On Thursday, March 31, 2016 at 5:42:43 PM UTC-4, Oren wrote:
On Thu, 31 Mar 2016 17:12:07 -0400, "(PeteCresswell)"
wrote:

Per Oren:
Trump wins every thing trough March 26th. PA could be a problem for
him though because of the state laws. Delegates (some) are not bound
on the first convention ballot in July, IIUC.

The barn gets burned down in July

Are there any critical "make-or-break" dates coming up within the next
couple of weeks? i.e. If the cards fall in his favor, could Trump
become a done deal anytime soon.

I'm not sure of delegate numbers through March 26th. Haven't looked.

The critical date is in November. Odds say Hillary will beat Trump.
Cruz can beat her in some media polls, though.


Right. Polls consistently show Cruz about even with Hillary. He wins
some by a few points, loses others by a few points. Which is fine for
this point in the race. And he doesn't have those huge negatives.
Polls show half the GOP has a negative view of Trump, as does 70% of
women, 85% of Latinos, etc.



I'm sticking with the Cruz Missile. Aside, its hard for a party to win
the White House three terms? Didn't Bush 41 make the most recent
exception?


That's right, since WWII Bush 41 is the only one and he was riding the
coattails of the hugely popular Reagan. That's what is so awful with
this election. It should be an easy win for the GOP, yet the party
has been torn apart, divided and you and I know why.


FBI Director, James Comey will be the Interrogator on Hillary really
soon. Let her tell one lie or mislead an agent like Martha Stewart
did. Off to the pokey she goes.

We'll see. I just hope that if they do have enough to indict her,
that it is so overwhelming that most reasonable people will see it.
The last thing we need is yet more division.

One interesting thing that could be indicative of more trouble for
her is that Pagliano, the state dept IT guy that ran her server while
working for the state dept, was a POLITICAL APPOINTEE. He's the
first guy in the history of the state dept IT department that was
a political appointee. Inquiring minds, like the FBI, would naturally
wonder why that would be, what the intent was, etc. In other words,
there could have been an intent to run the IT dept there for the
benefit of Hillary's personal needs, ambitions, etc, from day one.