On Sat, 8 Mar 2008 12:34:53 +0100, "Frithiof Andreas Jensen"
wrote:


"James Arthur" skrev i en meddelelse
...
On Feb 28, 1:33 pm, (Nico Coesel) wrote:
"Jim Thompson" wrote:

http://www.marke****ch.com/news/stor...7B40D68525%2DB...

Feb. 26, 2008

................................................. .................................................

As the broader market began to regain lost ground, crude prices for
April delivery gained 2.3% to a new high of $101.11 a barrel on the
New York Mercantile Exchange, surpassing crude's last record of
$100.65 hit last week.

Some people think the imminent downfall of the US economy is going be
a much bigger problem. The mortgage crisis is just the beginning. I
sure hope the next president has more sense. China and other countries
have huge amounts of dollars.

Rumors of our demise have been greatly exaggerated. (with apologies
to Mark Twain)

If the dollar is sinking deeper, they
will eventually cut their loss and dump their dollars at any price.

Not likely. Old saying: "If you owe the bank $100k and can't pay,
you've got a problem. If you owe the bank $100M and can't pay, the
_bank_ has a problem."

Cheers,
James Arthur

It is happening right now. The dumping of USD is what is driving the boom in
commodities and gold: Chinese and Arabs discretely lightening up on the USD
and buying "things of value".

The EUR is not safe a safe buy either because the ECB should have increased
rates already and they haven't - people are betting that the ECB do not dare
to let the Euro rise too much above the USD and will lower rates too
possibly in June. If the ECB does the right thing by *not* cutting rates in
June it is "all over" for the USD.



How long does "All over" last? This is mostly the usual market
psychology positive feedback nonsense, stupid money following smart
money. There's no fundamental reason for the Euro to keep climbing
against the dollar. This is just a bit of noise and ringing in the
system.

As far as I'm concerned, if a bunch of Arabs and Chinese enjoy buying
dollars when they're high, and selling them when they're low, why
should we interfere with their fun? We had similar fun with the
Japanese a while back, selling them buildings and golf courses for
gigabucks a pop and buying them back later for a fraction.

But should I raise my european pricing, and make more money now, or
keep it the same and swipe market share, which might be better in the
long term?

John