On 25/01/2021 07:36, David P wrote:
Rod Speed wrote:
NOT one modern first world country is even
self replacing now if you take and immigration
and that true of most of the second world too.

Birth rates are dropping EVERYWHERE, even
in the third world except where the birth rate
is already right down in the noise

India and China, by far the two most populous
countrys in the world, COMBINED arent even self
replacing now, even if you include immigration.

You were saying that 12 years ago, when the population
was 6.8 billion. Now it's 7.8 billion! lol
1804: 1 billion, 1926: 2 billion, 1963: 3 billion,
1974: 4 billion, 1987: 5 billion, 2000: 6 billion,
2012: 7 billion, 2023: 8 billion.

There is simply a lag. Most countries (certaibnly not all) are now well
below self-replacement rate, but it will be many years before the older
generations die off. Therefore most countries are beyond peak birth
rate, but not yet beyond peak population.

Global population is expected to peak in 2070.