"Don Pearce" wrote in message
...
This is like pulling teeth. I'm not going to explain it any more.
Either you understand or you don't. It helps to have studied maths and
statistics.

Right!

And no, there isn't any manipulation. It is purely a
matter of understanding what is and isn't new information.

And understanding that games of pure chance have NO memory for any previous
actions. It's just like the old question, what are the odds of tossing a
coin 10 heads in a row? If you toss 9 heads in a row, what are the odds of
tossing a 10th?
(First you MUST assume the coin is untampered with, you cannot assume the
same for a TV game show however!)

Trevor.