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trader_4 trader_4 is offline
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Default US braced for €˜cataclysmic shocks if Trump trade policies come into force

On Tuesday, November 1, 2016 at 5:50:48 PM UTC-4, Stormin' Norman wrote:
On Tue, 01 Nov 2016 17:29:41 -0400, "(PeteCresswell)"
wrote:

Per trader_4:
Boy, those Trumpets are in for a big surprise if he wins.


Don't even *think* about that....

OTOH, there's a computer science guy in India that has some sort of AI
system in place what has been predicting the results of various
elections (including our 2008 presidential) successfully and his system
is calling for a Trump win.


Not really rocket science, he has a 50% chance of being right. If he
is wrong, no one will remember. I can do at least as well by flipping
a coin.


And IDK how many elections back this guy goes, but you could guess
randomly and statistically there is a 6% chance you'd get all four
right. Factor in that some of them, eg Bush running for re-election,
you'd have a candidate that is the clear favorite, so any of us could
do better than a random coin toss. And like you say, if he's
wrong, they just forget him and move on to the next "smart" guy
that's gotten 4 or 5 in a row right.