On 10/01/18 12:52, AnthonyL wrote:
On Tue, 09 Jan 2018 16:45:25 +0000, The Other Mike
wrote:

On 9 Jan 2018 12:50:55 GMT, David wrote:

Following on from other Gridwatch references I've had the web site up open
for a few days now.

It looks as though demand is slowly going up each day, nuclear and CCGT
are at the top end of their range (presumably most nuclear reactors are
now on line) and coal is slowly ramping up.

With this grey overcast and the cold weather it is beginning to look as
though if the wind drops we could be pushing the boundaries a bit.

Fortunately it looks as though we are still in windy times. Although
Thursday and Friday seem to have lower wind speeds predicted.

Realistically, how close are we to demand outstripping supply?

How much 'headroom' do we have if we get the traditional "USA weather two
weeks later" with snow and freezing temperatures?

Just wondering

No point in looking at Gridwatch as supply always equals supply + losses

The orange and red zones bear no relationship to actual availability which
varies enormously season to season.


How meaningful is it to look at Frequency as an indicator that the
system is being pushed hard?

quite meaningful,. It indicates a short term lack of as much supply as
one would like.



--
The biggest threat to humanity comes from socialism, which has utterly
diverted our attention away from what really matters to our existential
survival, to indulging in navel gazing and faux moral investigations
into what the world ought to be, whilst we fail utterly to deal with
what it actually is.