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Metalworking (rec.crafts.metalworking) Discuss various aspects of working with metal, such as machining, welding, metal joining, screwing, casting, hardening/tempering, blacksmithing/forging, spinning and hammer work, sheet metal work. |
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The Solar Energy Fraud
On Tue, 15 Aug 2017 01:32:22 -0700, mike wrote:
On 8/14/2017 3:08 PM, Winston Smith wrote: On Mon, 14 Aug 2017 13:55:15 -0700, wrote: http://www.americanthinker.com/artic...rgy_fraud.html Solar is undependable. It does not work on cloudy days or at night. Nuclear plants don't work while they are down to change fuel rods? It stops working if a cloud passes in front of the sun. Yuma, Arizona, is the sunniest city in the U.S. Even in Yuma, there are 50 cloudy days and 365 dark nights a year. You really crank your AC and run a ton of lights at 3 am do you? In most places, solar output matches peak-load. You build the solar capacity to supply the difference between day and night. It's very costly to build a conventional plant sized for the peak day load and then let it sit at low capacity all night. The plant costs money whether you are running it or not. Your solar system costs money 12 hours of darkness every day and runs inefficiently for about half of the remaining 12 hours, unless it's cloudy or winter. Adding solar to the electric grid does not displace conventional generating plants. Those plants are still there. They just work a little less, sitting idle when solar is working. And you still pay depreciation and insurance and salaries and business costs and distribution maintenance and new installations and and and whether you generate electricity not. If you're willing to have rolling power outages because the grid can't supply the peak load on cloudy days, solar may be just the thing for you. Go live in a third-world country for a while and see how you like it. The only money solar saves is the fuel that would have been consumed by the plants that are idle because solar is generating electricity. The generators have a life time. Any time they are not running is time before they have to be replaced. Natural gas plants, or coal plants, consume 2-3 cents worth of fuel per KWh. How much when you factor in the disastrous effects on the aquifers from fracking? Nuclear plants consume 0.4 cent per KWh How much when you factor in the never ending problem of what to do with spent fuel rods? What do you do with the waste from solar cell production? Or battery replacement? and hydro plants don?Tt use fuel. There you go. Build lots of dams and electricity will be flat out free for everyone. Ray-o-nomics. First thing you have to do is kill off all the tree huggers that want to decommission dams. Residential rooftop solar electricity costs 15 cents, and usually considerably more, per KWh. Mostly sold by small time dealers. They mark up the equipment unconscionably and then prohibit you from having storage so they get to be the broker between you and the grid forever. If you sell your house, you have to find a buyer willing to accept the deal you made with the solar guy. Do you think there might be a better model? If markets were not distorted by political influence, rooftop solar would hardly ever be competitive. True, the solar con-men could not make their sale without tax breaks and controls on what the utility must pay for your energy. As with all good flim-flam schemes, those breaks will go away as soon as they get big enough to hurt government income and the homeowner will find themselves at the short end of a life time contract. Do you think there might be a better model? I'm listening... But political subsidies and artificially high electricity prices make rooftop solar competitive in many places. For example, in California, many owners of large homes are charged over 40 cents per KWh in certain ?otiers.??. These politically inspired rates make solar competitive for those owners of large houses. Sometimes the power companies say it's cheaper than building new conventional plants. See above base and peak load. The flaw in this pitch is that your old technologies are only cheaper as long as they are already existing and you don't have to build new ones. How long since a new nuclear plant went up? The fuel cost to operate an existing solar system is ZERO. Might be a hole in your analysis. Maintenance, distribution, regulation, fees... A cost of a new conventional plant and a new solar plant is what you need to compare. The framework is how to supply new energy to an expanding market. Do that and your "fuel only - the plant is paid for and free" analysis collapses. Heck the local water company will pay me handsomely to remove a swamp cooler and replace it with refrigeration. They are flat out against the wall finding new water sources to supply a growing population. Just as in utility scale installations, the true value of rooftop solar electricity is the cost of fuel consumption avoided when the solar is operating. The result is that the utility is often effectively forced to pay retail rates, typically about 13 cents per KWh, for electricity whose true value is about 3 cents per KWh. The owner of the rooftop solar also loses money unless his retail rate is in excess of the 15-cent, or more, cost per KWh. If the value is 3 cents, why doesn't the power company charge me that. It's ludicrous to pretend production cost is only fuel and then go on to pretend production cost is the same as retail. You compare operating cost of existing systems with installation cost of new systems. You have very liberal ideas on the economics of commerce. The 11 reports assign a value from a low of 3.5 cents per KWh to a high of 33 cents per KWh. This wide variation in the value of solar surely indicates that solid accounting methodology is absent. Or different service areas, with different solar insolation, and different peak-solar to peak-demand timing, and different regional fuel costs. All costs are equal to everyone ??? Another liberal idea. All the reports by advocates of rooftop solar found that the value of the electricity to society was greater than the current retail price of electricity. The three reports from utilities found the opposite. Wow. The salesman told me his Gizmodic-7 was the best and Brand X was junk. That's a surprise. How do the advocates of solar assign a value to society? Here we go off the liberal deep end. Nothing to do with dollars and cents, nothing to do with cost and markets. Ray wants to build a better society. I don't think we have any rational options other than some form of nuclear for the long term. AS long as we're not investing in making nuclear safer and reigning in regulatory blockages, we're losing ground. "Just say no..." is not a reasonable strategy. Just saying no to solar is not reasonable either. We need to invest the type of funds into renewable energy systems, solar included, that we have invested in nuclear systems before we can reasonably say that nuclear is better. Certainly using the solar energy from the past, as we are doing now when we burn fossil fuels, is not any kind of reasonable long term strategy. And so far we have proved that we are not willing to make the investments to make nuclear plants and the associated waste they produce safe for the long term. And the hazards from radioactive waste aren't just the radiation. A lot of the waste is extremely poisonous just by itself, nevermind the extra risk of radiation poisoning. Eric |
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