In message , geoff
writes
In message
,
harry writes
On Mar 18, 11:19*pm, Bolted wrote:
On Mar 18, 10:13*pm, geoff wrote:





In message
,
harry writes

On Mar 17, 6:31 pm, "Nightjar \"cpb\"@" "insertmysurnamehere wrote:
This tsunami is now being rated as a 1 in 1,000 year event.
Realistically, nobody plans for events that rare.

Colin Bignell

You have no grasp of statistics. *There have been three major tsunamis
in the last ten years.

I have to save that one ...

Harry, you're a proper bellend (curve), no doubt about that

Huge seems to be equally poor at stats, although probably just led
astray by a very poorly written article.

The seismologist said the last similar event happened 1000 years ago.
Spot the difference.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

I seem to remember there was one in Indonesia, boxing day or
something? Just so happened they didn't have a reactor in the
vicinity.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_in_Indonesia

But they were close.
So that's two in five years not one in a thousand years.

Well there was actually another one hit the south coast of Java in july
2006 (google Pangandaran Tsunami)


So where does this leave your 1 in a 1000?

It still doesn't mean that you can't have more than one event in 1000
years for it to be a statistical 1 in a thousand year event

go away and learn some maths

r better still theory of probabilities.

Even better Murphy's law.
--
hugh
"Believe nothing. No matter where you read it, Or who said it, Even if
I have said it, Unless it agrees with your own reason And your own
common sense." Buddha