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[email protected] gfretwell@aol.com is offline
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Default Election betting odds: 24 October 2016 - Clinton 82.3%, Trump 16.8%

On Mon, 24 Oct 2016 16:29:29 -0700, "Sterling Archer"
wrote:

Neill Massello presented the following explanation :
Sterling Archer wrote:

The odds have nothing to do with the Democrats. Go to the site and
read the explanation of the origin. These odds are calculated and used
by folks who are wagering real money and a significant amount of it.


But the folks who are wagering are not Americans, who are the ones with
the best information and who have "skin in the game" that is more than
just some spare cash they can afford to risk at the track. On the other
hand, foreigners might be less affected by their own emotions and
political opinions when predicting the outcome of an American election.

https://electionbettingodds.com/about.html

I fear your perspective has more to do with wishful thinking than with
reality and math.


And election wagering, like the stock market, is just an aggregate of
opinions. Granted, the people expressing an opinion are putting up some
money, so they presumably think a little before doing it; but they are
also susceptible to fads, delusions, and manipulations.


Not sure what your point(s) is / are. The people calculating these
odds are taking tens of millions of dollars in wagers on this and
numerous other issues. There is little doubt they are going to parse,
ad nauseam, all available, relevant data to maximize their return on
investment.

In the end, they are attempting to predict the future which is never a
sure thing. However, in my humble opinion, they have a far better
record of accuracy than any other soothsayers.

Even without these odds I am confident Trump is toast. He screwed the
pooch with far to many women and as most men know, women have long,
long memories.

Unfortunately, I suspect Clinton's smack down of Trump will be epic.


I am not sure Trump ever wanted to win. He certainly could not do more
to throw the election now. He has a new TV station launch in the works
and if he was president he would have to throw away his biggest asset,
marketing the name "Trump".
I still would not be shocked if he quit before the election to avoid
losing. We would be voting for Pence (using the rules of secession)
and that might be why he is there in the first place.