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Doug Miller Doug Miller is offline
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Default Off Topic: Darwin Award

In article , Morris Dovey wrote:
On 3/3/2010 4:35 PM, Robatoy wrote:

Some scientists speculate that a lightning strike hit the primordial
soup and it sprang to life.... over time...more so for some than
others....nebber mind.. BRAINSSSS


Something to mull over on a quiet evening...

What do you suppose the odds are of a lightning strike producing a
single single DNA (the basis for everything we recognize as being
"alive") molecule from some random glob of "soup"?


Given a long enough period of time, pretty high, I should say. Lightning
strikes the earth approximately 300 million times a year, and the planet is
believed to be some five or six billion years old. Assuming the current rate
is representative, that works out in the neighborhood of 1.5 x 10^17 lightning
strikes since the planet was formed. With that many opportunities, the
probability that even a one in a million billion event will occur *sometime*
is, for all practical purposes, certainty.