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Metalworking (rec.crafts.metalworking) Discuss various aspects of working with metal, such as machining, welding, metal joining, screwing, casting, hardening/tempering, blacksmithing/forging, spinning and hammer work, sheet metal work. |
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#1
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OT-Obama uses THE DELPHI TECHNIQUE
Is the president using Psych Warfare ?
Things to look for when the healthcare bus comes to your town: "More and more, we are seeing citizens being invited to "participate" in various forms of meetings, councils, or boards to "help determine" public policy in one field or another. They are supposedly being included to get "input" from the public to help officials make final decisions on taxes, education, community growth or whatever the particular subject matter might be. Sounds great, doesn't it? Unfortunately, surface appearances are often deceiving. You, Mr. or Mrs. Citizen, decide to take part in one of these meetings. Generally, you will find that there is already someone designated to lead or "facilitate" the meeting. Supposedly the job of the facilitator is to be a neutral, non-directing helper to see that the meeting flows smoothly. Actually, he or she is there for exactly the opposite reason: to see that the conclusions reached during the meeting are in accord with a plan already decided upon by those who called the meeting. The process used to "facilitate" the meeting is called the Delphi Technique. This Delphi Technique was developed by the RAND Corporation for the U.S. Department of Defense back in the 1950s. It was originally intended for use as a psychological weapon during the cold war. However, it was soon recognized that the steps of Delphi could be very valuable in manipulating ANY meeting toward a pre-determined end. How does the process take place? The techniques are well developed and well defined. First, the person who will be leading the meeting, the facilitator or Change Agent must be a likeable person with whom those participating in the meeting can agree or sympathize with. It is, therefore, the job of the facilitator to find a way to cause a split in the audience, to establish one or a few of the people as "bad guys" while the facilitator is perceived as the "good guy." Facilitators are trained to recognize potential opponents and how to make such people appear aggressive, foolish, extremist, etc. Once this is done, the facilitator establishes himself or herself as the "friend" of the rest of the audience. The stage is now set for the rest of the agenda to take place." http://hoanewsnetwork.com/media/file...s.pdf?download Best Regards Tom. |
#2
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OT-Obama uses THE DELPHI TECHNIQUE
"azotic" wrote in message ... Is the president using Psych Warfare ? Things to look for when the healthcare bus comes to your town: "More and more, we are seeing citizens being invited to "participate" in various forms of meetings, councils, or boards to "help determine" public policy in one field or another. They are supposedly being included to get "input" from the public to help officials make final decisions on taxes, education, community growth or whatever the particular subject matter might be. Sounds great, doesn't it? Unfortunately, surface appearances are often deceiving. You, Mr. or Mrs. Citizen, decide to take part in one of these meetings. Generally, you will find that there is already someone designated to lead or "facilitate" the meeting. Supposedly the job of the facilitator is to be a neutral, non-directing helper to see that the meeting flows smoothly. Actually, he or she is there for exactly the opposite reason: to see that the conclusions reached during the meeting are in accord with a plan already decided upon by those who called the meeting. The process used to "facilitate" the meeting is called the Delphi Technique. This Delphi Technique was developed by the RAND Corporation for the U.S. Department of Defense back in the 1950s. It was originally intended for use as a psychological weapon during the cold war. However, it was soon recognized that the steps of Delphi could be very valuable in manipulating ANY meeting toward a pre-determined end. How does the process take place? The techniques are well developed and well defined. First, the person who will be leading the meeting, the facilitator or Change Agent must be a likeable person with whom those participating in the meeting can agree or sympathize with. It is, therefore, the job of the facilitator to find a way to cause a split in the audience, to establish one or a few of the people as "bad guys" while the facilitator is perceived as the "good guy." Facilitators are trained to recognize potential opponents and how to make such people appear aggressive, foolish, extremist, etc. Once this is done, the facilitator establishes himself or herself as the "friend" of the rest of the audience. The stage is now set for the rest of the agenda to take place." http://hoanewsnetwork.com/media/file...s.pdf?download Best Regards Tom Complete horse****. That isn't the Delphi Technique at all. The Delphi Technique is a method used to extract the best thinking from experts on a subject to reach a forecast and to produce a forecast report based on that consensus. It's used in big engineering projects, in analysis by industry and government, and by university researchers. We used to report on Delphi studies done in the automobile industry all the time at _American Machinist_. This has to be one of the freakier examples of distortion used by conspiracy theorists to feed weak, paranoid minds with crap. -- Ed Huntress |
#3
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OT-Obama uses THE DELPHI TECHNIQUE
"Ed Huntress" wrote in message ... Complete horse****. That isn't the Delphi Technique at all. The Delphi Technique is a method used to extract the best thinking from experts on a subject to reach a forecast and to produce a forecast report based on that consensus. It's used in big engineering projects, in analysis by industry and government, and by university researchers. We used to report on Delphi studies done in the automobile industry all the time at _American Machinist_. This has to be one of the freakier examples of distortion used by conspiracy theorists to feed weak, paranoid minds with crap. -- Ed Huntress And we got the edsel, pinto, vega, gremlin etc. Assuming that the delphi technique is only used in business and is fixed in that realm is just plain wrong. Modified delphi technique is used in a variety of applications as a quick google search will reveal. What makes you think an adaption is not used in politics ? Now if you think university educators and reachers are a bunch of kooks and nuts, conspiracy theorists with weak paranoid minds then you can disregard the following from those nutty college folks. "There is evident in the literature a set of new directions having to do with the application of the Delphi concept in such areas as computerized conferencing, management information systems, citizen feedback, participatory democracy, etc" http://is.njit.edu/pubs/delphibook/appendix.pdf Intresting thats its being used in participatory democracy. You might want to also check out what Solomon Asch said about Delphi peer pressure and conformity way back in 1958. Of course he was just another nutty proffesor. Best Regards Tom. |
#4
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OT-Obama uses THE DELPHI TECHNIQUE
"azotic" wrote in message ... "Ed Huntress" wrote in message ... Complete horse****. That isn't the Delphi Technique at all. The Delphi Technique is a method used to extract the best thinking from experts on a subject to reach a forecast and to produce a forecast report based on that consensus. It's used in big engineering projects, in analysis by industry and government, and by university researchers. We used to report on Delphi studies done in the automobile industry all the time at _American Machinist_. This has to be one of the freakier examples of distortion used by conspiracy theorists to feed weak, paranoid minds with crap. -- Ed Huntress And we got the edsel, pinto, vega, gremlin etc. Assuming that the delphi technique is only used in business and is fixed in that realm is just plain wrong. Modified delphi technique is used in a variety of applications as a quick google search will reveal. What makes you think an adaption is not used in politics ? Which technique? The real one developed at RAND, or the fraud being perpetuated in your quotations? Here's the real thing: http://www.iit.edu/~it/delphi.html Now if you think university educators and reachers are a bunch of kooks and nuts, conspiracy theorists with weak paranoid minds then you can disregard the following from those nutty college folks. "There is evident in the literature a set of new directions having to do with the application of the Delphi concept in such areas as computerized conferencing, management information systems, citizen feedback, participatory democracy, etc" http://is.njit.edu/pubs/delphibook/appendix.pdf Intresting thats its being used in participatory democracy. That's a bibliography of hundreds of references. NOWHERE does it say anything about using the Delphi method for the purpose of manipulating opinion. In fact, it's just the opposite. You're trying to defend a crank who wants to twist the whole thing to comply with his paranoid fantasies, by standing it on its head. You might want to also check out what Solomon Asch said about Delphi peer pressure and conformity way back in 1958. Of course he was just another nutty proffesor. Show us. It appears from a quick check that Asch was concerned about the same problem that the RAND people who created the Delphi method were concerned about: the effect of peer pressure. In fact, the Delphi technique was developed specifically to avoid it. Do you have something that says Asch specifically said the Delphi technique led to peer-group pressure to modify results? If so, we'd need to see it. -- Ed Huntress |
#5
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OT-Obama uses THE DELPHI TECHNIQUE
On 2009-09-20, Ed Huntress wrote:
Complete horse****. That isn't the Delphi Technique at all. The Delphi Technique is a method used to extract the best thinking from experts on a subject to reach a forecast and to produce a forecast report based on that consensus. It's used in big engineering projects, in analysis by industry and government, and by university researchers. We used to report on Delphi studies done in the automobile industry all the time at _American Machinist_. This has to be one of the freakier examples of distortion used by conspiracy theorists to feed weak, paranoid minds with crap. I have not seen an honest Reupblican chain letter in years. i |
#6
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OT-Obama uses THE DELPHI TECHNIQUE
In article ,
"Ed Huntress" wrote: Complete horse****. That isn't the Delphi Technique at all. The Delphi Well, it _is_ The Delphi Technique, just turned on its head. Technique is a method used to extract the best thinking from experts on a subject to reach a forecast and to produce a forecast report based on that consensus. It's used in big engineering projects, in analysis by industry and government, and by university researchers. We used to report on Delphi studies done in the automobile industry all the time at _American Machinist_. This has to be one of the freakier examples of distortion used by conspiracy theorists to feed weak, paranoid minds with crap. Maybe so, probably so, but any technique for generating/discovering consensus can be used to manipulate what that consensus turns out to be at the end, if the facilitator is both adept _and_ dishonest. The technique can be distorted to manipulate the unwary or uninitiated. BTST in many Community Action Council and Neighborhood Council meetings during the old OEO days. The methods cited are very familiar. So it not only can but does happen. The folks running the programs had pre-written the next year's grant proposals and prioritizations without input from the program participants. The local councils seldom if ever got anything changed though strongly disagreeing with some of the proposals. |
#7
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OT-Obama uses THE DELPHI TECHNIQUE
azotic wrote:
Quack Qauck Quack. LMAO -- John R. Carroll |
#8
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OT-Obama uses THE DELPHI TECHNIQUE
"Ed Huntress" wrote in message ... "azotic" wrote in message ... "Ed Huntress" wrote in message ... Which technique? The real one developed at RAND, or the fraud being perpetuated in your quotations? Are you saying the author is lieing http://is.njit.edu/pubs/delphibook/appendix.pdf Page 576: "For a great many years Delphi has been associated with the subject of Technological Forecasting. We have provided a separate list of articles on technological forecasting which do discuss Delphi. Our caution to the reader about this set of references is that some of these writings tend to define and consider Delphi solely within the scope of that one application area. It has been our intent in this book to present Delphi in the wider context of an alternative communication form. There is evident in the literature a set of new directions having to do with the application of the Delphi concept in such areas as computerized conferencing, management information systems, citizen feedback, participatory democracy, etc." Seems delphi has evolved and your unaware that it has. Best Regards Tom. .. |
#9
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OT-Obama uses THE DELPHI TECHNIQUE
On Sun, 20 Sep 2009 20:58:16 -0400, John Husvar
wrote: In article , "Ed Huntress" wrote: Complete horse****. That isn't the Delphi Technique at all. The Delphi Well, it _is_ The Delphi Technique, just turned on its head. Technique is a method used to extract the best thinking from experts on a subject to reach a forecast and to produce a forecast report based on that consensus. It's used in big engineering projects, in analysis by industry and government, and by university researchers. We used to report on Delphi studies done in the automobile industry all the time at _American Machinist_. This has to be one of the freakier examples of distortion used by conspiracy theorists to feed weak, paranoid minds with crap. Maybe so, probably so, but any technique for generating/discovering consensus can be used to manipulate what that consensus turns out to be at the end, if the facilitator is both adept _and_ dishonest. The technique can be distorted to manipulate the unwary or uninitiated. BTST in many Community Action Council and Neighborhood Council meetings during the old OEO days. The methods cited are very familiar. So it not only can but does happen. The folks running the programs had pre-written the next year's grant proposals and prioritizations without input from the program participants. The local councils seldom if ever got anything changed though strongly disagreeing with some of the proposals. Office of Economic Opportunity? As in Chicago's regional office under the Nixon administration? Like the Delphi technique utilized to settle the wounded knee incident at the Nike site? Nah, couldn't have happened since Ed Huntress says so, right Ed? Boo |
#10
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OT-Obama uses THE DELPHI TECHNIQUE
"Ignoramus14955" wrote in message ... On 2009-09-20, Ed Huntress wrote: Complete horse****. That isn't the Delphi Technique at all. The Delphi Technique is a method used to extract the best thinking from experts on a subject to reach a forecast and to produce a forecast report based on that consensus. It's used in big engineering projects, in analysis by industry and government, and by university researchers. We used to report on Delphi studies done in the automobile industry all the time at _American Machinist_. This has to be one of the freakier examples of distortion used by conspiracy theorists to feed weak, paranoid minds with crap. I have not seen an honest Reupblican chain letter in years. i Ha-ha! They took me off their lists, I think. However, a close second is the solicitation letters I get from the NRA. -- Ed Huntress |
#11
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OT-Obama uses THE DELPHI TECHNIQUE
wrote in message ... On Sun, 20 Sep 2009 20:58:16 -0400, John Husvar wrote: In article , "Ed Huntress" wrote: Complete horse****. That isn't the Delphi Technique at all. The Delphi Well, it _is_ The Delphi Technique, just turned on its head. Technique is a method used to extract the best thinking from experts on a subject to reach a forecast and to produce a forecast report based on that consensus. It's used in big engineering projects, in analysis by industry and government, and by university researchers. We used to report on Delphi studies done in the automobile industry all the time at _American Machinist_. This has to be one of the freakier examples of distortion used by conspiracy theorists to feed weak, paranoid minds with crap. Maybe so, probably so, but any technique for generating/discovering consensus can be used to manipulate what that consensus turns out to be at the end, if the facilitator is both adept _and_ dishonest. The technique can be distorted to manipulate the unwary or uninitiated. BTST in many Community Action Council and Neighborhood Council meetings during the old OEO days. The methods cited are very familiar. So it not only can but does happen. The folks running the programs had pre-written the next year's grant proposals and prioritizations without input from the program participants. The local councils seldom if ever got anything changed though strongly disagreeing with some of the proposals. Office of Economic Opportunity? As in Chicago's regional office under the Nixon administration? Like the Delphi technique utilized to settle the wounded knee incident at the Nike site? Nah, couldn't have happened since Ed Huntress says so, right Ed? *What* couldn't have happened? Do you understand what the Delphi technique is? If so, please explain how it relates to whatever it is you're referring to here. -- Ed Huntress |
#12
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OT-Obama uses THE DELPHI TECHNIQUE
"azotic" wrote in message ... "Ed Huntress" wrote in message ... "azotic" wrote in message ... "Ed Huntress" wrote in message ... Which technique? The real one developed at RAND, or the fraud being perpetuated in your quotations? Are you saying the author is lieing http://is.njit.edu/pubs/delphibook/appendix.pdf Page 576: "For a great many years Delphi has been associated with the subject of Technological Forecasting. We have provided a separate list of articles on technological forecasting which do discuss Delphi. Our caution to the reader about this set of references is that some of these writings tend to define and consider Delphi solely within the scope of that one application area. It has been our intent in this book to present Delphi in the wider context of an alternative communication form. There is evident in the literature a set of new directions having to do with the application of the Delphi concept in such areas as computerized conferencing, management information systems, citizen feedback, participatory democracy, etc." Seems delphi has evolved and your unaware that it has. Best Regards Tom. No, that isn't what's happening Tom. What's happening is this: You pasted some right-wing crap, later found out that it's complete nonsense, and now you're scrambling through Google trying to find something that will help you save face. But all you've come up with is a bibliography of articles that you probably haven't even attempted to read, and now you're trying to extract from some bibliographic notes that Delphi has "evolved," that it's somehow become the opposite of what it was intended to be. Give it up. As John Husvar said, you're talking about Delphi stood on its head. The whole point of the Delphi technique is to avoid biasing the results, while allowing the expert opinion to form a consensus without outside influence. Nothing in those bibliographic notes suggest otherwise. You're just trying smoke and mirrors to see what you can pull over on the group. You started out doing a Gunner and wound up with a Banquer. g -- Ed Huntress |
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