Any thoughts on a heavy storm in the English Channel , morning of01 Jan 2018?
GFS and WRF both have the heavy winds passing between Brest and Nantes,
then continuing over northern France.
But WRF has the secondary low curving more and breaking out in the St
Malo, Channel Islands area of sea. Then over Cherbourg peninslar going
along the north coast of France.
But who would bet on that track instead of continuing out to mid
channel? 1987 in back of mind.