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Christopher Tidy Christopher Tidy is offline
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Default O.J. is going to prison

Larry Jaques wrote:
RCM only


On Tue, 07 Oct 2008 02:26:31 +0000, the infamous Christopher Tidy
scrawled the following:


Gunner Asch wrote:



Not really, given that 10% of all criminals commit 80% of all crimes.
That would mean that they commit multiple crimes, no?

Carreer criminals who have murdered, tend to repeat their offenses.
So if one of them gets a dirt nap because of a convition for a
murder..the chances are good he committed others.


That's untrue. Just as an example, read this report:
http://www.sgc.wa.gov/PUBS/Recidivis...ivism_CY04.pdf

In particular, note this part:

"Despite generally held views, the more violent crimes
including manslaughter, murder and robbery, accounted
for the smallest number of offenses and, along with sex
offenses, the lowest recidivism rates (Figures 2 and 3)."



Chris, you've chosen a most northern state. Try looking at the
recidivism rates of southern states like Alabama, Georgia, and
Louisiana. I'll bet you find a whole different ballgame down there.

Or gives us the national rates if you find 'em. That will give you a
whole 'nother picture, I'm sure.


Try this study across 15 states:
http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/abstract/rpr94.htm

"Within 3 years...1.2% of those who had served time for homicide were
arrested for homicide."

I would not regard 1.2% as being a particularly high rate of recidivism.
You can argue that over a longer period of time it might be higher, and
that it's high to the people who get murdered, but compared to rates of
recidivism for other crimes it's very low.

Best wishes,

Chris