On 12/05/2015 22:57, Rod Speed wrote:
harryagain wrote

One thing they say about liars.
They have to have a good memory in order to be consistant and not to
be found out.

Not with polls, because liars to pollsters can never be found out.

But these polls were consistant and wrong.

Because of the very large percentage of undecideds.

But all wrong in the same way.

And that is due to the usual group psychology
stuff, the polls mostly feed off each other when
there are so many undecideds.

And the same degree.
This implies collusion.

Only for those into conspiracy theorys.

To what end?

It isnt what produced that result.

They crib off of one another to save money

Nope, they have to guess when there are so
many undecideds and its hardly surprising that
they guessed it would be close given the first
coalition govt in quite a while.

or is there something more sinister?

Nope. The only real sinister possibility is that
they decided to claim that the result would be
close so that some voters would vote to ensure
that someone would get an absolute majority
because they didn’t like the idea of another
coalition govt. Very unlikely indeed IMO and
doesn’t explain the result that SNP got, that
not one of the polls managed to predict.

ALL it shows is that polls are useless when there
are so many undecided voters and the polls don’t
even attempt to just poll those who do claim that
they will be voting.

At least those who took money for predicting the sex of unborn babies
would refund the half they got wrong