On 20 Nov 2003 09:55:32 -0800, the renowned (Dan
Caster) wrote:

My guesses are that a way to play CD's will be around for a long time.
Mostly because it is trivial to make DVD players also play CD's.
DVD's as such may not stay around as long. I noted that the Chinese
are going to another standard for their Video discs to save big bucks
on royalties but also technically better recordings. But I think this
is all software changes and the player is the same. If that is
correct, it will also be trivial to have machines that play CD's,
DVD's, and EVD's.

My guess is that Solid State will not displace optical, regardless of
what your friend predicts. Oh I do believe that Solid State will
become much cheaper and would displace optical if optical would just
stand still. But that is kind of like solid state displacing disk
drives. Disk drives keep getting cheaper and bigger. It will be a
while before Solid State can provide 100 gigabytes for $100, and by
then disks drives will be providing terabytes for $100.

That's my impression too.. advances in both seem to be taking place at
a similar pace. Blue laser DVDs should push the storage capacity way
up (24G ??) something like that.

Best regards,
Spehro Pefhany
--
"it's the network..." "The Journey is the reward"
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