- Peter. The gods will stay away whilst religions hold sway |
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The true cost of wind...
On 12/09/13 03:49, Bill Wright wrote:
Java Jive wrote: As previously shown, new nuclear is about the same price as onshore wind. This whole discussion misses the point. AGW is a myth. We are sitting on a 200 year supply of coal. We are trying to solve a problem that doesn't exist. Quite possibly. But as a long term opponent of renewable energy of the intermittent kind, the real killer is, that you don't need to disprove AGW to see that renewable energy represents no solution to it at all. I only became an opponent of it once I started to do the sums to discover how appallingly useless and expensive it was, compared to e.g. nuclear. I naively thought that others would have done these calculations too, and acted on them. Instead I found that others had indeed done the calculations and acted on them to get policy enshrined in Law that meant that they would get subsidies WHETHER OR NOT THEY HAD ANY IMPACT ON CO2 EMISSIONS AT ALL. we do not measure the sucess of renewable policy by CO2 reduction. We measure it by 'how much electricity we generate from renewables' And as I dug deeper, the realisation that these are scarcely connected, dawned. For sure those who lobbied for a 'renewables target' and not a 'CO2 reduction target' knew full well this fact, and that makes them guilty of fraud and deception on a massive scale. It was at that point I realised that renewable energy had nothing whatever to do with climate change at all. And everything to do with a government guaranteed profit. Sold to politicians on the left as - getting the 'green' vote because it 'addressed climate change' - getting the left vote because it 'created green jobs' The renewable lobby wrote the script, the IPCC provided spurious evidence in terms of flawed models, and the politicians simply parroted the mantra, and put in the legislation. Renewable energy companies, not governments, framed the legislation. We get upset when directirs and politicains vite themselves salary rises. We don't seem upset when companies lobby hard and successfully to guarantee their own profits. Climate change may or may not be significantly affected by human activity: the jury to my mind is still out, although getting close to a 'not guilty' verdict. But there is no doubt in my mind that renewable energy as it currently can be implemented does almost nothing to address CO2 emissions at all. And there is no sign anywhere at all that it ever will. Nor does it address any issues of long term energy security. whereas nuclear does both, at less overall cost. Bill -- Ineptocracy (in-ep-toc-ra-cy) €“ a system of government where the least capable to lead are elected by the least capable of producing, and where the members of society least likely to sustain themselves or succeed, are rewarded with goods and services paid for by the confiscated wealth of a diminishing number of producers. |
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The true cost of wind...
On Thu, 12 Sep 2013 01:00:45 +0100, Java Jive wrote:
But at least that would be power 24/7 not just when the wind blows. But for how long? 10 years or so. Design life is 40 to 50 years. The Magnox stations that are now EOL are 40+ years old, most generated at pretty much their rated output for the vast majority of that time starting with 1970's technology. Fuel? There is plenty of spent fuel sat at Sellafield but the greenies won't let it be reprocessed but then winge on about the storage ponds FFS! Only a tiny fraction of the available fuel is used as it passes through a reactor. It's not like gas or coal, once it's burnt it's gone. I'd much rather pay 20p/unit for power that was there 24/7 not just an *average* of 8 hours/day. Note average, There could be weeks with virtually no power. -- Cheers Dave. |
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The true cost of wind...
In article , Java Jive
scribeth thus On Wed, 11 Sep 2013 16:10:00 +0100, tony sayer wrote: Could we create pumped sea-water storage reservoirs and use wind-power to fill them? Have you -any- ideas on how large these storage places would need to be at all?.. No, as I said, I was thinking out loud, but I see docholliday has already produced some figures. Even if we could get the wind to fulfil our needs, existing ones let alone with cars being electrically powered to add to demand.. Which is the very criticism I myself made of Mackay's ideas. That is why it would be better to suck it and see with trains, which have already been electrified, and so will not place an extra burden on the grid. Can you explain what you mean there as in some quarters suck it and see will conjure up visions of Brunel and his atmospheric railway;!.. -- Tony Sayer |
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The true cost of wind...
On Thu, 12 Sep 2013 09:20:30 +0100 (BST), "Dave Liquorice"
wrote: On Thu, 12 Sep 2013 01:00:45 +0100, Java Jive wrote: But at least that would be power 24/7 not just when the wind blows. But for how long? 10 years or so. Design life is 40 to 50 years. The Magnox stations that are now EOL are 40+ years old, most generated at pretty much their rated output for the vast majority of that time starting with 1970's technology. You're rather missing the point! WNA figures suggest that the fuel might run out in as little as 10 years. Long term, that just as insecure a supply as wind is in the short term. If it's strategic security of supply you want, that means carbon-based, most probably coal or gas from shale or coal. Fuel? There is plenty of spent fuel sat at Sellafield but the greenies won't let it be reprocessed but then winge on about the storage ponds FFS! Only a tiny fraction of the available fuel is used as it passes through a reactor. It's not like gas or coal, once it's burnt it's gone. Plenty? Again, this is a myth. There's a little under 400GWyrs' worth of recyclable material in the UK. Over a 60 year plant lifecycle, such as is planned for new nuclear, that's a mere 6.5GW. It's nothing like enough. I'd much rather pay 20p/unit for power that was there 24/7 not just an *average* of 8 hours/day. Note average, There could be weeks with virtually no power. And may be others would agree with, I probably would myself, but nuclear isn't going to give you such security; only carbon-based fuels can do that, because they're the only ones for which we have supplies indigenous to the UK. -- ================================================== ======= Please always reply to ng as the email in this post's header does not exist. Or use a contact address at: http://www.macfh.co.uk/JavaJive/JavaJive.html http://www.macfh.co.uk/Macfarlane/Macfarlane.html |
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The true cost of wind...
I'm still waiting to hear about the nuclear subsidy refund ...
On Thu, 12 Sep 2013 09:49:58 +0100, Tim Streater wrote: Like July this year. Still waiting to hear about the refund. -- ================================================== ======= Please always reply to ng as the email in this post's header does not exist. Or use a contact address at: http://www.macfh.co.uk/JavaJive/JavaJive.html http://www.macfh.co.uk/Macfarlane/Macfarlane.html |
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The true cost of wind...
On Thu, 12 Sep 2013 14:03:37 +0100, tony sayer wrote:
Which is the very criticism I myself made of Mackay's ideas. That is why it would be better to suck it and see with trains, which have already been electrified, and so will not place an extra burden on the grid. Can you explain what you mean there as in some quarters suck it and see will conjure up visions of Brunel and his atmospheric railway;!.. Some body has an idea that some form of atmospheric railway would be cheaper and faster than HS2. Can't find a reference for it now. -- Cheers Dave. |
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