On 2/15/2021 1:02 PM, danny burstein wrote:
For the crazies who want to claim Texas is getting screwd
'cuz the windmills ain't working... well...

(sorry for the run on lines..)

[twitter]

JesseJenkins
@JesseJenkins
Important update on Texas's electricity situation: ERCOT system operator is implementating rolling blackouts as capacity is insufficient to meet new record demand of 69,150 MW set late Sunday, 3,200 MW higher than previous record set in 2018. This IS now an emergency situation.
...
JesseJenkins
@JesseJenkins
Confidential info from a market participant in ERCOT: As of ~10 AM Eastern time, the system has ~30 GW of capacity offline, ~26 GW of thermal -- mostly natural gas which cant get fuel deliveries which are being priorities for heating loads -- and ~4 GW of wind due to icing.
....
@JesseJenkins
That is a HUGE amount of gas capacity offline, about 30% of total ERCOT capacity and ~half of the natural gas fleet, according to Dec 2020 Capacity Demand and Reserves report he

....
@JesseJenkins
If we look at Winter planning scenerio ERCOT was using for 2026/27 (table below), they were planning for a peak demand of 67,512 "based on normal weather." Demand last night (in 2021 not 2026/27!) was 69,150
========
while unsourced, "confidential info", is always worth raising
an eyebrow over, this guy is certianly a valid reporter.

https://twitter.com/JesseJenkins/sta...48544154664961



So again, the REAL problem is fossil fueled generation problems.