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James Wilkinson Sword[_4_] James Wilkinson Sword[_4_] is offline
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Default "% Chance of rain"

On Thu, 20 Jul 2017 13:30:39 +0100, Martin wrote:

On Thu, 20 Jul 2017 11:46:10 GMT, lid (AnthonyL) wrote:

On Thu, 20 Jul 2017 12:22:20 +0100, Ash Burton
wrote:

On 20/07/2017 12:13, James Wilkinson Sword wrote:
What do you believe weather forecasters mean when they say "40% chance
of rain"?

1) It will rain for 40% of the day.
2) There's a 40% chance it will rain at some point.

I googled it and apparently it depends on the forecaster? 1) and 2) are
completely different meanings.

I think it means 2


Yesterday Accuweather MinuteCast was showing no rain for at least
120mins - I only looked at the site because it was raining and I
hadn't noticed a forecast for it.


Meteox showed no thunderstorms within about 50 miles of us, when we were in a
thunderstorm.


I've seen the Met Office get yesterday's forecast wrong!

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