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#41
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New study on wind energy
In article ,
"DGDevin" wrote: "jamesgangnc" wrote in message ... Nothing wrong with the government subsidizing renewable. Economies of scale will reduce the costs and at the same time the costs of non- renewable fuels will continue to rise. At some point the scale tips and the renewables become cheaper. Until then the government accelerates the growth with subsidies. Just makes the inevitable happen a few years sooner. Bingo. I wonder how long we would have waited for an interstate highway system if it had been left up to private enterprise to build it? The irony of the above statement is that the Interstate system was a big reason we are in some of the jams we are in today. They are a major reason for urban sprawl, they contributed to the demise of alternate forms of transportation, and increased our dependence on oil for transporting EVERYTHING. -- People thought cybersex was a safe alternative, until patients started presenting with sexually acquired carpal tunnel syndrome.-Howard Berkowitz |
#42
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New study on wind energy
"harry" wrote in message ... Rob the poor to pay the rich is how politics works in America. You are all slaves to capitalism. So in one post you complain that everything costs more in your socialist paradise, then in the next you whine about capitalism. Couldn't you at least choose one bumper sticker and stay with it rather than hopping around like a demented rabbit? |
#43
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New study on wind energy
On Jul 20, 7:57*am, "chaniarts" wrote:
Harry K wrote: On Jul 19, 7:46 pm, "HeyBub" wrote: wrote: I suppose CO2 emissions could be important, but it seems to me, having a power source that doesn't run out seems pretty strategic to me. The rest of the page deals with CO2. I don't know about you, but I LIKE power sources that don't pollute. I'm willing to pay a little more just for that benefit. You're presuming that CO2 is a pollutant. Were it not for CO2, there wouldn't be any plants. With no plants, there would be no cattle. With no cattle, there'd be no food. We'd starve. CO2 is poisonous to us in excessive quantities, just as is Oxygen, Water, etc. *Nature has adjusted to the what was the average CO2 content back before the industrial revolution. *It is now adjusting to our adding to it and we are not going to like the result. As to reducing our part in it? *Ain't gonna happen. *Best we can do is not increase our contribution above what it is today. *Nothing we can do will reduce it withough totally wrecking industry. But the real issue is being prepared for the future. We're hearing all this crazy deficit talk as if we're creating a problem for our children. I think using up resources on the only planet we have is much more important. We're NOT using up resources. More precisely, we're using resources but we're accessing more than we're using. Today, there is five times the known reserves of natural gas than there was just five years ago. Look up the Simon-Ehrlich wager in which a doom-sayer* wagered $10,000 with a more pragmatic scientist over whether the scarcity of ten commodities (picked by Ehrlich) would cost more (and therefore be harder to find) in ten years. Ehrlich lost. Availability of resources has zip to do with whether we are depleting them. *We are. *The supply of any mineral, oil, etc. resource you can name is finite. depleting them? what are they being transmogrified into? they are simply being moved around and either aggregated or diluted to some degree.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - So you are going to recombine all those gases emitted by cars into the original oil? Same for a lot of the other resources, one use and it is gone forever. When it comes to moronic, your post qualifies. Harry K |
#44
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New study on wind energy
On Jul 20, 8:14*am, jamesgangnc wrote:
On Jul 20, 10:41*am, Harry K wrote: On Jul 19, 7:46*pm, "HeyBub" wrote: wrote: I suppose CO2 emissions could be important, but it seems to me, having a power source that doesn't run out seems pretty strategic to me. The rest of the page deals with CO2. I don't know about you, but I LIKE power sources that don't pollute.. I'm willing to pay a little more just for that benefit. You're presuming that CO2 is a pollutant. Were it not for CO2, there wouldn't be any plants. With no plants, there would be no cattle. With no cattle, there'd be no food. We'd starve. CO2 is poisonous to us in excessive quantities, just as is Oxygen, Water, etc. *Nature has adjusted to the what was the average CO2 content back before the industrial revolution. *It is now adjusting to our adding to it and we are not going to like the result. As to reducing our part in it? *Ain't gonna happen. *Best we can do is not increase our contribution above what it is today. *Nothing we can do will reduce it withough totally wrecking industry. But the real issue is being prepared for the future. We're hearing all this crazy deficit talk as if we're creating a problem for our children. *I think using up resources on the only planet we have is much more important. We're NOT using up resources. More precisely, we're using resources but we're accessing more than we're using. Today, there is five times the known reserves of natural gas than there was just five years ago. Look up the Simon-Ehrlich wager in which a doom-sayer* wagered $10,000 with a more pragmatic scientist over whether the scarcity of ten commodities (picked by Ehrlich) would cost more (and therefore be harder to find) in ten years. Ehrlich lost. Availability of resources has zip to do with whether we are depleting them. *We are. *The supply of any mineral, oil, etc. resource you can name is finite. The truth of the matter is that we (humankind) meet every definition of a parasite. * All take and no give. *Even our funeral practices do everything possible to keep even our worn out bodies from decomposing thus denying even that little bit from returning to nature. *The world would be a much better place without us. Harry K- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - I agree we are depleting resources but the mining for materials and fossil fuels is two completely different categories. *Mineral resources are not actually being depleted. *For the most part all the elements on the planet are still on the planet. *Just because we dig up some copper, use it for something, and then bury it in a landfill doesn't reduce the copper. *We could dig it back out of that landfill and use it again. *Or we could quit burying it in the landfill and start recycling it which is more practical than digging it back up. But who knows, maybe some day our descendants will be setting up mines where we buried stuff. Fossil fuel is a energy resource. *It is the result of plants capturing the energy in sunlight and it being turned into hydrocarbons. * Which is the chemical storage of energy. *Like a battery. *We are converting that stored energy into heat energy for the most part. *Energy like matter is never lost but after we're finished, the heat energy contributes to the gradual equilibrium of the energy state in the universe which makes it of no further use to us. *The issue is that we're converting that stored energy at a tremediously faster rate than it was stored. *Years of our use equals millions of years of capture. *So no matter how good we get at finding the hydrocarbons we will eventually use them all up. *Will that happen in 50 years or 500 years is debatable but most people would agree the practical number is somewhere between those two. *Bottom line we really are using up the energy in fossil fuels. As to the co2, we are also raising the co2 level. *That's a fact. *The bydrocarbons were buried in the ground. *We're releasing them and breaking them up and combing the freed carbon with oxygen to produce co2. *Who knows maybe we will be the start of the next cycle that produces new hydrocarbons for some other lifeform to dig up a couple hundred million yeasr from now. *On the short term the consequences might not be so good for us.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Mostly true but we never recover 100% of the original elements and never will. The 'pie in the sky' types keep pointing to new discoveries as if those "new discoveries' will continue to be made for infinity. Harry K |
#45
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New study on wind energy
On Jul 20, 9:04*am, harry wrote:
On Jul 20, 3:41*pm, Harry K wrote: On Jul 19, 7:46*pm, "HeyBub" wrote: wrote: I suppose CO2 emissions could be important, but it seems to me, having a power source that doesn't run out seems pretty strategic to me. The rest of the page deals with CO2. I don't know about you, but I LIKE power sources that don't pollute.. I'm willing to pay a little more just for that benefit. You're presuming that CO2 is a pollutant. Were it not for CO2, there wouldn't be any plants. With no plants, there would be no cattle. With no cattle, there'd be no food. We'd starve. CO2 is poisonous to us in excessive quantities, just as is Oxygen, Water, etc. *Nature has adjusted to the what was the average CO2 content back before the industrial revolution. *It is now adjusting to our adding to it and we are not going to like the result. As to reducing our part in it? *Ain't gonna happen. *Best we can do is not increase our contribution above what it is today. *Nothing we can do will reduce it withough totally wrecking industry. But the real issue is being prepared for the future. We're hearing all this crazy deficit talk as if we're creating a problem for our children. *I think using up resources on the only planet we have is much more important. We're NOT using up resources. More precisely, we're using resources but we're accessing more than we're using. Today, there is five times the known reserves of natural gas than there was just five years ago. Look up the Simon-Ehrlich wager in which a doom-sayer* wagered $10,000 with a more pragmatic scientist over whether the scarcity of ten commodities (picked by Ehrlich) would cost more (and therefore be harder to find) in ten years. Ehrlich lost. Availability of resources has zip to do with whether we are depleting them. *We are. *The supply of any mineral, oil, etc. resource you can name is finite. The truth of the matter is that we (humankind) meet every definition of a parasite. * All take and no give. *Even our funeral practices do everything possible to keep even our worn out bodies from decomposing thus denying even that little bit from returning to nature. *The world would be a much better place without us. Harry K- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Hey, tell me that ain't a suicide note?- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Nope, that is reality and it _will_ kick us in the butt somewhere down the road in the future. If we don't stop population growth we will be reduced to subsistance level and a _greatly_ reduced world population - nature will see to that. Harry K |
#46
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New study on wind energy
On Jul 20, 2:05*pm, Harry K wrote:
On Jul 20, 8:14*am, jamesgangnc wrote: On Jul 20, 10:41*am, Harry K wrote: On Jul 19, 7:46*pm, "HeyBub" wrote: wrote: I suppose CO2 emissions could be important, but it seems to me, having a power source that doesn't run out seems pretty strategic to me. The rest of the page deals with CO2. I don't know about you, but I LIKE power sources that don't pollute. I'm willing to pay a little more just for that benefit. You're presuming that CO2 is a pollutant. Were it not for CO2, there wouldn't be any plants. With no plants, there would be no cattle. With no cattle, there'd be no food. We'd starve.. CO2 is poisonous to us in excessive quantities, just as is Oxygen, Water, etc. *Nature has adjusted to the what was the average CO2 content back before the industrial revolution. *It is now adjusting to our adding to it and we are not going to like the result. As to reducing our part in it? *Ain't gonna happen. *Best we can do is not increase our contribution above what it is today. *Nothing we can do will reduce it withough totally wrecking industry. But the real issue is being prepared for the future. We're hearing all this crazy deficit talk as if we're creating a problem for our children. *I think using up resources on the only planet we have is much more important. We're NOT using up resources. More precisely, we're using resources but we're accessing more than we're using. Today, there is five times the known reserves of natural gas than there was just five years ago. Look up the Simon-Ehrlich wager in which a doom-sayer* wagered $10,000 with a more pragmatic scientist over whether the scarcity of ten commodities (picked by Ehrlich) would cost more (and therefore be harder to find) in ten years. Ehrlich lost. Availability of resources has zip to do with whether we are depleting them. *We are. *The supply of any mineral, oil, etc. resource you can name is finite. The truth of the matter is that we (humankind) meet every definition of a parasite. * All take and no give. *Even our funeral practices do everything possible to keep even our worn out bodies from decomposing thus denying even that little bit from returning to nature. *The world would be a much better place without us. Harry K- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - I agree we are depleting resources but the mining for materials and fossil fuels is two completely different categories. *Mineral resources are not actually being depleted. *For the most part all the elements on the planet are still on the planet. *Just because we dig up some copper, use it for something, and then bury it in a landfill doesn't reduce the copper. *We could dig it back out of that landfill and use it again. *Or we could quit burying it in the landfill and start recycling it which is more practical than digging it back up. But who knows, maybe some day our descendants will be setting up mines where we buried stuff. Fossil fuel is a energy resource. *It is the result of plants capturing the energy in sunlight and it being turned into hydrocarbons. * Which is the chemical storage of energy. *Like a battery. *We are converting that stored energy into heat energy for the most part. *Energy like matter is never lost but after we're finished, the heat energy contributes to the gradual equilibrium of the energy state in the universe which makes it of no further use to us. *The issue is that we're converting that stored energy at a tremediously faster rate than it was stored. *Years of our use equals millions of years of capture. *So no matter how good we get at finding the hydrocarbons we will eventually use them all up. *Will that happen in 50 years or 500 years is debatable but most people would agree the practical number is somewhere between those two. *Bottom line we really are using up the energy in fossil fuels. As to the co2, we are also raising the co2 level. *That's a fact. *The bydrocarbons were buried in the ground. *We're releasing them and breaking them up and combing the freed carbon with oxygen to produce co2. *Who knows maybe we will be the start of the next cycle that produces new hydrocarbons for some other lifeform to dig up a couple hundred million yeasr from now. *On the short term the consequences might not be so good for us.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Mostly true but we never recover 100% of the original elements and never will. *The 'pie in the sky' types keep pointing to new discoveries as if those "new discoveries' will continue to be made for infinity. Harry K- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - We can recover enough that we don't really have to worry about running out of things like copper and iron. |
#47
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New study on wind energy
On 7/20/2011 7:00 AM, jamesgangnc wrote:
.... Nothing wrong with the government subsidizing renewable. Economies of scale will reduce the costs and at the same time the costs of non- renewable fuels will continue to rise. At some point the scale tips and the renewables become cheaper. Until then the government accelerates the growth with subsidies. Just makes the inevitable happen a few years sooner. Subsidizing _research_ perhaps; subsidizing production facilities, not so much. It perverts actual winning technolog(y|ies) on basis of winners to cashing in on subsidies to pad bottom lines irrespective of best use of (limited) capital...as do mandates for usage or generation mixes. -- |
#48
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New study on wind energy
In article , Frank
wrote: On 7/19/2011 7:20 PM, Malcom "Mal" Reynolds wrote: In , wrote: Nice, clean windmill sound nice but energy consumed in building them and the need for back-up diesel generators are not considered. do you think that the energy consumed in building any power plant is considered? It's just a guess, but if we actually did that I would imagine the balance point would shift considerably towards all renewables Of course. You have to do complete studies of all of the factors involved. The green energy projects all depend on subsidies. As do nukes and to some extent coal Lot of them are being sucked into Delaware and I strongly suspect when subsidies dry up, so will the companies. The government is being snookered by them. There is a new one with direct conversion of natural gas to electricity with fuel cells. Opponents have pointed out that there are gas burning turbines with the same efficiency that put out the same amount of carbon dioxide but cost far less. Probably the same argument was used on gas burning turbines when they were first being used. FWIW and I'm not suggesting this is practical in all cases, but when the price comes down I could put a fuel cell in my back yard to generate my electrical needs with less hoopla than I could with even a very efficient ICE/genset Who do you trust more, engineers or politicians? I certainly don't trust engineers with a vested interest in the outcome |
#49
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Wide vs narrow blades
On Jul 20, 9:59*am, jamesgangnc wrote:
On Jul 20, 9:50*am, dpb wrote: On 7/20/2011 8:03 AM, Home Guy wrote: ... When you look at an ordinary fan, it has large blades that occupy a significant portion of the cross-sectional swept area. When you look at a wind turbine, the blades are very thin, occupying a very minimal amount of swept area, allowing much of the wind energy to flow right through or between the blades. If a fan has fan blades that are designed to *efficiently move air*, then why won't that same basic blade design also be *efficiently moved by air* ? Size has a lot to do with the design limitations. Interestingly enough, the efficiency of adding blades is relatively small; a one-blade rotor is nearly as efficient as two and the third is even less of an increase. While it doesn't go into a lot of technical detail, the wiki article outlines some of the basics of the various competing factors that go into modern generator blade design. Limiting is more the physical characteristics required for survival and control and related cost and the efficiency obtainable within those restrictions as opposed to only the efficiency (altho modern designs run probably nearly 80% of theoretical Betz limit of kinetic energy extraction which is roughly 60% of input field KE. I've not read the article for a while to see what, if anything has been added/updated, but had the link bookmarked-- http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_turbine_design -- The trick is balancing the one blade model. *Interestingly the same things apply to boat propellers. *It also occurred to me there is another example of powered thin blades, helicopters.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Fan blades and boat propellers act more like a a screw or auger. Airplane propellers and wind turbines are airfoils acting like airplane wings. Airfoils are much more efficent. Jimmie |
#50
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Wide vs narrow blades (was: New study on wind energy)
Home Guy wrote:
HeyBub wrote: "The wind energy business is the electric sector's equivalent of the corn ethanol scam: it's an over-subsidized industry that depends wholly on taxpayer dollars to remain solvent while providing an inferior product to consumers that does little, if anything, to reduce our need for hydrocarbons or cut carbon dioxide emissions." When you look at an ordinary fan, it has large blades that occupy a significant portion of the cross-sectional swept area. When you look at a wind turbine, the blades are very thin, occupying a very minimal amount of swept area, allowing much of the wind energy to flow right through or between the blades. If a fan has fan blades that are designed to *efficiently move air*, then why won't that same basic blade design also be *efficiently moved by air* ? Efficiency for a fan is not the same importance as efficiency for a huge windmill. High performance fans have narrow blades. \http://www.airkinglimited.com/pages/...ial/drum1.html |
#51
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New study on wind energy
jamesgangnc wrote:
Nothing wrong with the government subsidizing renewable. Economies of scale will reduce the costs and at the same time the costs of non- renewable fuels will continue to rise. At some point the scale tips and the renewables become cheaper. Until then the government accelerates the growth with subsidies. Just makes the inevitable happen a few years sooner. Uh, there are many things wrong with a government subsidizing anything. I don't have much problem with research grants, but subsidizing production is an outrage. Poor Mexicans are almost starving because the cost of tortillas is almost prohibitive, thanks to our ethanol subsidies! You said: "... the costs of non-renewable fuels will continue to rise." Er, no. The cost of natural gas has dropped from ~$6.50 per 1000 cu ft in 2007 to about $4.00 today. In 2008, USA bituminous coal sold for a high of $175/ton. Today it is $75/ton. Oil, and its derivative, gasoline is still pretty high (although it gasoline is cheaper today than it was during the Carther administration), but oil is used primarily for transportation - and chemicals. "Renewables" are not involved in transportation, with the exception of corn which I've already dissed (poor Messicans). |
#52
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New study on wind energy
harry wrote:
I mis-remembered. There were five (picked by Ehrlich). The wager was $1,000 each. Whatever the differential in price after a decade would go to the winner. chromium, copper, nickel, tin, and tungsten "Between 1980 and 1990, the world's population grew by more than 800 million, the largest increase in one decade in all of history. But by September 1990, without a single exception, the price of each of Ehrlich's selected metals had fallen, and in some cases had dropped significantly. Chromium, which had sold for $3.90 a pound in 1980, was down to $3.70 in 1990. Tin, which was $8.72 a pound in 1980, was down to $3.88 a decade later." Why does costing more make them harder to find? It doesn't. Being harder to find makes them cost more. Price is a convenient metric for scarcity.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Ah,you got it mixedup :-) Population is the main problem I think. Everything comes back to that. Nature will soon organise a cull. That's what Malthus thought. He was wrong. That's what Ehrlich thought. He, too, was wrong. In fact, EVERYBODY who has EVER predicted that over-population spells our doom has been wrong. By the principle of inductive reasoning, I suggest that you, too, are wrong. |
#53
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New study on wind energy
jamesgangnc wrote:
As to the co2, we are also raising the co2 level. That's a fact. The bydrocarbons were buried in the ground. We're releasing them and breaking them up and combing the freed carbon with oxygen to produce co2. Who knows maybe we will be the start of the next cycle that produces new hydrocarbons for some other lifeform to dig up a couple hundred million yeasr from now. On the short term the consequences might not be so good for us. I trust you'll permit an analogy to illustrate the CO2 in the atmosphere and its increase. If the atmosphere could be represented by the area of a football field, including the end-zones, the amount of CO2 is roughly equal to the area occupied by a prostate official who died as a result of seven stab wounds inflicted by irate fans after he made four consecutive bad calls against the home team. The increase in CO2, since 1900, could be represented by the stain left on the astoturf as he slowly bled out without a single person coming to his aid. (In case you're interested, the remaining seventeen minutes of play took place without a single penalty.) In other words, CO2 ain't much (one three-hundredths of one percent). |
#54
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New study on wind energy
Harry K wrote:
Mostly true but we never recover 100% of the original elements and never will. The 'pie in the sky' types keep pointing to new discoveries as if those "new discoveries' will continue to be made for infinity. Nothing lasts forever. The Romans denuded all of North Africa and much of Europe and used the wood for charcoal. Just as the trees were about to run out, it became practical to mine and exploit coal. (The industrial revolution was fueled by coal). While in some places coal is still very economical, oil proved to be more versatile and, in many instances, cheaper. Heck, the archetype villain, John D. Rockefeller, and his example of monoply, Standard Oil, drove the price of Kerosene down from $3.00/gallon to a nickle. In less than three years. Of course the people who sold "renewable" energy (i.e., whale oil) squealed and were eventually put out of business, but for the rest of us, the night was brightened. Point is, as with trees and whales, even renewables face the same problems as truffles. There is only so much and only so many pigs to find it. |
#55
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New study on wind energy
jamesgangnc wrote:
You're pulling the typical conservative stunt. Cherry pick statistics to support your point. What about the percenatges of wealth held by the rich. And the increased difference between the wealthy, the middle class, and the poor. You can't take one stat in isolation and use it to prove a point. You have to look at the whole picture. Besides it's not just the rich, what about tax breaks for oil companies that post record profits? What kind of sense does that make. How do you defend that? The "tax-break" bucket is not connected to the "profit" bucket. The tax breaks were legislated to achieve some social goal (e.g., employment) with no regard by the taxing authorities as to the profitability of the recipient. To the degree that oil companies - or others - take advantage of these "tax breaks," they should be applauded for promoting the social goals envisioned by the legislative bodies. Maybe we should name a holiday or something in the oil companies' honor. |
#56
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New study on wind energy
"HeyBub" wrote in message ... Maybe we should name a holiday or something in the oil companies' honor. Bend Over Individual Taxpayers Day, yeah, it's a natural. |
#57
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Wide vs narrow blades (was: New study on wind energy)
jamesgangnc wrote:
If a fan has fan blades that are designed to *efficiently move air*, then why won't that same basic blade design also be *efficiently moved by air* ? That's not true. Look at a propeller airplane. It's blades move air and they are long and thin. The cross-sectional area of a plane's propellers are a hindrance (drag) to forward motion. So while a fatter blade can provide more thrust at a lower rpm or with a lower swept area, a fatter blade will present more drag to counter a plane's forward movement. The slower a plane is designed to fly, the slower a plane's engine is designed to operate, the more sense it makes to use a fatter blade, or more blades (3 or 4 vs 2). A helicopter develops lift because it's blades are really air foils that just like wings develop a low pressure area on their upper surface as they are moved forward (ie - as they are rotated). When you look at the constraints of a typical house fan (low speed, inefficient motor, small design envelope or package) what you get are wide, fat blades. If wide fat blades are best at being turned by motors of low power to generate a breeze that consumers demand out of a small package size, then I'd have to assume that wide, fat blades would also be most easily and efficiently rotated by a breeze or flow of air passing through them. If it doesn't take much motor force or motor power to turn wide/fat blades to generate an acceptible air flow, then the converse must also be true - that wide/fat blades are more easily turned by a given breeze vs long/narrow blades. The energy potential in a wind field is measured in terms of the swept area of the blades. So how can you capture a respectible fraction of this energy by using thin blades that "see" or experience only a small fraction of this swept area, vs using fatter blades that expose themselves to a greater percentage of this wind field? |
#58
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Wide vs narrow blades (was: New study on wind energy)
On Jul 20, 5:40*pm, Home Guy wrote:
jamesgangnc wrote: If a fan has fan blades that are designed to *efficiently move air*, *then why won't that same basic blade design also be *efficiently moved by air* ? That's not true. *Look at a propeller airplane. *It's blades move air and they are long and thin. The cross-sectional area of a plane's propellers are a hindrance (drag) to forward motion. * So while a fatter blade can provide more thrust at a lower rpm or with a lower swept area, a fatter blade will present more drag to counter a plane's forward movement. *The slower a plane is designed to fly, the slower a plane's engine is designed to operate, the more sense it makes to use a fatter blade, or more blades (3 or 4 vs 2). A helicopter develops lift because it's blades are really air foils that just like wings develop a low pressure area on their upper surface as they are moved forward (ie - as they are rotated). When you look at the constraints of a typical house fan (low speed, inefficient motor, small design envelope or package) what you get are wide, fat blades. *If wide fat blades are best at being turned by motors of low power to generate a breeze that consumers demand out of a small package size, then I'd have to assume that wide, fat blades would also be most easily and efficiently rotated by a breeze or flow of air passing through them. If it doesn't take much motor force or motor power to turn wide/fat blades to generate an acceptible air flow, then the converse must also be true - that wide/fat blades are more easily turned by a given breeze vs long/narrow blades. The energy potential in a wind field is measured in terms of the swept area of the blades. So how can you capture a respectible fraction of this energy by using thin blades that "see" or experience only a small fraction of this swept area, vs using fatter blades that expose themselves to a greater percentage of this wind field? Fat and thin. They are all airfoils. Do you think they woudn't use fat blades if they worked better? You think engineers didn't design the blades on wind turbines? |
#60
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New study on wind energy
On Wed, 20 Jul 2011 14:01:15 -0500, dpb wrote:
On 7/20/2011 7:00 AM, jamesgangnc wrote: ... Nothing wrong with the government subsidizing renewable. Economies of scale will reduce the costs and at the same time the costs of non- renewable fuels will continue to rise. At some point the scale tips and the renewables become cheaper. Until then the government accelerates the growth with subsidies. Just makes the inevitable happen a few years sooner. Subsidizing _research_ perhaps; subsidizing production facilities, not so much. It perverts actual winning technolog(y|ies) on basis of winners to cashing in on subsidies to pad bottom lines irrespective of best use of (limited) capital...as do mandates for usage or generation mixes. Give that man a cigar! The government picks winners and losers, not the market. |
#61
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New study on wind energy
Harry K writes:
On Jul 19, 7:46Â*pm, "HeyBub" wrote: wrote: I suppose CO2 emissions could be important, but it seems to me, having a power source that doesn't run out seems pretty strategic to me. The rest of the page deals with CO2. I don't know about you, but I LIKE power sources that don't pollute. I'm willing to pay a little more just for that benefit. You're presuming that CO2 is a pollutant. Were it not for CO2, there wouldn't be any plants. With no plants, there would be no cattle. With no cattle, there'd be no food. We'd starve. CO2 is poisonous to us in excessive quantities, just as is Oxygen, Water, etc. Nature has adjusted to the what was the average CO2 content back before the industrial revolution. It is now adjusting to our adding to it and we are not going to like the result. As to reducing our part in it? Ain't gonna happen. Best we can do is not increase our contribution above what it is today. Nothing we can do will reduce it withough totally wrecking industry. But the real issue is being prepared for the future. We're hearing all this crazy deficit talk as if we're creating a problem for our children. Â*I think using up resources on the only planet we have is much more important. We're NOT using up resources. More precisely, we're using resources but we're accessing more than we're using. Today, there is five times the known reserves of natural gas than there was just five years ago. Look up the Simon-Ehrlich wager in which a doom-sayer* wagered $10,000 with a more pragmatic scientist over whether the scarcity of ten commodities (picked by Ehrlich) would cost more (and therefore be harder to find) in ten years. Ehrlich lost. Availability of resources has zip to do with whether we are depleting them. We are. The supply of any mineral, oil, etc. resource you can name is finite. The truth of the matter is that we (humankind) meet every definition of a parasite. All take and no give. Even our funeral practices do everything possible to keep even our worn out bodies from decomposing thus denying even that little bit from returning to nature. The world would be a much better place without us. The world has billions of years before the sun burns the planet up. We ought to live here in such a way that the planet will be livable that long. I think the planet can easily support 1 billion humans. 7 billion, ridiculous. -- Dan Espen |
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New study on wind energy
On Wed, 20 Jul 2011 15:45:28 -0500, "HeyBub" wrote:
harry wrote: I mis-remembered. There were five (picked by Ehrlich). The wager was $1,000 each. Whatever the differential in price after a decade would go to the winner. chromium, copper, nickel, tin, and tungsten "Between 1980 and 1990, the world's population grew by more than 800 million, the largest increase in one decade in all of history. But by September 1990, without a single exception, the price of each of Ehrlich's selected metals had fallen, and in some cases had dropped significantly. Chromium, which had sold for $3.90 a pound in 1980, was down to $3.70 in 1990. Tin, which was $8.72 a pound in 1980, was down to $3.88 a decade later." Why does costing more make them harder to find? It doesn't. Being harder to find makes them cost more. Price is a convenient metric for scarcity.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Ah,you got it mixedup :-) Population is the main problem I think. Everything comes back to that. Nature will soon organise a cull. That's what Malthus thought. He was wrong. That's what Ehrlich thought. He, too, was wrong. In fact, EVERYBODY who has EVER predicted that over-population spells our doom has been wrong. By the principle of inductive reasoning, I suggest that you, too, are wrong. harry? Wrong? You don't need induction to come to that conclusion! |
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New study on wind energy
jamesgangnc writes:
On Jul 20, 2:05Â*pm, Harry K wrote: On Jul 20, 8:14Â*am, jamesgangnc wrote: On Jul 20, 10:41Â*am, Harry K wrote: On Jul 19, 7:46Â*pm, "HeyBub" wrote: wrote: I suppose CO2 emissions could be important, but it seems to me, having a power source that doesn't run out seems pretty strategic to me. The rest of the page deals with CO2. I don't know about you, but I LIKE power sources that don't pollute. I'm willing to pay a little more just for that benefit. You're presuming that CO2 is a pollutant. Were it not for CO2, there wouldn't be any plants. With no plants, there would be no cattle. With no cattle, there'd be no food. We'd starve. CO2 is poisonous to us in excessive quantities, just as is Oxygen, Water, etc. Â*Nature has adjusted to the what was the average CO2 content back before the industrial revolution. Â*It is now adjusting to our adding to it and we are not going to like the result. As to reducing our part in it? Â*Ain't gonna happen. Â*Best we can do is not increase our contribution above what it is today. Â*Nothing we can do will reduce it withough totally wrecking industry. But the real issue is being prepared for the future. We're hearing all this crazy deficit talk as if we're creating a problem for our children. Â*I think using up resources on the only planet we have is much more important. We're NOT using up resources. More precisely, we're using resources but we're accessing more than we're using. Today, there is five times the known reserves of natural gas than there was just five years ago. Look up the Simon-Ehrlich wager in which a doom-sayer* wagered $10,000 with a more pragmatic scientist over whether the scarcity of ten commodities (picked by Ehrlich) would cost more (and therefore be harder to find) in ten years. Ehrlich lost. Availability of resources has zip to do with whether we are depleting them. Â*We are. Â*The supply of any mineral, oil, etc. resource you can name is finite. The truth of the matter is that we (humankind) meet every definition of a parasite. Â* All take and no give. Â*Even our funeral practices do everything possible to keep even our worn out bodies from decomposing thus denying even that little bit from returning to nature. Â*The world would be a much better place without us. Harry K- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - I agree we are depleting resources but the mining for materials and fossil fuels is two completely different categories. Â*Mineral resources are not actually being depleted. Â*For the most part all the elements on the planet are still on the planet. Â*Just because we dig up some copper, use it for something, and then bury it in a landfill doesn't reduce the copper. Â*We could dig it back out of that landfill and use it again. Â*Or we could quit burying it in the landfill and start recycling it which is more practical than digging it back up. But who knows, maybe some day our descendants will be setting up mines where we buried stuff. Fossil fuel is a energy resource. Â*It is the result of plants capturing the energy in sunlight and it being turned into hydrocarbons. Â* Which is the chemical storage of energy. Â*Like a battery. Â*We are converting that stored energy into heat energy for the most part. Â*Energy like matter is never lost but after we're finished, the heat energy contributes to the gradual equilibrium of the energy state in the universe which makes it of no further use to us. Â*The issue is that we're converting that stored energy at a tremediously faster rate than it was stored. Â*Years of our use equals millions of years of capture. Â*So no matter how good we get at finding the hydrocarbons we will eventually use them all up. Â*Will that happen in 50 years or 500 years is debatable but most people would agree the practical number is somewhere between those two. Â*Bottom line we really are using up the energy in fossil fuels. As to the co2, we are also raising the co2 level. Â*That's a fact. Â*The bydrocarbons were buried in the ground. Â*We're releasing them and breaking them up and combing the freed carbon with oxygen to produce co2. Â*Who knows maybe we will be the start of the next cycle that produces new hydrocarbons for some other lifeform to dig up a couple hundred million yeasr from now. Â*On the short term the consequences might not be so good for us.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Mostly true but we never recover 100% of the original elements and never will. Â*The 'pie in the sky' types keep pointing to new discoveries as if those "new discoveries' will continue to be made for infinity. Harry K- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - We can recover enough that we don't really have to worry about running out of things like copper and iron. The iron in landfills turns to iron oxide and mixes with the other materials. I don't believe it's sufficiently concentrated to be practically recovered. Not sure about copper. There's lots of other important stuff in landfills that will be really hard to get back, like tungsten. -- Dan Espen |
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Wide vs narrow blades (was: New study on wind energy)
jamesgangnc used improper usenet mesage composition style by
full-quoting: The energy potential in a wind field is measured in terms of the swept area of the blades. So how can you capture a respectible fraction of this energy by using thin blades that "see" or experience only a small fraction of this swept area, vs using fatter blades that expose themselves to a greater percentage of this wind field? Fat and thin. They are all airfoils. A typical air foil is an airplane wing. The "foil" is cross-sectional profile - curved upper surface, flat lower surface. The foil is what gets you life when it's moved forward through the air. You create a low-pressure area on the upper surface. I can move air with flat blade angled at 45 degrees. The blade doesn't need a foil-shaped cross section - instead it can be flat. When a flat blade is angled (any angle other than 0) and rotated, it is pushing air out of the way as it turns. Similarly, wind that wants to move past the blade must push it aside, and in doing so it will rotate the hub. The more surface area you present to the wind (ie the wider the blade) the more rotational force you transmit to the hub. Do you think they woudn't use fat blades if they worked better? Maybe it's all a scam. Maybe wind turbines don't need to cost a few million each, and be hundreds of feet tall with blades made from exotic materials and methods. You think engineers didn't design the blades on wind turbines? Explain what's wrong with my concept. How much cross-sectional area is occupied by the blades in a water turbine as water flows past them in a hydro-electric station? |
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New study on wind energy
On 07/20/2011 01:26 PM, DGDevin wrote:
"HeyBub" wrote in message m... Warning: It's not pretty. Summary of a report based on power usage by about 1/3rd of the nation's consumers (110 million) over three years. You sure know how to pick 'em. This "report" was created by Bentek Energy. Guess which segment of the energy industry Bentek represents--come on, guess. If your answer is the fossil fuels segment, specifically the natural gas and related areas (like propane), you're right. Forbes of course goes where the money is, so if the fossil fuels industry is profitable and wind generation of power is not (at least not yet) then it isn't hard to guess who Forbes will side with. Hey, if next week the bottled water industry releases a report saying that home water filtration is a bad idea, will you believe them? +1 |
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New study on wind energy
"HeyBub" writes:
harry wrote: I mis-remembered. There were five (picked by Ehrlich). The wager was $1,000 each. Whatever the differential in price after a decade would go to the winner. chromium, copper, nickel, tin, and tungsten "Between 1980 and 1990, the world's population grew by more than 800 million, the largest increase in one decade in all of history. But by September 1990, without a single exception, the price of each of Ehrlich's selected metals had fallen, and in some cases had dropped significantly. Chromium, which had sold for $3.90 a pound in 1980, was down to $3.70 in 1990. Tin, which was $8.72 a pound in 1980, was down to $3.88 a decade later." Why does costing more make them harder to find? It doesn't. Being harder to find makes them cost more. Price is a convenient metric for scarcity.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Ah,you got it mixedup :-) Population is the main problem I think. Everything comes back to that. Nature will soon organise a cull. That's what Malthus thought. He was wrong. That's what Ehrlich thought. He, too, was wrong. In fact, EVERYBODY who has EVER predicted that over-population spells our doom has been wrong. By the principle of inductive reasoning, I suggest that you, too, are wrong. The predictions may have been wrong, but the ultimate outcome is based on logic. Ultimately we'll have a standing room only future. -- Dan Espen |
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New study on wind energy
Jim Yanik writes:
wrote in : harry writes: On Jul 20, 12:23ÂÂ*am, jamesgangnc wrote: On Jul 19, 7:02ÂÂ*pm, Frank wrote: All power plants have maintenance costs. PV? Pretty low maintenance costs. solar uses a lot of water,gotta keep the panels clean. Just watched a video. Every 2 weeks: Wipe off dust with dry towel. Wash with towel dampened in water, vinegar, detergent. That doesn't sound like a lot of water. then there's inverter maintenance,and if storage batteries used,battery maintenance. Plus,the hazards of battery chemicals and lead,along with fire hazard. Just looked up maintenance procedure for a solar panel inverter. "replace every 10 years". Anyway, it mostly just sits there and pours electricity into the grid. Pretty cool, especially with this heat, you can imagine all the air conditioners it's running. "POURS" electricity? how big a plant is it? how many MW? 1.2MW: http://newprovidence.patch.com/artic...-labs-campus-3 http://tinyurl.com/3srexrm It probably runs THEIR AC and maybe the building lights. The building is pretty big. The article says it's enough power to power 200 homes. -- Dan Espen |
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Wide vs narrow blades (was: New study on wind energy)
Home Guy wrote:
When you look at an ordinary fan, it has large blades that occupy a significant portion of the cross-sectional swept area. When you look at a wind turbine, the blades are very thin, occupying a very minimal amount of swept area, allowing much of the wind energy to flow right through or between the blades. If a fan has fan blades that are designed to *efficiently move air*, then why won't that same basic blade design also be *efficiently moved by air* ? Basic aerodynamics/physics. A fan blade is a wing. The larger the blade, the more drag (energy loss). Fans are designed to move a large volume of air and aren't particularly concerned about how much electrical power is used to do it. Wind tubines have the opposite requirement. The blades are designed to be as efficient as possible as the larger the blade, the more wind is required. |
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Wide vs narrow blades (was: New study on wind energy)
Robert Neville wrote:
If a fan has fan blades that are designed to *efficiently move air*, then why won't that same basic blade design also be *efficiently moved by air* ? Basic aerodynamics/physics. A fan blade is a wing. The function of a wing is to provide lift in a vector perpendicular to it's surface. Please explain how or why a wind-turbine blade needs to provide lift? It actually can't provide lift, because (a) it's not turning under it's own power, and (b) if it did produce any lift, that lift would be a vector force pointing out of the down-wind-facing surface of the blade, and would act to pull the blades forward and destabilize the support colum and topple it. The larger the blade, the more drag (energy loss). So by that logic, a sailing ship would be propelled faster (capture more wind energy) by having a small sail vs a large sail. Great logic. |
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New study on wind energy
In article ,
"HeyBub" wrote: Uh, there are many things wrong with a government subsidizing anything. I don't have much problem with research grants, but subsidizing production is an outrage. Poor Mexicans are almost starving because the cost of tortillas is almost prohibitive, thanks to our ethanol subsidies! Not true. The corn used to produce ethanol is what is fed to beef and pork (as well as poultry) which is then fed to them as DDGS If the poor Mexicans are almost starving because of the cost of tortillas, it's because they aren't growing enough corn...they aren't producing ethanol |
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New study on wind energy
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New study on wind energy
On Jul 20, 1:53*pm, "HeyBub" wrote:
jamesgangnc wrote: As to the co2, we are also raising the co2 level. *That's a fact. *The bydrocarbons were buried in the ground. *We're releasing them and breaking them up and combing the freed carbon with oxygen to produce co2. *Who knows maybe we will be the start of the next cycle that produces new hydrocarbons for some other lifeform to dig up a couple hundred million yeasr from now. *On the short term the consequences might not be so good for us. I trust you'll permit an analogy to illustrate the CO2 in the atmosphere and its increase. If the atmosphere could be represented by the area of a football field, including the end-zones, the amount of CO2 is roughly equal to the area occupied by a prostate official who died as a result of seven stab wounds inflicted by irate fans after he made four consecutive bad calls against the home team. The increase in CO2, since 1900, could be represented by the stain left on the astoturf as he slowly bled out without a single person coming to his aid. (In case you're interested, the remaining seventeen minutes of play took place without a single penalty.) In other words, CO2 ain't much (one three-hundredths of one percent). It ain't the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere that counts. It is the _effect_ it has. I hope you aren't in the "CO2 isn't a gsreenhouse gas" crowd. Or like my old man "if a little bit is good, a bunch more lot is better". The climate is warming. Whether due to nature, to man or a combination of both can be argued but the basic fact is that it _is_ warming. Harry K |
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New study on wind energy
On Jul 20, 8:01*pm, "HeyBub" wrote:
wrote: The predictions may have been wrong, but the ultimate outcome is based on logic. Ultimately we'll have a standing room only future. But it'll be a while. A long while. At the population density of Hong Kong, the earth's population, some six billion people, would fit in the state of Georgia. Which, come to think on it... would be a terrible thing. So we should just ignore the problem and go along procreating at an unsupportable rate? Just sentence our future off spring to starvation and subsistance living? Harry K |
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New study on wind energy
On Jul 20, 4:56*pm, Jim Yanik wrote:
wrote : harry writes: On Jul 20, 12:23*am, jamesgangnc wrote: On Jul 19, 7:02*pm, Frank wrote: On 7/19/2011 6:12 PM, HeyBub wrote: Warning: It's not pretty. Summary of a report based on power usage by about 1/3rd of the nation's consumers (110 million) over three years. "For years, it's been an article of faith among advocates of renewables that increased use of wind energy can provide a cost-effective method of reducing carbon dioxide emissions. The reality: wind energy's carbon dioxide-cutting benefits are vastly overstated. Furthermore, if wind energy does help reduce carbon emissions, those reductions are too expensive to be used on any kind of scale. " And in conclusion: "The wind energy business is the electric sector's equivalent of the corn ethanol scam: it's an over-subsidized industry that depends wholly on taxpayer dollars to remain solvent while providing an inferior product to consumers that does little, if anything, to reduce our need for hydrocarbons or cut carbon dioxide emissions. The latest Bentek study should be required reading for policymakers. It's a much-needed reminder of how the pesky facts about wind energy have been obscured by the tsunami of hype about green energy." http://www.forbes.com/2011/07/19/win...-carbon_2.html The report overlooks the fact that wind energy is for the children. Nice, clean windmill sound nice but energy consumed in building them and the need for back-up diesel generators are not considered. Nor the noise and dead birds. if in a cold weather place,they may freeze up or the blades may ice over and throw big chunks of ice when they break loose. They may or may not be putting them offshore here in Delaware and you can imagine the compounding cost of installation and effect of salt water on them, *They don't use above ground transmission lines either and cables have to be run under the sea surface. http://www.delmarvanow.com/article/2...107170308-Hide quoted text - All power plants have maintenance costs. PV? Pretty low maintenance costs. solar uses a lot of water,gotta keep the panels clean. then there's inverter maintenance,and if storage batteries used,battery maintenance. Plus,the hazards of battery chemicals and lead,along with fire hazard. Wind turbines need more maintenance,being rotating machinery. Bell Labs just put up a PV farm not far from me. These are in a field about 4 feet from the ground. I'm curious about how they are going to cut the grass or keep plants from growing in there. I thought they might use mulch or a ground cover, but so far it doesn't look like it. They used to just mow the area with a big ride on mower. Now the panels are in the way. *Maybe they can be tilted out of the way. Anyway, it mostly just sits there and pours electricity into the grid. *Pretty cool, especially with this heat, you can imagine all the air conditioners it's running. "POURS" electricity? *how big a plant is it? how many MW? It probably runs THEIR AC and maybe the building lights. snip And then only during daylight. Harry K |
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New study on wind energy
On Wed, 20 Jul 2011 20:33:31 -0700 (PDT), Harry K
wrote: On Jul 20, 8:01*pm, "HeyBub" wrote: wrote: The predictions may have been wrong, but the ultimate outcome is based on logic. Ultimately we'll have a standing room only future. But it'll be a while. A long while. At the population density of Hong Kong, the earth's population, some six billion people, would fit in the state of Georgia. Which, come to think on it... would be a terrible thing. So we should just ignore the problem and go along procreating at an unsupportable rate? Just sentence our future off spring to starvation and subsistance living? Funny, I never figured you for a leftist. How about you first! |
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Wide vs narrow blades (was: New study on wind energy)
On Wed, 20 Jul 2011 22:31:19 -0400, Home Guy wrote:
Robert Neville wrote: If a fan has fan blades that are designed to *efficiently move air*, then why won't that same basic blade design also be *efficiently moved by air* ? Basic aerodynamics/physics. A fan blade is a wing. The function of a wing is to provide lift in a vector perpendicular to it's surface. Please explain how or why a wind-turbine blade needs to provide lift? It does exactly the opposite. It converts "lift" into rotational energy. If the two processes aren't complementary, the world ends. It actually can't provide lift, because (a) it's not turning under it's own power, and (b) if it did produce any lift, that lift would be a vector force pointing out of the down-wind-facing surface of the blade, and would act to pull the blades forward and destabilize the support colum and topple it. The larger the blade, the more drag (energy loss). So by that logic, a sailing ship would be propelled faster (capture more wind energy) by having a small sail vs a large sail. But a sail *does* have lift. Note that drag is a function of V^3. Great logic. Seem you're short a loaf, too. |
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New study on wind energy
On Jul 20, 6:47*pm, "DGDevin" wrote:
"harry" *wrote in message ... Rob the poor to pay the rich is how politics works in America. *You are all slaves to capitalism. So in one post you complain that everything costs more in your socialist paradise, then in the next you whine about capitalism. *Couldn't you at least choose one bumper sticker and stay with it rather than hopping around like a demented rabbit? Where have I complained that everything costs more? America is the proof that capitalism (as practised in America) is a fraud. |
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New study on wind energy
On Jul 20, 7:07*pm, Harry K wrote:
On Jul 20, 9:04*am, harry wrote: On Jul 20, 3:41*pm, Harry K wrote: On Jul 19, 7:46*pm, "HeyBub" wrote: wrote: I suppose CO2 emissions could be important, but it seems to me, having a power source that doesn't run out seems pretty strategic to me. The rest of the page deals with CO2. I don't know about you, but I LIKE power sources that don't pollute. I'm willing to pay a little more just for that benefit. You're presuming that CO2 is a pollutant. Were it not for CO2, there wouldn't be any plants. With no plants, there would be no cattle. With no cattle, there'd be no food. We'd starve.. CO2 is poisonous to us in excessive quantities, just as is Oxygen, Water, etc. *Nature has adjusted to the what was the average CO2 content back before the industrial revolution. *It is now adjusting to our adding to it and we are not going to like the result. As to reducing our part in it? *Ain't gonna happen. *Best we can do is not increase our contribution above what it is today. *Nothing we can do will reduce it withough totally wrecking industry. But the real issue is being prepared for the future. We're hearing all this crazy deficit talk as if we're creating a problem for our children. *I think using up resources on the only planet we have is much more important. We're NOT using up resources. More precisely, we're using resources but we're accessing more than we're using. Today, there is five times the known reserves of natural gas than there was just five years ago. Look up the Simon-Ehrlich wager in which a doom-sayer* wagered $10,000 with a more pragmatic scientist over whether the scarcity of ten commodities (picked by Ehrlich) would cost more (and therefore be harder to find) in ten years. Ehrlich lost. Availability of resources has zip to do with whether we are depleting them. *We are. *The supply of any mineral, oil, etc. resource you can name is finite. The truth of the matter is that we (humankind) meet every definition of a parasite. * All take and no give. *Even our funeral practices do everything possible to keep even our worn out bodies from decomposing thus denying even that little bit from returning to nature. *The world would be a much better place without us. Harry K- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Hey, tell me that ain't a suicide note?- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Nope, that is reality and it _will_ kick us in the butt somewhere down the road in the future. If we don't stop population growth we will be reduced to subsistance level and a _greatly_ reduced world population - nature will see to that. Harry K- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Exactly so. |
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New study on wind energy
On Jul 20, 7:50*pm, jamesgangnc wrote:
On Jul 20, 2:05*pm, Harry K wrote: On Jul 20, 8:14*am, jamesgangnc wrote: On Jul 20, 10:41*am, Harry K wrote: On Jul 19, 7:46*pm, "HeyBub" wrote: wrote: I suppose CO2 emissions could be important, but it seems to me, having a power source that doesn't run out seems pretty strategic to me. The rest of the page deals with CO2. I don't know about you, but I LIKE power sources that don't pollute. I'm willing to pay a little more just for that benefit. You're presuming that CO2 is a pollutant. Were it not for CO2, there wouldn't be any plants. With no plants, there would be no cattle. With no cattle, there'd be no food. We'd starve. CO2 is poisonous to us in excessive quantities, just as is Oxygen, Water, etc. *Nature has adjusted to the what was the average CO2 content back before the industrial revolution. *It is now adjusting to our adding to it and we are not going to like the result. As to reducing our part in it? *Ain't gonna happen. *Best we can do is not increase our contribution above what it is today. *Nothing we can do will reduce it withough totally wrecking industry. But the real issue is being prepared for the future. We're hearing all this crazy deficit talk as if we're creating a problem for our children. *I think using up resources on the only planet we have is much more important. We're NOT using up resources. More precisely, we're using resources but we're accessing more than we're using. Today, there is five times the known reserves of natural gas than there was just five years ago. Look up the Simon-Ehrlich wager in which a doom-sayer* wagered $10,000 with a more pragmatic scientist over whether the scarcity of ten commodities (picked by Ehrlich) would cost more (and therefore be harder to find) in ten years. Ehrlich lost. Availability of resources has zip to do with whether we are depleting them. *We are. *The supply of any mineral, oil, etc. resource you can name is finite. The truth of the matter is that we (humankind) meet every definition of a parasite. * All take and no give. *Even our funeral practices do everything possible to keep even our worn out bodies from decomposing thus denying even that little bit from returning to nature. *The world would be a much better place without us. Harry K- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - I agree we are depleting resources but the mining for materials and fossil fuels is two completely different categories. *Mineral resources are not actually being depleted. *For the most part all the elements on the planet are still on the planet. *Just because we dig up some copper, use it for something, and then bury it in a landfill doesn't reduce the copper. *We could dig it back out of that landfill and use it again. *Or we could quit burying it in the landfill and start recycling it which is more practical than digging it back up. But who knows, maybe some day our descendants will be setting up mines where we buried stuff. Fossil fuel is a energy resource. *It is the result of plants capturing the energy in sunlight and it being turned into hydrocarbons. * Which is the chemical storage of energy. *Like a battery. *We are converting that stored energy into heat energy for the most part. *Energy like matter is never lost but after we're finished, the heat energy contributes to the gradual equilibrium of the energy state in the universe which makes it of no further use to us. *The issue is that we're converting that stored energy at a tremediously faster rate than it was stored. *Years of our use equals millions of years of capture. *So no matter how good we get at finding the hydrocarbons we will eventually use them all up. *Will that happen in 50 years or 500 years is debatable but most people would agree the practical number is somewhere between those two. *Bottom line we really are using up the energy in fossil fuels. As to the co2, we are also raising the co2 level. *That's a fact. *The bydrocarbons were buried in the ground. *We're releasing them and breaking them up and combing the freed carbon with oxygen to produce co2. *Who knows maybe we will be the start of the next cycle that produces new hydrocarbons for some other lifeform to dig up a couple hundred million yeasr from now. *On the short term the consequences might not be so good for us.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Mostly true but we never recover 100% of the original elements and never will. *The 'pie in the sky' types keep pointing to new discoveries as if those "new discoveries' will continue to be made for infinity. Harry K- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - We can recover enough that we don't really have to worry about running out of things like copper and iron.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - You need to be re-cycling it, not recovering it. |
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New study on wind energy
On Jul 20, 9:45*pm, "HeyBub" wrote:
harry wrote: I mis-remembered. There were five (picked by Ehrlich). The wager was $1,000 each. Whatever the differential in price after a decade would go to the winner. chromium, copper, nickel, tin, and tungsten "Between 1980 and 1990, the world's population grew by more than 800 million, the largest increase in one decade in all of history. But by September 1990, without a single exception, the price of each of Ehrlich's selected metals had fallen, and in some cases had dropped significantly. Chromium, which had sold for $3.90 a pound in 1980, was down to $3.70 in 1990. Tin, which was $8.72 a pound in 1980, was down to $3.88 a decade later." Why does costing more make them harder to find? It doesn't. Being harder to find makes them cost more. Price is a convenient metric for scarcity.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Ah,you got it mixedup *:-) Population is the main problem I think. Everything comes back to that. Nature will soon organise a cull. That's what Malthus thought. He was wrong. That's what Ehrlich thought. He, too, was wrong. In fact, EVERYBODY who has EVER predicted that over-population spells our doom has been wrong. By the principle of inductive reasoning, I suggest that you, too, are wrong.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - The cull has already started in Ethiopia. It will spread. Few people/governments seem willing to donate money to alleviate it. (Least of al the USA. Ergo, these people will die. |
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