On 10/04/2020 21:38, Vir Campestris wrote:
On 10/04/2020 00:11, Fredxx wrote:
They will only know that when they have tested sufficient of the
population for numbers of those infected. We have no idea what
proportion of the population are infected or the rate of new infections.

The real question is when will we know the NHS can cope?

Lets be optimistic, lets assume 2% of the population will need
admission to a hospital before herd immunity kicks in sufficiently.
That's 1 million patients. Each one that survives, probably 1/2, will
need a bed for 1 or 2 weeks. That's a lot of beds, or a very long time
to reach herd immunity.

My numbers may be off, but that should paint a picture of how this
might pan out.

I went and looked at the South Korea figures earlier.

They've been carrying out extremely widespread contact tracing and
testing, and seem to have the epidemic under control. Unlike some
countries I have some faith in their numbers.

Let me merely say that if you are of a nervous disposition don't look
them up. My wife, for example, wouldn't benefit from knowing their figures.

We've been in lockdown now for three weeks, comfortably over the
incubation period; if lockdown is working we should be seeing a massive
drop in hospital admissions.


in Suffolk there have hardly BEEN any admissions. 300 cases in total.
Its working HERE.

We aren't.

We may be wrecking the economy, and not helping the country's health.

London is another country. If they think they are invulnerable and the
tories are lying to em, let em all die.

Andy


--
"Socialist governments traditionally do make a financial mess. They
always run out of other people's money. It's quite a characteristic of them"

Margaret Thatcher