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The Medway Handyman The Medway Handyman is offline
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Default BBC jakes GW demo?

Roger Chapman wrote:
The Medway Handyman wrote:

snip

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climatec...xplained5.html


"Furthermore, while the UK Met Office regards 1998 as the hottest
year yet, Nasa thinks it was 2005 (they use the same data but
interpret it differently)."


I said:

1) That they don't use exactly the same data and

2) they are in broad agreement.

The Met Office has 2005 as the second warmest year since records
began but the difference is not great.


They get two completely different years and are in broad agreement? But
that's OK because the difference isn't great? Only a green
idiot could bellieve that.


You really are displaying an appalling lack of scientific (and in this
particular case mathematical) knowledge. The Met Office in their
wisdom show the 95% confidence limits as well as the actual figure
for each year. If you take 95% to be +/- two standard deviations then
for the 2 to be equal a reduction of 0.3 of a standard deviation in
the higher and an increase of 0.3 in the lower (or any other
combination with the same sum) is all that is required.


In other words they are fudging the figures.

Two different years - yes or no?


--
Dave - The Medway Handyman
www.medwayhandyman.co.uk