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#1
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priced out of homes??
What is going on in the housing market, I bought a home 4 years ago that is
now doubled in price and I would have been priced out from buying it if I wanted to today, nobody in my neighborhood is selling at all except once and it sold real quick for double what my house cost and it was similar to mines etc.. In general it looks like prices are rising much higher than the cost of living/raises etc.. and most of my friends etc.. are stuck renting now. (Boy I am glad I put the down towards a home and not a car 4 years ago heh) in 10 years will young workers be stuck renting for life?? Pretty soon if things keep up we will end up in some kind of feudal society. |
#2
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In article , mike wrote:
What is going on in the housing market Many pundits feel that it is in a bubble, much like stocks in 2000 and Tulip Bulbs in Holland. Except in a few rare places, look for prices to come down at some point. Many places have already seen time on market go up, and 10% price reductions this year. If you don't think that this can happen, talk to people in Florida and Southern California that saw real estate prices collapse about 15 years ago. These high house values are marginal prices. For example, there might be 100 homes in an area that are worth $200K on the market. If one sells for $250K, the other 99 people all think that their homes are worth $250K. In reality, there was not a creation of $5-million in real estate, rather, the cretion was $50K. The next seller might get $245K, the next seller $230K, and the next seller $220K. It depends on how many buyers and sellers there are. Look at places like Flint, Michigan. The number of buyers went to zero while the number of sellers grew large. One could not sell a house for any price since they could not recover the cost of taxes. Many folks simply abandonded their homes when they moved out of the area. I bought a home 4 years ago that is now doubled in price and I would have been priced out from buying it if I wanted to today, nobody in my neighborhood is selling at all except once and it sold real quick for double what my house cost and it was similar to mines etc. Keep in mind that this is a paper gain, not a real gain, until you sell and actually have the money in had. If this is true, why not sell now, cash out, and move some place that is far cheaper to live in. Here in the midwest, you can get nice new homes for just over $100K, and great 4 bed 3 bath homes in the outskirts of a major metro area for just over $200k. In general it looks like prices are rising much higher than the cost of living/raises etc.. and most of my friends etc.. are stuck renting now. (Boy I am glad I put the down towards a home and not a car 4 years ago heh) in 10 years will young workers be stuck renting for life?? Supply and demand will fix that. If there gets to be too few buyers, the prices will drop off quickly. And like stocks, it only takes a very small shortage of buyers to cause the prices of a large number of houses to drop. -john- -- ================================================== ================== John A. Weeks III 952-432-2708 Newave Communications http://www.johnweeks.com ================================================== ================== |
#3
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"John A. Weeks III" wrote in message ... In article , mike wrote: What is going on in the housing market Many pundits feel that it is in a bubble, much like stocks in 2000 and Tulip Bulbs in Holland. Except in a few rare places, look for prices to come down at some point. Many places have already seen time on market go up, and 10% price reductions this year. If you don't think that this can happen, talk to people in Florida and Southern California that saw real estate prices collapse about 15 years ago. These high house values are marginal prices. For example, there might be 100 homes in an area that are worth $200K on the market. If one sells for $250K, the other 99 people all think that their homes are worth $250K. In reality, there was not a creation of $5-million in real estate, rather, the cretion was $50K. The next seller might get $245K, the next seller $230K, and the next seller $220K. It depends on how many buyers and sellers there are. Look at places like Flint, Michigan. The number of buyers went to zero while the number of sellers grew large. One could not sell a house for any price since they could not recover the cost of taxes. Many folks simply abandonded their homes when they moved out of the area. Flint Michigan, I saw a docuentary about GM leaving that area and the place becoming a ghost-town. Scary. I bought a home 4 years ago that is now doubled in price and I would have been priced out from buying it if I wanted to today, nobody in my neighborhood is selling at all except once and it sold real quick for double what my house cost and it was similar to mines etc. Keep in mind that this is a paper gain, not a real gain, until you sell and actually have the money in had. If this is true, why not sell now, cash out, and move some place that is far cheaper to live in. Here in the midwest, you can get nice new homes for just over $100K, and great 4 bed 3 bath homes in the outskirts of a major metro area for just over $200k. It is cheap for me too live since my payments are not bad and its paid off in 13, besides I like the weather down here in southflorida and having waterfront+big yard,pool etc.. When I did buy it was not a well known area I guess so I got it for 175K but now the area is being yuppiefied with the waterfronts and vicinity to good schools. In general it looks like prices are rising much higher than the cost of living/raises etc.. and most of my friends etc.. are stuck renting now. (Boy I am glad I put the down towards a home and not a car 4 years ago heh) in 10 years will young workers be stuck renting for life?? Supply and demand will fix that. If there gets to be too few buyers, the prices will drop off quickly. And like stocks, it only takes a very small shortage of buyers to cause the prices of a large number of houses to drop. -john- I would not be surprised it has to happen the average homes in southflorida re selling at high prices, every new home now is a Mcmansion tracthome in zerolot selling for 350K and up. At somepoint the glut will hit, I really do know know where people are getting the money for these expensive homes since southflorida is not a dotcom haven etc.. like california, this is the part that I find real strange. |
#4
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Pretty much depends where you are located. I always laugh a those
"make your house pretty to sell" TV programs. People offering more than the asking price? I guess California is LALA land.. Asking price in many place is where you start and go down on, no up. "mike" wrote in message ... What is going on in the housing market, I bought a home 4 years ago that is now doubled in price and I would have been priced out from buying it if I wanted to today, nobody in my neighborhood is selling at all except once and |
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