View Single Post
  #23   Report Post  
Posted to sci.electronics.repair,rec.audio.pro
Bill Graham Bill Graham is offline
external usenet poster
 
Posts: 106
Default another puzzler

Soundhaspriority wrote:
"Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three
doors: Behind one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a
door, say No. 1, and the host, who knows what's behind the doors,
opens another door, say No. 3, which has a goat. He then says to you,
"Do you want to pick door No. 2?" Is it to your advantage to switch
your choice?"
The above is a famous problem. I've left out the attribution to give
you a few minutes (or forever, if you want) to enjoy it.

Bob Morein
(310) 237-6511


When you pick door #1 you only have a 1/3 chance of winning. But after you
see that there is a goat behind door #3, your chance of winning is 1/2, so I
would change doors and pick door #2. But I don't really know why....It's
just gambler's instinct with me.