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Metalworking (rec.crafts.metalworking) Discuss various aspects of working with metal, such as machining, welding, metal joining, screwing, casting, hardening/tempering, blacksmithing/forging, spinning and hammer work, sheet metal work. |
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#1
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Now isnt this ..special...
On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:19:28 -0700, Gunner Asch
wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:14:59 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Fri, 25 Sep 2015 15:28:23 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: snip So what do you learned folks suggest I do? Start trying to sell off machinery/boats in a floundering economy? Hitchhike out of town in the dark of night? Stand on a street corner with a sign begging for cash? Im absolutely, positivly stumped as to what to do. ================= This is the U. S. economy for the large majority in a nutshell. We have run down/worn out the available stocks, which took generations to accumulate, and now must replace these, when our health, age and earning potential are rapidly deteriorating. What is the minimum vehicle you need? Some of the suggestions in the other postings seem to have merit. Is some sort of barter practical, where you can directly swap some of your less useful assets [to you] for a running vehicle, thus avoiding "selling" into a down market? 4 wheels, capable of carrying me and 500 lbs of tools, unbroken glass and reliable. Thats all I need. Shrug. It is clear, to me at least, that regardless of the hallucinogenic market euphoria, "cooked" data, and Potemkin villages https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Potemkin_village , we are in increasingly serious socioeconomic difficulties, where the informal economy and small group mutual support are increasingly the keys to a tolerable existence for the majority. Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. -- cheers, John B. |
#2
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Now isnt this ..special...
On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 07:07:42 +0700, John B.
wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:19:28 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:14:59 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Fri, 25 Sep 2015 15:28:23 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: snip So what do you learned folks suggest I do? Start trying to sell off machinery/boats in a floundering economy? Hitchhike out of town in the dark of night? Stand on a street corner with a sign begging for cash? Im absolutely, positivly stumped as to what to do. ================= This is the U. S. economy for the large majority in a nutshell. We have run down/worn out the available stocks, which took generations to accumulate, and now must replace these, when our health, age and earning potential are rapidly deteriorating. What is the minimum vehicle you need? Some of the suggestions in the other postings seem to have merit. Is some sort of barter practical, where you can directly swap some of your less useful assets [to you] for a running vehicle, thus avoiding "selling" into a down market? 4 wheels, capable of carrying me and 500 lbs of tools, unbroken glass and reliable. Thats all I need. Shrug. It is clear, to me at least, that regardless of the hallucinogenic market euphoria, "cooked" data, and Potemkin villages https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Potemkin_village , we are in increasingly serious socioeconomic difficulties, where the informal economy and small group mutual support are increasingly the keys to a tolerable existence for the majority. Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Gunner has a very long wait ahead of him. It will come right after the Great Cull... He has no clue about what causes currencies to rise or fall. -- Ed Huntress |
#3
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Now isnt this ..special...
On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 07:07:42 +0700, John B.
wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:19:28 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:14:59 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Fri, 25 Sep 2015 15:28:23 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: snip So what do you learned folks suggest I do? Start trying to sell off machinery/boats in a floundering economy? Hitchhike out of town in the dark of night? Stand on a street corner with a sign begging for cash? Im absolutely, positivly stumped as to what to do. ================= This is the U. S. economy for the large majority in a nutshell. We have run down/worn out the available stocks, which took generations to accumulate, and now must replace these, when our health, age and earning potential are rapidly deteriorating. What is the minimum vehicle you need? Some of the suggestions in the other postings seem to have merit. Is some sort of barter practical, where you can directly swap some of your less useful assets [to you] for a running vehicle, thus avoiding "selling" into a down market? 4 wheels, capable of carrying me and 500 lbs of tools, unbroken glass and reliable. Thats all I need. Shrug. It is clear, to me at least, that regardless of the hallucinogenic market euphoria, "cooked" data, and Potemkin villages https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Potemkin_village , we are in increasingly serious socioeconomic difficulties, where the informal economy and small group mutual support are increasingly the keys to a tolerable existence for the majority. Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Really? Against what? Canada? http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/cana...ding-1.3241702 Austrailia? http://www.theguardian.com/business/...mic-turbulence England? http://www.poundsterlingforecast.com/2015/09/09/ Euro? http://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/eur...2015/09/25/02/ The dollar is falling..but the europeans are falling faster...so yes..the dollar looks better than they do. Means after all jumped out the window..the US will be the last to smash into the ground. But smash into the ground it will. GUnner |
#4
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Now isnt this ..special...
On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 20:54:38 -0400, Ed Huntress
wrote: snip Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Gunner has a very long wait ahead of him. It will come right after the Great Cull... He has no clue about what causes currencies to rise or fall. Indeed, but then again neither does anybody else, except at the limits. It should be remembered these are relative values of one fiat currency to another, and it is entirely possible for one currency to appear to appreciate if it declines less in "real value" than the comparison currencies. FX would appear to be a specific area ripe for tax reform, by imposing a moderate transaction/Tobin tax, high enough to eliminate most short-term speculative profits (which appear to be the large majority of volume and major source of volatility) but low enough to not significantly effect legitimate trade based currency exchanges. -- Unka' George "Gold is the money of kings, silver is the money of gentlemen, barter is the money of peasants, but debt is the money of slaves" -Norm Franz, "Money and Wealth in the New Millenium" |
#5
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Now isnt this ..special...
On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 20:54:38 -0400, Ed Huntress
wrote: On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 07:07:42 +0700, John B. wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:19:28 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:14:59 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Fri, 25 Sep 2015 15:28:23 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: snip So what do you learned folks suggest I do? Start trying to sell off machinery/boats in a floundering economy? Hitchhike out of town in the dark of night? Stand on a street corner with a sign begging for cash? Im absolutely, positivly stumped as to what to do. ================= This is the U. S. economy for the large majority in a nutshell. We have run down/worn out the available stocks, which took generations to accumulate, and now must replace these, when our health, age and earning potential are rapidly deteriorating. What is the minimum vehicle you need? Some of the suggestions in the other postings seem to have merit. Is some sort of barter practical, where you can directly swap some of your less useful assets [to you] for a running vehicle, thus avoiding "selling" into a down market? 4 wheels, capable of carrying me and 500 lbs of tools, unbroken glass and reliable. Thats all I need. Shrug. It is clear, to me at least, that regardless of the hallucinogenic market euphoria, "cooked" data, and Potemkin villages https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Potemkin_village , we are in increasingly serious socioeconomic difficulties, where the informal economy and small group mutual support are increasingly the keys to a tolerable existence for the majority. Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Gunner has a very long wait ahead of him. It will come right after the Great Cull... He has no clue about what causes currencies to rise or fall. Gunner has written that he has something like $150 in his savings account. In 1922 the German currency could be said to have collapsed. From early 1922 until late in the same year the value of the "Paper Mark" versus the "Gold Mark" went from approximately 9.000 to one to 100,000,000,000 to one. Comes the crash Gunner's estate is going to be worth 0.000135 cents. -- cheers, John B. |
#6
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Now isnt this ..special...
On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 18:42:13 -0700, Gunner Asch
wrote: On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 07:07:42 +0700, John B. wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:19:28 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:14:59 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Fri, 25 Sep 2015 15:28:23 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: snip So what do you learned folks suggest I do? Start trying to sell off machinery/boats in a floundering economy? Hitchhike out of town in the dark of night? Stand on a street corner with a sign begging for cash? Im absolutely, positivly stumped as to what to do. ================= This is the U. S. economy for the large majority in a nutshell. We have run down/worn out the available stocks, which took generations to accumulate, and now must replace these, when our health, age and earning potential are rapidly deteriorating. What is the minimum vehicle you need? Some of the suggestions in the other postings seem to have merit. Is some sort of barter practical, where you can directly swap some of your less useful assets [to you] for a running vehicle, thus avoiding "selling" into a down market? 4 wheels, capable of carrying me and 500 lbs of tools, unbroken glass and reliable. Thats all I need. Shrug. It is clear, to me at least, that regardless of the hallucinogenic market euphoria, "cooked" data, and Potemkin villages https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Potemkin_village , we are in increasingly serious socioeconomic difficulties, where the informal economy and small group mutual support are increasingly the keys to a tolerable existence for the majority. Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Really? Against what? Canada? http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/cana...ding-1.3241702 Austrailia? http://www.theguardian.com/business/...mic-turbulence England? http://www.poundsterlingforecast.com/2015/09/09/ Euro? http://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/eur...2015/09/25/02/ The dollar is falling..but the europeans are falling faster...so yes..the dollar looks better than they do. Means after all jumped out the window..the US will be the last to smash into the ground. But smash into the ground it will. GUnner Err... You quote the falling value of a number of currencies. Falling against what? the U.S. dollar? Or to put it anther way, the U.S. dollar is stronger against the Canadian, Australian, whatever, currency. -- cheers, John B. |
#7
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Now isnt this ..special...
On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 21:05:26 -0500, F. George McDuffee
wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 20:54:38 -0400, Ed Huntress wrote: snip Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Gunner has a very long wait ahead of him. It will come right after the Great Cull... He has no clue about what causes currencies to rise or fall. Indeed, but then again neither does anybody else, except at the limits. It should be remembered these are relative values of one fiat currency to another, and it is entirely possible for one currency to appear to appreciate if it declines less in "real value" than the comparison currencies. But given that the intrinsic value of a one dollar note is about US 4.9 cents at the moment and other paper currencies will be similar how else can the "value" of a currency be established, other than by what it will buy? FX would appear to be a specific area ripe for tax reform, by imposing a moderate transaction/Tobin tax, high enough to eliminate most short-term speculative profits (which appear to be the large majority of volume and major source of volatility) but low enough to not significantly effect legitimate trade based currency exchanges. -- cheers, John B. |
#8
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Now isnt this ..special...
"John B." wrote in message
... On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 20:54:38 -0400, Ed Huntress wrote: On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 07:07:42 +0700, John B. wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:19:28 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:14:59 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Fri, 25 Sep 2015 15:28:23 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: snip So what do you learned folks suggest I do? Start trying to sell off machinery/boats in a floundering economy? Hitchhike out of town in the dark of night? Stand on a street corner with a sign begging for cash? Im absolutely, positivly stumped as to what to do. ================= This is the U. S. economy for the large majority in a nutshell. We have run down/worn out the available stocks, which took generations to accumulate, and now must replace these, when our health, age and earning potential are rapidly deteriorating. What is the minimum vehicle you need? Some of the suggestions in the other postings seem to have merit. Is some sort of barter practical, where you can directly swap some of your less useful assets [to you] for a running vehicle, thus avoiding "selling" into a down market? 4 wheels, capable of carrying me and 500 lbs of tools, unbroken glass and reliable. Thats all I need. Shrug. It is clear, to me at least, that regardless of the hallucinogenic market euphoria, "cooked" data, and Potemkin villages https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Potemkin_village , we are in increasingly serious socioeconomic difficulties, where the informal economy and small group mutual support are increasingly the keys to a tolerable existence for the majority. Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Gunner has a very long wait ahead of him. It will come right after the Great Cull... He has no clue about what causes currencies to rise or fall. Gunner has written that he has something like $150 in his savings account. In 1922 the German currency could be said to have collapsed. From early 1922 until late in the same year the value of the "Paper Mark" versus the "Gold Mark" went from approximately 9.000 to one to 100,000,000,000 to one. Comes the crash Gunner's estate is going to be worth 0.000135 cents. -- cheers, John B. Post-WW1 Germany was a unique case, they lost an expensive war and were additionally burdened with punitive reparations. Brazil may be a better model of self-inflicted injury. http://www.tradingeconomics.com/brazil/inflation-cpi -jsw |
#9
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Now isnt this ..special...
"John B." wrote in message
... On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 21:05:26 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 20:54:38 -0400, Ed Huntress wrote: snip Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Gunner has a very long wait ahead of him. It will come right after the Great Cull... He has no clue about what causes currencies to rise or fall. Indeed, but then again neither does anybody else, except at the limits. It should be remembered these are relative values of one fiat currency to another, and it is entirely possible for one currency to appear to appreciate if it declines less in "real value" than the comparison currencies. But given that the intrinsic value of a one dollar note is about US 4.9 cents at the moment and other paper currencies will be similar how else can the "value" of a currency be established, other than by what it will buy? FX would appear to be a specific area ripe for tax reform, by imposing a moderate transaction/Tobin tax, high enough to eliminate most short-term speculative profits (which appear to be the large majority of volume and major source of volatility) but low enough to not significantly effect legitimate trade based currency exchanges. -- cheers, John B. A very good baseline is the price of gold and oil. Their relative values have oscillated around 2.5 grams of gold to one barrel of oil since WW2. http://pricedingold.com/crude-oil/ -jsw |
#10
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Now isnt this ..special...
On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 08:50:33 -0400, "Jim Wilkins"
wrote: "John B." wrote in message .. . On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 21:05:26 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 20:54:38 -0400, Ed Huntress wrote: snip Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Gunner has a very long wait ahead of him. It will come right after the Great Cull... He has no clue about what causes currencies to rise or fall. Indeed, but then again neither does anybody else, except at the limits. It should be remembered these are relative values of one fiat currency to another, and it is entirely possible for one currency to appear to appreciate if it declines less in "real value" than the comparison currencies. But given that the intrinsic value of a one dollar note is about US 4.9 cents at the moment and other paper currencies will be similar how else can the "value" of a currency be established, other than by what it will buy? FX would appear to be a specific area ripe for tax reform, by imposing a moderate transaction/Tobin tax, high enough to eliminate most short-term speculative profits (which appear to be the large majority of volume and major source of volatility) but low enough to not significantly effect legitimate trade based currency exchanges. -- cheers, John B. A very good baseline is the price of gold and oil. Their relative values have oscillated around 2.5 grams of gold to one barrel of oil since WW2. http://pricedingold.com/crude-oil/ -jsw But what does that relationship have to do with currency? Nothing. What John said is roughly it. The Chicken Littles never stop. When they get themselves all wound up, as in this thread, all it tells you is that they're looking for excuses for their own failures. -- Ed Huntress |
#11
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Now isnt this ..special...
"Ed Huntress" wrote in message
... On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 08:50:33 -0400, "Jim Wilkins" wrote: "John B." wrote in message . .. On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 21:05:26 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 20:54:38 -0400, Ed Huntress wrote: snip Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Gunner has a very long wait ahead of him. It will come right after the Great Cull... He has no clue about what causes currencies to rise or fall. Indeed, but then again neither does anybody else, except at the limits. It should be remembered these are relative values of one fiat currency to another, and it is entirely possible for one currency to appear to appreciate if it declines less in "real value" than the comparison currencies. But given that the intrinsic value of a one dollar note is about US 4.9 cents at the moment and other paper currencies will be similar how else can the "value" of a currency be established, other than by what it will buy? FX would appear to be a specific area ripe for tax reform, by imposing a moderate transaction/Tobin tax, high enough to eliminate most short-term speculative profits (which appear to be the large majority of volume and major source of volatility) but low enough to not significantly effect legitimate trade based currency exchanges. -- cheers, John B. A very good baseline is the price of gold and oil. Their relative values have oscillated around 2.5 grams of gold to one barrel of oil since WW2. http://pricedingold.com/crude-oil/ -jsw But what does that relationship have to do with currency? Nothing. What John said is roughly it. The Chicken Littles never stop. When they get themselves all wound up, as in this thread, all it tells you is that they're looking for excuses for their own failures. -- Ed Huntress Chicken Little is preoccupied that the sky is falling (AGW), based on much flimsier evidence than we have for the risk of overspending. |
#12
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Now isnt this ..special...
On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 13:58:23 -0400, "Jim Wilkins"
wrote: "Ed Huntress" wrote in message .. . On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 08:50:33 -0400, "Jim Wilkins" wrote: "John B." wrote in message ... On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 21:05:26 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 20:54:38 -0400, Ed Huntress wrote: snip Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Gunner has a very long wait ahead of him. It will come right after the Great Cull... He has no clue about what causes currencies to rise or fall. Indeed, but then again neither does anybody else, except at the limits. It should be remembered these are relative values of one fiat currency to another, and it is entirely possible for one currency to appear to appreciate if it declines less in "real value" than the comparison currencies. But given that the intrinsic value of a one dollar note is about US 4.9 cents at the moment and other paper currencies will be similar how else can the "value" of a currency be established, other than by what it will buy? FX would appear to be a specific area ripe for tax reform, by imposing a moderate transaction/Tobin tax, high enough to eliminate most short-term speculative profits (which appear to be the large majority of volume and major source of volatility) but low enough to not significantly effect legitimate trade based currency exchanges. -- cheers, John B. A very good baseline is the price of gold and oil. Their relative values have oscillated around 2.5 grams of gold to one barrel of oil since WW2. http://pricedingold.com/crude-oil/ -jsw But what does that relationship have to do with currency? Nothing. What John said is roughly it. The Chicken Littles never stop. When they get themselves all wound up, as in this thread, all it tells you is that they're looking for excuses for their own failures. -- Ed Huntress Chicken Little is preoccupied that the sky is falling (AGW), based on much flimsier evidence than we have for the risk of overspending. Overspending? Really? Compared to what, 1920? Or the rest of the developed world? https://data.oecd.org/gga/general-go...ndicator-chart -- Ed Huntress |
#13
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Now isnt this ..special...
On 9/26/2015 6:42 PM, Gunner Asch wrote:
On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 07:07:42 +0700, John B. wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:19:28 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:14:59 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Fri, 25 Sep 2015 15:28:23 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: snip So what do you learned folks suggest I do? Start trying to sell off machinery/boats in a floundering economy? Hitchhike out of town in the dark of night? Stand on a street corner with a sign begging for cash? Im absolutely, positivly stumped as to what to do. ================= This is the U. S. economy for the large majority in a nutshell. We have run down/worn out the available stocks, which took generations to accumulate, and now must replace these, when our health, age and earning potential are rapidly deteriorating. What is the minimum vehicle you need? Some of the suggestions in the other postings seem to have merit. Is some sort of barter practical, where you can directly swap some of your less useful assets [to you] for a running vehicle, thus avoiding "selling" into a down market? 4 wheels, capable of carrying me and 500 lbs of tools, unbroken glass and reliable. Thats all I need. Shrug. It is clear, to me at least, that regardless of the hallucinogenic market euphoria, "cooked" data, and Potemkin villages https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Potemkin_village , we are in increasingly serious socioeconomic difficulties, where the informal economy and small group mutual support are increasingly the keys to a tolerable existence for the majority. Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Really? Against what? Canada? http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/cana...ding-1.3241702 You ****wit: that's the *Canadian* dollar that hit a low against the US Dollar. That means the US dollar has been *rising* relative to the Canadian dollar. Austrailia? http://www.theguardian.com/business/...mic-turbulence You ****wit: that's the *Australian* dollar that has been falling, relative to the US dollar. That means the US dollar has been *rising* relative to the Australian dollar. England? http://www.poundsterlingforecast.com/2015/09/09/ You ****wit: that's the *pound sterling* that has been falling, relative to the US dollar. That means the US dollar has been *rising* relative to the pound sterling. Euro? http://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/eur...2015/09/25/02/ The euro has been rising slightly against the dollar for the last 180 days. The dollar is falling No, most of your sites show the US dollar *rising*, you stupid ****wit. ..but the europeans are falling faster... No, you ****wit, the euro is the one currency you showed that is *rising* relative to the US dollar. so yes..the dollar looks better than they do. Means after all jumped out the window..the US will be the last to smash into the ground. But smash into the ground it will. You don't know what the **** you're bull****ting about, ever. -- Any serious look at the history of human beings over the millennia shows that the species began in poverty. It is not poverty, but prosperity, that needs explaining. Poverty is automatic, but prosperity requires many things -- none of which is equally distributed around the world or even within a given society. Thomas Sowell |
#14
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Now isnt this ..special...
On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 08:50:33 -0400, "Jim Wilkins"
wrote: "John B." wrote in message .. . On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 21:05:26 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 20:54:38 -0400, Ed Huntress wrote: snip Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Gunner has a very long wait ahead of him. It will come right after the Great Cull... He has no clue about what causes currencies to rise or fall. Indeed, but then again neither does anybody else, except at the limits. It should be remembered these are relative values of one fiat currency to another, and it is entirely possible for one currency to appear to appreciate if it declines less in "real value" than the comparison currencies. But given that the intrinsic value of a one dollar note is about US 4.9 cents at the moment and other paper currencies will be similar how else can the "value" of a currency be established, other than by what it will buy? FX would appear to be a specific area ripe for tax reform, by imposing a moderate transaction/Tobin tax, high enough to eliminate most short-term speculative profits (which appear to be the large majority of volume and major source of volatility) but low enough to not significantly effect legitimate trade based currency exchanges. -- cheers, John B. A very good baseline is the price of gold and oil. Their relative values have oscillated around 2.5 grams of gold to one barrel of oil since WW2. http://pricedingold.com/crude-oil/ -jsw Well, WW II, perhaps but in 1792 when the dollar was originally defined the value was $1 = 23.33gm gold while today the same amount of gold is worth $1,285. A substantial loss in value. So today our dollar is worth about 0.07% of what it used to be and Gunner is talking about a collapse :-) -- cheers, John B. |
#15
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Now isnt this ..special...
On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 19:20:05 +0700, John B.
wrote: snip But given that the intrinsic value of a one dollar note is about US 4.9 cents at the moment and other paper currencies will be similar how else can the "value" of a currency be established, other than by what it will buy? /snip ---------------------- You touch on the key point, namely what is the value of value? "Value" is a human construct, and thus is [almost] infinitely variable and highly contextual. For example, consider the relative value of 1 liter of water and one kg of gold. In the normal context the gold is considerably more valuable than the water, but if you are dying of thirst, the water is "valuable," and the gold worthless. It is the failure to grasp that we are attempting to measure an indefinite subjective imputed quality [value] with a rubber ruler [money] that is causing the problems. There is nothing that has an inate or fixed "value." -- Unka' George "Gold is the money of kings, silver is the money of gentlemen, barter is the money of peasants, but debt is the money of slaves" -Norm Franz, "Money and Wealth in the New Millenium" |
#16
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On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 09:35:39 -0400, Ed Huntress
wrote: snip A very good baseline is the price of gold and oil. Their relative values have oscillated around 2.5 grams of gold to one barrel of oil since WW2. http://pricedingold.com/crude-oil/ -jsw But what does that relationship have to do with currency? Nothing. What John said is roughly it. /snip ---------------------- One problem is that money and currency are not the same things. From Economics 101 we learn that "money" has two defining characteristics: * a medium of exchange AND * a measure and store of value Currency on the other hand is only a medium of [current] exchange, with no rational/logical expectation of long-term value, although this may be a subliminal assumption/wish. Examples include Canadian Tire coupons, S&H Green Stamps and bitcoins https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bitcoin . Fiat "money" also falls into this category. It should be noted that even "specie" [gold & silver] are long-term measures and stores of value only in that the value changes slowly compared to a human life-time. One example is the fall in "value" of gold and silver in terms of purchasing power when enormous amounts flooded Europe via Spain after their conquest of Latin America, destabilizing the late medieval finance and trade systems. It is an inversion when the worth of the "measure and store of value" [money] must be determined by amount of goods and services for which it can be exchanged. Humans seem to have been "scammed again" by another attempt to "square the circle" or perfect perpetual motion. -- Unka' George "Gold is the money of kings, silver is the money of gentlemen, barter is the money of peasants, but debt is the money of slaves" -Norm Franz, "Money and Wealth in the New Millenium" |
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On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 14:50:10 -0400, Ed Huntress
wrote: snip Overspending? Really? Compared to what, 1920? Or the rest of the developed world? /snip Rather than overspending, IMNSHO the problem is mis- or mal- spending. -- Unka' George "Gold is the money of kings, silver is the money of gentlemen, barter is the money of peasants, but debt is the money of slaves" -Norm Franz, "Money and Wealth in the New Millenium" |
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On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 20:41:58 -0500, F. George McDuffee
wrote: On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 09:35:39 -0400, Ed Huntress wrote: snip A very good baseline is the price of gold and oil. Their relative values have oscillated around 2.5 grams of gold to one barrel of oil since WW2. http://pricedingold.com/crude-oil/ -jsw But what does that relationship have to do with currency? Nothing. What John said is roughly it. /snip ---------------------- One problem is that money and currency are not the same things. From Economics 101 we learn that "money" has two defining characteristics: * a medium of exchange AND * a measure and store of value Currency on the other hand is only a medium of [current] exchange, with no rational/logical expectation of long-term value, although this may be a subliminal assumption/wish. Examples include Canadian Tire coupons, S&H Green Stamps and bitcoins https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bitcoin . Fiat "money" also falls into this category. It should be noted that even "specie" [gold & silver] are long-term measures and stores of value only in that the value changes slowly compared to a human life-time. One example is the fall in "value" of gold and silver in terms of purchasing power when enormous amounts flooded Europe via Spain after their conquest of Latin America, destabilizing the late medieval finance and trade systems. It is an inversion when the worth of the "measure and store of value" [money] must be determined by amount of goods and services for which it can be exchanged. Humans seem to have been "scammed again" by another attempt to "square the circle" or perfect perpetual motion. If I'm following you, you're around 230 years late with that, George. See what Adam Smith had to say about the value of gold in _The Wealth of Nations_. For the value of stockpiling gold, he used the silly analogy of accumulating more pots and pans than one needs for cooking. Like fiat money, gold has "value" only as long as people believe it does. Mostly, that belief is based on something like superstition. Value, as Smith explained and as it has meaning in the world today, is the goods and services that are produced and that one can make or buy, whether it's with fiat money, with gold, or through a bartered exchange. You can't eat gold. -- Ed Huntress |
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On 9/27/2015 5:57 PM, F. George McDuffee wrote:
On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 19:20:05 +0700, John B. wrote: snip But given that the intrinsic value of a one dollar note is about US 4.9 cents at the moment and other paper currencies will be similar how else can the "value" of a currency be established, other than by what it will buy? /snip ---------------------- You touch on the key point, namely what is the value of value? That's not a point. "Value" is a human construct, and thus is [almost] infinitely variable and highly contextual. For example, consider the relative value of 1 liter of water and one kg of gold. In the normal context the gold is considerably more valuable than the water, but if you are dying of thirst, the water is "valuable," and the gold worthless. The diamonds-water paradox is a staple of price theory textbooks. It is no great mystery. http://study.com/academy/lesson/diam...-examples.html It is the failure to grasp that we are attempting to measure an indefinite subjective imputed quality [value] with a rubber ruler [money] that is causing the problems. There is nothing that has an inate or fixed "value." Money is simply a numeraire commodity that avoids having to establish n * (n-1) prices if there are n goods and services. -- Any serious look at the history of human beings over the millennia shows that the species began in poverty. It is not poverty, but prosperity, that needs explaining. Poverty is automatic, but prosperity requires many things -- none of which is equally distributed around the world or even within a given society. Thomas Sowell |
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On 9/27/2015 6:41 PM, F. George McDuffee wrote:
On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 09:35:39 -0400, Ed Huntress wrote: snip A very good baseline is the price of gold and oil. Their relative values have oscillated around 2.5 grams of gold to one barrel of oil since WW2. http://pricedingold.com/crude-oil/ -jsw But what does that relationship have to do with currency? Nothing. What John said is roughly it. /snip ---------------------- One problem is that money and currency are not the same things. From Economics 101 we learn that "money" has two defining characteristics: * a medium of exchange AND * a measure and store of value Two mo Unit of account Standard of deferred payment Currency is just a national unit of money. Let's not ask metal shop teachers for any more economics definitions, okay? -- Any serious look at the history of human beings over the millennia shows that the species began in poverty. It is not poverty, but prosperity, that needs explaining. Poverty is automatic, but prosperity requires many things -- none of which is equally distributed around the world or even within a given society. Thomas Sowell |
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On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 19:57:14 -0500, F. George McDuffee
wrote: On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 19:20:05 +0700, John B. wrote: snip But given that the intrinsic value of a one dollar note is about US 4.9 cents at the moment and other paper currencies will be similar how else can the "value" of a currency be established, other than by what it will buy? /snip ---------------------- You touch on the key point, namely what is the value of value? "Value" is a human construct, and thus is [almost] infinitely variable and highly contextual. For example, consider the relative value of 1 liter of water and one kg of gold. In the normal context the gold is considerably more valuable than the water, but if you are dying of thirst, the water is "valuable," and the gold worthless. It is the failure to grasp that we are attempting to measure an indefinite subjective imputed quality [value] with a rubber ruler [money] that is causing the problems. There is nothing that has an inate or fixed "value." On Yap Island large stone disks were used as money and because the stones had to be ferried from distant islands their value remained fairly constant over the years until in the late 1800's an enterprising sea captain, named Kelly, shipped in additional stones to the island to purchase copra. This resulted in an increase in the "money supply" and as a result the value dropped. An early example of inflation due to an increase in the money supply :-) -- cheers, John B. |
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On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 17:17:29 -0700, Robert Feniello
wrote: On 9/26/2015 6:42 PM, Gunner Asch wrote: On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 07:07:42 +0700, John B. wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:19:28 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:14:59 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Fri, 25 Sep 2015 15:28:23 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: snip So what do you learned folks suggest I do? Start trying to sell off machinery/boats in a floundering economy? Hitchhike out of town in the dark of night? Stand on a street corner with a sign begging for cash? Im absolutely, positivly stumped as to what to do. ================= This is the U. S. economy for the large majority in a nutshell. We have run down/worn out the available stocks, which took generations to accumulate, and now must replace these, when our health, age and earning potential are rapidly deteriorating. What is the minimum vehicle you need? Some of the suggestions in the other postings seem to have merit. Is some sort of barter practical, where you can directly swap some of your less useful assets [to you] for a running vehicle, thus avoiding "selling" into a down market? 4 wheels, capable of carrying me and 500 lbs of tools, unbroken glass and reliable. Thats all I need. Shrug. It is clear, to me at least, that regardless of the hallucinogenic market euphoria, "cooked" data, and Potemkin villages https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Potemkin_village , we are in increasingly serious socioeconomic difficulties, where the informal economy and small group mutual support are increasingly the keys to a tolerable existence for the majority. Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Really? Against what? Canada? http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/cana...ding-1.3241702 You ****wit: that's the *Canadian* dollar that hit a low against the US Dollar. That means the US dollar has been *rising* relative to the Canadian dollar. Austrailia? http://www.theguardian.com/business/...mic-turbulence You ****wit: that's the *Australian* dollar that has been falling, relative to the US dollar. That means the US dollar has been *rising* relative to the Australian dollar. England? http://www.poundsterlingforecast.com/2015/09/09/ You ****wit: that's the *pound sterling* that has been falling, relative to the US dollar. That means the US dollar has been *rising* relative to the pound sterling. Euro? http://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/eur...2015/09/25/02/ The euro has been rising slightly against the dollar for the last 180 days. The dollar is falling No, most of your sites show the US dollar *rising*, you stupid ****wit. ..but the europeans are falling faster... No, you ****wit, the euro is the one currency you showed that is *rising* relative to the US dollar. so yes..the dollar looks better than they do. Means after all jumped out the window..the US will be the last to smash into the ground. But smash into the ground it will. You don't know what the **** you're bull****ting about, ever. THe rest of them are simply falling faster than the us dollar..but its still falling Which I stated quite clearly, you ****tard |
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On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 21:05:26 -0500, F. George McDuffee
wrote: Great Cull... He has no clue about what causes currencies to rise or fall. Indeed, but then again neither does anybody else, except at the limits. It should be remembered these are relative values of one fiat currency to another, and it is entirely possible for one currency to appear to appreciate if it declines less in "real value" than the comparison currencies. BINGO!!! Gunner |
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On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 08:50:33 -0400, "Jim Wilkins"
wrote: "John B." wrote in message .. . On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 21:05:26 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 20:54:38 -0400, Ed Huntress wrote: snip Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Gunner has a very long wait ahead of him. It will come right after the Great Cull... He has no clue about what causes currencies to rise or fall. Indeed, but then again neither does anybody else, except at the limits. It should be remembered these are relative values of one fiat currency to another, and it is entirely possible for one currency to appear to appreciate if it declines less in "real value" than the comparison currencies. But given that the intrinsic value of a one dollar note is about US 4.9 cents at the moment and other paper currencies will be similar how else can the "value" of a currency be established, other than by what it will buy? FX would appear to be a specific area ripe for tax reform, by imposing a moderate transaction/Tobin tax, high enough to eliminate most short-term speculative profits (which appear to be the large majority of volume and major source of volatility) but low enough to not significantly effect legitimate trade based currency exchanges. -- cheers, John B. A very good baseline is the price of gold and oil. Their relative values have oscillated around 2.5 grams of gold to one barrel of oil since WW2. http://pricedingold.com/crude-oil/ -jsw A year or so ago..a barrel of crude was $125 or more Today..its around $44. So has the value of the dollar gone up...or down...? |
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On Mon, 28 Sep 2015 07:41:34 +0700, John B.
wrote: On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 08:50:33 -0400, "Jim Wilkins" wrote: "John B." wrote in message . .. On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 21:05:26 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 20:54:38 -0400, Ed Huntress wrote: snip Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Gunner has a very long wait ahead of him. It will come right after the Great Cull... He has no clue about what causes currencies to rise or fall. Indeed, but then again neither does anybody else, except at the limits. It should be remembered these are relative values of one fiat currency to another, and it is entirely possible for one currency to appear to appreciate if it declines less in "real value" than the comparison currencies. But given that the intrinsic value of a one dollar note is about US 4.9 cents at the moment and other paper currencies will be similar how else can the "value" of a currency be established, other than by what it will buy? FX would appear to be a specific area ripe for tax reform, by imposing a moderate transaction/Tobin tax, high enough to eliminate most short-term speculative profits (which appear to be the large majority of volume and major source of volatility) but low enough to not significantly effect legitimate trade based currency exchanges. -- cheers, John B. A very good baseline is the price of gold and oil. Their relative values have oscillated around 2.5 grams of gold to one barrel of oil since WW2. http://pricedingold.com/crude-oil/ -jsw Well, WW II, perhaps but in 1792 when the dollar was originally defined the value was $1 = 23.33gm gold while today the same amount of gold is worth $1,285. A substantial loss in value. So today our dollar is worth about 0.07% of what it used to be and Gunner is talking about a collapse :-) Ayup. Gunner |
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On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 18:46:01 +0700, John B.
wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 20:54:38 -0400, Ed Huntress wrote: On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 07:07:42 +0700, John B. wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:19:28 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:14:59 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Fri, 25 Sep 2015 15:28:23 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: snip So what do you learned folks suggest I do? Start trying to sell off machinery/boats in a floundering economy? Hitchhike out of town in the dark of night? Stand on a street corner with a sign begging for cash? Im absolutely, positivly stumped as to what to do. ================= This is the U. S. economy for the large majority in a nutshell. We have run down/worn out the available stocks, which took generations to accumulate, and now must replace these, when our health, age and earning potential are rapidly deteriorating. What is the minimum vehicle you need? Some of the suggestions in the other postings seem to have merit. Is some sort of barter practical, where you can directly swap some of your less useful assets [to you] for a running vehicle, thus avoiding "selling" into a down market? 4 wheels, capable of carrying me and 500 lbs of tools, unbroken glass and reliable. Thats all I need. Shrug. It is clear, to me at least, that regardless of the hallucinogenic market euphoria, "cooked" data, and Potemkin villages https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Potemkin_village , we are in increasingly serious socioeconomic difficulties, where the informal economy and small group mutual support are increasingly the keys to a tolerable existence for the majority. Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Gunner has a very long wait ahead of him. It will come right after the Great Cull... He has no clue about what causes currencies to rise or fall. Gunner has written that he has something like $150 in his savings account. In 1922 the German currency could be said to have collapsed. From early 1922 until late in the same year the value of the "Paper Mark" versus the "Gold Mark" went from approximately 9.000 to one to 100,000,000,000 to one. Comes the crash Gunner's estate is going to be worth 0.000135 cents. You mean my "liquid assets" Right? Gunner |
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On Mon, 28 Sep 2015 05:28:20 -0700, Gunner Asch
wrote: On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 17:17:29 -0700, Robert Feniello On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 07:07:42 +0700, John B. You don't know what the **** you're bull****ting about, ever. THe rest of them are simply falling faster than the us dollar..but its still falling Which I stated quite clearly, you ****tard Haven't you had enough trollbait yet? sigh Give us a rest, please. -- "Bother", said Pooh, as he chambered another round... |
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If, hypothetically, dollar "collapses", and the world stops using US
dollar as reserve currency, all it will mean is about 10-20% drop in our standard of living, that will be of temporary nature. Hardly a disaster. I will be just fine living 10-20% poorer. It will still be a great country to live in ahd have children and grandchilren. The same collapse happened in Russia last year, and nothing terrible happened. i |
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On 9/28/2015 5:28 AM, Gunner Asch wrote:
On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 17:17:29 -0700, Robert Feniello wrote: On 9/26/2015 6:42 PM, Gunner Asch wrote: On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 07:07:42 +0700, John B. wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:19:28 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 13:14:59 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Fri, 25 Sep 2015 15:28:23 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: snip So what do you learned folks suggest I do? Start trying to sell off machinery/boats in a floundering economy? Hitchhike out of town in the dark of night? Stand on a street corner with a sign begging for cash? Im absolutely, positivly stumped as to what to do. ================= This is the U. S. economy for the large majority in a nutshell. We have run down/worn out the available stocks, which took generations to accumulate, and now must replace these, when our health, age and earning potential are rapidly deteriorating. What is the minimum vehicle you need? Some of the suggestions in the other postings seem to have merit. Is some sort of barter practical, where you can directly swap some of your less useful assets [to you] for a running vehicle, thus avoiding "selling" into a down market? 4 wheels, capable of carrying me and 500 lbs of tools, unbroken glass and reliable. Thats all I need. Shrug. It is clear, to me at least, that regardless of the hallucinogenic market euphoria, "cooked" data, and Potemkin villages https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Potemkin_village , we are in increasingly serious socioeconomic difficulties, where the informal economy and small group mutual support are increasingly the keys to a tolerable existence for the majority. Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Really? Against what? Canada? http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/cana...ding-1.3241702 You ****wit: that's the *Canadian* dollar that hit a low against the US Dollar. That means the US dollar has been *rising* relative to the Canadian dollar. Austrailia? http://www.theguardian.com/business/...mic-turbulence You ****wit: that's the *Australian* dollar that has been falling, relative to the US dollar. That means the US dollar has been *rising* relative to the Australian dollar. England? http://www.poundsterlingforecast.com/2015/09/09/ You ****wit: that's the *pound sterling* that has been falling, relative to the US dollar. That means the US dollar has been *rising* relative to the pound sterling. Euro? http://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/eur...2015/09/25/02/ The euro has been rising slightly against the dollar for the last 180 days. The dollar is falling No, most of your sites show the US dollar *rising*, you stupid ****wit. ..but the europeans are falling faster... No, you ****wit, the euro is the one currency you showed that is *rising* relative to the US dollar. so yes..the dollar looks better than they do. Means after all jumped out the window..the US will be the last to smash into the ground. But smash into the ground it will. You don't know what the **** you're bull****ting about, ever. THe rest of them are simply falling faster than the us dollar..but its still falling The dollar is not falling, you ****wit. |
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On 9/28/2015 5:29 AM, Gunner Asch wrote:
On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 21:05:26 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: Great Cull... He has no clue about what causes currencies to rise or fall. Indeed, but then again neither does anybody else, except at the limits. It should be remembered these are relative values of one fiat currency to another, and it is entirely possible for one currency to appear to appreciate if it declines less in "real value" than the comparison currencies. BINGO!!! No. Everything you write about the economy is bull****. The fact that a low-skill tinkerer is unable to keep any of, what - 6? - vehicles on the road is not an indictment of the economy. And no, the "real" chortle unemployment rate in California is not 20%. |
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On 9/28/2015 5:30 AM, Gunner Asch wrote:
On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 08:50:33 -0400, "Jim Wilkins" wrote: "John B." wrote in message ... On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 21:05:26 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 20:54:38 -0400, Ed Huntress wrote: snip Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Gunner has a very long wait ahead of him. It will come right after the Great Cull... He has no clue about what causes currencies to rise or fall. Indeed, but then again neither does anybody else, except at the limits. It should be remembered these are relative values of one fiat currency to another, and it is entirely possible for one currency to appear to appreciate if it declines less in "real value" than the comparison currencies. But given that the intrinsic value of a one dollar note is about US 4.9 cents at the moment and other paper currencies will be similar how else can the "value" of a currency be established, other than by what it will buy? FX would appear to be a specific area ripe for tax reform, by imposing a moderate transaction/Tobin tax, high enough to eliminate most short-term speculative profits (which appear to be the large majority of volume and major source of volatility) but low enough to not significantly effect legitimate trade based currency exchanges. -- cheers, John B. A very good baseline is the price of gold and oil. Their relative values have oscillated around 2.5 grams of gold to one barrel of oil since WW2. http://pricedingold.com/crude-oil/ -jsw A year or so ago..a barrel of crude was $125 or more Today..its around $44. So has the value of the dollar gone up...or down...? Up, of course: $1 now buys you more oil. |
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On Mon, 28 Sep 2015 08:29:27 -0500, Ignoramus19568
wrote: If, hypothetically, dollar "collapses", and the world stops using US dollar as reserve currency, all it will mean is about 10-20% drop in our standard of living, that will be of temporary nature. Hardly a disaster. I will be just fine living 10-20% poorer. It will still be a great country to live in ahd have children and grandchilren. The same collapse happened in Russia last year, and nothing terrible happened. i That's probably all true, but there are a couple of things missing in this discussion, which are missing in most such discussions. First, the value of the dollar relative to other currencies, ultimately, is a function of what we produce as a country and the number of dollars in circulation to buy those things (actually, dollars times the velocity factor, but that balance is maintained very well by the Fed and isn't an issue). Unless we all decide to quit our jobs, the value of the dollar is not going to collapse from that source. Second -- and I find it hard to believe that this hasn't sunk into more heads -- is that our debts are designated in our own currency. This is true to a limited extent in some other countries, but it's especially true for us because our currency is the reserve currency. We have a lot more control over our debt than most people realize. Why that is, is not well understood by most people. They think it's all a shaky tower of cards. It is not. And there are many elements to that, as well. One big one is in that link I posted yesterday, which shows that the US has one of the very lowest ratios of government spending to GDP. Every Western European country and every other western OECD country spends more, except for Estonia: https://data.oecd.org/gga/general-go...ndicator-chart Every Asian country also is higher, except for South Korea. We really are one of the world's stingiest countries in terms of government spending. The reason we keep accumulating debt is that our taxes are among the lowest in the developed world. Only Mexico is lower: https://data.oecd.org/gga/general-go...ndicator-chart That's a potential problem, because the net effect is that our debt is pretty high: https://data.oecd.org/gga/general-go...ndicator-chart So we don't spend much, but we don't collect enough taxes to pay for what we spend. Overall, though, it's pretty tight-fisted, and it contributes to the stability of the US economy. There are a lot of reasons that we're the safe haven. That's a key reason our currency is the world's primary reserve currency. And despite Gunner's truly stupid remarks, if the "value" of every country's currency goes down, that has no immediate effect on what we can buy or what our wealth is -- it just changes the currency/goods-and-services multipliers: i.e., prices. Big changes in currency values create other problems, but they're not likely to happen. Our currency is tied pretty well to our productive output. -- Ed Huntress |
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On Mon, 28 Sep 2015 08:29:27 -0500, Ignoramus19568
wrote: If, hypothetically, dollar "collapses", and the world stops using US dollar as reserve currency, all it will mean is about 10-20% drop in our standard of living, that will be of temporary nature. Hardly a disaster. I will be just fine living 10-20% poorer. It will still be a great country to live in ahd have children and grandchilren. The same collapse happened in Russia last year, and nothing terrible happened. i ============== Much depends on how you define "collapsed," and what base you are collapsing from. Two useful objective metrics would seem to be median age at time of death, and neonatal survival rate before and after the "collapse." -- Unka' George "Gold is the money of kings, silver is the money of gentlemen, barter is the money of peasants, but debt is the money of slaves" -Norm Franz, "Money and Wealth in the New Millenium" |
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On Mon, 28 Sep 2015 10:58:05 -0400, Ed Huntress
wrote: snip This is true to a limited extent in some other countries, but it's especially true for us because our currency is the reserve currency. We have a lot more control over our debt than most people realize. /snip Indeed, but this advantage is slipping [or is being thrown] away from us, in exactly the same way it occurred for the UK £. http://www.wallstreetdaily.com/2015/...ties-currency/ -- Unka' George "Gold is the money of kings, silver is the money of gentlemen, barter is the money of peasants, but debt is the money of slaves" -Norm Franz, "Money and Wealth in the New Millenium" |
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Now isnt this ..special...
On Mon, 28 Sep 2015 06:10:31 -0700, Larry Jaques
wrote: On Mon, 28 Sep 2015 05:28:20 -0700, Gunner Asch wrote: On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 17:17:29 -0700, Robert Feniello On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 07:07:42 +0700, John B. You don't know what the **** you're bull****ting about, ever. THe rest of them are simply falling faster than the us dollar..but its still falling Which I stated quite clearly, you ****tard Haven't you had enough trollbait yet? sigh Give us a rest, please. Larry..got any suggestions for filtering this ******* out automatically? |
#36
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Now isnt this ..special...
On Mon, 28 Sep 2015 08:29:27 -0500, Ignoramus19568
wrote: If, hypothetically, dollar "collapses", and the world stops using US dollar as reserve currency, all it will mean is about 10-20% drop in our standard of living, that will be of temporary nature. Hardly a disaster. I will be just fine living 10-20% poorer. It will still be a great country to live in ahd have children and grandchilren. The same collapse happened in Russia last year, and nothing terrible happened. i So the food stamp and welfare checks will still cover food and rent? Hummm? |
#37
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Now isnt this ..special...
On Mon, 28 Sep 2015 15:31:26 -0500, F. George McDuffee
wrote: On Mon, 28 Sep 2015 10:58:05 -0400, Ed Huntress wrote: snip This is true to a limited extent in some other countries, but it's especially true for us because our currency is the reserve currency. We have a lot more control over our debt than most people realize. /snip Indeed, but this advantage is slipping [or is being thrown] away from us, in exactly the same way it occurred for the UK £. http://www.wallstreetdaily.com/2015/...ties-currency/ Trade in commodities is one thing, but most experts say that China has a long way to go before it establishes the financial credibility to replace the dollar as the key reserve currency. Their failed manipulation of their stock market late this past summer was a sign that they are too inclined to impose financial market commands rather than skillful pressures. That's the legacy of a command economy and it makes freewheeling financial markets nervous. -- Ed Huntress |
#38
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Now isnt this ..special...
On 2015-09-28, Gunner Asch wrote:
On Mon, 28 Sep 2015 08:29:27 -0500, Ignoramus19568 wrote: If, hypothetically, dollar "collapses", and the world stops using US dollar as reserve currency, all it will mean is about 10-20% drop in our standard of living, that will be of temporary nature. Hardly a disaster. I will be just fine living 10-20% poorer. It will still be a great country to live in ahd have children and grandchilren. The same collapse happened in Russia last year, and nothing terrible happened. i So the food stamp and welfare checks will still cover food and rent? Maybe not any more, but who cares, it will still be a great country to live in |
#39
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Now isnt this ..special...
On Mon, 28 Sep 2015 17:03:33 -0400, Ed Huntress
wrote: On Mon, 28 Sep 2015 15:31:26 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Mon, 28 Sep 2015 10:58:05 -0400, Ed Huntress wrote: snip This is true to a limited extent in some other countries, but it's especially true for us because our currency is the reserve currency. We have a lot more control over our debt than most people realize. /snip Indeed, but this advantage is slipping [or is being thrown] away from us, in exactly the same way it occurred for the UK £. http://www.wallstreetdaily.com/2015/...ties-currency/ Trade in commodities is one thing, but most experts say that China has a long way to go before it establishes the financial credibility to replace the dollar as the key reserve currency. Their failed manipulation of their stock market late this past summer was a sign that they are too inclined to impose financial market commands rather than skillful pressures. That's the legacy of a command economy and it makes freewheeling financial markets nervous. =================== Not sure how much difference there is between financial market commands from the government and the market manipulators, other than the market manipulators wear better suits... http://finance.yahoo.com/news/swiss-...084209628.html -- Unka' George "Gold is the money of kings, silver is the money of gentlemen, barter is the money of peasants, but debt is the money of slaves" -Norm Franz, "Money and Wealth in the New Millenium" |
#40
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Now isnt this ..special...
On Mon, 28 Sep 2015 05:30:51 -0700, Gunner Asch
wrote: On Sun, 27 Sep 2015 08:50:33 -0400, "Jim Wilkins" wrote: "John B." wrote in message . .. On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 21:05:26 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Sat, 26 Sep 2015 20:54:38 -0400, Ed Huntress wrote: snip Ayup..Im waiting for the dollar to collapse. As so many historically accurate economists say it will..this year. Then we are all ****ed. Gunner Strange, the U.S. dollar, in terms of the international money market, seems to be increasing in value. Gunner has a very long wait ahead of him. It will come right after the Great Cull... He has no clue about what causes currencies to rise or fall. Indeed, but then again neither does anybody else, except at the limits. It should be remembered these are relative values of one fiat currency to another, and it is entirely possible for one currency to appear to appreciate if it declines less in "real value" than the comparison currencies. But given that the intrinsic value of a one dollar note is about US 4.9 cents at the moment and other paper currencies will be similar how else can the "value" of a currency be established, other than by what it will buy? FX would appear to be a specific area ripe for tax reform, by imposing a moderate transaction/Tobin tax, high enough to eliminate most short-term speculative profits (which appear to be the large majority of volume and major source of volatility) but low enough to not significantly effect legitimate trade based currency exchanges. -- cheers, John B. A very good baseline is the price of gold and oil. Their relative values have oscillated around 2.5 grams of gold to one barrel of oil since WW2. http://pricedingold.com/crude-oil/ -jsw A year or so ago..a barrel of crude was $125 or more Today..its around $44. So has the value of the dollar gone up...or down...? In your example, there is no evidence that the dollar has changed in value. What has happened is that the produce availability and demand have changed. I would think that your own situation would serve as an example. After all, your mechanical ability hasn't changed. What has happened is that the requirement for your services has decreased, thus your income is lessoned. But your unemployment hasn't changed the value of the dollars you would have been paid if you could get a job. -- cheers, John B. |
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