On Friday, February 21, 2014 12:13:06 PM UTC-5, Richard wrote:
On 2/21/2014 10:11 AM, rangerssuck wrote:

On Thursday, February 20, 2014 11:55:45 PM UTC-5, Richard wrote:



All the climate hysteria is because the MODELS predict ...yadadayadada..

Not the actual data.



Close enough for Al Gore and the amazing US news media.



Data doesn't predict anything. Data is a recording of actual past&

present conditions. You CAN'T have data for the future unless you have

a time machine. What you CAN do, is use models which fit the data that

you do have to make predictions about what the future data will look like..



But? as the predictions are not matching the observed date?

Then what?

Then you adjust the models.

You do this all the time in real life - When you are driving, for instance, you adjust the position of your throttle to maintain a given speed. You adjust the pressure on your brake pedal to stop at the stop sign, not before or after it. You do this based on the initial position and the observed speed and distance. The point is, you ADJUST. Further, as you do this, you remember the adjustments and take them into account the next time you're in a similar circumstance.

Mathematical modeling isn't an exact science, it's an adaptive one. Predictions of storm tracks are getting better all the time. Some times they're not so great, but overall, they're getting better as the models get refined. The same will be true of climate models.

Just because the models aren't perfect does not mean that the science is bad.