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Ed Huntress Ed Huntress is offline
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Default Income gap between rich and poor


"F. George McDuffee" wrote in message
...
On Wed, 28 Apr 2010 14:06:35 -0400, "Ed Huntress"
wrote:


"F. George McDuffee" wrote in message
. ..
On Tue, 27 Apr 2010 20:46:03 -0500, F. George McDuffee
wrote:
snip
I'll gen-up the same analysis for percent inflation v
inflation adjusted minimum wage, and offset the data to
discover any lag/lead effects. Remember no correlation
means there is nothing to explain and any attempt to do so
is simply more hot air and baffle gas.
snip

For those of us that give a $**t see
http://mcduffee-associates.us/PE/minwage-inf.xls

summary:
Added 28 April 2010 -- A XLS file of inflation data as un
adjusted CPI-U, delta from previous month, percent change
from previous month. Minimum wage data in CY$ and cpi-u
March 2010 CV$ , offset 0, 1, 3, and 6 months to detect any
lagging effects. Data by month for Dec 1949-Mar 2010. Not
all possible combinations were analyzed, but the month
number [to include the "march of time" effect] had at least
as large a correlation to "inflation" as either the CY$ or
CV$ minimum wage. Any correlations are minuscule, and it
can be concluded that minimum wage increases, within the
data set limits has no effect on the inflation rate.

Thus any attempt to posit a correlation between US inflation
rate, within the data set limits and an increase in US
minimum wage is simply so much hot air, as there is AT
MOST minimal correlation with second order effects.


Unka George (George McDuffee)
..............................
The past is a foreign country;
they do things differently there.
L. P. Hartley (1895-1972), British author.
The Go-Between, Prologue (1953).


That's very convincing, George. Now, how much effect do you think it has
on
Tawwwwwm and the rest of the minimum-wage hawks? g

It should be clear now that, when it conflicts with personal stories, real
or imaginary, or when it conflicts with ideology-based beliefs, the facts
don't stand a chance in this NG.


Why single out this ng? That's life.


Not as much. This group -- and the pestholes that messages posted here are
often linked to -- contains a disproportionate percentage of people who are
especially invested in their preconceived ideas. In my experience, anyway.

It's an interesting window on that psychological behavior. I have no
illusions that the most careful, fact-based arguments will overcome it.

In real life, I just happen to run into a higher percentage of people who
are open to reason over ideology. Your efforts here are careful enough, and
thorough enough, that I have to react with a cynical smile. d8-)

--
Ed Huntress