"Keema's Nan" wrote in message
news.com...
On 29 Sep 2019, Rod Speed wrote
(in article ):


"Keema's Nan" wrote in message
news.com...
On 29 Sep 2019, Brian Gaff wrote
(in article ):

In your dreams.

Not at all.

Based on the latest polling figures of Con 37% Lab 25% LD 16% Brexit
13%

Even you should have noticed that UKIP got something like 10%
in the polls and didnt manage even a single MP, just the one
refugee from the Torys whose constituency would have re-elected
him even if he had moved to the monster raving loony party.

The new 600 seat parliament (assuming that is adopted)
would have 367 Tories to 157 Labour and 19 LDs.

And when the general election happens, even you will
discover that the numbers are actually nothing like that.

Maybe,

No maybe about it.

but a 30% swing to Labour is just as unlikely

Completely impossible, actually.

and especially so when the LDs are splitting the remain vote.

I doubt too many Labour voters would even consider the LDs.

The Tories could cope easily with a majority of 10-15.

Yes, thats certainly quite possible when a no deal brexit works fine.

But not a 3 digit majority with half the county not wanting to leave the EU.

The old 650 seat parliament would be 386 Tory, 181 Labour and 26 LDs.

Pity about the polls before that particular general election.

I think that the only way that will happen is if most of the
rest stay home on poling day.
The whole point has been missed and as many said at the time,
regardless
of
you position on leave or stay, the referendum was flawed in so many
ways.
No
threshold turn out , no majority based on the actual voters who
turned
out,
then both sides campaigns blatantly lying or over simplifying the
problem
of
leaving
Did nobody foresee what everyone else did here?

You just cant handle the truth.

You wouldnt know what the truth was if it bit you on your lard arse.

Ad hominems so quickly?

Thats not ad hominem, its a statement of fact.

Polls arent anything even remotely like anything like the truth.

If Labour had even a slim chance of getting the most seats, Corbyn
would have fallen over himself to have called an election weeks ago.

Not necessarily if he believes the result would be better if he waited.

If he believes that, then he needs to consider being sectioned.

Not necessarily if he can force no brexit at all given that something
like half the country doesnt want the UK to leave. If he can achieve
that, it would improve his general election prospects.

At least Corbyn knows the truth, although the snowflakes
will continue to believe his lies about why he cant call an
election at the moment however much he wants to.