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Old June 14th 19, 11:53 AM posted to uk.d-i-y
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Default OT: Latest voting intentions.

Latest Westminster voting intention (9-10 June)

Brexit Party - 26%
Lib Dem - 22%
Lab - 19%
Con - 17%
Green - 8%
Other - 9%

https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics...lab-19-con-17-



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Old June 14th 19, 01:49 PM posted to uk.d-i-y
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Default OT: Latest voting intentions.

On 14/06/2019 11:53, The Natural Philosopher wrote:
Latest Westminster voting intention (9-10 June)

Brexit Party - 26%
Lib Dem - 22%
Lab - 19%
Con - 17%
Green - 8%
Other - 9%

https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics...lab-19-con-17-


A thumping great majority for a lib-lab-green alliance then. Brexit
totally finished and the Tories diminished to insignificance.

We will have full on EU membership, a cracking green agenda,
proportional representation for future parliamentary elections and
social and economic policies to end poverty and inequality.

I can't wait. Hooray!

I don't for a minute think the BxP will actually go anywhere. They would
need a manifesto and candidates for a general election and when they
produce that and have Ann Widdecombe on the telly their support will
evaporate for sure.

TW
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Old June 14th 19, 01:58 PM posted to uk.d-i-y
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Default OT: Latest voting intentions.

In article ,
The Natural Philosopher wrote:
Latest Westminster voting intention (9-10 June)


Brexit Party - 26%
Lib Dem - 22%
Lab - 19%
Con - 17%
Green - 8%
Other - 9%


https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics...lab-19-con-17-



Given only those who are fanatical brexiteers would vote for a brexit
party with no other policies, we can safely assume that the total of
brexiteers is now well under half of those intending voting.

LD + Green already beating the Brexit party. And of course the SNP has
been quietly ignored.

It would also be safe to assume that those Brexit party voters come from
those who would previously be Brexit supporters in the Conservative and
Labour parties. Meaning the balance left in those less in favour of Brexit.

Did you intent shooting yourself in the foot by publishing this?

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Old June 14th 19, 03:51 PM posted to uk.d-i-y
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Default OT: Latest voting intentions.



"Dave Plowman (News)" wrote in message
...
In article ,
The Natural Philosopher wrote:
Latest Westminster voting intention (9-10 June)


Brexit Party - 26%
Lib Dem - 22%
Lab - 19%
Con - 17%
Green - 8%
Other - 9%


https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics...lab-19-con-17-



Given only those who are fanatical brexiteers would vote for a brexit
party with no other policies, we can safely assume that the total of
brexiteers is now well under half of those intending voting.


you only need 35% in a three party competition to get 100s of seats

They aren't so far away from that that to say that it is unachievable


LD + Green already beating the Brexit party.


but you can't add them together to get a count of seats won

any more than you can add TBP and Tories

Greens, instead of LD, taking votes from Labour may enable TBP to win the
seat even at 26%

And of course the SNP has
been quietly ignored.

It would also be safe to assume that those Brexit party voters come from
those who would previously be Brexit supporters in the Conservative and
Labour parties. Meaning the balance left in those less in favour of
Brexit.


what does that prove?


Did you intent shooting yourself in the foot by publishing this?


I imagine the polling company will publish it

It's what they do

tim



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Old June 14th 19, 03:59 PM posted to uk.d-i-y
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Default OT: Latest voting intentions.

In article ,
TimW wrote:
I don't for a minute think the BxP will actually go anywhere. They would
need a manifesto and candidates for a general election and when they
produce that and have Ann Widdecombe on the telly their support will
evaporate for sure.


Why do I think of her as a female Boris?

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Old June 14th 19, 04:14 PM posted to uk.d-i-y
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Default OT: Latest voting intentions.

On 14/06/2019 11:53, The Natural Philosopher wrote:
Latest Westminster voting intention (9-10 June)

Brexit Party - 26%
Lib Dem - 22%
Lab - 19%
Con - 17%
Green - 8%
Other - 9%

https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics...lab-19-con-17-





So far less people want brexit than the referendum results.
Why ignore the SNP BTW?

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Old June 14th 19, 04:45 PM posted to uk.d-i-y
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Default OT: Latest voting intentions.

On 14/06/2019 11:53, The Natural Philosopher wrote:
Latest Westminster voting intention (9-10 June)

Brexit Party - 26%
Lib Dem - 22%
Lab - 19%
Con - 17%
Green - 8%
Other - 9%

https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics...lab-19-con-17-


Even your favoured election predictor still doesn't give them a majority
with those figures. The others give them between 74 and 82 seats.


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Old June 14th 19, 05:12 PM posted to uk.d-i-y
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Default OT: Latest voting intentions.

On Fri, 14 Jun 2019 11:53:05 +0100, The Natural Philosopher
wrote:

Latest Westminster voting intention (9-10 June)

Brexit Party - 26%
Lib Dem - 22%
Lab - 19%
Con - 17%
Green - 8%
Other - 9%

https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics...lab-19-con-17-


Q: How do you spot a brexit party rally?
A: There's a weasly little git at the front spouting crap, a sea of
white faces and a bloke with a mop clearing up the leaked ****.

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Old June 14th 19, 06:11 PM posted to uk.d-i-y
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Default OT: Latest voting intentions.

On 14/06/2019 15:51, tim... wrote:


"Dave Plowman (News)" wrote in message
...



Brexit Party - 26%
Lib Dem - 22%
Lab - 19%
Con - 17%
Green - 8%
Other - 9%



you only need 35% in a three party competition to get 100s of seats

They aren't so far away from that that to say that it is unachievable


LD + Green already beating the Brexit party.


but you can't add them together to get a count of seats won

any more than you can add TBP and Tories

Greens, instead of LD, taking votes from Labour may enable TBP to win
the seat even at 26%


True, that with fptp the results would be different and if the remain
votes are split between parties that could be bad.

Anyway, we aren't there yet.

Tim W
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Old June 14th 19, 07:07 PM posted to uk.d-i-y
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Default OT: Latest voting intentions.



"The Natural Philosopher" wrote in message
...
Latest Westminster voting intention (9-10 June)

Brexit Party - 26%
Lib Dem - 22%
Lab - 19%
Con - 17%
Green - 8%
Other - 9%

https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics...lab-19-con-17-


All rather academic given that there won't be a GE
for years unless the current parliament chooses to
commit political suicide very spectacularly indeed.

And if the UK does crash out of the EU with no deal,
and that works fine, TBP will be completely irrelevant
when there is a GE.



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