"tim..." wrote in message
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"John_j" wrote in message
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"Dave Liquorice" wrote in message
idual.net...
On Thu, 9 Apr 2020 08:12:00 +0100, Brian Gaff \(Sofa 2\) wrote:

What I want to know is this, after its all apparently over, surely
unlocking will just allow people in from abroad and it will all start
again.

The virus is in the general population, even with the borders sealed
it'll sneak back in from abroad. The borders can't be effectively
sealed anyway, with truckers coming and going, or if not the actual
human truckers the trucks.

The only way to go is to kind of control things so people still get it
but the number who die can be controlled by not overwhelming the health
services as it happens.

Yep, relax one or two of the most restrictive rules and watch the new
cases rate very closely, if it looks to begin taking off again, bang
the restrictions back on. It will be interesting to see what happens
in Wuhan over the next two weeks. Have they stayed in lockdown for
two weeks with no new (reported....) cases for that entire two weeks?
They still have the "import problem" though.

Once the new cases rate is very low more test 'n track and enforced
isolation might work to contain it (as it sort of did early on) but
with the virus so widely spread in the global population it'll sneak
back in from outside.

Anybody who thinks things will be back to normal, ie pubs, restraunts
etc open, and large gatherings allowed, in much less than five months
doesn't understand the problem.

Wuhan has done it in just 3. It remains to be seen how that works out.

you really think that whatever we are told, will be true?

There will always be enough reporting on what is
actually happening even in that gung ho police state.
Mate of mine's chinese wife has her parents there and
they barely managed to get out of there on 31-Jan,
they were back there for chinese new year.

And her employer back here, also chinese, quite literally
returned from Wuhan in mid Fed, deliberately flouting
the ban on anyone coming here from there. And since
he was back in china for chinese new year too, obviously
has been communicating with his relos back there since.

With modern communications, there isnt much even a
gung ho police state can do to stop hard info getting out.
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