On 10/12/15 15:32, dennis@home wrote:
On 10/12/2015 06:51, harry wrote:


How about the recent floods in the NW?
Three "one a hundred year" events in ten years?


And how often have these one hundred year events happened in the past?

If the likelihood of a given town being flooded is once every hundred
years, and you have a hundred similar towns, then one will most likely
be flooded every year.

I remember several 'one in a hundred year events' back in the 50s - East
Anglia flooded, and so did Lynmouth. IN the 60s' I couldn't attend
school because of 'once in a hundred year' floods in Surrey.

I think they blamed the last one on global cooling which was fashionable
just then.

after the winter of 62/63..'coldest winter on record' etc etc etc.

Bleagh. Its always some record being broken. Always some 'once in a
hundred year' event that stops the trains.


--
the biggest threat to humanity comes from socialism, which has utterly
diverted our attention away from what really matters to our existential
survival, to indulging in navel gazing and faux moral investigations
into what the world ought to be, whilst we fail utterly to deal with
what it actually is.