wrote:
On Mon, 23 Sep 2013 21:16:54 -0700, "Lew Hodgett"
My guess is that in 10 years or less, the majority of vehicles
manufactured will be electric.

I'm not quite that optimistic, but I can envision it happening within
the next quarter century. With entrepreneurs like Tesla fully
committed to electric vehicle promotion, it will happen sooner than
later. Add onto that the fact that the Tesla *looks damned good* IMHO,
the electric car field has nowhere to go except up.

Tesla is going to have to cut pricing by 2/3 to have a serious alternative
to gasoline vehicles. The bigger less expensive vehicle that will go long
distances will drive the market.

That said Tesla is toying with a prototype battery exchange station to give
the vehicle the ability to leave one city to go to another. Unfortunately
those stations will have to be 3 times closer than gas stations and I
suspect that a charged exchange battery will be pretty pricey.