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Metalworking (rec.crafts.metalworking) Discuss various aspects of working with metal, such as machining, welding, metal joining, screwing, casting, hardening/tempering, blacksmithing/forging, spinning and hammer work, sheet metal work. |
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OT - "The Long Emergency " for Ed & Gunner, etc.
http://tinyurl.com/8myqv
[ What's going to happen as we start running out of cheap gas to guzzle? By JAMES HOWARD KUNSTLER A few weeks ago, the price of oil ratcheted above fifty-five dollars a barrel, which is about twenty dollars a barrel more than a year ago. The next day, the oil story was buried on page six of the New York Times business section. Apparently, the price of oil is not considered significant news, even when it goes up five bucks a barrel in the span of ten days. That same day, the stock market shot up more than a hundred points because, CNN said, government data showed no signs of inflation. Note to clueless nation: Call planet Earth. ] much more Enjoy g. -- Clif |
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Cliff wrote:
http://tinyurl.com/8myqv [ What's going to happen as we start running out of cheap gas to guzzle? By JAMES HOWARD KUNSTLER A few weeks ago, the price of oil ratcheted above fifty-five dollars a barrel, which is about twenty dollars a barrel more than a year ago. The next day, the oil story was buried on page six of the New York Times business section. Apparently, the price of oil is not considered significant news, even when it goes up five bucks a barrel in the span of ten days. That same day, the stock market shot up more than a hundred points because, CNN said, government data showed no signs of inflation. Note to clueless nation: Call planet Earth. ] much more Enjoy g. If you think about it, Cliff, you'd realize that maybe the increase in price of one commodity over a ten day period does not qualify as "inflation" by anyone's definition. Well, nobody who matters anyway.. Look it up, you'll see what I mean. Besides, you make it sound like inflation is a bad thing. Didn't you know that reasonable inflation is good for the economy? Straighten up, you. John |
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On Tue, 24 May 2005 07:40:06 GMT, Gunner
wrote: On Mon, 23 May 2005 23:48:24 -0500, "Morris Dovey" wrote: "Cliff" wrote in message . .. http://tinyurl.com/8myqv [ What's going to happen as we start running out of cheap gas to guzzle? By JAMES HOWARD KUNSTLER A few weeks ago, the price of oil ratcheted above fifty-five dollars a barrel, which is about twenty dollars a barrel more than a year ago. The next day, the oil story was buried on page six of the New York Times business section. Apparently, the price of oil is not considered significant news, even when it goes up five bucks a barrel in the span of ten days. That same day, the stock market shot up more than a hundred points because, CNN said, government data showed no signs of inflation. Note to clueless nation: Call planet Earth. ] much more Enjoy g. Not so enjoyable: oil industry analysts have been predicting that we'll see crude selling at the US$105/bbl before the end of the year. That'd pretty well force at least double-digit inflation. Not an enjoyable prospect at all. I'd be surprised if we actually saw $105/bbl this year - but $75/bbl is a lot more probable and could still produce really ugly levels of inflation. http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2005/...in697196.shtml http://www.energybulletin.net/3574.html Gunner "Considering the events of recent years, the world has a long way to go to regain its credibility and reputation with the US." unknown He really, really misses Clinton. Back then he had a decent job & probably health care too. Not to mention far, far lower gas & electrical power costs (Bush lost in CA in 2000 so first thing was to get revenge with Enron I suspect) ... he's in his bunker in California eating kibble yet I guess ... -- Cliff |
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On Tue, 24 May 2005 16:27:24 GMT, Gunner
wrote: On Tue, 24 May 2005 07:54:28 -0500, "Morris Dovey" wrote: "Gunner" wrote in message . .. http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2005/...in697196.shtml http://www.energybulletin.net/3574.html Yep - it /hasn't/ happened yet - and some OPEC members (most notably Saudi Arabia) have responded to various persuasions to temporarily increase production to (temporarily) hold prices down. My assessment is that this will further stimulate consumption worldwide resulting in fiercer competition for petroleum supplies in the long term - commencing immediately upon any reduction in production - or more gradually increasing if levels of production are sustained or further increased. People seem to be grouping into two major camps: the concerned and the unconcerned. The unconcerned seem to me to be in denial. They make it a religious issue (God will provide), a political issue (the government will provide), an economic issue (the market will provide) or a lifespan issue (we won't run out during my lifetime.) There's probably another sub-group who just plain don't care about very much of anything. My projection is that when the planet's petroleum has been consumed to the point of relative scarcity, neither church nor government nor market will be able to replenish the supply. Obviously, my lack of confidence in magic isn't universal. The US has lots of oil. The issue is the cost per barrel of recovering it. In the already developed oil fields, secondary recovery methods are expensive. Here in the West Kern/Sunset oilfields, steam injection costs are high enough that many wells have been simply shut in as uneconomical to produce. Now that the price of oil has risen, its become economical to reopen those wells again and produce them. Lots of rework/redrilling going on in my neck of the woods. Gee, Gunner .... what happens when you burn more oil to make that steam than you manage to extract? Pretty good ideas you have. Have you considered becoming a fundie or a winger? -- Cliff |
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Cliff wrote:
Nothing important...again. |
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