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UK diy (uk.d-i-y) For the discussion of all topics related to diy (do-it-yourself) in the UK. All levels of experience and proficency are welcome to join in to ask questions or offer solutions. |
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#1
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Referendum
On 03/05/2011 12:26, Roger Mills wrote:
On 03/05/2011 11:23, John Williamson wrote: I don't see the need to change, myself. The FPTP system has generally been delivering stable government here for a while now. My general philosophy is "If it ain't broke, don't fix it" A good philosophy. But it IS broke! It might deliver 'stable' government but, in a multi-party environment, it delivers MPs *and* governments for which most of the people have NOT voted. That's why we need a change. Which is surely better than MPs and governments for which even more people haven't voted. -- Old Codger e-mail use reply to field What matters in politics is not what happens, but what you can make people believe has happened. [Janet Daley 27/8/2003] |
#2
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On 03/05/2011 21:09, Old Codger wrote:
On 03/05/2011 12:26, Roger Mills wrote: But it IS broke! It might deliver 'stable' government but, in a multi-party environment, it delivers MPs *and* governments for which most of the people have NOT voted. That's why we need a change. Which is surely better than MPs and governments for which even more people haven't voted. Except that that's not true! Under AV, more people *would* have voted for each MP - because[1] they would have to have got more than 50% of the votes. Also, the overall result - whilst not being truly proportional - is more likely to reflect the popular vote. [1] Except under extreme circumstances where everyone expressed only a first preference -- Cheers, Roger ____________ Please reply to Newsgroup. Whilst email address is valid, it is seldom checked. |
#3
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On 03/05/2011 23:32, Roger Mills wrote:
On 03/05/2011 21:09, Old Codger wrote: On 03/05/2011 12:26, Roger Mills wrote: But it IS broke! It might deliver 'stable' government but, in a multi-party environment, it delivers MPs *and* governments for which most of the people have NOT voted. That's why we need a change. Which is surely better than MPs and governments for which even more people haven't voted. Except that that's not true! Under AV, more people *would* have voted for each MP - because[1] they would have to have got more than 50% of the votes. Likely to have been achieved by second, third, fourth and even fifth preference vote, i.e. voted in by folk who really didn't want them. Also, the overall result - whilst not being truly proportional - is more likely to reflect the popular vote. I rather doubt that. [1] Except under extreme circumstances where everyone expressed only a first preference What a good idea. :-) -- Old Codger e-mail use reply to field What matters in politics is not what happens, but what you can make people believe has happened. [Janet Daley 27/8/2003] |
#4
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"Old Codger" wrote in message ... On 03/05/2011 23:32, Roger Mills wrote: On 03/05/2011 21:09, Old Codger wrote: On 03/05/2011 12:26, Roger Mills wrote: But it IS broke! It might deliver 'stable' government but, in a multi-party environment, it delivers MPs *and* governments for which most of the people have NOT voted. That's why we need a change. Which is surely better than MPs and governments for which even more people haven't voted. Except that that's not true! Under AV, more people *would* have voted for each MP - because[1] they would have to have got more than 50% of the votes. Likely to have been achieved by second, third, fourth and even fifth preference vote, i.e. voted in by folk who really didn't want them. Why did they vote for them then? |
#5
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On 04/05/2011 21:22, dennis@home wrote:
Except that that's not true! Under AV, more people *would* have voted for each MP - because[1] they would have to have got more than 50% of the votes. Likely to have been achieved by second, third, fourth and even fifth preference vote, i.e. voted in by folk who really didn't want them. Why did they vote for them then? Does that even matter? Under AV you are asked to rank the candidates in order of preference. First the one you would most like to see as your MP and last the one you would least like to see as your MP. If it comes down to your least favoured candidate then hard cheese but at least you have done all you could to prevent your most despised candidate from being elected and the chances are that the election was concluded before your last preference was counted. -- Roger Chapman |
#6
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Roger Chapman gurgled happily, sounding much
like they were saying: On 04/05/2011 21:22, dennis@home wrote: Except that that's not true! Under AV, more people *would* have voted for each MP - because[1] they would have to have got more than 50% of the votes. Likely to have been achieved by second, third, fourth and even fifth preference vote, i.e. voted in by folk who really didn't want them. Why did they vote for them then? Does that even matter? Under AV you are asked to rank the candidates in order of preference. First the one you would most like to see as your MP and last the one you would least like to see as your MP. No, you aren't. You're asked to list the candidates YOU WISH TO VOTE FOR in order of preference. So - there's five candidates in your constituency. You want to vote (say) LD, but wouldn't object to Tory. There's also an independent who you want to show your support to. Then there's Labour, who you don't want, and the BNP, who you wouldn't **** on if they were on fire. So you might vote for the Indie first (since they're likely to be eliminated early), then LD, then Tory. You don't put any mark against Labour or BNP. If all the candidates you vote for get knocked out, your ballot is discarded, and the 50% threshold shrinks slightly, since it's 50% of the votes left in play. The first round, the BNP get eliminated. Your vote is still for the Indie. The second round, the Indie gets eliminated. Your vote is now LD. The third round, the Tory gets more than 50%. |
#7
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On Thu, 05 May 2011 08:01:26 +0100, Roger Chapman
wrote: On 04/05/2011 21:22, dennis@home wrote: Except that that's not true! Under AV, more people *would* have voted for each MP - because[1] they would have to have got more than 50% of the votes. Likely to have been achieved by second, third, fourth and even fifth preference vote, i.e. voted in by folk who really didn't want them. Why did they vote for them then? Does that even matter? Under AV you are asked to rank the candidates in order of preference. First the one you would most like to see as your MP and last the one you would least like to see as your MP. If it comes down to your least favoured candidate then hard cheese but at least you have done all you could to prevent your most despised candidate from being elected and the chances are that the election was concluded before your last preference was counted. No. It doesn't work like this. You don't have to rank all the candidates. If you don't want them then don't vote for them. -- (\__/) M. (='.'=) Due to the amount of spam posted via googlegroups and (")_(") their inaction to the problem. I am blocking some articles posted from there. If you wish your postings to be seen by everyone you will need use a different method of posting. |
#8
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"Roger Chapman" wrote in message ... On 04/05/2011 21:22, dennis@home wrote: Except that that's not true! Under AV, more people *would* have voted for each MP - because[1] they would have to have got more than 50% of the votes. Likely to have been achieved by second, third, fourth and even fifth preference vote, i.e. voted in by folk who really didn't want them. Why did they vote for them then? Does that even matter? Under AV you are asked to rank the candidates in order of preference. First the one you would most like to see as your MP and last the one you would least like to see as your MP. You are asked to rank your preference, that doesn't mean ranking all of them. Incidentally that is what Australia want to change, the federal election requires you to rank all the candidates. They don't want to get rid of PR just the way its done. If it comes down to your least favoured candidate then hard cheese but at least you have done all you could to prevent your most despised candidate from being elected and the chances are that the election was concluded before your last preference was counted. -- Roger Chapman |
#9
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On 05/05/2011 10:00, Mark wrote:
Why did they vote for them then? Does that even matter? Under AV you are asked to rank the candidates in order of preference. First the one you would most like to see as your MP and last the one you would least like to see as your MP. If it comes down to your least favoured candidate then hard cheese but at least you have done all you could to prevent your most despised candidate from being elected and the chances are that the election was concluded before your last preference was counted. No. It doesn't work like this. You don't have to rank all the candidates. If you don't want them then don't vote for them. Up thread several contributors suggested that most voters would rank them all and it is not a matter of who you really want as your MP but which you would prefer if the choice was narrowed down to two candidates who you might well detest but can still differentiate between. In most of the elections I have voted in I would have happily voted for 'None of the Above' if that had been an available choice. -- Roger Chapman |
#10
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On 05/05/2011 16:46, John Rumm wrote:
Under AV you are asked to rank the candidates in order of preference. First the one you would most like to see as your MP and last the one you would least like to see as your MP. Why would you do that though? If you rank any after the first, then you are just potentially voting for a candidate that you don't want to elect. Better to leave off any ranked candidates at all IMO. That way AV degenerates to FPTP, and you don't lend any legitimacy to a candidate to claim that 50% or more of the electorate voted for them when its probably not true, and the realiy may be that 35% voted *for* them and another 20% disliked them but slightly less than the others. It is not a matter of lending legitimacy to a candidate but of expressing a preference for which candidates get the chance to be your MP. In the last election I put my cross in what I thought was the 'anyone but Gordon' box. Come the next election (if we don't have AV which is looking increasingly likely) I will be looking for the 'anyone but Cameron' box. About the only time there would be some logic in ranking any candidates after your primary choice would be if there were two representing the same party/ideals etc but one was standing as an independent. That is logical only to the committed party supporter. -- Roger Chapman |
#11
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On 05/05/2011 21:53, John Rumm wrote:
On 05/05/2011 17:12, Roger Chapman wrote: It is not a matter of lending legitimacy to a candidate but of expressing a preference for which candidates get the chance to be your MP. In the last election I put my cross in what I thought was the 'anyone but Gordon' box. Come the next election (if we don't have AV which is looking increasingly likely) I will be looking for the 'anyone but Cameron' box. But even with AV you would in effect be doing the same. Sure you might put your first choice as someone else - but it would be in the knowledge that you have also voted for the plausible "anyone but" candidate as an alternative. So when push comes to shove your vote gets counted for the "anyone but" candidate just as it would have under FPTP. In a lot of cases the result would be the same. But the overall arithmetic is likely to be different because people who really prefer the traditionally less popular parties would actually vote for them rather than (or maybe as well as) 'against' someone else. In some cases the 'less popular' parties might even find that they are popular enough to win. Under FPTP, it comes down to voter confidence - "does my preferred party have any chance, or do I need to vote for someone else in order to keep someone even less desirable out?". AV removes that dilemma, and gives a truer picture of voters' real wishes. -- Cheers, Roger ____________ Please reply to Newsgroup. Whilst email address is valid, it is seldom checked. |
#12
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Roger Chapman gurgled happily, sounding much
like they were saying: It is not a matter of lending legitimacy to a candidate but of expressing a preference for which candidates get the chance to be your MP. In the last election I put my cross in what I thought was the 'anyone but Gordon' box. Come the next election (if we don't have AV which is looking increasingly likely) I will be looking for the 'anyone but Cameron' box. There can't be many people who'll move from Kirkcaldy to Witney during the duration of this parliament. |
#13
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[slight deviation]
I was explaining AV to my 7 year old daughter using the cafe vs pub example of AV that's on that video that's been going around... She seemed to follow the argument - but came out with quite a good one at the end: "Daddy: everyone should have voted for the pubs as pubs sell coffee"... Sounded like an endorsment of the last Labour governemnt to me :-o -- Tim Watts |
#14
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On Thu, 05 May 2011 16:54:28 +0100, Roger Chapman
wrote: On 05/05/2011 10:00, Mark wrote: Why did they vote for them then? Does that even matter? Under AV you are asked to rank the candidates in order of preference. First the one you would most like to see as your MP and last the one you would least like to see as your MP. If it comes down to your least favoured candidate then hard cheese but at least you have done all you could to prevent your most despised candidate from being elected and the chances are that the election was concluded before your last preference was counted. No. It doesn't work like this. You don't have to rank all the candidates. If you don't want them then don't vote for them. Up thread several contributors suggested that most voters would rank them all Iff they are told to do so. If voters are properly educated then they would realise that they have the choice. and it is not a matter of who you really want as your MP but which you would prefer if the choice was narrowed down to two candidates who you might well detest but can still differentiate between. In most of the elections I have voted in I would have happily voted for 'None of the Above' if that had been an available choice. With AV one of the options could be "No candidate". I have voted in AV elections with this option. -- (\__/) M. (='.'=) Due to the amount of spam posted via googlegroups and (")_(") their inaction to the problem. I am blocking some articles posted from there. If you wish your postings to be seen by everyone you will need use a different method of posting. |
#15
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On Fri, 06 May 2011 01:02:19 +0100, John Rumm
wrote: On 05/05/2011 22:33, Roger Mills wrote: On 05/05/2011 21:53, John Rumm wrote: On 05/05/2011 17:12, Roger Chapman wrote: It is not a matter of lending legitimacy to a candidate but of expressing a preference for which candidates get the chance to be your MP. In the last election I put my cross in what I thought was the 'anyone but Gordon' box. Come the next election (if we don't have AV which is looking increasingly likely) I will be looking for the 'anyone but Cameron' box. But even with AV you would in effect be doing the same. Sure you might put your first choice as someone else - but it would be in the knowledge that you have also voted for the plausible "anyone but" candidate as an alternative. So when push comes to shove your vote gets counted for the "anyone but" candidate just as it would have under FPTP. In a lot of cases the result would be the same. But the overall arithmetic is likely to be different because people who really prefer the traditionally less popular parties would actually vote for them rather than (or maybe as well as) 'against' someone else. In some cases the 'less popular' parties might even find that they are popular enough to win. Under FPTP, it comes down to voter confidence - "does my preferred party have any chance, or do I need to vote for someone else in order to keep someone even less desirable out?". AV removes that dilemma, and gives a truer picture of voters' real wishes. Well let's say it does... the minority parties get a few more votes before being eliminated from the competition and the traditional FPTP strategic vote (now framed as a second choice) kicks in and achieves the previous result. Is that actually of much benefit? It would enable us to see who people really want to elect by counting the first preferences. The result would be very interesting IMHO. Do you really see the BNP or Greens who normally poll in the early 1 and 2 k votes suddenly overturning a Con or Lab poll of 20K just because of AV? Personally I don't. It seems to me that it will only make a difference where you have multiple candidates of one political hue, or where there is a tie going on for second place between (usually) Lab and LD or Con and LD. You're right that the second preference votes of minority parties would not make any difference. The real difference could happen in seats where there is more than one popular candidate. For LD supporters I can see the attraction, but whether it will get them more seats is a different matter. It could equally benefit other parties where Tory or Labour is normally second or third place. -- (\__/) M. (='.'=) Due to the amount of spam posted via googlegroups and (")_(") their inaction to the problem. I am blocking some articles posted from there. If you wish your postings to be seen by everyone you will need use a different method of posting. |
#16
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On 06/05/2011 01:02, John Rumm wrote:
On 05/05/2011 22:33, Roger Mills wrote: AV removes that dilemma, and gives a truer picture of voters' real wishes. Well let's say it does... the minority parties get a few more votes before being eliminated from the competition and the traditional FPTP strategic vote (now framed as a second choice) kicks in and achieves the previous result. Is that actually of much benefit? Well yes, in that it demonstrates that the 'winner' has support from a wider audience than just first choice voters. There's no way of knowing that under FPTP. And it may *not* achieve the previous result. If it's neck and neck between two main contenders, the second choice votes may well tip the balance. Do you really see the BNP or Greens who normally poll in the early 1 and 2 k votes suddenly overturning a Con or Lab poll of 20K just because of AV? Personally I don't. It seems to me that it will only make a difference where you have multiple candidates of one political hue, or where there is a tie going on for second place between (usually) Lab and LD or Con and LD. As I've said before, it comes down to voter confidence, and the wish not to waste their vote. Since you mention the Greens, we should remember that they already have *one* MP despite the FPTP system, and may do considerably better under AV. I can't see the BNP getting any more seats under AV than they do under FPTP - but would it be a total disaster if they did? However distasteful their views, they have *some* support - albeit too scattered to win seats. [They'd probably get some under a PR system]. For LD supporters I can see the attraction, but whether it will get them more seats is a different matter. I think that, under normal circumstances[1], it would. I also think that UKIP - whom few people have mentioned - would also pick up some seats, which would probably be a good thing because none of the other parties are prepared to engage in a debate about Europe. [1] when they're not being the whipping boy for the 'evils' of the coalition -- Cheers, Roger ____________ Please reply to Newsgroup. Whilst email address is valid, it is seldom checked. |
#17
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On 06/05/2011 15:18, John Rumm wrote:
On 06/05/2011 14:56, Roger Mills wrote: As I've said before, it comes down to voter confidence, and the wish not to waste their vote. Since you mention the Greens, we should remember that they already have *one* MP despite the FPTP system, and may do considerably better under AV. Which is another downside to AV IMO ;-) Are you saying that, in effect, all the seats should be whacked up between the two main parties, with nobody else getting a look in, despite the significant - albeit scattered - support for other parties? If so, and if you are a loyal supporter of one of the big parties, and believe that being in opposition for 50% of the time is necessary in order to ensure that one or other party always has a working majority, then FPTP obviously suits you down to the ground - because that's what it delivers. If, on the other hand, you believe that other shades of opinion deserve to be heard, and that the country should be governed on a more consensual basis, you would probably favour a different electoral system, more likely to deliver that. I'm not sure that AV would be my first choice as an alternative to FPTP, but it's all we were offered - and is likely to go *some* way towards electing a broader range of candidates. Sadly, if the opinion polls are be believed, we won't get the opportunity to put AV to the test! -- Cheers, Roger ____________ Please reply to Newsgroup. Whilst email address is valid, it is seldom checked. |
#18
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On 04/05/2011 21:22, dennis@home wrote:
"Old Codger" wrote in message ... On 03/05/2011 23:32, Roger Mills wrote: On 03/05/2011 21:09, Old Codger wrote: On 03/05/2011 12:26, Roger Mills wrote: But it IS broke! It might deliver 'stable' government but, in a multi-party environment, it delivers MPs *and* governments for which most of the people have NOT voted. That's why we need a change. Which is surely better than MPs and governments for which even more people haven't voted. Except that that's not true! Under AV, more people *would* have voted for each MP - because[1] they would have to have got more than 50% of the votes. Likely to have been achieved by second, third, fourth and even fifth preference vote, i.e. voted in by folk who really didn't want them. Why did they vote for them then? All the propaganda has emphasised ranking *all* the candidates so there will be many folk who will believe that is what they have to do even for those they do not want elected. -- Old Codger e-mail use reply to field What matters in politics is not what happens, but what you can make people believe has happened. [Janet Daley 27/8/2003] |
#19
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On 05/05/2011 10:00, Mark wrote:
On Thu, 05 May 2011 08:01:26 +0100, Roger Chapman wrote: On 04/05/2011 21:22, dennis@home wrote: Except that that's not true! Under AV, more people *would* have voted for each MP - because[1] they would have to have got more than 50% of the votes. Likely to have been achieved by second, third, fourth and even fifth preference vote, i.e. voted in by folk who really didn't want them. Why did they vote for them then? Does that even matter? Under AV you are asked to rank the candidates in order of preference. First the one you would most like to see as your MP and last the one you would least like to see as your MP. If it comes down to your least favoured candidate then hard cheese but at least you have done all you could to prevent your most despised candidate from being elected and the chances are that the election was concluded before your last preference was counted. No. It doesn't work like this. You don't have to rank all the candidates. If you don't want them then don't vote for them. But all the propaganda has emphasised ranking *all* candidates. *If* the voting instructions were to say: "Put 1 against the candidate you want elected. If there are other candidates you are prepared to see elected you may rank these in order, 2, 3, etc. However, do not vote for more than one candidate unless you are prepared to any of these additional candidates elected" then you would be right. However, given that this is all for the benefit of the Liberals and given that they expect it to give them an electoral advantage I can't see them accepting any wording that does not strongly suggest that all candidates should be ranked. There will be words saying you don't have to but they will be the small print. Many folk will therefore rank all the candidates and the winner will claim over 50% support, even if that is only 25% of the electorate. Fortunately it looks as though we will not be lumbered with AV after all. -- Old Codger e-mail use reply to field What matters in politics is not what happens, but what you can make people believe has happened. [Janet Daley 27/8/2003] |
#20
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On 06/05/2011 08:59, Mark wrote:
On Thu, 05 May 2011 16:54:28 +0100, Roger Chapman wrote: On 05/05/2011 10:00, Mark wrote: Why did they vote for them then? Does that even matter? Under AV you are asked to rank the candidates in order of preference. First the one you would most like to see as your MP and last the one you would least like to see as your MP. If it comes down to your least favoured candidate then hard cheese but at least you have done all you could to prevent your most despised candidate from being elected and the chances are that the election was concluded before your last preference was counted. No. It doesn't work like this. You don't have to rank all the candidates. If you don't want them then don't vote for them. Up thread several contributors suggested that most voters would rank them all Iff they are told to do so. If voters are properly educated then they would realise that they have the choice. Agreed, but as I have said earlier that is most unlikely to happen. and it is not a matter of who you really want as your MP but which you would prefer if the choice was narrowed down to two candidates who you might well detest but can still differentiate between. In most of the elections I have voted in I would have happily voted for 'None of the Above' if that had been an available choice. With AV one of the options could be "No candidate". I have voted in AV elections with this option. Won't get that choice here I doubt. -- Old Codger e-mail use reply to field What matters in politics is not what happens, but what you can make people believe has happened. [Janet Daley 27/8/2003] |
#21
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On 05/05/2011 17:12, Roger Chapman wrote:
On 05/05/2011 16:46, John Rumm wrote: Under AV you are asked to rank the candidates in order of preference. First the one you would most like to see as your MP and last the one you would least like to see as your MP. Why would you do that though? If you rank any after the first, then you are just potentially voting for a candidate that you don't want to elect. Better to leave off any ranked candidates at all IMO. That way AV degenerates to FPTP, and you don't lend any legitimacy to a candidate to claim that 50% or more of the electorate voted for them when its probably not true, and the realiy may be that 35% voted *for* them and another 20% disliked them but slightly less than the others. It is not a matter of lending legitimacy to a candidate but of expressing a preference for which candidates get the chance to be your MP. In the last election I put my cross in what I thought was the 'anyone but Gordon' box. Come the next election (if we don't have AV which is looking increasingly likely) I will be looking for the 'anyone but Cameron' box. I don't think you will be the only one. About the only time there would be some logic in ranking any candidates after your primary choice would be if there were two representing the same party/ideals etc but one was standing as an independent. That is logical only to the committed party supporter. -- Old Codger e-mail use reply to field What matters in politics is not what happens, but what you can make people believe has happened. [Janet Daley 27/8/2003] |
#22
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In message , Old Codger
writes On 06/05/2011 08:59, Mark wrote: On Thu, 05 May 2011 16:54:28 +0100, Roger Chapman wrote: On 05/05/2011 10:00, Mark wrote: Why did they vote for them then? Does that even matter? Under AV you are asked to rank the candidates in order of preference. First the one you would most like to see as your MP and last the one you would least like to see as your MP. If it comes down to your least favoured candidate then hard cheese but at least you have done all you could to prevent your most despised candidate from being elected and the chances are that the election was concluded before your last preference was counted. No. It doesn't work like this. You don't have to rank all the candidates. If you don't want them then don't vote for them. Up thread several contributors suggested that most voters would rank them all Iff they are told to do so. If voters are properly educated then they would realise that they have the choice. Agreed, but as I have said earlier that is most unlikely to happen. and it is not a matter of who you really want as your MP but which you would prefer if the choice was narrowed down to two candidates who you might well detest but can still differentiate between. In most of the elections I have voted in I would have happily voted for 'None of the Above' if that had been an available choice. With AV one of the options could be "No candidate". I have voted in AV elections with this option. Won't get that choice here I doubt. Well what would happen if that choice was the winner by over 50%? -- hugh "Believe nothing. No matter where you read it, Or who said it, Even if I have said it, Unless it agrees with your own reason And your own common sense." Buddha |
#23
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On 06/05/2011 22:46, hugh wrote:
In message , Old Codger writes On 06/05/2011 08:59, Mark wrote: With AV one of the options could be "No candidate". I have voted in AV elections with this option. Won't get that choice here I doubt. Well what would happen if that choice was the winner by over 50%? Hopefully, we'd save the cost of an MP! -- Cheers, Roger ____________ Please reply to Newsgroup. Whilst email address is valid, it is seldom checked. |
#24
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Referendum
On 06/05/2011 22:46, hugh wrote:
In message , Old Codger writes On 06/05/2011 08:59, Mark wrote: On Thu, 05 May 2011 16:54:28 +0100, Roger Chapman wrote: On 05/05/2011 10:00, Mark wrote: Why did they vote for them then? Does that even matter? Under AV you are asked to rank the candidates in order of preference. First the one you would most like to see as your MP and last the one you would least like to see as your MP. If it comes down to your least favoured candidate then hard cheese but at least you have done all you could to prevent your most despised candidate from being elected and the chances are that the election was concluded before your last preference was counted. No. It doesn't work like this. You don't have to rank all the candidates. If you don't want them then don't vote for them. Up thread several contributors suggested that most voters would rank them all Iff they are told to do so. If voters are properly educated then they would realise that they have the choice. Agreed, but as I have said earlier that is most unlikely to happen. and it is not a matter of who you really want as your MP but which you would prefer if the choice was narrowed down to two candidates who you might well detest but can still differentiate between. In most of the elections I have voted in I would have happily voted for 'None of the Above' if that had been an available choice. With AV one of the options could be "No candidate". I have voted in AV elections with this option. Won't get that choice here I doubt. Well what would happen if that choice was the winner by over 50%? A new election with different candidates? We can all live in cloud cuckoo land. :-) -- Old Codger e-mail use reply to field What matters in politics is not what happens, but what you can make people believe has happened. [Janet Daley 27/8/2003] |
#25
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Referendum
On Fri, 06 May 2011 21:16:06 +0100, Old Codger
wrote: On 05/05/2011 10:00, Mark wrote: On Thu, 05 May 2011 08:01:26 +0100, Roger Chapman wrote: On 04/05/2011 21:22, dennis@home wrote: Except that that's not true! Under AV, more people *would* have voted for each MP - because[1] they would have to have got more than 50% of the votes. Likely to have been achieved by second, third, fourth and even fifth preference vote, i.e. voted in by folk who really didn't want them. Why did they vote for them then? Does that even matter? Under AV you are asked to rank the candidates in order of preference. First the one you would most like to see as your MP and last the one you would least like to see as your MP. If it comes down to your least favoured candidate then hard cheese but at least you have done all you could to prevent your most despised candidate from being elected and the chances are that the election was concluded before your last preference was counted. No. It doesn't work like this. You don't have to rank all the candidates. If you don't want them then don't vote for them. But all the propaganda has emphasised ranking *all* candidates. Only the "No" campaign propaganda implied this and that was a calculated strawman to put people off AV. Fortunately it looks as though we will not be lumbered with AV after all. Unfortunately we will be lumbered with FPTP still. -- (\__/) M. (='.'=) Due to the amount of spam posted via googlegroups and (")_(") their inaction to the problem. I am blocking some articles posted from there. If you wish your postings to be seen by everyone you will need use a different method of posting. |
#26
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Referendum
On Fri, 06 May 2011 21:19:04 +0100, Old Codger
wrote: On 05/05/2011 17:12, Roger Chapman wrote: On 05/05/2011 16:46, John Rumm wrote: Under AV you are asked to rank the candidates in order of preference. First the one you would most like to see as your MP and last the one you would least like to see as your MP. Why would you do that though? If you rank any after the first, then you are just potentially voting for a candidate that you don't want to elect. Better to leave off any ranked candidates at all IMO. That way AV degenerates to FPTP, and you don't lend any legitimacy to a candidate to claim that 50% or more of the electorate voted for them when its probably not true, and the realiy may be that 35% voted *for* them and another 20% disliked them but slightly less than the others. It is not a matter of lending legitimacy to a candidate but of expressing a preference for which candidates get the chance to be your MP. In the last election I put my cross in what I thought was the 'anyone but Gordon' box. Come the next election (if we don't have AV which is looking increasingly likely) I will be looking for the 'anyone but Cameron' box. I don't think you will be the only one. And we will get another disastrous Labour government as a result. -- (\__/) M. (='.'=) Due to the amount of spam posted via googlegroups and (")_(") their inaction to the problem. I am blocking some articles posted from there. If you wish your postings to be seen by everyone you will need use a different method of posting. |
#27
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Referendum
On 09/05/2011 09:48, Mark wrote:
On Fri, 06 May 2011 21:16:06 +0100, Old wrote: On 05/05/2011 10:00, Mark wrote: On Thu, 05 May 2011 08:01:26 +0100, Roger Chapman wrote: On 04/05/2011 21:22, dennis@home wrote: Except that that's not true! Under AV, more people *would* have voted for each MP - because[1] they would have to have got more than 50% of the votes. Likely to have been achieved by second, third, fourth and even fifth preference vote, i.e. voted in by folk who really didn't want them. Why did they vote for them then? Does that even matter? Under AV you are asked to rank the candidates in order of preference. First the one you would most like to see as your MP and last the one you would least like to see as your MP. If it comes down to your least favoured candidate then hard cheese but at least you have done all you could to prevent your most despised candidate from being elected and the chances are that the election was concluded before your last preference was counted. No. It doesn't work like this. You don't have to rank all the candidates. If you don't want them then don't vote for them. But all the propaganda has emphasised ranking *all* candidates. Only the "No" campaign propaganda implied this Really? I could have sworn that both campaigns implied it. and that was a calculated strawman to put people off AV. Fortunately it looks as though we will not be lumbered with AV after all. Unfortunately we will be lumbered with FPTP still. Good. -- Old Codger e-mail use reply to field What matters in politics is not what happens, but what you can make people believe has happened. [Janet Daley 27/8/2003] |
#28
Posted to uk.d-i-y
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Referendum
On 09/05/2011 09:50, Mark wrote:
On Fri, 06 May 2011 21:19:04 +0100, Old wrote: On 05/05/2011 17:12, Roger Chapman wrote: On 05/05/2011 16:46, John Rumm wrote: Under AV you are asked to rank the candidates in order of preference. First the one you would most like to see as your MP and last the one you would least like to see as your MP. Why would you do that though? If you rank any after the first, then you are just potentially voting for a candidate that you don't want to elect. Better to leave off any ranked candidates at all IMO. That way AV degenerates to FPTP, and you don't lend any legitimacy to a candidate to claim that 50% or more of the electorate voted for them when its probably not true, and the realiy may be that 35% voted *for* them and another 20% disliked them but slightly less than the others. It is not a matter of lending legitimacy to a candidate but of expressing a preference for which candidates get the chance to be your MP. In the last election I put my cross in what I thought was the 'anyone but Gordon' box. Come the next election (if we don't have AV which is looking increasingly likely) I will be looking for the 'anyone but Cameron' box. I don't think you will be the only one. And we will get another disastrous Labour government as a result. Oh dear, what a shame, never mind. -- Old Codger e-mail use reply to field What matters in politics is not what happens, but what you can make people believe has happened. [Janet Daley 27/8/2003] |
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