On Mon, 22 Jan 2018 19:05:17 -0500, "Jim Wilkins"
wrote:
"Eli the Bearded" wrote in message
...
In rec.crafts.metalworking, Jim Wilkins
wrote:
"Larry Jaques" wrote:
State-of-the-art stuff. Is there a rule similar to Moore's Law
for
tech? Everything has made fantastic jumps since I was playing
around with it in the late '80s, that's for sure.
Once tech reaches Good Enough the improvements slow way down.
Maximum
CPU clock speed leveled off around 4 GHz quite a while ago.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compar...tel_processors
I doubt most people would recognize a Boeing 707 airliner or an F-4
Phantom fighter built in 1958 as being a quaint half-century-old
antique, and today's models aren't even faster.
Here's a great talk about Moore's Law that also uses a long detailed
aircraft history analogy to talk about that "Good Enough" barrier:
http://idlewords.com/talks/web_desig..._100_years.htm
Love the 2045 blurb:
--snip--
And if you think that the purpose of the Internet is to BECOME AS
GODS, IMMORTAL CREATURES OF PURE ENERGY LIVING IN A CRYSTALLINE
PARADISE OF OUR OWN INVENTION, then your goal is total and complete
revolution. Everything must go.
The future needs to get here as fast as possible, because your
biological clock is ticking!
The first group wants to CONNECT THE WORLD.
The second group wants to EAT THE WORLD.
And the third group wants to END THE WORLD.
These visions are not compatible.
--snip--
A quote from the middle:
These are the victories of good enough. This stuff is fast
enough.
Intel could probably build a 20 GHz processor, just like Boeing
If they're doing it now, they likely have the most advanced AIs in
existence and are predicting human behavior, investing in up and
coming market trends. Wall Street and D.C. would pay a bundle for
one.
one of the newest talks compares ham radio to the internet
Those were certainly the long and the short of it.
Waves?
-
A human being should be able to change a diaper, plan an invasion,
butcher a hog, conn a ship, design a building, write a sonnet,
balance accounts, build a wall, set a bone, comfort the dying,
take orders, give orders, cooperate, act alone, solve equations,
analyze a new problem, pitch manure, program a computer, cook a
tasty meal, fight efficiently, die gallantly. Specialization is
for insects.
-Robert A. Heinlein