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Metalworking (rec.crafts.metalworking) Discuss various aspects of working with metal, such as machining, welding, metal joining, screwing, casting, hardening/tempering, blacksmithing/forging, spinning and hammer work, sheet metal work. |
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#1
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
On Tuesday, April 28, 2015 at 12:51:41 PM UTC-4, F. George McDuffee wrote:
http://tinyurl.com/qc3cda2 -- Unka' George Have not read the second article, but found a major problem with the first one. Increasing the number of jobs for humans will mitigate the problem of inequality in the distribution of income only if these new jobs have three properties: (1) they must be jobs that a computer cannot perform; (2) they must require skills that are scarce in the human population; and (3) the new jobs must include a substantial fraction of the population. Increasing the number of jobs, such as supermarket checkers, that do not have a scarce skill requirement will not solve the problem. It seems obvious to me that item 2 and item 3 are mutually exclusive. You can not require skill that are scarce and also include a substantial fraction of the population. If a substantial portion of the population has the skills , the skills are not scarce. Dan |
#2
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 12:10:10 -0700 (PDT), "
wrote: On Tuesday, April 28, 2015 at 12:51:41 PM UTC-4, F. George McDuffee wrote: http://tinyurl.com/qc3cda2 -- Unka' George Have not read the second article, but found a major problem with the first one. Increasing the number of jobs for humans will mitigate the problem of inequality in the distribution of income only if these new jobs have three properties: (1) they must be jobs that a computer cannot perform; (2) they must require skills that are scarce in the human population; and (3) the new jobs must include a substantial fraction of the population. Increasing the number of jobs, such as supermarket checkers, that do not have a scarce skill requirement will not solve the problem. It seems obvious to me that item 2 and item 3 are mutually exclusive. You can not require skill that are scarce and also include a substantial fraction of the population. If a substantial portion of the population has the skills , the skills are not scarce. Dan I think the idea is that there must be enough total jobs to employ a substantial fraction of the population, but that they can include a variety of types of new jobs -- each of which must require skills that are scarce. Which, I believe, is a pipe dream. The writer has set up a necessary, but probably impossible, set of conditions to solve the employment situation. 'Back to my sackcloth and ashes... d8-( -- Ed Huntress |
#3
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
On Tuesday, April 28, 2015 at 12:20:30 PM UTC-7, slow eddy wrote:
I think the idea is that there must be enough total jobs to employ a substantial fraction of the population, but that they can include a variety of types of new jobs -- each of which must require skills that are scarce. Which, I believe, is a pipe dream. The writer has set up a necessary, but probably impossible, set of conditions to solve the employment situation. Pipe dream = Much of what slow eddy writes about in worthless, ad driven, rags. |
#4
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
On 4/28/2015 12:20 PM, Ed Huntress wrote:
On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 12:10:10 -0700 (PDT), " wrote: On Tuesday, April 28, 2015 at 12:51:41 PM UTC-4, F. George McDuffee wrote: http://tinyurl.com/qc3cda2 -- Unka' George Have not read the second article, but found a major problem with the first one. Increasing the number of jobs for humans will mitigate the problem of inequality in the distribution of income only if these new jobs have three properties: (1) they must be jobs that a computer cannot perform; (2) they must require skills that are scarce in the human population; and (3) the new jobs must include a substantial fraction of the population. Increasing the number of jobs, such as supermarket checkers, that do not have a scarce skill requirement will not solve the problem. It seems obvious to me that item 2 and item 3 are mutually exclusive. You can not require skill that are scarce and also include a substantial fraction of the population. If a substantial portion of the population has the skills , the skills are not scarce. Dan I think the idea is that there must be enough total jobs to employ a substantial fraction of the population, but that they can include a variety of types of new jobs -- each of which must require skills that are scarce. Which, I believe, is a pipe dream. The writer has set up a necessary, but probably impossible, set of conditions to solve the employment situation. The idea that we can, or should, "create" high paying jobs, or any kind of jobs at all, is nonsense. |
#5
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 13:29:23 -0700, Rudy Canoza
wrote: snip The idea that we can, or should, "create" high paying jobs, or any kind of jobs at all, is nonsense. ============= Same comment made by the aristos in France and Russia, just before their execution. -- Unka' George "Gold is the money of kings, silver is the money of gentlemen, barter is the money of peasants, but debt is the money of slaves" -Norm Franz, "Money and Wealth in the New Millenium" |
#6
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 16:04:20 -0500, F. George McDuffee
wrote: On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 13:29:23 -0700, Rudy Canoza wrote: snip The idea that we can, or should, "create" high paying jobs, or any kind of jobs at all, is nonsense. ============= Same comment made by the aristos in France and Russia, just before their execution. I thought that was "So let them eat cake!" |
#7
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
"Ed Huntress" wrote in message
... I think the idea is that there must be enough total jobs to employ a substantial fraction of the population, but that they can include a variety of types of new jobs -- each of which must require skills that are scarce. Which, I believe, is a pipe dream. The writer has set up a necessary, but probably impossible, set of conditions to solve the employment situation. 'Back to my sackcloth and ashes... d8-( -- Ed Huntress I don't remember from high school how many other people one manufacturing job is supposed to support. IIRC the railroads figured up to 10, the railroad employee plus one other family, when they planned new towns along new lines, back before wives took jobs. -jsw |
#8
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
On 4/28/2015 2:04 PM, F. George McDuffee wrote:
On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 13:29:23 -0700, Rudy Canoza wrote: snip The idea that we can, or should, "create" high paying jobs, or any kind of jobs at all, is nonsense. ============= Same comment made by the aristos in France and Russia, just before their execution. Not even close. |
#9
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
On 4/28/2015 2:19 PM, Jim Wilkins wrote:
"Ed Huntress" wrote in message ... I think the idea is that there must be enough total jobs to employ a substantial fraction of the population, but that they can include a variety of types of new jobs -- each of which must require skills that are scarce. Which, I believe, is a pipe dream. The writer has set up a necessary, but probably impossible, set of conditions to solve the employment situation. 'Back to my sackcloth and ashes... d8-( -- Ed Huntress I don't remember from high school how many other people one manufacturing job is supposed to support. IIRC the railroads figured up to 10, the railroad employee plus one other family, when they planned new towns along new lines, back before wives took jobs. The notion that great increments of value can come only from making tangible stuff is long discredited. It's complete bull****. |
#10
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 17:19:28 -0400, "Jim Wilkins"
wrote: "Ed Huntress" wrote in message .. . I think the idea is that there must be enough total jobs to employ a substantial fraction of the population, but that they can include a variety of types of new jobs -- each of which must require skills that are scarce. Which, I believe, is a pipe dream. The writer has set up a necessary, but probably impossible, set of conditions to solve the employment situation. 'Back to my sackcloth and ashes... d8-( -- Ed Huntress I don't remember from high school how many other people one manufacturing job is supposed to support. IIRC the railroads figured up to 10, the railroad employee plus one other family, when they planned new towns along new lines, back before wives took jobs. -jsw I don't know of any source in which I'd have confidence, but the job-multiplier number commonly used for manufacturing jobs these days is 4. Whatever the real number is, it's high. Just the supply chain alone makes it high, but that's also where it gets difficult to measure. At the top of the supply chain -- the OEM who sells the finished product -- the multiplier is much higher. At the bottom of the supply chain, it's lower. I try to stay away from it, because there is another complication: as you reduce the number of employees needed to make something, the multiplier appears to go higher. But that depends on how automated the supply chain is. They vary a lot. -- Ed Huntress |
#11
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
"Gunner Asch" wrote in message ... On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 16:04:20 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 13:29:23 -0700, Rudy Canoza wrote: snip The idea that we can, or should, "create" high paying jobs, or any kind of jobs at all, is nonsense. ============= Same comment made by the aristos in France and Russia, just before their execution. I thought that was "So let them eat cake!" Marie Antoinette was Austrian, not French. She really told them to eat Kacke. (ca-ca) |
#12
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 18:49:45 -0400, "Jim Wilkins"
wrote: "Gunner Asch" wrote in message .. . On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 16:04:20 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 13:29:23 -0700, Rudy Canoza wrote: snip The idea that we can, or should, "create" high paying jobs, or any kind of jobs at all, is nonsense. ============= Same comment made by the aristos in France and Russia, just before their execution. I thought that was "So let them eat cake!" Marie Antoinette was Austrian, not French. She really told them to eat Kacke. (ca-ca) Ach!! That woman had a mouth on her didnt she? |
#13
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
On Tuesday, April 28, 2015 at 6:49:38 PM UTC-4, Jim Wilkins wrote:
"Gunner Asch" wrote in message ... On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 16:04:20 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 13:29:23 -0700, Rudy Canoza wrote: snip The idea that we can, or should, "create" high paying jobs, or any kind of jobs at all, is nonsense. ============= Same comment made by the aristos in France and Russia, just before their execution. I thought that was "So let them eat cake!" Marie Antoinette was Austrian, not French. She really told them to eat Kacke. (ca-ca) The following blog says that she learned to speak French without a German accent at a very early age. -- http://blog.catherinedelors.com/mari...ustrian-woman/ |
#14
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
wrote in message
... On Tuesday, April 28, 2015 at 6:49:38 PM UTC-4, Jim Wilkins wrote: "Gunner Asch" wrote in message ... On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 16:04:20 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 13:29:23 -0700, Rudy Canoza wrote: snip The idea that we can, or should, "create" high paying jobs, or any kind of jobs at all, is nonsense. ============= Same comment made by the aristos in France and Russia, just before their execution. I thought that was "So let them eat cake!" Marie Antoinette was Austrian, not French. She really told them to eat Kacke. (ca-ca) The following blog says that she learned to speak French without a German accent at a very early age. -- http://blog.catherinedelors.com/mari...ustrian-woman/ The phrase predated her by 100 years. Lets see you make a multilingual pun out of "Brioche." -jsw |
#15
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
On Wed, 29 Apr 2015 15:45:54 -0400, "Jim Wilkins"
wrote: wrote in message ... On Tuesday, April 28, 2015 at 6:49:38 PM UTC-4, Jim Wilkins wrote: "Gunner Asch" wrote in message ... On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 16:04:20 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 13:29:23 -0700, Rudy Canoza wrote: snip The idea that we can, or should, "create" high paying jobs, or any kind of jobs at all, is nonsense. ============= Same comment made by the aristos in France and Russia, just before their execution. I thought that was "So let them eat cake!" Marie Antoinette was Austrian, not French. She really told them to eat Kacke. (ca-ca) The following blog says that she learned to speak French without a German accent at a very early age. -- http://blog.catherinedelors.com/mari...ustrian-woman/ The phrase predated her by 100 years. Lets see you make a multilingual pun out of "Brioche." -jsw Hmmm...how about a limerick? A fashionable lass from LaRoche Made a mess of eating brioche "It's my lips, said the lass, They're so plump, food can't pass And sucking it in is so gauche" -- Ed Huntress |
#16
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
On 4/29/2015 1:13 PM, Ed Huntress wrote:
On Wed, 29 Apr 2015 15:45:54 -0400, "Jim Wilkins" wrote: wrote in message ... On Tuesday, April 28, 2015 at 6:49:38 PM UTC-4, Jim Wilkins wrote: "Gunner Asch" wrote in message ... On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 16:04:20 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 13:29:23 -0700, Rudy Canoza wrote: snip The idea that we can, or should, "create" high paying jobs, or any kind of jobs at all, is nonsense. ============= Same comment made by the aristos in France and Russia, just before their execution. I thought that was "So let them eat cake!" Marie Antoinette was Austrian, not French. She really told them to eat Kacke. (ca-ca) The following blog says that she learned to speak French without a German accent at a very early age. -- http://blog.catherinedelors.com/mari...ustrian-woman/ The phrase predated her by 100 years. Lets see you make a multilingual pun out of "Brioche." -jsw Hmmm...how about a limerick? A fashionable lass from LaRoche Made a mess of eating brioche "It's my lips, said the lass, They're so plump, food can't pass And sucking it in is so gauche" Decent effort |
#17
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
"Ed Huntress" wrote in message
... On Wed, 29 Apr 2015 15:45:54 -0400, "Jim Wilkins" wrote: wrote in message ... On Tuesday, April 28, 2015 at 6:49:38 PM UTC-4, Jim Wilkins wrote: "Gunner Asch" wrote in message ... On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 16:04:20 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 13:29:23 -0700, Rudy Canoza wrote: snip The idea that we can, or should, "create" high paying jobs, or any kind of jobs at all, is nonsense. ============= Same comment made by the aristos in France and Russia, just before their execution. I thought that was "So let them eat cake!" Marie Antoinette was Austrian, not French. She really told them to eat Kacke. (ca-ca) The following blog says that she learned to speak French without a German accent at a very early age. -- http://blog.catherinedelors.com/mari...ustrian-woman/ The phrase predated her by 100 years. Lets see you make a multilingual pun out of "Brioche." -jsw Hmmm...how about a limerick? A fashionable lass from LaRoche Made a mess of eating brioche "It's my lips, said the lass, They're so plump, food can't pass And sucking it in is so gauche" -- Ed Huntress They pay you to do this? -jsw |
#18
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
On Wed, 29 Apr 2015 17:22:44 -0400, "Jim Wilkins"
wrote: "Ed Huntress" wrote in message .. . On Wed, 29 Apr 2015 15:45:54 -0400, "Jim Wilkins" wrote: wrote in message ... On Tuesday, April 28, 2015 at 6:49:38 PM UTC-4, Jim Wilkins wrote: "Gunner Asch" wrote in message ... On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 16:04:20 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 13:29:23 -0700, Rudy Canoza wrote: snip The idea that we can, or should, "create" high paying jobs, or any kind of jobs at all, is nonsense. ============= Same comment made by the aristos in France and Russia, just before their execution. I thought that was "So let them eat cake!" Marie Antoinette was Austrian, not French. She really told them to eat Kacke. (ca-ca) The following blog says that she learned to speak French without a German accent at a very early age. -- http://blog.catherinedelors.com/mari...ustrian-woman/ The phrase predated her by 100 years. Lets see you make a multilingual pun out of "Brioche." -jsw Hmmm...how about a limerick? A fashionable lass from LaRoche Made a mess of eating brioche "It's my lips, said the lass, They're so plump, food can't pass And sucking it in is so gauche" -- Ed Huntress They pay you to do this? -jsw Hell, no. It's what I do for comic relief. -- Ed Huntress |
#20
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
On Wed, 29 Apr 2015 15:45:54 -0400, "Jim Wilkins"
wrote: wrote in message ... On Tuesday, April 28, 2015 at 6:49:38 PM UTC-4, Jim Wilkins wrote: "Gunner Asch" wrote in message ... On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 16:04:20 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 13:29:23 -0700, Rudy Canoza wrote: snip The idea that we can, or should, "create" high paying jobs, or any kind of jobs at all, is nonsense. ============= Same comment made by the aristos in France and Russia, just before their execution. I thought that was "So let them eat cake!" Marie Antoinette was Austrian, not French. She really told them to eat Kacke. (ca-ca) The following blog says that she learned to speak French without a German accent at a very early age. -- http://blog.catherinedelors.com/mari...ustrian-woman/ The phrase predated her by 100 years. Lets see you make a multilingual pun out of "Brioche." Zey arrre too beeg for zeir brioches. -- "I believe there are more instances of the abridgment of the freedom of the people by gradual and silent encroachments of those in power than by violent and sudden usurpations." --James Madison, Virginia Convention, June 16, 1788 |
#21
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
On Wed, 29 Apr 2015 17:22:44 -0400, "Jim Wilkins"
wrote: "Ed Huntress" wrote in message .. . On Wed, 29 Apr 2015 15:45:54 -0400, "Jim Wilkins" wrote: wrote in message ... On Tuesday, April 28, 2015 at 6:49:38 PM UTC-4, Jim Wilkins wrote: "Gunner Asch" wrote in message ... On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 16:04:20 -0500, F. George McDuffee wrote: On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 13:29:23 -0700, Rudy Canoza wrote: snip The idea that we can, or should, "create" high paying jobs, or any kind of jobs at all, is nonsense. ============= Same comment made by the aristos in France and Russia, just before their execution. I thought that was "So let them eat cake!" Marie Antoinette was Austrian, not French. She really told them to eat Kacke. (ca-ca) The following blog says that she learned to speak French without a German accent at a very early age. -- http://blog.catherinedelors.com/mari...ustrian-woman/ The phrase predated her by 100 years. Lets see you make a multilingual pun out of "Brioche." -jsw Hmmm...how about a limerick? A fashionable lass from LaRoche Made a mess of eating brioche "It's my lips, said the lass, They're so plump, food can't pass And sucking it in is so gauche" -- Ed Huntress They pay you to do this? I'm still trying to figure out how he can type with that straitjacket on... -- "I believe there are more instances of the abridgment of the freedom of the people by gradual and silent encroachments of those in power than by violent and sudden usurpations." --James Madison, Virginia Convention, June 16, 1788 |
#22
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
On Tue, 28 Apr 2015 17:19:28 -0400, "Jim Wilkins"
wrote: "Ed Huntress" wrote in message .. . I think the idea is that there must be enough total jobs to employ a substantial fraction of the population, but that they can include a variety of types of new jobs -- each of which must require skills that are scarce. Which, I believe, is a pipe dream. The writer has set up a necessary, but probably impossible, set of conditions to solve the employment situation. 'Back to my sackcloth and ashes... d8-( -- Ed Huntress I don't remember from high school how many other people one manufacturing job is supposed to support. IIRC the railroads figured up to 10, the railroad employee plus one other family, when they planned new towns along new lines, back before wives took jobs. -jsw FYI, CAR now is reporting a multiplier of 8.4 for jobs at GM: http://www.freep.com/story/money/201...ring/26564257/ If you're going to use that number in any discussion, I'd be sure that you understand how CAR measures it, and give some thought to what it means. There are a lot of ways to look at this issue. The one point that's consistent from every source I've ever seen, over 40 years, is that manufacturing has the highest job-multiplier number of any business or industry. -- Ed Huntress |
#23
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
On Thu, 30 Apr 2015 09:17:23 -0400, Ed Huntress
wrote: snip FYI, CAR now is reporting a multiplier of 8.4 for jobs at GM: http://www.freep.com/story/money/201...ring/26564257/ If you're going to use that number in any discussion, I'd be sure that you understand how CAR measures it, and give some thought to what it means. ================ Thanks for the info and cite. -- Unka' George "Gold is the money of kings, silver is the money of gentlemen, barter is the money of peasants, but debt is the money of slaves" -Norm Franz, "Money and Wealth in the New Millenium" |
#24
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Where the manufacturing jobs are going
On Thu, 30 Apr 2015 10:16:29 -0500, F. George McDuffee
wrote: On Thu, 30 Apr 2015 09:17:23 -0400, Ed Huntress wrote: snip FYI, CAR now is reporting a multiplier of 8.4 for jobs at GM: http://www.freep.com/story/money/201...ring/26564257/ If you're going to use that number in any discussion, I'd be sure that you understand how CAR measures it, and give some thought to what it means. ================ Thanks for the info and cite. You're welcome, George, but, as I said, be very cautious about these numbers. For example, GM's numbers, if these are accurate, have some meaning, because they produce a consumer product. The multiplier for coal mining has meaning to the economies of areas local to the coal mines, but they just produce an input to (mostly) the electric-power industry. Electric power producers may count all of the coal-mining jobs as among those produced by their "multiplier." There is almost no coal mining without power production, so coal mining "produces" no jobs on its own. And so on. CAR is pretty good overall, but I haven't looked into how they compiled their figure for this jobs-multiplier issue. -- Ed Huntress |
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