On Wed, 26 Jul 2017 08:41:15 +0100, The Natural Philosopher wrote:

On 25/07/17 22:06, DJC wrote:
Weather forcecasts these days are the output of models. So it's the 50%
probability of the model being right.

Er no. The outoput of the model shows a 50% chance of...

The model is always rght.

But equally always wrong. Which adds up to 50% right.

--
Paddy calls Easyjet to book a flight.
The operator asks "How many people are flying with you?"
Paddy replies "I don't know! Its your flipping plane!"