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Allah's Cock Bar Allah's Cock Bar is offline
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Default NH 7pt Hillary lead

On 10/5/2016 2:04 PM, Ed Huntress wrote:
On Wed, 5 Oct 2016 10:50:54 -0600, Allah's Cock Bar wrote:

On 10/4/2016 10:13 PM, Ed Huntress wrote:
Well-done polls give you a snapshot in time. That's what we're looking
at now. It won't tell you who will win, but it will tell you how the
voting public is reacting to events.



Rasmussen Reports Clinton 41, Trump 42, Johnson 8, Stein 2 Trump +1

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton LA Times/USC Tracking Clinton
43, Trump 47 Trump +4



LA Times tracking is the outlier -- roughly 6 points under the other
professional polls for Clinton. Here's the story on it. They have an
odd weighting factor for people who voted in the 2012 election. The
consensus is that the LAT/USC level is an outlier but the trend lines
are good:

"Election Update: Leave The LA Times Poll Alone!"

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...es-poll-alone/

As for Rasmussen, it's a C+ rated poll with a +2 Republican bias.
However, it tends to call elections correctly (79%) *in the last week*
before an election. It's another odd one, being conducted with
robocalls.

Your best bets are either the Real Clear Politics averages:


The polls are inadequate this election due to the fear instilled in
Trump voters by the insanely rabid Dems.

It's the same fear that has made bumper stickers disappear btw.

Do not trust the polls.