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#1
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
"Doug Miller" wrote in message
Norminn claimed that the elimination of leaded gasoline was responsible for the reducition in crime in NYC under Giuliani; the point of the question was to show the total idiocy of that claim, in light of the crime rates in other major cities. Norminn claimed no such thing. She said, precisely: Interesting article in (Atlantic?) about the relation of high lead levels in environ. and the crime levels that follow in about 20 years. Not proof, and no proof is claimed, and the author has studied quite a few regions, including NYC, where the statistics for both problems are accurate. Mayor G. got a lot of credit for reducing crime, but it might have been due more to the reduction of lead in gasoline. She *suggested* lead *might* be associated with crime, a position entertained by a number of criminologists and social science researchers. However, she was VERY clear in pointing out "Not proof and no proof is claimed." She even used words like "might have been" and suggested that there were other sources for lead in the environment besides gasoline. She's the victim of a pretty common Usenet tactic: Stuff words into someone's mouth and then insult them for saying things they never actually said. -- Bobby G. |
#2
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
On 1/5/2013 5:21 AM, Robert Green wrote:
"Doug Miller" wrote in message Norminn claimed that the elimination of leaded gasoline was responsible for the reducition in crime in NYC under Giuliani; the point of the question was to show the total idiocy of that claim, in light of the crime rates in other major cities. Norminn claimed no such thing. She said, precisely: Interesting article in (Atlantic?) about the relation of high lead levels in environ. and the crime levels that follow in about 20 years. Not proof, and no proof is claimed, and the author has studied quite a few regions, including NYC, where the statistics for both problems are accurate. Mayor G. got a lot of credit for reducing crime, but it might have been due more to the reduction of lead in gasoline. She *suggested* lead *might* be associated with crime, a position entertained by a number of criminologists and social science researchers. However, she was VERY clear in pointing out "Not proof and no proof is claimed." She even used words like "might have been" and suggested that there were other sources for lead in the environment besides gasoline. She's the victim of a pretty common Usenet tactic: Stuff words into someone's mouth and then insult them for saying things they never actually said. -- Bobby G. Thank you, enlightened one ;o) |
#3
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
On Jan 5, 5:21*am, "Robert Green" wrote:
"Doug Miller" wrote in message Norminn claimed that the elimination of leaded gasoline was responsible for the reducition in crime in NYC under Giuliani; the point of the question was to show the total idiocy of that claim, in light of the crime rates in other major cities. Norminn claimed no such thing. *She said, precisely: Interesting article in (Atlantic?) about the relation of high lead levels in environ. and the crime levels that follow in about 20 years. Not proof, and no proof is claimed, and the author has studied quite a few regions, including NYC, where the statistics for both problems are accurate. *Mayor G. got a lot of credit for reducing crime, but it might have been due more to the reduction of lead in gasoline. She *suggested* lead *might* be associated with crime, a position entertained by a number of criminologists and social science researchers. However, she was VERY clear in pointing out "Not proof and no proof is claimed." *She even used words like "might have been" and suggested that there were other sources for lead in the environment besides gasoline. She's the victim of a pretty common Usenet tactic: *Stuff words into someone's mouth and then insult them for saying things they never actually said. -- Bobby G. But here's the problem. The first thing one thinks of when they hear this alleged connection is very simple. How do you explain the low crime rate of NYC and the high crime rate of Chicago? Leaded gasoline was eliminated in the whole country. Now, one would think that anyone that claims to have read the article and is putting forth this theory for the rest of us to consider could answer that simple question. But that simple question has been asked by at least 3 people here for days now, with nothing but crickets...... So, sorry, nobobdy is a victim here of anything, other than critical thinking by some of us who don't just buy some crap story, hook line and sinker. |
#4
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
On Jan 5, 6:35*am, Norminn wrote:
On 1/5/2013 5:21 AM, Robert Green wrote: "Doug Miller" wrote in message Norminn claimed that the elimination of leaded gasoline was responsible for the reducition in crime in NYC under Giuliani; the point of the question was to show the total idiocy of that claim, in light of the crime rates in other major cities. Norminn claimed no such thing. *She said, precisely: Interesting article in (Atlantic?) about the relation of high lead levels in environ. and the crime levels that follow in about 20 years. Not proof, and no proof is claimed, and the author has studied quite a few regions, including NYC, where the statistics for both problems are accurate. *Mayor G. got a lot of credit for reducing crime, but it might have been due more to the reduction of lead in gasoline. She *suggested* lead *might* be associated with crime, a position entertained by a number of criminologists and social science researchers. However, she was VERY clear in pointing out "Not proof and no proof is claimed." *She even used words like "might have been" and suggested that there were other sources for lead in the environment besides gasoline. She's the victim of a pretty common Usenet tactic: *Stuff words into someone's mouth and then insult them for saying things they never actually said. -- Bobby G. Thank you, enlightened one ;o)- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Have an answer for us yet on how gasoline can be the cause of crime given NYC and Chicago have exactly the opposite results? No, like all good libs, you just want to be a victim. |
#6
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
On Jan 5, 11:41*am, Norminn wrote:
On 1/5/2013 10:46 AM, wrote: On Jan 5, 5:21 am, "Robert Green" wrote: "Doug Miller" wrote in message Norminn claimed that the elimination of leaded gasoline was responsible for the reducition in crime in NYC under Giuliani; the point of the question was to show the total idiocy of that claim, in light of the crime rates in other major cities. Norminn claimed no such thing. *She said, precisely: Interesting article in (Atlantic?) about the relation of high lead levels in environ. and the crime levels that follow in about 20 years. Not proof, and no proof is claimed, and the author has studied quite a few regions, including NYC, where the statistics for both problems are accurate. *Mayor G. got a lot of credit for reducing crime, but it might have been due more to the reduction of lead in gasoline. She *suggested* lead *might* be associated with crime, a position entertained by a number of criminologists and social science researchers. However, she was VERY clear in pointing out "Not proof and no proof is claimed." *She even used words like "might have been" and suggested that there were other sources for lead in the environment besides gasoline. She's the victim of a pretty common Usenet tactic: *Stuff words into someone's mouth and then insult them for saying things they never actually said. -- Bobby G. But here's the problem. *The first thing one thinks of when they hear this alleged connection is very simple. *How do you explain the low crime rate of NYC and the high crime rate of Chicago? Leaded gasoline was eliminated in the whole country. * Now, one would think that anyone that claims to have read the article and is putting forth this theory for the rest of us to consider could answer that simple question. But that simple question has been asked by at least 3 people here for days now, with nothing but crickets...... So, sorry, nobobdy is a victim here of anything, other than critical thinking by some of us who don't just buy some crap story, hook line and sinker. Duh!! Lead is no longer additive to gasoline, but the pollution remains....as explained in the article you slammed without (obviously) reading it. The pollution only remains in Chicago, but not NYC? That is what would have to exist for the theory that leaded gasoline is behind high crime rates. THAT is what at least 3 of us have pointed out and asked you to explain. So, still waiting. And sorry if you libs think this is being attacked. The rest of us think it's just a legitimate, simple contradiction that pretty much shoots the whole premise. The fact that you still won't answer the question suggests we're right. |
#7
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
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#8
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
On Jan 5, 12:45*pm, Norminn wrote:
On 1/5/2013 11:48 AM, wrote: On Jan 5, 11:41 am, Norminn wrote: On 1/5/2013 10:46 AM, wrote: On Jan 5, 5:21 am, "Robert Green" wrote: "Doug Miller" wrote in message Norminn claimed that the elimination of leaded gasoline was responsible for the reducition in crime in NYC under Giuliani; the point of the question was to show the total idiocy of that claim, in light of the crime rates in other major cities. Norminn claimed no such thing. *She said, precisely: Interesting article in (Atlantic?) about the relation of high lead levels in environ. and the crime levels that follow in about 20 years. Not proof, and no proof is claimed, and the author has studied quite a few regions, including NYC, where the statistics for both problems are accurate. *Mayor G. got a lot of credit for reducing crime, but it might have been due more to the reduction of lead in gasoline. She *suggested* lead *might* be associated with crime, a position entertained by a number of criminologists and social science researchers. However, she was VERY clear in pointing out "Not proof and no proof is claimed." *She even used words like "might have been" and suggested that there were other sources for lead in the environment besides gasoline. She's the victim of a pretty common Usenet tactic: *Stuff words into someone's mouth and then insult them for saying things they never actually said. -- Bobby G. But here's the problem. *The first thing one thinks of when they hear this alleged connection is very simple. *How do you explain the low crime rate of NYC and the high crime rate of Chicago? Leaded gasoline was eliminated in the whole country. * Now, one would think that anyone that claims to have read the article and is putting forth this theory for the rest of us to consider could answer that simple question. But that simple question has been asked by at least 3 people here for days now, with nothing but crickets...... So, sorry, nobobdy is a victim here of anything, other than critical thinking by some of us who don't just buy some crap story, hook line and sinker. Duh!! Lead is no longer additive to gasoline, but the pollution remains....as explained in the article you slammed without (obviously) reading it. The pollution only remains in Chicago, but not NYC? That is what would have to exist for the theory that leaded gasoline is behind high crime rates. * THAT is what at least 3 of us have pointed out and asked you to explain. So, still waiting. *And sorry if you libs think this is being attacked. The rest of us think it's just a legitimate, simple contradiction that pretty much shoots the whole premise. The fact that you still won't answer the question suggests we're right. The fact that I won't answer is simply because I don't know the answer. * How about if you answer some questions: *I found an article about lead poisoning/crime rates to be interesting; does that prove (to your pea brain) that I am "liberal" (whatever in hell that means to the unschooled). It proves to me that you apparently have poor critical reading skills. That's because the very simple comparison of what is going on in NYC vs Chicago suggests the association of leaded vs unleaded gas suggested by the article makes no sense. It's an obvious contradiction that at least 3 of us here thought of right from the start. I'd have that contradiction in mind just thinking about the topic. And I'd evaluate whether the article addresses it. *How do the violent crime rates of NYC/Chicago compare, by year, from 1960 to present? *To what do you attribute the difference? Have you lived in either city?- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - You say you read the piece, so I would think you'd know the answers. But for me the fact that Chicago today has a dreadful crim rate, while NYC has a low crime rate, with both using unleaded gas, suggests the above isn't the core issue. |
#9
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
wrote in message ... # # You say you read the piece, so I would think you'd know the # answers. But for me the fact that Chicago today has a # dreadful crim rate, while NYC has a low crime rate, with both using # unleaded gas, suggests the above isn't the core issue. Considering that - the effect of unleaded gas is a cumulative effect - other factors can play into such long term effect And finally, since it was a simple correlation, and NO a causative claim.. It appears that once more you just seem to be intent on jerking off to the beat of your down drummer. \ |
#10
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
On Jan 5, 6:37*pm, " Attila Iskander"
wrote: wrote in message ... # # You say you read the piece, so I would think you'd know the # answers. * But for me the fact that Chicago today has a # dreadful crim rate, while NYC has a low crime rate, with both using # unleaded gas, suggests the above isn't the core issue. Considering that - the effect of unleaded gas is a cumulative effect - other factors can play into such long term effect And finally, since it was a simple correlation, and NO a causative claim... It appears that once more you just seem to be intent on jerking off to the beat of your down drummer. \ Yes, it was a causative claim: "Interesting article in (Atlantic?) about the relation of high lead levels in environ. and the crime levels that follow in about 20 years. Not proof, and no proof is claimed, and the author has studied quite a few regions, including NYC, where the statistics for both problems are accurate. Mayor G. got a lot of credit for reducing crime, but it might have been due more to the reduction of lead in gasoline. " At least 3 others here thought the same thing. A claim that makes no sense, because Chicago has a high crime rate and NYC a low one. You are aware that both cities switched from leaded to unleaded gas at about the same time, are you not? BTW, have you figured out how that Aprilaire humidifier works? I know any of the 4 of us could install a simple humidifier and get it working. Maybe that's why you're so ****ed off and get into so many nasty arguments? You're just mad as hell because you can't install or get working a humidifier from the #1 manufacturer. And you're too arrogant and hot headed to let anyone help you. |
#11
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
On Sat, 5 Jan 2013 16:17:51 -0800 (PST), "
wrote: At least 3 others here thought the same thing. A claim that makes no sense, because Chicago has a high crime rate and NYC a low one. You are aware that both cities switched from leaded to unleaded gas at about the same time, are you not? Duck hunters changed to steel shot. The birds never die of lead poisoning. Yep. |
#12
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
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#13
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
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#14
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
The Daring Dufas wrote:
-snip- Back when Giuliani was mayor, didn't he push zero tolerance for crime, any crime? The police on the beat were stopping and frisking anyone who looked like they might be up to something and this had many criminals becoming reluctant to carry weapons on their person. It seems to me that the practice may taught the police that it is a good way to discourage criminal activity and something that is still going on despite all the protests from criminal rights organizations. ^_^ I hope I remember all his points, but the current mayor recently listed his thoughts on why violent crime in NY City was down. 1. We put cops where the crime is. 2. 'stop and frisk' lets folks know we're serious. 3. The penalty for carrying is 3 [4?] years and prosecutors are reluctant to bargain on it. 4. There are easier places for criminals to do what they do. [as someone who lives a couple hours north of the city, I can vouch for that-- our cops are kept busy by the miscreants who flee the city for easy pickin's in the small cities around us ] Jim |
#15
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
In article ,
Jim Elbrecht wrote: 4. There are easier places for criminals to do what they do. [as someone who lives a couple hours north of the city, I can vouch for that-- our cops are kept busy by the miscreants who flee the city for easy pickin's in the small cities around us ] Jim That's an interesting response. I wonder if crime really isn't like a balloon where you press in one side and another billows out. Are we transferring crime from the big cities (that are more likely to have to the infrastructure to submit good reports to the FBI databases) to the smaller towns? -- America is at that awkward stage. It's too late to work within the system, but too early to shoot the *******s."-- Claire Wolfe |
#16
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
On 1/6/2013 7:14 AM, Jim Elbrecht wrote:
The Daring Dufas wrote: -snip- Back when Giuliani was mayor, didn't he push zero tolerance for crime, any crime? The police on the beat were stopping and frisking anyone who looked like they might be up to something and this had many criminals becoming reluctant to carry weapons on their person. It seems to me that the practice may taught the police that it is a good way to discourage criminal activity and something that is still going on despite all the protests from criminal rights organizations. ^_^ I hope I remember all his points, but the current mayor recently listed his thoughts on why violent crime in NY City was down. 1. We put cops where the crime is. 2. 'stop and frisk' lets folks know we're serious. 3. The penalty for carrying is 3 [4?] years and prosecutors are reluctant to bargain on it. 4. There are easier places for criminals to do what they do. [as someone who lives a couple hours north of the city, I can vouch for that-- our cops are kept busy by the miscreants who flee the city for easy pickin's in the small cities around us ] Jim When I looked online for comparisons of the crime rates for NYC and Chicago, I found numerous articles about suspicion that NYC cooked the books...downgraded violent crimes to misdemeanors. Didn't read in depth. If I had to guess, I'd expect that NYC is too expensive and the lowlifes have moved elsewhere....certain inner city neighborhoods in Chicago have been slums for generations, with projects built and torn down. |
#17
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
On 1/6/2013 6:14 AM, Jim Elbrecht wrote:
The Daring Dufas wrote: -snip- Back when Giuliani was mayor, didn't he push zero tolerance for crime, any crime? The police on the beat were stopping and frisking anyone who looked like they might be up to something and this had many criminals becoming reluctant to carry weapons on their person. It seems to me that the practice may taught the police that it is a good way to discourage criminal activity and something that is still going on despite all the protests from criminal rights organizations. ^_^ I hope I remember all his points, but the current mayor recently listed his thoughts on why violent crime in NY City was down. 1. We put cops where the crime is. 2. 'stop and frisk' lets folks know we're serious. 3. The penalty for carrying is 3 [4?] years and prosecutors are reluctant to bargain on it. 4. There are easier places for criminals to do what they do. [as someone who lives a couple hours north of the city, I can vouch for that-- our cops are kept busy by the miscreants who flee the city for easy pickin's in the small cities around us ] Jim I suppose it's natural behavior for predators to migrate to areas safer for them and having easier access to prey. ^_^ TDD |
#18
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
On 1/6/2013 6:37 AM, Norminn wrote:
On 1/6/2013 7:14 AM, Jim Elbrecht wrote: The Daring Dufas wrote: -snip- Back when Giuliani was mayor, didn't he push zero tolerance for crime, any crime? The police on the beat were stopping and frisking anyone who looked like they might be up to something and this had many criminals becoming reluctant to carry weapons on their person. It seems to me that the practice may taught the police that it is a good way to discourage criminal activity and something that is still going on despite all the protests from criminal rights organizations. ^_^ I hope I remember all his points, but the current mayor recently listed his thoughts on why violent crime in NY City was down. 1. We put cops where the crime is. 2. 'stop and frisk' lets folks know we're serious. 3. The penalty for carrying is 3 [4?] years and prosecutors are reluctant to bargain on it. 4. There are easier places for criminals to do what they do. [as someone who lives a couple hours north of the city, I can vouch for that-- our cops are kept busy by the miscreants who flee the city for easy pickin's in the small cities around us ] Jim When I looked online for comparisons of the crime rates for NYC and Chicago, I found numerous articles about suspicion that NYC cooked the books...downgraded violent crimes to misdemeanors. Didn't read in depth. If I had to guess, I'd expect that NYC is too expensive and the lowlifes have moved elsewhere....certain inner city neighborhoods in Chicago have been slums for generations, with projects built and torn down. The debacle known as Cabrini–Green is well known and a very good example of what happens when Commiecrats are in charge. O_o https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cabrini%E2%80%93Green TDD |
#19
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
On 1/6/2013 8:40 AM, The Daring Dufas wrote:
On 1/6/2013 6:37 AM, Norminn wrote: On 1/6/2013 7:14 AM, Jim Elbrecht wrote: The Daring Dufas wrote: -snip- Back when Giuliani was mayor, didn't he push zero tolerance for crime, any crime? The police on the beat were stopping and frisking anyone who looked like they might be up to something and this had many criminals becoming reluctant to carry weapons on their person. It seems to me that the practice may taught the police that it is a good way to discourage criminal activity and something that is still going on despite all the protests from criminal rights organizations. ^_^ I hope I remember all his points, but the current mayor recently listed his thoughts on why violent crime in NY City was down. 1. We put cops where the crime is. 2. 'stop and frisk' lets folks know we're serious. 3. The penalty for carrying is 3 [4?] years and prosecutors are reluctant to bargain on it. 4. There are easier places for criminals to do what they do. [as someone who lives a couple hours north of the city, I can vouch for that-- our cops are kept busy by the miscreants who flee the city for easy pickin's in the small cities around us ] Jim When I looked online for comparisons of the crime rates for NYC and Chicago, I found numerous articles about suspicion that NYC cooked the books...downgraded violent crimes to misdemeanors. Didn't read in depth. If I had to guess, I'd expect that NYC is too expensive and the lowlifes have moved elsewhere....certain inner city neighborhoods in Chicago have been slums for generations, with projects built and torn down. The debacle known as Cabrini–Green is well known and a very good example of what happens when Commiecrats are in charge. O_o https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cabrini%E2%80%93Green TDD It was, at the time, the only acceptable solution for housing non-whites in Chicago. A couple of retired cops of my acquaintance had CG on their beat....needed to wear armor answering calls there, as the trigger-happy locals had fun shooting at cops ) Cops also had creative, extra-legal methods for discouraging gang-bangers from entering into said cops' beats. Commicrats? Nope; it was the wasp community that didn't want dispersal of non-whites. Old jokes about Cadillacs parked in front of (white-owned) slums weren't that funny...even with a well-paying job, blacks had no choice of where in Chicago they could live. CG is gone; neighborhood unchanged. You could go about 4 blocks from slums and be in gentrified, wealthy neighborhoods in Chicago. |
#20
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
On Jan 5, 10:01*pm, Wes Groleau wrote:
On 01-05-2013 10:48, wrote: Have an answer for us yet on how gasoline can be the cause of crime given NYC and Chicago have exactly the opposite results? * No, like all good libs, you just want to be a victim. Your fellow conservatives hate it when you respond to a post while appearing not to have read it. I did read it and have no idea what your're talking about. Did you read the post? |
#21
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
"Jim Elbrecht" wrote in message
stuff snipped I hope I remember all his points, but the current mayor recently listed his thoughts on why violent crime in NY City was down. 1. We put cops where the crime is. 2. 'stop and frisk' lets folks know we're serious. 3. The penalty for carrying is 3 [4?] years and prosecutors are reluctant to bargain on it. 4. There are easier places for criminals to do what they do. [as someone who lives a couple hours north of the city, I can vouch for that-- our cops are kept busy by the miscreants who flee the city for easy pickin's in the small cities around us ] The majority of the sources I've consulted seem to agree that DNA and video surveillance evidence have resulted both in an increase in convictions and a deterrent effect. Southland had a very hard time convincing minimum wage employees to testify against armed robbers at their 7-11 stores and led the way in installing CCTV cameras nationwide. It's *very* hard to intimidate a videotape and keep it from testifying. DNA evidence has paid off tremendously in matching criminals to past, unsolved sexual assaults. Many states swab all convicts and then run that DNA against cold cases with lots of hits. http://www2.ljworld.com/news/2012/fe...nks-unsolved-/ Unfortunately I wouldn't really consider a mayor a criminologist. I would, however, expect a mayor to tout all the initiatives *he* started as the major factors in crime reduction. Many politicians were fond of the "broken window" theory of crime reduction until it was pretty much disproved by further sociological research: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Broken_windows_theory -- Bobby G. |
#22
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Should the U.S. pull out of Chicago ?
"Norminn" wrote in message news:U_idnYaHmvsu-
I found an article about lead poisoning/crime rates to be interesting; does that prove (to your pea brain) that I am "liberal" (whatever in hell that means to the unschooled). It just proves that people who should be trying to convince us they are mature enough to be trusted carrying guns in public engage in silly, juvenile name-calling behavior that undermines their position. Ironic, isn't it? To be fair, shame on you Norminn, for name calling. In addition, we've not seen his actual brain so we don't know if it's pin head-sized, pea-sized, walnut-sized, etc. (-: How do the violent crime rates of NYC/Chicago compare, by year, from 1960 to present? To what do you attribute the difference? A majority of criminologists and sociologists attribute the drop in crime rates to a number of causes. Many believe that improvements in both surveillance and forensic technology are the factors most responsible for the decrease in recent years. Video and DNA evidence is hard to refute and repeat offenders who used to walk are now serving jail time. Personally I find those factors far more compelling in explaining the decrease than lead poisoning but I wouldn't discount the lead theory entirely. I just wouldn't expect much intelligent discussion of it to happen here. )-: http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Justice...a-is-safer-now Of course, those who believe that www.americanrifleman.com or similar sites are reputable and "neutral" sources of crime statistics have already drawn the low card in the "forehead" poker game of personal credibility. There aren't any unbiased studies I know of that can prove the drop of crime has been caused by an increase in gun ownership. Of course, there's John Lott's "work" but he impugned his own ethics by using a sockpuppet to give positive reviews for his book: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Lo...y_Rosh_persona There are some other serious problems with Lott's alleged "research" as well: Lott claimed to have undertaken a national survey of 2,424 respondents in 1997, the results of which were the source for claims he had made beginning in 1997. However, in 2000 Lott was unable to produce the data, or any records showing that the survey had been undertaken. Whoops! Faking data and creating fake personalities to review his work pretty much discredits that "research" completely although it doesn't seem to keep gun advocates from repeatedly quoting his results as if they were not just credible, but the gospel straight from God. -- Bobby G. |
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