This is, I hope, a fun quiz.

Tonight I was at a meeting in a room that has two motel-style
AC/heating units in the wall, under the windows. They are 40 years
old and have worked without problem afaik all these years.

Tonight, the fan in one of them started making a scraping noise some
of the time, long scrapes when they happened

Sometimes it ran fine, sometimes it scraped, and sometimes it caught
on something and stopped altogether, but only for a couple minutes.

Everyone was leaving this evening and no one was expected back for 24
hours.

What are the odds that the fan would catch on the shroud and stay
stuck?

The odds that when it did that, the motor would overheat?

The odds that there isn't thermal protection in an AC fan motor that
is 40 years old?

The odds that the thermal protection wouldn't work?
(These last two are in the negative so that all the questions ask
about bad results.)

The odds that if the thermal protection didn't work, the fan would
catch on fire?

Alterntively, what are the cumulative odds, from beginning to end,
that this AC will catch on fire in the next 24 hours?

What are the odds that if there was a fire, it would be hot enough to
set fire to something outside the AC**?


**Yeah, we could move everything, but this is just a questionairre.
What we actually did is turn the AC off.



The building is 40 years old now, it's sold and will be torn down when
the new owner gets around to it. Until then, we're renting the
building we used to own.

1 in 1134



On Sun, 16 Sep 2007 13:17:14 -0400, mm
wrote:

This is, I hope, a fun quiz.

Tonight I was at a meeting in a room that has two motel-style
AC/heating units in the wall, under the windows. They are 40 years
old and have worked without problem afaik all these years.

Tonight, the fan in one of them started making a scraping noise some
of the time, long scrapes when they happened

Sometimes it ran fine, sometimes it scraped, and sometimes it caught
on something and stopped altogether, but only for a couple minutes.

Everyone was leaving this evening and no one was expected back for 24
hours.

What are the odds that the fan would catch on the shroud and stay
stuck?

The odds that when it did that, the motor would overheat?

The odds that there isn't thermal protection in an AC fan motor that
is 40 years old?

The odds that the thermal protection wouldn't work?
(These last two are in the negative so that all the questions ask
about bad results.)

The odds that if the thermal protection didn't work, the fan would
catch on fire?

Alterntively, what are the cumulative odds, from beginning to end,
that this AC will catch on fire in the next 24 hours?

What are the odds that if there was a fire, it would be hot enough to
set fire to something outside the AC**?


**Yeah, we could move everything, but this is just a questionairre.
What we actually did is turn the AC off.



The building is 40 years old now, it's sold and will be torn down when
the new owner gets around to it. Until then, we're renting the
building we used to own.

1 in 1134

1 in 1135. Musta rounded differently.

On Tue, 18 Sep 2007 00:45:54 -0000, Steve Kraus
wrote:

1 in 1134

1 in 1135. Musta rounded differently.

I'll have to use the first number, because I don't want to give them a
false sense of security.

On Sep 18, 12:40?am, mm wrote:
On Tue, 18 Sep 2007 00:45:54 -0000, Steve Kraus

wrote:
1 in 1134

1 in 1135. Musta rounded differently.

I'll have to use the first number, because I don't want to give them a
false sense of security.

depends is there fire insurance on the building scheduled for
demolition?

On Tue, 18 Sep 2007 14:23:29 -0700, "
wrote:

On Sep 18, 12:40?am, mm wrote:
On Tue, 18 Sep 2007 00:45:54 -0000, Steve Kraus

wrote:
1 in 1134

1 in 1135. Musta rounded differently.

I'll have to use the first number, because I don't want to give them a
false sense of security.

depends is there fire insurance on the building scheduled for
demolition?

AIUI, since we sold it, we have almost no insurable interest in it
anymore, only a few thousand dollars worth of contents, and we
couldn't benefit much even if the insurance paid off. So I should
tell the boss to cancel the insurance, or reduce it at least. (We had
a lawyer. He should have thought of this, but who knows?)

Since the buyer is going to tear it down, how much could he claim?
Only for whatever he might have been planning to sell**, and if it is
possible that it could cost more to tear down after a fire than
without one. **commericial kitchen stuff, not a lot and old, but
still must be worth something since they work fine, maybe a few
special order light fixtures.)

All in all, he probably didn't buy insurance.

fan motors dont start fires when they go bad.

http://www.minibite.com/america/malone.htm

On 16 Sep, 13:32, valvejob wrote:
1 in 1134

On Sun, 16 Sep 2007 13:17:14 -0400, mm
wrote:



This is, I hope, a fun quiz.

Tonight I was at a meeting in a room that has two motel-style
AC/heating units in the wall, under the windows. They are 40 years
old and have worked without problem afaik all these years.

Tonight, the fan in one of them started making a scraping noise some
of the time, long scrapes when they happened

Sometimes it ran fine, sometimes it scraped, and sometimes it caught
on something and stopped altogether, but only for a couple minutes.

Everyone was leaving this evening and no one was expected back for 24
hours.

What are the odds that the fan would catch on the shroud and stay
stuck?

The odds that when it did that, the motor would overheat?

The odds that there isn't thermal protection in an AC fan motor that
is 40 years old?

The odds that the thermal protection wouldn't work?
(These last two are in the negative so that all the questions ask
about bad results.)

The odds that if the thermal protection didn't work, the fan would
catch on fire?

Alterntively, what are the cumulative odds, from beginning to end,
that this AC will catch on fire in the next 24 hours?

What are the odds that if there was a fire, it would be hot enough to
set fire to something outside the AC**?

**Yeah, we could move everything, but this is just a questionairre.
What we actually did is turn the AC off.

The building is 40 years old now, it's sold and will be torn down when
the new owner gets around to it. Until then, we're renting the
building we used to own.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

1 in 1134

Did you know that 87.4% of all statistics are made up on the spot?