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The REAL Cause of Glpbal Warming
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Tim Daneliuk
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Posts: 882
The REAL Cause of Glpbal Warming
wrote:
On Mar 7, 3:34 pm, "Leon" wrote:
wrote in message
oups.com...
From what I have heard, 2% less CO2.
Wow! That's HUGE!
Considering that 98% would still be produced by breathing and other things
that cannot be stopped, that is teny tiny. Not 2% per year, Every year
would only be 2% less to give up life as we all know it.
Oh, damn, I should not have been so optimistic.
Here are some figures for data through 1996:
http://www.preen.org/eiagg97/chap1.html
From Table 2 (all values in Gigatonnes per year)
Naturally emitted : 150
Anthropogenic: 7.1 (That's your 2% value, right?)
Total emitted: 157
Total absorbed: 154
Net change: +3
Which is less than half of the estimate of
anthropogenic CO2 emissions.
That estimate many be low, however:
At
http://www.ucsusa.org/publications/c...n.html?print=t
It is estimated that there is an annual contribution
of 6 Gt/a of anthropogenic CO2 from deforestation
alone, and another 6.5 Gt/a from fossil fuel burning.
I don't think they include cement production which would
be another Gt/a or so. Anthropogenic sinks of CO2
which I would guess is mostly agriculture by irrigation,
are small, but not nonexistant, perhaps recovering as much
as 5% of that emitted.
The molecular weight of CO2 is about 1.86 times the
mean molecular weight of air so if anybody has a figure
handy for the mass of the Earth's atmosphere we can
do a reality check against the observed increase of
~1.5 ppm v/v per year.
--
FF
Assume this is all true as presented - I have no way of knowing whether the measurement/calculation
models used are correct.
Here's the billion dollar question: It is BAD? It could well be (and I'm not saying it is,
I'm merely proposing a thought experiment) that the natural planetary feedback mechanisms
encourage the buildup of CO2 in the face of, say, deforestation, exactly to create an
environment conducive to ... forest growth.
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